Trading stocks using Dr. Elder's "Three Screen Method"The first thing I do is check the weekly chart. Here I see excellent price divergence relative to the MACD indicator
Then I switched to the daily chart and saw the same excellent divergence as on the weekly chart.
The hourly chart also showed excellent divergence. placed a pending buy order above the candle marked with an arrow.
Community ideas
NEWT/USDT -Wave 3 NEWT/USDT is displaying a super bullish structure with a textbook wave formation. After completing its first impulsive leg (Wave 1) the price entered a healthy correction phase lasting over 25 days retracing approximately 50% a classic Wave 2 retracement.
The recent strong up move marks the beginning of Sub-Wave 1 of the larger Wave 3, which is often the most explosive part of the cycle. Currently, price is stabilizing and holding key levels that NEWT is preparing to complete the full Wave 3 expansion with strong bullish momentum ahead.
SPX More upside potentialI've revised my previous count based on recent price action. I now see a potential minor Wave 4 (of Intermediate Wave 5) forming around the 6,500 level. This could present a reasonable opportunity to take some % profits, (for the cautious or short term traders) though I recommend being prepared to re-enter, as I still believe we are ultimately headed toward the 6,650–6,720 range before a larger-scale correction sets in.
Taking some profits around 6,500 may be a prudent move, or alternatively, you can continue holding while adjusting your trailing stops accordingly.
Generally and in most cases its best to exhaust you bullish counts in Elliot .
On the right hand side i am showing SPX/ DXY which is typically a more accurate and discernable wave pattern then the SPX alone. FYI
BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped (Educational Breakdown)
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🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
• Range Structure: BTCUSD is currently trading within a well-defined consolidation range between the Resistance Zone ($119,850–$120,591) and the Support Zone ($116,937).
• Volume Profile (VRVP): Volume is noticeably thick near the mid-range, suggesting accumulation/distribution behavior. Price is struggling to break above the value area high near $120K.
• Resistance Rejection: After testing the upper supply zone, price failed to sustain bullish momentum and is showing signs of exhaustion – a possible sign of institutional selling.
• Target Zone: If price rejects this resistance again, a strong move toward the target level of $117,260 is expected. This aligns with:
• Mid-range liquidity sweep
• Low-volume node (LVN) below current price
• Fair Value Gap fill near $117,200–$116,900
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🧩 Key Concepts Highlighted:
• Support & Resistance Mapping
• Volume Profile Readings
• Institutional Order Flow Bias
• Target Projection using Smart Money Concepts
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⚠ Educational Insight:
This setup is a perfect example of how to combine Volume Profile + Price Action to identify liquidity traps and smart entries. Always wait for confirmation near key zones — not every level breaks!
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✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
• Watch for bearish engulfing/rejection wick at resistance
• Short entry below $119,000 with SL above $120,600
• Target: $117,260 / Final TP: $116,937 zone
EUR/USD H4 DOWNWARD 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD 4H Analysis
🟢 Current Context:
Price is currently at 1.17375, slightly below the resistance area (1.17400–1.17500).
Market shows a recent bullish impulse, followed by consolidation within the marked resistance zone.
Projection in the image suggests a double-top pattern forming at resistance, followed by a bearish reversal toward the target demand area (~1.15800–1.16000).
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⚠️ Disruption Points:
1️⃣ Failed Double Top Scenario
Disruption Hypothesis: Instead of forming a clean double top and reversing, price may break above the resistance zone at 1.17500.
Reasoning: Strong bullish momentum and recent higher highs indicate potential for bullish continuation, invalidating the bearish target.
Disrupted Path: Price could break out → retest the resistance as new support → continue toward 1.18000–1.18300 zone.
2️⃣ Mid-Range Liquidity Trap
The current range may act as a liquidity trap:
Smart money could push the price slightly below support (fake breakdown), attract sellers, then reverse sharply upwards.
This would trap retail sellers targeting the 1.15800 zone.
Stellar (XLM): Bearish CME + Potential Buy Entries | Bullish!Stellar is building up for the major resistance zone near $0.60, which is also our target currently.
We have set 2 entry zones for buy trades, where the upper one will be activated once we form the proper BOS, but due to the fact that we have bearish CME, we also set a second entry in case we go and fill that CME.
