VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups.
Key Levels and Support Zone:
1.) POC from December 2024 Range:
Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity
2.) Anchored VWAP:
Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support
3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale):
The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area
4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension:
The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone
Trade Setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend)
Target: around $1.80
Stop Loss: Above $3
Risk-to-Reward: 5:1
Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level
Long Setup:
Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range
Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30
Stop Loss: Below $1.52
Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
Community ideas
Gold weekly swing trade buy and sell levels This weeks swing trade we are targeting a pullback to previous support before entering a buy.
Target for the sell entry first is enter at 2769 expecting to bounce at resistance at 2747 for a gain of 226 pips.
On the buy side looking at entering at 2745 expecting a push to 2799 for a swing of 543 pips.
Trade is based on higher time fram analasis of both support and resistance plus trend lines .
As always with these type of trades use reduced lot size so you can afford to stay in the trade with drawdown longer.
For the last week we have seen Gold make a new all time high and 2800 will be tested this week.
Last weeks trade never activated but the bullish direction was right.
Hope we all have a good week in trading this week , ill update as the week goes on
Dogecoin ABC correction entering final phaseI made a fresh clean chart for you to see the obvious.
1 Fibonacci Retracement of the 5th wave from 8 cent to 48.5 cent
2 Fibonacci Retracement from the bottom wick of the A wave to the top wick of the B wave
3 Date & Price Range measuring the A wave and one for the expected C wave both showing us -46% & 12 days
4 Orange Trendline you have seen also in the previous which sits on the top of the 3rd wave.
5 Green Trendlines x4
6 Notice the volume to the left we have a nice green volume when we pumped the 5th wave and to the right we have a nice red volume increasing
7 VWAP indicator also confirming our targets are legit!
Conclusion:
If we drop from here exactly the 46% like we did on the A wave we will perfectly hit our targets between the 0.618 of wave 5 and the 1.272 of the B wave plus support from the Orange Trendline
The last drop lasted 12 days and if the next one should also last around 12 days then time is running out and it might drop in the next 5 days before the upcoming monthly close and might be already finding bottom by then.
We most likely have some reactions on the way down when we reach the 0.786 also green line and the 1 Fib.
If you have not see the previous Idea (Editor Pick) please have a look at it here:
"XAU/USD: Short from H1 Wick and M30 Order Block""After transitioning into a bearish trend, I am considering a short position on XAU/USD from the M30 order block, which formed after the structural shift. On Monday, I expect the price to break structure and return to clear liquidity from hedged positions.
The entry zone aligns with the H1 wick, which swept previous highs and is fractally aligned with the M30 order block. I anticipate a reaction from this zone.
First Target (FTA):
The previous significant swing low.
This level also contains the full fill of the imbalance."
VTHO could spike 150% VTHO spike roughly 400% last Tuesday because of new token list to Korean exchange which catch my attention. I watched this chart for week and I believe this could spike another 150% if Big whales step in the buy zone or announcements.
I believe .007 is heavy resistance zone worst case if reject at, fail to reach, or BTC/ETH dump occur then I'll cut position and move on from this token.
VTHO must hold at around .005.
Just sharing my ideas. I do not provide financial advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I'm just trading here as my side hustle.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
JASMY final leg up to 0.09?Upon re-evaluating JASMY, it appears we could see a final leg up, targeting a range between $0.06 (1 Fibonacci extension) and $0.09 (1.618 Fibonacci extension), provided the bounce at the $0.025 price level—which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement—is confirmed. This outlook is further supported by the ongoing downtrend in the DXY, adding a bullish undertone to the analysis.
Let’s monitor closely to see if the price continues its upward momentum.
2% drop in under an hour....BTC in freefallThis was bound to happen and it's your time to get out before it's too late. BTC was propped up by hot air and promises, now gravity will pull it back to earth. TAs view: double-top, consolidation around 105kish, sellers in control, seems like the only buyers are the ones trying to make a buck from volatility not HODL as they know there's a high chance of dropping to the real support line which is around 60-70k. Could be wrong, but just don't see this going up higher and the financial markets are just not ready (will take years!) to get this to prime time they don't even have the right people staffed and every major bank has been fined for rigging the market / market manipulation. No one will go grocery shopping with BTC and pay ridiculous transaction fees.
Hold at your own risk, you've been warned! Always do your own due diligence. Best of luck!
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King!
If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out!
Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom!
Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade:
Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far.
Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed?
ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where:
A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak.
B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see:
The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement.
The B wave goes to the 0.382
The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began.
CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down.
Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming.
Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat.
Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun!
Conclusion:
The King Needs to Reset!
No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits.
Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
AVAX LongAvax bounced at 34.50, where there's strong support, as well as the 4-hour EMA 200 on the daily chart. At the moment, we have broken the trendline and are currently testing prev week mid and monday mid also previous small rezistance.
If we manage to hold, I expect the price to shoot up to 38.96, and from there, I anticipate the price will go back to test the level of 37.68. If it holds, I’ll be opening a trade.
Bitcoin will have a correction, please be careful trading!
Last week Bitcoin finished the correction down into the Dailly FVG and after that it made a new all time high just like I've said in my outlook.
After the new ATH it immediately reversed to the downside and now it's in a consolidation. It looks like this pair is making an ABC correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. This is not the time to trade Bitcoin.
If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
ETHUSDT.1DThe daily chart for ETH/USDT reveals a well-structured technical setup with both bullish and bearish scenarios, making this a critical phase for Ethereum's price action.
