XLM(Stellar) 115% Growth SoonStellar has been able to create one of its most significant historical lows with the right position.
By breaking the trend line, it has confirmed its bullish structure and can grow to 115%.
Community ideas
USDCAD Bounce from New Swing Low — Still BearishUSDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 has created a new swing low at 1.37871 and is starting to bounce.
However, my overall bias remains bearish toward the next major target of 1.34380 — an easy 300 pips from where we are now.
🟡 Sell interest zones:
1.39621 (pullback and rejection)
1.37871 (continuation)
1.36647 (breakdown)
1.35432 (breakdown)
🎯 Final target: 1.34380 before reassessing.
XAUUSD/GOLD: Gold remains offered below 3300Gold gave up Thursday’s gains and fell back toward the 3260 per troy ounce level by the end of the week, as improving market sentiment — driven by hopes for positive progress in the US-China trade dispute — weighed on safe-haven demand.
The overheated gold rally appears to be due for further cooling. Traders seem to be buying into rumors that a trade agreement between the US and China could be reached soon, even though China has publicly refuted those claims. The risk is that markets may be misreading the US’s language regarding whether the two sides are merely "talking" or actually "negotiating," which could mean that a deal remains far off — potentially leading to another move back toward 3500.
From a technical perspective, the daily Pivot Point at 3335 is the first key upside level that needs to be regained. Early in Friday’s session, there was a brief attempt to test the R1 intraday resistance near 3381. Should momentum continue, gold prices could extend the rally toward the R2 resistance at 3414, breaking above the 3400 mark.
On the downside, the S1 support was briefly breached this morning, but price action has since recovered back above it at 3302. Below that, the S2 support at 3256 comes into focus, followed by the key technical floor near 3245, which aligns with the April 11 high.
Russell 2000: Signs of Topping as Macro Risks LoomRussell 2000 futures look sluggish heading into a week laden with macro risk events. Given the cyclical characteristics of the underlying index, any hint of weakness may amplify U.S. recession fears, increasing the risk of renewed downside for stocks.
Sitting within what resembles a rising wedge and with a possible evening star pattern forming, the risk of a resumption of the broader bearish trend is arguably growing. While bearish momentum has weakened recently, the uptrend in RSI (14) and MACD also appears to be topping out.
A break and close beneath 1917 would generate a setup where bearish positions could be established with a stop above the level for protection. The April 21 low of 1831 screens as a potential target. A break of that would open the door for a run towards the double bottom of 1712 set in early April.
On the topside, a break and close above 1994.8 would invalidate the bearish bias.
Good luck!
DS
Fetch finished it's recent up swing?Could a head and shoulders pattern have formed on Fetch? Hopefully not as I've gone bought non-CFD Fetch.
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3210, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.3364 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3119, an overlap support.
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GBP_NZD SWING LONG|
✅GBP_NZD dropped to
Retest a horizontal support
Level around 2.2200 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound so as we are bullish
Biased further growth
Is to be expected
LONG🚀
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Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/28/2025As explained in my weekly forecast, I do expect gold to drop at the initial stage of the week. I will look for selling opportunity at 3335-3345 level. first target 3372, 2nd target 3228.
However, if 3345 is broken, the setup is invalidated.
Dogs 4X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 1608%)Dogs bottom is now confirmed and this is a chart setup with low risk vs a high potential for reward.
The bottom signal comes from a pattern, the breakdown of the downtrend, high volume after the first main low and current price action as well as marketwide action and Bitcoin being strong. These are just a few of the signals that support additional growth.
I get a sense that this pair will be bought heavily during the bullish phase. The same goes for Notcoin and Toncoin, these projects have very strong support and should be considered seriously by smart, profitable and successful Cryptocurrency traders.
I am sharing a set of numbers here for reference only, what you do is up to you.
This is not financial advice.
