Community ideas
Natural Gas Slips Below Support – More Downside Ahead ?
Recent candles are large-bodied bearish candles, indicating strong selling pressure.
Bollinger Basis is sloping downward, showing short-term bearish momentum.
Price is currently below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
AAPL Significant Event NASDAQ:AAPL
1. Bullish Breakout :
In the daily chart bullish breakout has been seen. If the bullish momentum is strong, the price may follow the upward.
2. Target Price : Potential target price 214
3. Risk Factors:
A. Failure to breakout the resistance 206
B. Sideways trend may be started.
C. Broader market weakness or correction
D. False Breakouts
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Note :
If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your trading or investment decisions.
USD/JPY pair struggles due to a weaker US DollarOn the JPY side, nothing has changed fundamentally, and the currency has been mainly driven by the risk sentiment. As a reminder, the BoJ kept interest rates unchanged at 0.5% and reduced the bond tapering plan for fiscal year 2026 as expected at the last meeting. The BoJ continues to place a great deal on the US-Japan trade deal and the evolution of inflation.
USD/JPY is moving lower despite the disappointing Industrial Production report from Japan. The report showed that Industrial Production increased by +0.5% month-over-month in May, compared to analyst forecast of +3.5%. However, I think that if we respect this area, we might see upward momentum coming soon.
XAUUSD Market Maker Playbook – Learn How the Game Is Rigged🎓 XAUUSD Market Maker Playbook – Learn How the Game Is Rigged
Traders—if you think this market is some pure, fair supply/demand mechanism, you’re getting played.
Market makers run sophisticated pump and dump cycles designed to trap you.
Today, I’m going to break down exactly how they do it, so you can start trading like a sniper, not a sheep.
🔍 Understanding the 3 Manipulation Zones
🟢 GREEN ZONE: Accumulation Range (3286–3300)
Purpose:
Market makers quietly build positions.
They create an illusion of neutrality—small candles, tight ranges.
Signs:
Repeated tests of the same level.
Volume stays steady (not exploding).
Wicks in both directions (so nobody knows who’s in control).
🟡 YELLOW ZONE: The Pump Phase (3300–3330)
Purpose:
Trigger breakout traders.
Induce FOMO buying.
Clear out short stops above the range.
Signs:
Quick impulsive candles with LOW RELATIVE VOLUME.
Price blows through resistance but struggles to hold.
Social media and news start calling “Bull Run.”
🔴 RED ZONE: Distribution & Dump (3330–3350)
Purpose:
Offload large positions into retail buying.
Leave traders trapped at the highs.
Signs:
Spikes of huge volume as price stalls.
Rejection candles (long upper wicks).
Big delta shifts negative (sellers hitting bids hard).
⚔️ How the Market Maker Sequence Works
Here’s how the trap gets set:
1️⃣ Accumulate in Green Zone
Build inventory while convincing everyone “nothing is happening.”
2️⃣ Pump into Yellow Zone
Push price up just enough to trigger momentum traders.
Keep volume deceptively low—so it looks sustainable.
3️⃣ Sell in the Red Zone
Dump big positions into the buying frenzy.
Flip the tape bearish—fast.
Watch as the herd gets stopped out or bag-held.
🎯 Tomorrow’s Possible Plays
✅ Scenario 1 – Classic Pump & Dump
Phase 1: Grind in 3286–3300.
Phase 2: Spike to 3335.
Phase 3: Dump back to 3260.
✅ Scenario 2 – Fake Breakdown Reversal
Phase 1: Slam price to 3250, triggering panic selling.
Phase 2: Accumulate aggressively.
Phase 3: Rip price back to 3320, trapping shorts.
✅ Scenario 3 – Slow Grind Liquidation
Phase 1: Drift up in low volume toward 3330.
Phase 2: Distribute over several hours.
Phase 3: Liquidate longs into NY close.
📚 How YOU Can Spot This Manipulation
Here’s your checklist—save this:
✅ Volume vs. Price Analysis
Big price moves WITHOUT proportionate volume = FAKEOUT.
Big volume at tops/bottoms = Institutional distribution or accumulation.
✅ Delta Confirmation
Positive delta = buyers aggressive.
Negative delta = sellers slamming bids.
Watch for divergence (price up but delta down = hidden selling).
✅ Candlestick Clues
Rejection wicks.
Engulfing candles at key zones.
Multiple failures to break past a level.
✅ Timing
London open and NY open are prime manipulation hours.
Thin liquidity in Asia can exaggerate moves.
💡 Pro Tip:
“The crowd chases price. The professionals track volume, delta, and timing.”
— Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits
🚀 Stay sharp. Think like a market maker. Trade like a predator.
#XAUUSD #MarketMakerEducation #ForexTrading #PriceAction #LearnT
Potential Doubling Move in SMCISometimes it pays well to look at a weekly charts as they give opportunities for a very large moves and potential for massive gains. In this example, SMCI is such a stock. The stock first broke out of resistance zone, white rectangle, and made a strong push into 100s. It then retraced the move back into the rectangle zone, but in this instance, the resistance turned into support. It is these zones that act as support/resistance are the powerful levels. Since the support held, it can easily move back into the $99 or so to re-test those highs again, a potential 100% upside.
Ethereum Leveling Map — ETH/USDT 1DNo directional bias for Ethereum, but will use levels to spot entries for intraday.
Right now located at POC and seems balanced for both sides.
Potential Adam&Eve setup in development.
Quality levels for support $2150, 2000, 1800, 1500.
Resistances $2700, 3000, 3500, 4000
Keep in mind it will follow BTC price action by most of time.
Happy trading
BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀
Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag.
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Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge”
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure
Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯
Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯
Optional extended:
TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target
====================================================================
#MJTrading
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
Time to double down on ACHR > Target 20$+This is a short post:
Archer aviation respects 50MA. The Fib retracement to 0.5 lvl is achieved and we will see a Hard rally to the upside from here onwards. I am expecting this stock to make ATH within next few months. My target is still 20$ for this year. Which means if you hold this stock, you can double the money within 4 to 6 months.
Trading plan for ADABINANCE:ADAUSDT Today marks a new month, and I've identified key monthly levels to watch. On the higher timeframe chart, we're observing an ABCDE triangle formation - as long as the critical $0.5 level holds, this pattern could resolve upward with potential to break through trendlines. This week, after bouncing from support, we may see price advance toward the monthly pivot point
More details in the video idea itself - enjoy watching!
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up during the overnight sessions. I would think that we will be pushing back down at some point. I marked my area of interest. Many times the NY session will undo what happened overnight. So I expect a nice push down. We may poke up a bit more, but for me, I am looking for scalp sells if the set up comes to fruition. This is just my speculation and idea but not advice to go clicking the buy or sell button. I will wait half the week to take one trade. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume start coming in about 20 minutes from this writing. ( 7:20am est) Thanks for checking out my chart. Remember I said we may push up a bit more but I am looking for gold to potentially move down to correct the move up and take out anyone in Long positions in profit. Let's see if my analysis is on point today.
Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery.
Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum.
Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes):
Near-Term: ~3,360
Mid-Term: ~3,400
Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone)
🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows):
1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440.
2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible.
📊 Current Momentum:
Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure.
If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
GBPAUD ENTRY CHARTOn this pair, we are anticipating for a SELL CONTINUATION, the intra-day time is BEARISH, but also we have strong BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLE on the daily close, the H1 is bearish, with a BB that is in confluence with the H4 SUPPLY, also we have additional confluence on this pair, So if this matches with your Idea, You can do well to join us with a Good Risk. THANK YOU and HAPPY NEW MONTH.
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension
The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached:
📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target.
Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion.
But there’s a growing complication:
The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery.
As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma:
Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher.
Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum.
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🔁 Reflexivity at Work
This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions.
> “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.”
— George Soros
The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base.
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⚠️ Key Takeaways
June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution.
Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing.
Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify.
Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication.
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In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 106,009.96
1st Support: 103.943.66
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Often targeted before potential reversal or continuation moves.Key Zones & Annotations
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) – Yellow box at the top (~$108,811):
Represents liquidity above recent highs.
Often targeted before potential reversal or continuation moves.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) – Orange box below current price:
Represents liquidity under recent lows.
The market just swept this area, possibly to trigger liquidity grabs or stop hunts.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Blue shaded box:
Indicates an imbalance area where price could return for mitigation.
Price might revisit this area before or during a bullish move.
Entry Zone – Red box around current price:
Marks a potential long entry area.
Positioned just after sweeping the SSL.
Projected Move (Gray Box):
Forecasted price trajectory is bullish, aiming for levels above $108,500+, targeting the BSL area.
🧠
Interpretation Based on Smart Money Concepts
Market swept sell-side liquidity (SSL), suggesting weak hands or stops were taken out.
Entry zone aligns with a potential order block or demand zone.
Anticipated move is bullish, likely targeting the imbalance and BSL.
✅
Trading Insight
This is a classic Smart Money reversal setup:
Liquidity sweep below.
Entry near demand zone.
Targeting inefficiencies and liquidity above.
GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA ! Gold Looking For Sell On Order Block Zone 3331/3334 Target Will Be 3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish Engulfing + Fresh Supply Target Will Be 3275
Gold Sell First Zone OB H1 (3331/3335
Stoploss - 3345
Tp Levels - 3325,3320,3310,3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish EG + Fresh Supply (3338/3344)
Stoploss - 3350
TP levels : 3330; 3322; 3314; 3330, 3290