Key Levels of Interest:
Resistance Levels:
R1: The immediate resistance lies near the descending trendline, currently aligning with $3,500–$3,550, which has been a strong cap for upward moves.
R2: The next major resistance level is at $4,066.49, where Ethereum last encountered significant selling pressure, marking a medium-term bullish target.
Support Levels:
S1: The initial support zone is at $2,998.25, representing a pivotal level for bulls to defend to maintain the current uptrend.
S2: A deeper correction could push prices toward $2,208.24, which aligns with historical accumulation zones and the lower boundary of the chart's visible support structure.
Trendlines and Patterns:
Ethereum is trading below a key descending trendline (R1), which has acted as a persistent dynamic resistance. A breakout above this trendline could signal a reversal in the bearish structure and a move toward the $4,000+ range.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above S1, Ethereum could retest the lower support at S2, marking a continuation of the bearish structure.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD histogram is close to neutral, with a slight bullish bias. A confirmed crossover above the signal line would validate bullish momentum, while a bearish crossover could confirm downward pressure.
RSI (14): The RSI is hovering at 46.69, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish market sentiment. A move above 50 would strengthen bullish confidence, while a drop below 40 could accelerate selling pressure.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been tapering off as the price consolidates, reflecting indecision in the market. A breakout or breakdown accompanied by increased volume will confirm the next significant move.
Conclusion: Ethereum is at a decisive juncture, with the descending trendline (R1) acting as the key hurdle for a bullish reversal. A breakout above this level would target $4,066.49 (R2) and potentially higher. On the other hand, failure to hold above $2,998.25 (S1) could lead to a retest of $2,208.24 (S2), marking a bearish continuation.
Strategic Approaches:
Bullish Setup: Consider entering long positions upon a confirmed breakout above R1 with volume confirmation. Targets should focus on R2, with stops placed below the trendline.
Bearish Setup: Short positions can be considered if the price breaks below S1, with targets at S2. Stops should be placed above S1 to minimize risk.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to critical levels, risk management is essential. Traders should ensure proper stop-loss levels to avoid being caught in false breakouts or breakdowns.
Ethereum $ETH Price AnalysisEthereum is currently sandwiched between two significant price zones in chart 1:
- A bullish order block in the $2k-$2.4k range, which has acted as a solid support, holding three times already
- A bearish order block in the $3.9k-$4.2k range, serving as a formidable resistance that has not been breached in three attempts
The critical question now is whether:
- Bears will push the price below this support level in the coming weeks, or
- Bulls will break through the resistance to push the price higher
My take on the situation:
I believe the bulls have a better chance, and here's why:
1. Ascending Triangle Formation:
As seen in Chart 1, Ethereum's chart is possibly forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that typically suggests bullish continuation
2. ETH/BTC Ratio:
Chart 2 shows Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH relative to Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC , where it's encountering two robust bullish order blocks in the 0.03-0.032 and 0.023-0.027 ranges on a weekly chart. These could signal a significant support and reversal point
3. Ethereum ETF Inflows vs. Outflows:
According to data provider like coinglass, the last three months have shown much higher inflows than outflows into Ethereum ETFs. This suggests that smart money might be accumulating, setting the stage for a potential upward breakout
Given these points, the technical setup appears to favor a bullish scenario in the near term
Trade Plan for Shiba/USDT Spot Trade 👇🏽👇🏽 Arabic Below | الترجمة بالاسفل 👇🏽👇🏽
Alright, fam! Here’s the breakdown of my risk strategy for this Shiba/USDT play:
📊 The Plan:
• I’m putting 4% of my portfolio on the line for this trade. Risk is calculated and controlled! 🎯
• With a stop loss set at 26%, I’m allowed to allocate 15% of my portfolio to this position. 🛡️
• The goal? Lock in 149% gains if things swing our way! 📈✨
💡 The Math:
If this trade hits, my portfolio will grow by a solid 22.35% from this single move. 💸💪
Let’s see how this plays out — calculated risks, disciplined execution, and the potential for a big win. 🚀🐕💰
Let me know your thoughts, and as always, trade safe out there! 🧠🔑
#Crypto #ShibaInu #RiskManagement #SpotTrading
يا شباب، دي الخطة للصفقة دي، إن شاء الله تجينا منها ارباح مبروكة👇
📊 الخطة:
• مستعد أخاطر بـ 4% بس من المحفظة، مخاطرة محسوبة ما مشكلة! 🎯
• وقف الخسارة عند 26%، يعني بقدر أحط 15% من المحفظة في الصفقة دي. 🛡️
• الهدف؟ لو مشت الحكاية زي ما متوقع، حنطلع بـ 149% أرباح! 📈🔥
💡 الحساب:
لو الصفقة ضربت الهدف، المحفظة بتزيد بـ 22.35% من صفقة واحدة بس. 💸💪
دي مخاطرة مدروسة، والخطة واضحة، لكن أهم حاجة ما تنسى تعمل حسابك كويس! نخش ونشوف الحكاية حتجيب شنو. 🚀🐕💰
وروني رأيكم، وبرضو لو عندكم خطط تانية، مشاركتها واجبة 😂!
#كريبتو #شيبا_اينو #مخاطرة_محسوبة #تداول_سبوت #إدارةـمخاطر
BE the NO 1 GOAT!So being goat or if someone calls you goat? How you feel? Well nice right?
WOAH see a double dead cat bounce, imagine the pain all longs took just to see it go wash away, i would anticipate for new buys again once it reaches red line, 35% buys also good, and rest on red line, and stances as marked.