Swallow Academy
Relax and watch the show - target = 13 dollarDear,
In a bull market it is normal to see a 10, 20% pullback before the next impulsive wave.
It is a normal level for XRP to reject for now because we came near the ATH.
With the next test of ATH i believe we will move fast trough it.
My personal target for this bull run is 13 dollar. It can go higher but i believe the market will be overbought.
Currently the RSI levels are cooling of, the 1H and 4H oversold so i believe we will reverse soon.
Take care.
CFX/USDT: Two-Plan Strategy for the Next MoveHello guys.
CFX just broke out of a long-term downtrend line, showing strong bullish momentum. After this sharp impulse, we're now patiently watching for the pullback zone.
Here’s my plan:
✔ First plan: Looking for a reaction around the breakout retest zone (0.1500–0.1300). This is the ideal area for a bullish continuation if buyers step in early.
✔ Backup plan: If the price drops deeper, the second demand zone (around 0.1060–0.0950) is where we’d expect stronger buyer defense.
Potential upside target: 0.31+, where price previously showed strong selling pressure.
CHFJPY - The Bulls Are Exhausted!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of it.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LINK Swing Trade – Watching for a PullbackLINK has rallied 58% since June 24th and is now consolidating after making a higher high. Price action is facing resistance and looks overheated, so a pullback toward support could offer a fresh long entry.
📌 Trade Plan:
• Entry Zone: $15.00 – $16.00 (on pullback)
• Take Profit Levels:
o 🥇 $20
o 🥈 $25
o 🥉 $30
• Stop Loss: Close below $13
Is $Hype worth the hype?Ascending Channel:
- The price has been moving inside a rising (bullish) channel since mid-April 2025.
- If this channel holds as support, the price may bounce upward again, continuing the uptrend.
- If it breaks below the channel, this could signal a trend reversal or deeper correction.
Tips
- Trend followers may look to buy on dips near the lower channel line.
- Breakout traders should watch for moves outside the lower channel line.
ADA/USDT | Multi-Month Breakout Brewing — a 10x play ?Cardano is quietly mirroring its previous macro cycle — but this time, the structure looks tighter, cleaner, and potentially more explosive.
The multi-month chart reveals a consistent uptrend forming off the 2022 lows, contained within a well-respected ascending channel. The price action shows strong similarities to the 2018–2020 accumulation phase, followed by the breakout that led ADA to its all-time high in 2021.
The current price structure is forming higher highs and higher lows within a channel — a strong bullish continuation pattern.
Volume has been increasing steadily during the up-moves, signaling real demand building underneath.
Fibonacci Extensions from the previous cycle highs and lows show key long-term resistance zones:
1.618 – $4.91
2.618 – $7.79
4.236 – $12.47
These levels could act as major psychological targets if the trend continues to evolve similarly to the last cycle.
⏳ Current Price (~$0.64) is still significantly below previous all-time highs and long-term extension zones — offering a potentially favorable risk/reward setup for patient investors.
⚠️ As always, nothing moves in a straight line — but if you're a macro-mind investor, you’ll start to notice more straight lines than most. Zooming out often reveals the patterns that noise hides.
From Hype to Hesitation: What’s Next for Pump Fun ($PUMP)?Today, I want to break down the recent developments and fundamentals of Pump fun ( BYBIT:PUMPUSDT ) and its token PUMP — a project that initially launched with strong hype but is now facing serious investor concerns .
What is Pump fun?
Pump fun is a memecoin launchpad that allows users to launch and trade memecoins in a gamified, simplified environment. The idea was to create a frictionless way for anyone to generate and speculate on meme tokens, leveraging viral growth and community culture.
Its native token, PUMP , was introduced via an ICO priced at $0.004, with 12.5% of the total 1 trillion supply offered during the sale.
Latest Updates – Past 24 Hours Recap
PUMP Crashes Over 50% After ICO :
The token initially spiked to $0.0068 on launch day (July 16) , but has now dropped over 50%.
This is roughly 14% below its ICO price , creating concerns for short-term investors.
Founder Confirms No Airdrop Anytime Soon:
In a livestream with ThreadGuy , project founder Alon Cohen confirmed:
“ The airdrop is not going to be taking place in the immediate future. ”
While the team still plans to deliver an airdrop, Alon emphasized it must be well-executed and meaningful, not rushed for hype.