–––––
LONG DOGSUSDT
Leverage: 4X
Entry levels:
1) 0.0001600
2) 0.0001450
3) 0.0001300
Targets:
1) 0.0001786
2) 0.0001999
3) 0.0002300
4) 0.0002600
5) 0.0003000
6) 0.0003600
7) 0.0004241
8) 0.0005241
9) 0.0006240
10) 0.0007663
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below 0.0001240
Potential profits: 1608%
Capital allocation: 4%
–––––
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GBPNZD (swing setup)hello everyone, the price is still consolidating, so far no clear break out for now, day tf show the price is corrected, but still no candle break out in htf and still consolidating.. wait for proper pull back before taking a position. either trade from fvg once candle breakout of wait for price to pull back to OB.
The Macd/RSI showing the price is completing the bearish momentum in 4hr tf.
good luck
ETHEREUM is about to make a TOPEthereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, stands at a critical juncture, grappling with competitive pressures, scaling challenges, and shifting market sentiment.
BEARS ARE LOSING CONTROL
ETH is an obvious play for me right now.
Bitcoin bulls are on the offensive; is a correction ahead?Monthly bullish outside candle
Versus the US dollar (USD), Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to snap a two-month decline and pencil in a bullish outside candle on the monthly chart (textbook engulfing candles focus on the candle’s real bodies rather than upper/lower wicks). Additionally, it is important to observe that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to break the neckline of a double-top pattern, circling above the 50.00 level and indicating bullish interest.
Daily support calls for attention
Across the page on the daily timeframe, since coming within a stone’s throw of testing support at US$73,575, BTC/USD bulls have been on the offensive. Running above the 200- and 50-day simple moving averages at US$81,139 and US$86,425, respectively, as well as trendline resistance (taken from the all-time high of US$109,580) and resistance from US$88,622 (now possible support), this has unearthed the widely watched US$100,000 barrier as a possible upside target.
With monthly flow on the verge of establishing a bullish outside candle, and scope for additional outperformance evident on the daily chart to at least US$100,000, a retest of US$88,622 as support could prompt a bullish scenario. Consequently, a possible downside move in the short term might be on the table before targeting US$100,000 as per the red arrows.
H1 ascending channel in view
On the H1 chart, price action has been carving out an ascending channel since last week, taken from US$91,713 and US$94,676. This has helped identify slowing momentum, visible through price action, which was unable to reach the upper channel on two occasions (red circles). Decreased appetite for higher levels can also be observed through the RSI trending lower since hitting highs of 82.00.
Given the above chart studies, I feel a breakout beneath the current H1 channel would help reinforce the possibility of downside towards at least H1 support at US$89,677, conveniently sited nearby daily support mentioned above at US$88,622. And, assuming a move lower to the said support area, I would then expect bulls to attempt to make a stand and aim at higher levels: at least US$100,000.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
DAX 40 starts to show neutrality around the 22,000 levelThe German index has posted steady gains, rising nearly 7% over the last four trading sessions, mainly driven by the low interest rates maintained by the ECB at 2.25%, as well as the easing of potential trade war tensions, which has allowed the index’s bullish bias to remain strong in recent weeks. However, buying candles have been gradually diminishing over the last sessions, and it is likely that a selling candle may appear in today’s session, reinforcing short-term neutrality as the index trades above the 22,000 level.
Accelerated Trend: Since April 9, the DAX has shown significant upward movements, resulting in a fairly steep bullish slope and giving way to an accelerated uptrend. If the DAX fails to hold the recent weeks’ highs in the short term, this accelerated price movement could lead to corrective pullbacks. However, the dominant bias in the longer term remains bullish.
ADX: The ADX line has begun to decline and is now facing the neutral area marked around the 20 level. Frequent oscillations around this level indicate that volatility has decreased and could lead to sustained price neutrality in the short term.
MACD: The MACD histogram remains above the indicator’s 0 level but has shown a steady deceleration, which may signal a lack of momentum in the average movement of the moving averages. As the MACD histogram continues to narrow, it could pave the way for slight bearish momentum in the DAX’s daily chart over the short term.
Key levels to watch:
22,000 points: A nearby support area coinciding with an important psychological level, which could act as a significant barrier against potential short-term price pullbacks.
21,400 points: A distant support area aligning with the 100-period simple moving average. Bearish movements reaching this level could threaten the bullish formation currently seen on the chart.
23,000 points: A definitive resistance level coinciding with the area marked by the DAX’s all-time highs. Buying movements returning to this level could trigger a consistent bullish bias and a much more relevant uptrend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,332.62 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,359.49.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
AON: Quiet Compounder Preparing Its Next Move!?ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
--------------
🏢 Company Snapshot:
Market Cap: ~$72.5 billion
Employees: ~50,000
Founded: 1982
Headquarters: London, United Kingdom
🌎 What Aon Does:
Aon plc is a global leader in risk management, insurance brokerage, and human capital solutions, helping organizations safeguard their assets, people, and long-term value in an increasingly complex world.
🛡️ Risk-Focused Excellence:
Through cutting-edge data analytics, consulting services, and integrated solutions, Aon supports businesses across commercial risk, reinsurance, health, and retirement sectors.
📚 Fun Facts:
The name "Aon" comes from the Gaelic word for "oneness", reflecting its mission to deliver unified solutions to clients.
Aon was a key broker for insuring the World Trade Center and played a critical role in redefining corporate risk coverage post-9/11.
The company was portrayed in the movie The Big Short as one of the key firms advising institutions during the financial crisis.
🔹 Key Strengths:
ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
🔹 Concerns:
Debt-to-Equity: 2.58 — leverage higher than peer average; manageable but worth monitoring.
Valuation: P/E 26.5× — trading at a premium compared to Marsh & McLennan (MMC) and Willis Towers Watson (WTW).
📈 Current Technical Setup: Break&Retest
For nearly three years, the $320–$350 zone acted like a stone wall for AON, a major resistance barrier where every breakout attempt failed.
The price consistently struggled to break through... until late 2024, when a decisive breakout finally occurred, fueled by strong earnings momentum and resilient cash flow generation.
Now, AON has pulled back to retest this critical area — a former resistance that may transform into supercharged support.
This is a textbook example of Break & Retest behavior: price breaking a multi-year resistance, then returning to find liquidity and new buyers at the same key zone.
Fundamentally, AON continues to deliver high ROE (46%), strong margins (17%), and solid free cash flow, making it an attractive name for investors looking for stability and compound growth — exactly the kind of stock that buyers often defend during technical retests.
📋 Final Thoughts:
Aon is a quiet powerhouse in risk and advisory services, compounding cash flows year after year.
If you're looking for steady long-term growth, resilient profitability, and shareholder-aligned management, AON deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Patience matters though — at current prices, buying on weakness could offer better long-term returns.
Always do your own analysis and make sure it matches your risk profile.
If your view aligns with mine — you're basically ready to go. 😉
Cheers,
Vaido
The opportunity to buy Bitcoin!Hello, traders
Bitcoin currently trade around $93,911 having broken resitance above $88,000-$89,000 zone. The breakout, supported by strong volume, positions Bitcoin favorably for further gains, although a short-term pullback appears likely.
Technical indicators remain bullish:
Price holds above the 21-EMA and 30-SMA, both beginning to slope upward.
Quarterly VWAP levels at $89,485 and $84,484 provide strong support.
The Volume Profile suggests heavy buyer interest around $84,000–$86,000.
A minor retracement toward $88,000–$89,000 could precede a consolidation phase before Bitcoin targets $96,000 and eventually the psychological $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin remains in a strong position. Tactical patience and disciplined risk management will be key to capitalizing on the next major move.
INJ / USD Breaking Out to the Upside LONG INJ to the upside.
Support Zone 1 - $6.65
Support Zone 2 - $3.96
Clear move above $16-20 range.
SPY Gap Fill $564.66SPX futures has a gap on the tariff announcement (see my ES plots), SPY has to hit $564.66 to fill that gap. I'm busy moving this week, so not playing it. Besides it looks like it's gonna whipsaw its way up anyways.
EUR/JPY Key Res TestEUR/JPY has been digesting for the better part of the past nine months. While both Euro and USD strength have been on full display in varying ways over that period of time, each currency has been a bit more balanced against the Japanese Yen.
The range has been wide at more than 800 pips but there's also a descending triangle that's set up along the way, with lower-highs around the 163.38 Fibonacci level and horizontal support around the 155.00 handle.
For those looking for Yen-strength, this may be a more attractive venue than USD/JPY at the moment, with USD/JPY holding below the key 145.00 psychological level. - js
Is the US Dollar Preparing for a Bullish Comeback?The DXY is currently maintaining a bullish setup amid trade negotiations, election developments, and anticipation of key leading U.S. economic indicators this week.
An inverted head-and-shoulders formation is visible on the 4-hour time frame. A decisive catalyst and a breakout above the 100.00 and 100.30 levels are needed to confirm a more sustained bullish bounce from multi-year lows, with targets at 102.00, 103.30, and 104.70 — reversing recent strength in major global currencies.
On the downside, a breach of the 97.00 level could trigger a decline toward the lower boundary of the long-term uptrend channel established since 2008, aligning with the 92.00 zone, and potentially lifting gold and major currencies globally.
Several key events this week could challenge or reinforce the current bullish setup amid ongoing Trump–China trade negotiations:
U.S. Advance GDP & Core PCE — Wednesday
BOJ Rate Decision & U.S. ISM PMI — Thursday
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls — Friday
Mega Cap Earnings — Wednesday/Thursday
While long-term signals remain bearish, short-term charts suggest a potential bullish recovery, with trade negotiations likely to tip the balance.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
04/28 Weekly GEX AnalysisDETAILED IMAGE:
Here’s what the charts and indicators are showing right now until Friday.
We are approaching a key breakout zone.
🐂 🟢 IF the market breaks above the white bearish daily trendline, the next bullish target could be between 5515–5680.
🟦 ⚖️ The chop area is between 5435–5515.
Expect more back-and-forth moves here if the breakout fails.
🐻🔴 Watch out: if the price drops below 5435 or 5425, there’s little support left.
This could trigger a sharp sell-off ("Bearish Armageddon" scenario).
GEX profiles remain positive 🟢 across all near expirations — for now — suggesting that underlying support still exists, but we need to monitor any changes closely.
IVRank is still relatively high (30.9), meaning options are priced with a decent amount of implied volatility.
🟢Short-term sentiment is currently bullish, with some speculative activity picking up.
This suggests that traders are expecting less volatility over the next month compared to what we saw in the past week.
However, if we look at institutional positions focused on longer-term expirations (especially beyond 30 days on SPX/AM maturities), the picture remains bearish 🔴 or at least highly volatile.
These players are still strongly hedging against downside risks.
This confirms the broader point:
Even though price action managed to recover to pre-tariff-announcement levels — with very low trading volume — we’re not out of the woods yet.
Until we can break and hold above the key resistance bearish trend with HIGH BUY VOLUME (aka. momentum), we shouldn't expect a strong, stable GEX profile across all expirations like we had in the past.
Ethereum price increaseThe influx of liquidity and increased demand for Ethereum has caused the price of Ethereum to increase in various technical analysis models. In previous analyses, I had identified the Ethereum price resistance area, according to which the price increased at the specified time, and for a short-term weekly or daily target, we can consider a price of $2,000 per Ethereum unit, but it should be taken into account that this increase is likely to ultimately cause a new price record for this currency in the crypto market.
Sasha Charkhchian
