Community ideas
Gold under pressure as USD strengthensGold is facing significant selling pressure as the US dollar regains momentum. Currently, XAU/USD is trading near $3,337, down over $31 from the session high, and pressing directly against the ascending trendline.
The stronger USD is making gold—an asset that yields no interest—less attractive to investors. If this dollar strength continues, the likelihood of a trendline break and further downside is very high.
On the economic front, U.S. jobless claims have fallen to their lowest level in three months, signaling a resilient labor market despite sluggish hiring. This stable jobs data is expected to support the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in the upcoming policy meeting, even amid rising inflation pressure driven by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.
At this moment, sellers are in control. Traders should closely watch upcoming support zones and trading volume to spot reasonable entry points.
Good luck!
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild bullish(24-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (24-07-2025)
Current price- 3357
"if Price stays above 3345, then next target is 3370, 3320 and 3400 and below that 3330 and 3310 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Bitcoin on the edge – Is a sharp drop coming?Bitcoin is keeping investors on edge as price action remains volatile and primed for an explosive move once news or capital flows ignite the market.
🌍 Latest market updates:
– Whales are back in accumulation mode, with on-chain data showing large wallets growing rapidly.
– The U.S. government has just transferred a significant amount of BTC to exchanges — is a dump coming?
– U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are witnessing record inflows after CPI came in lower than expected, fueling hopes that the Fed will pause further rate hikes this year.
📉 Technical outlook:
– On the H4 chart, BTC formed a tightening wedge pattern, which has now broken to the downside.
– A steep drop toward the 113,000 to 110,000 USD zone is entirely possible.
This looks like a classic break-retest setup — a golden window for strategic entries. If sell volume surges, it could be the perfect moment for bears to strike.
Stay sharp — and good luck!
REI/USDT CYCLE UPDATE $0,90 by 2025 - Price prediction📈 REI/USDT CYCLE UPDATE – $0.90 by 2025
REI could break above its old ATH, targeting $0.90 in the upcoming cycle. Why?
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✅ EVM-compatible – easy migration for Ethereum dApps
✅ Low market cap → high upside potential
✅ Clean tokenomics with staking + resource model
✅ Built for speed, scale & adoption
DATA
Data shows that there is a structural trend going on, where this coin can break soon.
If the altcoin market heats up, REI has the fundamentals & tech edge to explode past previous highs. 🚀
🧠 Watch this one closely.
#REINetwork #Crypto #Altseason #EVM #PricePrediction #Web3
This is not trading advice, but a view from a side of study.
Ethereum is likely to retrace before continuing its bullish moveEthereum's technicals are highly bullish, supported by strong fundamentals. According to the market structure, it may retrace to the level shown in the chart above to collect liquidity and fill orders before moving forward to All time high near 4800.
[Deep Dive] SEI – Edition 2: From Pain to Power: A Bull Cycle?SEIUSDT may have just flipped the script.
After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows, SEI has officially broken its bearish structure and is now printing clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) — a textbook sign of a trend reversal.
📉 Left Side: Bearish Breakdown
From late 2023 to Q2 2025, SEI was stuck in a painful macro downtrend. The structure was brutally clean: LH → LL → LH → LL. Each bounce was weaker than the last, reflecting exhausted buyers and relentless supply.
But something changed in late Q2…
📈 Right Side: Bullish Rebuild
Since its final low around April, SEI began to carve a new path. What started as a subtle accumulation quickly morphed into a solid structure of higher highs and higher lows.
The arc-shaped pink trendline tracks this momentum shift — and we’re now watching a potential continuation of the bullish cycle.
The most recent HL is forming exactly on that curve — a critical moment where bulls may step in for the next impulsive move.
🔥 What’s Fueling the Shift?
SEI is gaining traction as a high-performance Layer 1 designed for trading apps, with native parallelization and a focus on speed and throughput.
Its recent ecosystem growth — including projects in DeFi, gaming, and infrastructure — has started to attract both retail and VC attention.
On-chain metrics are showing increased activity, and whispers of upcoming protocol incentives could be the spark that pushes SEI toward the $0.45–$0.50 range.
🧠 What We’re Watching
- The current HL zone — will bulls defend this level?
- If SEI can break above the previous HH, the bullish structure strengthens.
- A failure to hold this HL would suggest a range or even deeper correction — so risk management is key.
Let’s recap:
- Structure has flipped bullish ✅
- SEI is riding a fresh higher low ✅
- Fundamental momentum is building behind the scenes ✅
It’s now up to the market to decide if this was just a bounce — or the beginning of a much bigger move.
💬 What do YOU think: Is SEI building steam for a breakout, or just teasing us with a fakeout?
🔔 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed?
Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way:
Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak
France:
Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast)
Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction)
Germany:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected)
Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary)
Eurozone Overall:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50)
Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast)
ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected.
U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising
Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K)
Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise)
Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD)
Interpretation :
The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany.
Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience.
This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive.
Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup.
---------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position .
EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) .
Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
HBAR/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.22600 - 0.23500
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
Heiken Ashi CandlesThis week Heiken Ashi candle gave a bullish close above the DOJI Heiken Ashi candle from last week. RSI is above 50. MACD (Chris Moody) look like it may have a bullish cross over soon. Stochastic RSI is getting ready to curl up. What do you think team? do you think the bulls maybe entering their season? Next few days are going to be interesting. If the buyers and investors can maintain the parallel structure the asset will go bullish however if it breaks it, the bears will celebrate. Keep your eyes on the Fibonacci levels, bulls want to see movement toward 14.54 and out of the Fibonacci golden zone.
$INTC Got Smacked. Relief Bounce or Trap?Yikes. NASDAQ:INTC just faceplanted from $23.50 straight down to $20.50. It’s peeking its head up now. If you’re playing the bounce, be nimble — this thing’s still bleeding on the higher timeframes. Don't get in unless you see more pickup and buy signal.
UltraAlgo caught the drop early. If it crosses $20 could go down deeper.
WULF / 3hWave Analysis >> While the overall outlook on NASDAQ:WULF remains consistent with the previous analysis, the ongoing sideways volatility suggests a need to reassess the wave count on the final stages of Minor degree impulsive advance in wave C.
The Fib extension target remains intact >> 6.93
Trend Analysis >> Upon completion of Minor degree wave C, the countertrend advance of Intermediate degree wave (B), which has been unfolding since April 9, is likely to give way to a decline in wave (C) of the same degree. This downtrend might begin in the coming days and potentially extend through the end of the year!!
NASDAQ:WULF CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Eur/Gbp Bears to seek the 0.86180 Handle By early next week, my analysis according to the market structure being formed suggests that the institution that drives the market will have to be dovish on this pair, as there is unmitigated liquidity awaiting to be grabbed @ the 0.86100 zone by the end of next week will have to see that zone being mitigated
Tp 1.0.86180