The current focus is on long-term growth and ecosystem sustainability, not short-term incentives.
Mixed Investor Sentiment:
High-profile trader Machi Big Brother ( Jeffrey Huang ) reportedly increased his long position in PUMP — even though he’s down over $5.8M on his position.
Meanwhile, two wallets linked to private sale investors dumped over 1.2B PUMP at $0.003 , taking a combined loss of $1.19M.
Declining Volume and Market Cap:
Trading volume has dropped significantly.
PUMP has lost over 40% of its value in the past 7 days.
Short-term holders appear uncertain, while the project team asks for patience and long-term vision.
Fundamental Outlook:
Pump fun’s future now heavily depends on:
The real utility of the platform as a meme coin incubator.
The team’s ability to regain trust after delaying the airdrop.
Whether new features or hype can revive volume and user engagement.
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Now, let's examine the PUMP token from a technical analysis perspective
From the outset, I must say that due to the small number of candlesticks that create the PUMP token, technical analysis may be a bit difficult , but we will use technical analysis tools to analyze this token.
The PUMP token seems to be moving in a descending channel since the beginning of its correction (over -50%) until now, we need a second price bottom to confirm the descending channel.
I expect the PUMP token to rise from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support lines to $0.0029(+15%) . PUMP Token increase can also be from the bottom of the ascending channel .
Second target: the upper line of the ascending channel.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002810-$0.002530
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.003498-$0.00327
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $0.002391
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pump fun Analyze (PUMPUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Amazon Has a Mixed Technical Picture Heading Into EarningsNext week will see four of the "Magnificent Seven" stocks report quarterly earnings -- Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT and Meta Platforms NASDAQ:META . Let's check out AMZN ahead of its results.
Amazon's Fundamental Analysis
FactSet recently reported analysts' consensus view calls for S&P 500 companies to see 9.3% earnings growth for 2025 as a whole, of 9.3%, up from 9% in 2024.
But very interestingly, FactSet also said that earnings growth across the "Magnificent Seven" is projected at 14.1% year over year for just Q2 alone.
By contrast, analysts project just 3.4% y/y earnings gains for the S&P 500's other "Less Than Magnificent 493." That illustrates the Mag-7's impact on the broader market.
As for Amazon, analysts estimate that the e-commerce giant will see $1.32 in Q2 GAAP earnings per share on roughly $162 billion of revenue.
This would represent 4.8% y/y growth from Q2 2024's $1.26 in GAAP EPS, as well as a 9.5% y/y gain from the approximately $148 billion in revenues that AMZN saw in the same period last year.
This has become the norm for Amazon, as revenue growth has landed between 9% and 11% for each of the past four quarters (and is projected to print within that range for the next four quarters as well).
But significantly, of the 34 sell-side analysts that I can find that track AMZN, 27 have reduced their Q2 earnings estimates for the firm since the current quarter began. (The other seven swam upstream and actually boosted their forecasts.)
Amazon's Technical Analysis
Next, let's look at AMZN's chart going back some six months and running through Tuesday afternoon:
This is an interesting chart, with both positive and negative technical signals.
On the positive side, the stock saw a "double-bottom" pattern of bullish reversal that spanned the month of April, with a $193 pivot (marked "Double Bottom" at the above chart's left).
That produced an upside breakout that appeared to accelerate, with a "golden cross" occurring on July 7 (marked at the chart's right).
A golden cross is generally seen as a bullish technical pattern that occurs when a stock's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line in the chart) crosses above a rising 200-day SMA (the red line).
There's a catch, though.
While breaking out higher in the chart above, AMZN appeared to develop a "rising-wedge" pattern of bearish reversal, marked with purple diagonal lines in the chart above.
Readers will note that this pattern actually began at the nadir of the double bottom's second bottom in late April. The rising wedge's upper trendline then kicked in on May 13, but the pattern's two lines appear to be closing.
When a wedge closes after two to three touches on each trendline (which we have here), the resultant move can be explosive.
However, it's not necessarily clear which way a stock will move from there -- up or down. A true closing pennant can explode violently in either direction, but as noted above, what we're seeing with Amazon is a pattern of bearish reversal.
This does give me pause about AMZN and makes me more cautious than I might otherwise be about getting involved with the stock ahead of earnings. (I don't currently own any AMZN shares.)
Meanwhile, Amazon's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) looks strong, but nowhere near being technically overbought.
That said, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) isn't telling us much at all.
The histogram of Amazon's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with blue bars) is flat-lining right around the zero bound, while the 12-day EMA (black line) is running in line with the 26-day EMA (gold line).
While both lines are running above zero, it matters greatly which one ends up on top. For the short to medium term, the bulls will be rooting for the black line, while the bears will be hoping that the gold line can wind up on top.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in AMZN at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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EUR/USD – The Cleanest Buy Setup EUR/USD – The Cleanest Buy Setup This Quarter (Wave E Targeting New Highs)
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📄 TradingView explanation
📊 EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis
The pair has beautifully respected the corrective channel from Wave C to D and is now preparing for the final leg — Wave E.
🟦 Key Highlights:
🔹 Price bouncing off demand zone
🔹 Tight consolidation near mid-channel = accumulation
🔹 Next targets: 1.1900 / 1.2050
🔹 Bullish continuation expected after liquidity sweep
🎯 The cleanest and most technically sound buy opportunity this quarter — align your longs with the trend before the breakout happens.
💬 Let them call it a bubble — we call it precision and patience. 🧠💸
#ElliottWave #EURUSD #ForexSetups #SmartMoneyMoves
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BTC update - July 25 2025After hitting 123,000 zone, Bitcoin has started a downward correction. For the past ten days BTC was mainly showing sideways movement until it crossed below the important support zone of 115,000.
As shown on BTC's chart (on the left), we can expect BTC to continue dropping towards 113,000 zone where there's a midterm trendline and also a fib level. Whether weak or strong, an upward reaction is expected when BTC reaches down there.
BTC CME chart (on the right) also shows there is an unfilled gap located in the 114,380 - 115,635 zone which is most probably going to get filled soon. please note that at the moment BTC CME futures price is about 1,000 dollars more than that of BTC so it is probably safe to assume that 114,000 level on CME Futures chart is equivalent to 113,000 level on BTC's chart.
Understanding ROI in Crypto: More Than Just a NumberHello, Traders! 👏
Return on Investment (ROI) is often the first metric new investors focus on when evaluating an asset, a strategy, or even their trading performance. It’s easy to see why. It's simple, intuitive, and widely used across both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency sector. One formula, and suddenly you have a "score" for your investment. Green is good. Red is bad. Right?
Well…Not quite.
In the crypto market, where price swings can be extreme, timelines are compressed, and risk profiles differ significantly from those in traditional markets, a simplistic ROI figure can be dangerously misleading.
A 50% ROI on a meme coin might look great, until you realize the token is illiquid, unbacked, and you're the last one holding the bag. Conversely, a 10% ROI on a blue-chip crypto asset with strong fundamentals might be significantly more meaningful in risk-adjusted terms.
In this article, we'll delve beyond the basic formula and break down what ROI really tells you, how to use it correctly, and where it falls short. Let's go!
What Is ROI and How Do You Calculate It?
The Basic Formula for Return on Investment Is: ROI = (Current Value – Initial Investment) / Initial Investment.
Let’s say you bought ETH at $2,000 and sold it at $2,600: ROI = (2,600 – 2,000) / 2,000 = 0.3 → 30%. Seems straightforward. You made 30% profit. However, crypto is rarely straightforward.
What if you held it for 2 years? Or 2 days? What if gas fees, staking rewards, or exchange commissions altered your real costs or returns? Did you include opportunity cost and the profits missed by not holding another asset? ROI as a raw percentage is just the beginning. It’s a snapshot. However, in trading, we need motion pictures, full narratives that unfold over time and within context.
Why Time Matters (And ROI Ignores It)
One of the most dangerous omissions in ROI is time.
Imagine two trades: Trade A returns 20% in 6 months. Trade B returns 20% in 6 days.
Same ROI, very different implications. Time is capital. In crypto, it’s compressed capital — markets move fast, and holding a position longer often increases exposure to systemic or market risks.
That’s why serious traders consider Annualized ROI or utilize metrics like CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) when comparing multi-asset strategies or evaluating long-term performance.
Example: Buying a Token, Earning a Yield
Let’s say you bought $1,000 worth of a DeFi token, then staked it and earned $100 in rewards over 60 days. The token value remained the same, and you unstaked and claimed your rewards.
ROI = (1,100 – 1,000) / 1,000 = 10%
Annualized ROI ≈ (1 + 0.10)^(365/60) - 1 ≈ 77%
Now that 10% looks very different when annualized. But is it sustainable? That brings us to the next point…
ROI Without Risk Analysis Is Useless
ROI is often treated like a performance badge. But without risk-adjusted context, it tells you nothing about how safe or smart the investment was. Would you rather: Gain 15% ROI on a stablecoin vault with low volatility, or Gain 30% ROI on a microcap meme token that could drop 90% tomorrow?
Traders use metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio (which measures returns versus volatility), Maximum Drawdown (the Peak-to-Trough Loss During a Trade), and Sortino Ratio (which measures returns versus downside risk). These offer a more complete picture of whether the return was worth the risk. ⚠️ High ROI isn’t impressive if your capital was at risk of total wipeout.
The Cost Side of the Equation
Beginners often ignore costs in their ROI math. But crypto isn’t free: Gas fees on Ethereum, trading commissions, slippage on low-liquidity assets, impermanent loss in LP tokens, maybe even tax obligations. Let’s say you made a 20% ROI on a trade, but you paid 3% in fees, 5% in taxes, and lost 2% in slippage. Your actual return is likely to be closer to 10% or less. Always subtract total costs from your gains before celebrating that ROI screenshot on X.
Final Thoughts: ROI Is a Tool, Not a Compass
ROI is beneficial, but not omniscient. It’s a speedometer, not a GPS. You can use it to reflect on past trades, model future ones, and communicate performance to others, but don’t treat it like gospel.
The real ROI of any strategy must also factor in time, risk, capital efficiency, emotional stability, and your long-term goals. Without those, you’re not investing. You’re gambling with better math. What do you think? 🤓
XRPUSD - Target reached. Reversal on the plateSo, that was a nice long trade.
Now price is stretched at the Upper Medianline Parallel (U-MLH).
As of the time of writing, I already see price pulling back into the Fork. A open and close within the Fork would indicate a potential push to the south.
Target would be the Centerline, as it is the level where natural Meanreversion is.
Observation Hat ON! §8-)
Cup & HANDLE + Mini Double Bottom: $TSLA to $610 ScenarioI maintain a bullish stance on Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), supported by a compelling combination of technical patterns and strong fundamental drivers. The current chart setup reveals a Cup and Handle formation complemented by a Mini Double Bottom, both of which are classic bullish continuation patterns. These suggest a potential breakout scenario that could drive NASDAQ:TSLA to $610 by year-end.
Technical Roadmap:
Gap Fill to $408: Anticipated earnings momentum, particularly from the Robotaxi segment, is likely to propel the stock to fill the previous gap at $408.
Consolidation at $450: Following the gap fill, I expect a consolidation phase forming a “box” around the $450 level.
Breakout to $610: A decisive breakout above $450 could trigger a strong rally toward the $610 target.
***Current Key Catalysts Supporting the Bullish Thesis:
Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla’s autonomous driving initiative is gaining traction, with Robotaxi developments expected to significantly boost revenue and margins.
India Market Entry: Tesla’s upcoming launch in India opens access to one of the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV markets.
In-House Chip Development & Dojo 2 Expansion: Continued investment in AI infrastructure and custom silicon enhances Tesla’s competitive edge in autonomy and robotics.
Tesla Diner Launch: The near-completion of Tesla’s themed diner adds to brand visibility and customer engagement.
Global EV Adoption: Tesla continues to benefit from rising EV demand across multiple international markets.
Optimus Robot Hype: Growing interest in Tesla’s humanoid robot project could unlock new revenue streams and investor enthusiasm.
Favorable Macro Trends: A declining interest rate environment supports higher valuations for growth stocks like Tesla.
Institutional Accumulation: Recent trading activity suggests that institutional investors are accumulating shares within the current range.
Grok AI Integration: The integration of Grok AI into Tesla vehicles could enhance user experience and differentiate Tesla’s infotainment ecosystem.
Investment Strategy:
I recommend initiating or increasing exposure to NASDAQ:TSLL (leveraged Tesla ETF) ahead of the upcoming earnings report. This could offer amplified returns if the bullish scenario plays out. Consider accumulating further on any dips, particularly during the consolidation phase around $450.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLL