BTC at Key Inflection Zone – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?Asset: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on visual pattern structure)
As of: May 6, 2025
Indicators:
50 EMA (Red): $91,615.79
200 EMA (Blue): $89,305.75
Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: ~$104,000 – $108,000
This area has historically acted as a major supply zone.
Price has been rejected from this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
🔁 Flip Zone (Resistance turned Support/Support turned Resistance): ~$95,500 – $100,000
The current price ($95,234.23) is testing this zone from below.
A confirmed break and hold above could signal continuation toward the higher resistance.
🟢 Strong Support Zone: ~$88,000 – $91,000
Confluence of 50 EMA and 200 EMA adds strength to this demand zone.
Previous breakout level and accumulation area.
EMA Outlook:
50 EMA > 200 EMA: Short-term bullish crossover is active, indicating bullish momentum.
Both EMAs are sloping upward slightly, suggesting trend strengthening.
Price is currently above both EMAs, which acts as dynamic support.
Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims the $95,500–$100,000 resistance-turned-support zone:
Expect upward momentum to continue.
Target: $104,000–$108,000 zone.
Break of $108K could lead to a macro bull continuation.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the current zone and fails to hold above the $91,000 support:
Look for retest of $88,000–$89,000 area (confluence with EMAs).
Breakdown below that zone would invalidate bullish structure and signal potential deeper correction.
Summary:
Bias: Bullish above $91K, Neutral between FWB:88K –$91K, Bearish below $88K.
Key Confirmation Needed: Daily close above $100,000 for strong bullish continuation.
Risk Management: Watch for fakeouts within the $95K–$100K range due to past volatility.
Community ideas
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Ready to Climb AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Ready to Climb Again
NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above the 0.5945 resistance.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5915 support.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5910 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5900 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.5980 resistance. It tested the 0.6020 resistance before there was a pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.58704 and the pair is again rising above the 50-hour simple moving average.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5910. The pair cleared the 0.5915 resistance and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6022 swing high to the 0.5870 low.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 50 signaling a positive bias. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6022 swing high to the 0.5870 low at 0.5945.
The next major resistance is near the 0.5985 level. A clear move above the 0.5985 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6020 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6050 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5915 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.5915 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5870. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5810.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
gbpnzd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Will LINKUSDT Explode Soon — or Collapse Into a Trap?Yello Paradisers, are you prepared for the next big LINK move? The breakout you’ve been waiting for just happened — but before you jump in, let’s break down what’s really going on behind the chart.
💎LINKUSDT has officially broken out of its descending channel — a significant structural shift that immediately increases the probability of a bullish continuation. On top of that, we’ve seen a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character), a powerful sign that demand is stepping in. These are early but critical signs that bulls may be regaining control.
💎However, experienced traders know not to act on the first sign of strength alone. We now need to see how price behaves on the pullback. If LINK pulls back and takes out the inducement (removing weak hands), we’ll be looking for a bullish internal CHoCH (I-CHoCH) on the 1H timeframe. If that forms, the probability of a solid bounce from the support zone becomes extremely high — giving us the confirmation we need to position for upside.
💎On the other hand, if price breaks down and closes a candle below the support zone, this entire bullish setup becomes invalid. In that case, it would be wise to remain patient and wait for better, more reliable price action to develop before making any move. This is exactly where most traders lose by forcing trades instead of waiting for clear signals.
🎖A big liquidation event, which will first take both longs and shorts and fully get rid of all inexperienced traders before the real move happens, is very close to happening again. so make sure you are playing it safe Paradisers. It will be a huge money-maker for some and a total disaster again for the majority.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
AUDUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6385 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6401
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$SOLUSDT likely to retrace for a bigger bullish move!!!BINANCE:SOLUSDT looks like it is running out of steam as it approaches a major resistance. In the coming weeks, BINANCE:SOLUSDT is expected to retrace back to a minor support and resistance zone (marked out in the chart) where it will gain reasonable momentum for a bigger pump to at least $260 and above. Be on the lookout.
Kindly support this analysis to enable it reach to other people, and do comment your thoughts.
Ethereum Hits 21x R:R – What Happens Next?Ethereum just delivered a stunning 21-to-1 risk-to-reward trade. In this short video, we break down how it happened, what drove the move, and what could come next. .
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold – Focus on the Specific Details of US/China Trade TalksGold prices rallied 0.6% on Friday to close at 3325 as traders rushed to obtain some safe haven protection against the uncertainty of whether the outcome of trade negotiations between the US and China, taking place in Geneva over the weekend, may yield positive or negative results which could have significantly impact all markets on the Monday open.
Roll forward 2 days and Gold has fallen to a low of 3259 (at time of writing) in early Monday trading as traders digest and then react to both the US and China reporting ‘substantial progress’ in their talks. This news seems to have initially boosted risk sentiment and reduced the need for traders to own Gold as a hedge, at least for now anyway.
While light on detail, initial reports indicate that the trade teams from the world’s two biggest economies have agreed to create a mechanism for further talks. US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer are expected to hold a press briefing later this morning to share more specific details, so there is room for disappointment, which could see Gold rally back to higher levels, or more progress than anticipated by markets, which may see Gold extend its sell off down to potential key technical support levels.
Technical Update: Decision Making Progress Develops
On April 24th 2025, we published a commentary on Gold, highlighting its inability to break above the psychological round number resistance at 3500, from which a sell-off was developing. Please look back at our timeline to read our thoughts at that time.
The setback from these all-time highs at 3500 did extend further, and tests of 3228, which was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (April 7th to April 22nd 2025 price strength) did materialise.
After initially seeing the strong bounce from 3228 last week, it appears that traders may be focusing on this level as a possible important support over coming sessions.
What is the Current Situation for Gold?
While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, it could be suggested that recent price activity in Gold since the April 22nd session all-time high, has established both upper and lower extremes of a developing sideways range, between 3228 and 3500.
This type of sideways activity represents something of a ‘balance’ between both buyers and sellers of Gold. Price strength has been met by selling pressure at 3500, while buyers have materialised around 3228, the 50% retracement level.
However, it could even be suggested after the price weakness from last Tuesday’s 3435 session high, immediate resistance could now be lowered to this 3435 level.
Predicting the direction of an eventual range breakout is difficult, and we must wait for either a confirmed closing break below 3228, or above 3435 to suggest the next possible direction of a more sustained phase of price movement. Until such a breakout materialises, extension of the choppy sideways activity, as seen recently, could continue.
Upside Focus: If potential is to turn towards further attempts to extend price strength, it may well be suggested by closes above last week’s 3435 high. While breaks of these 3435 extremes won’t be a guarantee of price strength, it might lead to retests of the psychological 3500 high, even towards 3570, which is the 300% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 decline.
Downside Focus: To the downside, traders may well continue to focus on the 3228 Fibonacci retracement level as support, with closing breaks perhaps pointing to risks for further price declines. Such moves may then lead to weakness towards 3164, which is the lower 61.8% retracement level.
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BNB is in an interesting zoneBNB is going to test its ATH at previous cycle (around $700) and at the next step, its total ATH (around $800). If it break these levels, BNB parabola is inevitable. At this situation, BSC tokens like NASDAQ:FORM , $Cookie, NASDAQ:CAKE and ... will have potential to explode.
EURUSD short on central bank divergence After last weeks FED rate decision I think EURUSD downside looks like a good potential. We saw a continued cautious approach from the FED with hawkish undertones amid trade wars and sticky inflation.
This now presents some clear divergences between central bank policies. The ECB are leading the way with looser monetary policy and continues rate cuts as their inflation rates declines to 2.2%.
Technically, price has broken through a small recent higher low as well as through a head and shoulder price pattern off the round number 1.1500. There was a strong OBV divergence signal around the highs and the weekly POC's have started to break lower.
The weekly profile also presents a possible downside target with a thin week yet to be filled. Two possible positions that could be taken, a slightly more conservative target and stop loss or a more aggressive position with a tighter stop and target towards the lows.
Will need to keep up to date on current macro data's from both the US and EU to ensure the bias doesn't shift, as well as the current tariff wars coming out from the US, important not to get too set on a trade idea and remaining fluid in the ever changing market conditions.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Gold intraday trading strategy.From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3280. If it does not break, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The upper side pays attention to the short-term suppression of 3334-40. The daily level maintains a high-altitude and low-multiple rhythm.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 3334-40, and shorts at 3358-65. Stop loss at 3373, target 3300-3308, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Check if it can break through 0.03779-0.04757 at once
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(VETUSDT 1W chart)
Support zone: 0.00440-0.101741
Resistance zone: 0.03779-0.04757
If it breaks through the resistance zone upward and maintains the price, it is expected that a step-by-step uptrend will begin.
Therefore, it is important to check whether there is support around 0.03779-0.04757.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by receiving support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and rising to around 0.03779.
If it fails to rise, you should check for support near 0.02778.
If it falls below the 0.01741-0.2135 range, you should stop trading and watch the situation.
Therefore, the 0.01741-0.2135 range is an important support range from a short-term perspective.
-
The 0.03779, 0.04757, and 0.06603 points are important points as HA-High indicator points on the 1W, 1M, and 1D charts.
It is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when it breaks through the 0.03779 point, but since an important point is located before it rises much, the point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.04757 at once.
Therefore, when making a breakout trade, check if it rises above 0.04757, and if not, respond.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ethereum Approaching Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has been on a strong upward trend since bouncing from the $1500 zone, and it’s currently trading around $2372. All eyes are now on the next major resistance area between $2600 and $2900.
So what’s next—breakout or pullback?
If ETH can push through this resistance with strong momentum and volume, we could see a continuation toward $3000 and beyond.
A rejection from this level could lead to a dip back toward the $1900–$1700 support range.
My Take: The trend is bullish, but this resistance zone is a key test. A strong close above $2900 would confirm a breakout. Until then, caution and close observation are crucial.
What do you think? Will ETH break through or bounce down from here?
Share your thoughts below!
Kindly support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
XRP MACRO STRUCTURE – “Exit Liquidity” Trap ModelIn this XRP macro view, we can see a repeating pattern across multiple market cycles:
🔶 Yellow dots highlight "exit liquidity" phases, where price aggressively pushes higher before a major crash.
This final pump draws in retail buyers chasing breakout highs, while institutions use that liquidity to offload positions.
🔁 The repetition of this pattern is notable:
Pre-crash surges into premium zones
Followed by a sharp markdown
Often returning to previous imbalanced zones (highlighted)
🧠 Key Observations:
The market tends to fill old imbalances before each major leg
Price action engineered liquidity traps are consistently placed before the markdown
These highs are often used to entice late buyers while larger players exit
📌 Study how liquidity is harvested, not just how price moves.
Let me know your thoughts below — do you think we’ll see this again?
#XRP #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityTraps #ExitLiquidity #PriceAction
BTCUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 10323
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 99977
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK