GBPAUD- h1- LONGThe price has recently broken above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a potential bullish trend.
Wave N patterns are identified, suggesting a corrective phase followed by a new upward wave, supporting a buy signal.
The price is approaching resistance levels.
The buy position could be considered with a target near the recent high of 2.11168, and a stop loss below the cloud support around 2.0691.
Community ideas
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a trading plan for Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, published on May 21, 2025. Here's a breakdown of the trade setup:
BUY NOW Level: 3,308.365
This is the suggested entry point for a long (buy) trade.
STOP LOSS: 3,285.402
If the price falls to this level, the trade should be exited to limit losses.
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3,337.818
This is the first target level to take partial or full profit.
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3,385.741
This is the more optimistic target, where the rest of the position might be closed for maximum gain.
Trend Direction: Upward (indicated by the green arrow and ascending channel).
The price has recently broken out of an ascending channel, suggesting bullish momentum.
This strategy implies a favorable risk-reward ratio with a bullish bias. If you'd like, I can help calculate the exact risk-reward ratio or provide more analysis.
DOLLARDXY (US Dollar Index) and Bond Yield Relationship – May 2025
Current Market Situation
US Treasury Yields:
The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.54% (May 21, 2025), and the 30-year yield is testing the 5% level amid a global bond sell-off.
DXY (US Dollar Index):
The DXY and the 10-year yield are moving in sync again after a period of divergence earlier in 2025.
Relationship Dynamics
Positive Correlation:
Historically, the DXY and US bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) tend to move together. When yields rise, the dollar often strengthens, as higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns.
In recent weeks, this positive correlation has resumed after a brief disconnect in April, when yields surged but the dollar weakened due to shifting investor sentiment and US tariff policy.
Periods of Divergence:
In early April 2025, there was a notable divergence: yields climbed while the dollar fell, reflecting a rare episode where investors were wary of US assets despite higher returns, possibly due to concerns about US fiscal health and global trade tensions.
During that period, both US bonds and the dollar declined together, signaling a potential shift away from US assets and raising questions about the dollar’s structural appeal as a reserve currency.
Recent Realignment:
After the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting and a major tariff agreement with China, the DXY and yields began rising together again, indicating renewed confidence in US assets and a return to more typical market behavior.
Key Factors Influencing the Relationship
Fed Policy:
Expectations for future rate cuts or hikes directly influence both yields and the dollar. Higher expected rates generally support both.
Global Risk Sentiment:
In risk-off scenarios, the dollar can strengthen even if yields fall, due to safe-haven demand.
Trade and Fiscal Policy:
Tariffs and concerns about US debt sustainability can disrupt the usual correlation, as seen in early 2025.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on DXY Impact on Yields Typical Correlation
Rising US Yields Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive
Fed Rate Hike Expectations Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive
US Fiscal Concerns Can weaken DXY Yields may rise Can diverge
Global Risk Aversion Strengthens DXY Yields may fall Can diverge
Trade Tensions/Tariffs Mixed Mixed May disrupt correlation
Conclusion
As of May 2025, the DXY and US bond yields have resumed a positive correlation, both rising in response to Fed policy signals and improved risk sentiment following a major tariff agreement. However, earlier in the year, this relationship broke down due to concerns about US fiscal stability and shifting global investment flows. The interplay between DXY and yields remains sensitive to Fed policy, fiscal outlook, and geopolitical developments.
#DOLLAR #DXY
Potential Selling Opportunity on Gold from 3374 level!Hello traders, 👋
I’m closely watching Gold (XAU/USD) for a possible short setup around the 3374 zone, and here’s my breakdown:
📉 Trend Structure:
Gold continues to respect its bearish market structure, consistently forming Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) — a clear sign of sellers maintaining control.
📐 Key Confluence at 3374:
Price is currently retracing toward a descending trendline that perfectly aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the previous swing highs. This confluence zone strengthens the case for a potential reversal.
📍 Sell Zone:
I’m watching the 3360–3380 region, with 3374 being my preferred level to look for entries.
Entry Confirmation:
Before executing a trade, I’ll be waiting for:
A bearish engulfing candle
A bearish breaker block
Or a strong rejection pin bar on the lower timeframes
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3321
TP2: 3253
TP3: 3210
🔒 Risk management is key – always wait for confirmation before entering!
Let me know what you think in the comments — agree or disagree? 👇
Trade safe and stay sharp!
If We Break Here, Trend Decision is Likely Around 5500.I've recently posted various different bullish considerations for breakouts because given the macro context of where we are, if these are made they could be extremely strong.
However, at the exact moment in time we're still trading right at a major resistance level. We trade at the 86 fib. Historically, SPX pulls back from here about 80% of the time. Usually a correction, some have become crashes.
If we uptrend above the 86 - this is extremely bullish bias and the plan is buy all dips betting on the local trend structure to hold. Getting out as soon as there's not flawless higher lows on the dumps.
We have traded a tiny bit above the 86 recently but if we do not break it again then the chances of a 10% drop are strong.
At this point SPX could easily drop to around 5900 in the bullish move. That'd be expected at this point I'd say. Part of a simple trend development- but if the 5900 level breaks, then we're likely heading down close to 5500.
The 5500 forecast is the bullish forecast.
In the event of us seeing this month closing down with a big wick candle above it and then us making a bear break - next month could be a huge bearish engulfing candle.
We really are at a very interesting spot.
Sized up on various different types of bear bets here at 5940.
If we continue to see local uptrend I plan to buy all dips and trail stops and hopefully this could build into what may become a sensational breakout. But if supports start to fail - I do not think this is going to be a drop to be buying. I'll be extremely bear bias on the breaking of 5870 or so = and in terms of the RR on the move, the bear bet now is optimal.
Big decisions to be made in this area. We must be close to them.
SMCI IS POPPING NOW !!! READ THE NARRATIVE The AI infrastructure boom is reshaping the global economy, and two companies—Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and NVIDIA (NVDA)—stand at the forefront of this transformation. Recent geopolitical and business developments, particularly President Donald Trump’s Middle East trip in May 2025 and Japan’s endorsement of SMCI for its sovereign AI installation, have significantly bolstered the growth prospects of both companies. In this article, I’ll analyze the impact of these deals, project new revenue streams for SMCI and NVDA, and make a compelling case for why their stocks are undervalued, supported by current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. This is a comprehensive exploration of why SMCI and NVDA are poised for explosive growth and why their stocks are a bargain for long-term investors.
Context: Trump’s Middle East Trip and AI Infrastructure Deals
In May 2025, President Trump embarked on a high-profile tour of the Gulf States—Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE—to strengthen U.S. technological and economic ties. The trip resulted in landmark AI infrastructure deals, positioning NVDA and SMCI as key beneficiaries as these nations pivot from oil-based economies to technology hubs. Key highlights include:
Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia committed $600 billion to invest in the U.S., with a significant portion allocated to AI infrastructure. NVDA secured a deal to supply “several hundred thousand” of its advanced Blackwell AI chips to Saudi Arabia’s Humain project, while SMCI signed a $20 billion multi-year partnership with DataVolt to deliver ultra-dense GPU platforms and liquid-cooled rack systems for hyperscale AI campuses in Saudi Arabia and the U.S.
Qatar and UAE: While specific deals for NVDA and SMCI in Qatar and the UAE were less detailed, the broader context suggests technology partnerships, with Qatar Airways ordering Boeing planes, indicating a wide-ranging economic collaboration likely including tech infrastructure.
Tech Conferences and Sentiment: The trip coincided with events like the Saudi-US Investment Forum, where NVDA’s CEO Jensen Huang and SMCI’s CEO Charles Liang were prominent figures, reinforcing their leadership in AI. Market sentiment, reflected in posts on X, shows strong enthusiasm, with NVDA and SMCI stocks surging post-announcements.
Additionally, Japan’s decision to select SMCI for its sovereign AI installation is a massive endorsement. As one of the most technologically advanced nations after the U.S., Japan’s preference for SMCI’s liquid-cooled, AI-optimized servers over competitors like Dell or HP underscores SMCI’s technological edge, particularly in energy-efficient data center solutions.
These developments position SMCI and NVDA as critical players in a global AI infrastructure surge, with the Middle East and Japan emerging as pivotal markets.
Revenue Projections and Growth Infused by the Deals
To quantify the impact, let’s compute new revenue projections for SMCI and NVDA, focusing on the incremental growth from these deals. I’ll assume that a significant portion of NVDA’s high-performance chips (e.g., Blackwell GPUs) will be integrated into SMCI’s servers, given their long-standing partnership and SMCI’s dominance in liquid-cooled AI server solutions.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
Current Revenue Baseline:
SMCI reported $14.94 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2024 (ended June 30, 2024) and guided for $21.8 billion to $22.6 billion in fiscal year 2025.
For fiscal Q3 2025 (March 2025), SMCI guided revenue of $5 billion to $6 billion, and for Q4 2025 (June 2025), $5.6 billion to $6.4 billion.
SMCI’s long-term goal is $40 billion in revenue by fiscal year 2026 (ending June 30, 2026).
Impact of Saudi Deal:
The $20 billion DataVolt deal is multi-year, likely spanning 2025–2028, with an estimated annual revenue contribution of $4 billion to $6.7 billion (assuming 3–5 years).
This deal alone represents nearly 100% of SMCI’s 2025 consensus revenue, significantly boosting its growth trajectory.
SMCI expects to earn $200 million in annual EBIT from this deal, implying strong profitability despite margin pressures from competition.
Impact of Japan’s Sovereign Installation:
While specific financial details are unavailable, Japan’s choice of SMCI for its sovereign AI infrastructure suggests a multi-billion-dollar contract, given the scale of national AI projects. Japan’s AI investments are part of a broader push to compete with the U.S. and China, with budgets in the tens of billions. Let’s conservatively estimate $2 billion in revenue over 2025–2027, or $500 million to $1 billion annually.
Other Growth Drivers:
SMCI’s partnerships with NVDA and Fujitsu, along with its leadership in liquid-cooled servers (80% market share), position it to capture a growing share of the $133.3 billion global server market in 2025, potentially increasing its market share from 12.7% in 2024 to 22%.
SMCI’s Q2 2025 revenue was $5.65 billion, with AI-optimized infrastructure accounting for 70% of sales, indicating robust demand.
New Revenue Projection for FY 2025:
Baseline FY 2025 guidance: $21.8 billion to $22.6 billion.
Saudi deal contribution (2025 portion): $2 billion (conservatively assuming partial deployment in 2025).
Japan deal contribution: $500 million.
Organic growth from existing markets: Assume $1 billion from increased market share and demand.
Total FY 2025 Revenue: $25.3 billion to $26.1 billion (a 69%–75% increase over FY 2024’s $14.94 billion).
Growth Infused by Trump’s Trip:
The Saudi deal adds $2 billion to 2025 revenue, representing an 8%–9% uplift over the original guidance.
Japan’s endorsement enhances SMCI’s credibility, likely driving additional contracts globally, contributing $500 million (2% uplift).
Combined, these deals infuse 10%–11% additional growth for FY 2025, with further upside in 2026 as SMCI targets $40 billion.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
Current Revenue Baseline:
NVDA guided for $24 billion in revenue for Q1 FY 2025 (ended April 2025), a 300% year-over-year increase.
For FY 2025 (ending January 2025), analysts estimated $103 billion in revenue, driven by data center GPUs like Hopper Craig and Blackwell.
NVDA’s data center segment, which includes AI GPUs, grew 16% quarter-over-quarter in January 2025, with Blackwell GPUs constituting 31% of revenue.
Impact of Saudi Deal:
NVDA’s deal to supply “several hundred thousand” Blackwell GPUs to Saudi Arabia’s Humain project is massive. Assuming 300,000 GPUs at an average price of $30,000 each (based on Blackwell pricing estimates), this deal could generate $9 billion in revenue.
Spread over 2025–2027, this implies $2 billion to $3 billion annually, with $2 billion likely in FY 2026 (ending January 2026).
Other Middle East Deals:
Qatar and UAE deals are less quantified, but given NVDA’s global demand, assume an additional $1 billion in 2026 from these regions.
Other Growth Drivers:
NVDA’s backlog for Blackwell GPUs is oversubscribed, with hyperscalers and sovereign entities driving demand.
SMCI, NVDA’s third-largest customer, integrates NVDA GPUs into 70% of its servers, amplifying NVDA’s revenue as SMCI grows.
Japan’s AI push likely includes NVDA GPUs, given SMCI’s reliance on them. Estimate $500 million in additional revenue for 2026.
New Revenue Projection for FY 2026:
Baseline FY 2026 revenue (analyst consensus): $125 billion (assuming 20% growth over FY 2025’s $103 billion).
Saudi deal contribution: $2 billion.
Qatar/UAE contribution: $1 billion.
Japan contribution (via SMCI): $500 million.
Total FY 2026 Revenue: $128.5 billion (a 25% increase over FY 2025).
Growth Infused by Trump’s Trip:
The Saudi deal adds $2 billion, or 1.6% uplift to FY 2026 revenue.
Qatar/UAE and Japan add $1.5 billion, or 1.2% uplift.
Combined, these deals infuse 2.8% additional growth for FY 2026, with potential for more if Middle East investments accelerate.
Case for SMCI and NVDA Stocks Being Undervalued
Both SMCI and NVDA are trading at valuations that significantly undervalue their growth potential, particularly given the transformative impact of the Middle East deals and Japan’s endorsement. Below, I outline why their stocks are cheap, supported by P/E ratio calculations and qualitative factors.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
Current Valuation and P/E Ratio:
As of May 16, 2025, SMCI’s stock price is approximately $46.14.
For FY 2025, SMCI’s guidance for earnings per share (EPS) is not explicitly stated, but preliminary Q2 2025 results suggest $0.29–$0.31 EPS.
Assume FY 2025 EPS of $1.20 (based on Q2 and Q3 guidance and historical growth). With a stock price of $46.14, the forward P/E ratio is:
Analysts project 2028 EPS at $5.11 (based on SMCI trading at 9x 2028 forecasts).
Why SMCI is Undervalued:
Explosive Revenue Growth: SMCI’s revenue grew 74.5% annually over the past three years, and the Saudi deal and Japan’s endorsement could push FY 2025 revenue to $25.3–$26.1 billion, a 69%–75% increase. The $40 billion target for FY 2026 implies 77% growth over 2025. This growth rate far exceeds the S&P 500’s average, yet SMCI’s forward P/E of 38.45 (and 9.03 for 2028) is modest for a hyper-growth tech stock.
Undervalued Relative to Peers: SMCI’s P/E of 38.45 is significantly lower than NVDA’s and other AI infrastructure players like Broadcom (AVGO, P/E ~70). Given SMCI’s 70% AI-driven sales and leadership in liquid cooling, it deserves a premium valuation.
Japan’s Endorsement: Japan’s choice of SMCI for its sovereign AI installation validates its technological superiority. As a leading tech nation, Japan’s decision could lead to further contracts in Asia and Europe, driving upside beyond current forecasts.
Saudi Deal’s Transformative Impact: The $20 billion DataVolt deal is nearly SMCI’s entire 2025 revenue, providing multi-year visibility and supporting upward estimate revisions. Analysts like Raymond James see SMCI as a “near-pure-play on AI,” with a $41 price target (11% upside from $46.14).
Margin Expansion Potential: Despite recent gross margin declines (11.9% in Q2 2025 vs. 16.7% in Q1 2024), SMCI’s operating margin expanded from 3% to 8.5% since 2020. Optimized pricing and scale from new deals could restore margins, boosting EPS and justifying a higher P/E.
Accounting Overhang Clearing: SMCI faced scrutiny from a 2024 Hindenburg Research report alleging accounting irregularities, but it filed delayed SEC reports by February 25, 2025, avoiding delisting. With a new auditor (BDO) and cleared regulatory hurdles, investor confidence is rebounding.
Price Target: Analysts suggest SMCI could trade at 30x 2028 earnings ($5.11), implying a price of $153.30—a 232% upside from $46.14. A conservative 20x P/E yields $102.20 (121% upside).
NVIDIA (NVDA)
Current Valuation and P/E Ratio:
As of May 16, 2025, NVDA’s stock price is approximately $105 (post-2024 price adjustments).
For FY 2025, NVDA’s adjusted EPS is estimated at $2.70 (based on $5.50 Q1 EPS forecast and analyst consensus).
For FY 2026, assume EPS of $3.24 (20% growth). The forward P/E is:
Why NVDA is Undervalued:
Unmatched AI Dominance: NVDA controls 80%–90% of the AI GPU market, with Blackwell GPUs driving 31% of Q1 2025 data center revenue. Demand is backordered, and deals like Saudi Arabia’s ensure sustained growth.
Middle East Catalyst: The Saudi deal ($9 billion over 2025–2027) and potential Qatar/UAE contracts add 2.8% to FY 2026 revenue, with upside if more nations invest. NVDA’s ability to court global leaders (e.g., China, Japan, D.C.) mitigates trade risks.
SMCI Synergy: As SMCI’s third-largest customer, NVDA benefits from SMCI’s growth, with 70% of SMCI’s servers using NVDA GPUs. SMCI’s $20 billion Saudi deal and Japan contract indirectly boost NVDA’s chip sales.
Margin Strength: NVDA’s operating margin expanded from 35% in 2020 to 54% in FY 2024, far surpassing SMCI’s 8.5%. This profitability supports reinvestment and resilience against tariffs.
Undervalued Growth: NVDA’s P/E of 38.89 (FY 2025) and 32.41 (FY 2026) is reasonable for a company with 300% Q1 2025 revenue growth and a $128.5 billion FY 2026 projection. Tech peers like Tesla (P/E ~100) trade at much higher multiples.
Geopolitical Shelter: Trump’s temporary exemption of GPUs from tariffs protects NVDA’s supply chain, unlike other tech firms facing 5%–25% cost increases.
Price Target: If NVDA trades at 50x FY 2026 EPS ($3.24), the price target is $162—a 54% upside from $105. A conservative 40x P/E yields $129.60 (23% upside).
Risks and Counterpoints
While the bullish case is strong, investors should consider potential risks:
SMCI:
NVDA:
Despite these risks, both companies’ fundamentals and deal-driven growth outweigh concerns, with SMCI’s valuation particularly attractive.
Conclusion
SMCI and NVDA are at the epicenter of the AI infrastructure revolution, with Trump’s Middle East trip and Japan’s endorsement catalyzing their growth. SMCI’s $20 billion Saudi deal and Japan contract could push FY 2025 revenue to $25.3–$26.1 billion (10%–11% uplift), while NVDA’s Saudi and regional deals add 2.8% to its $128.5 billion FY 2026 projection. Their forward P/E ratios—38.45 for SMCI (9.03 for 2028) and 38.89 for NVDA (32.41 for 2026)—are low relative to their hyper-growth profiles, making them compelling buys. SMCI’s leadership in liquid cooling and NVDA’s GPU dominance, amplified by global AI demand, suggest 121%–232% upside for SMCI and 23%–54% for NVDA. For investors seeking exposure to the AI megatrend, SMCI and NVDA offer unmatched value and growth potential. Now is the time to invest in these undervalued giants shaping the future of technology.
Oil Prices Surge Amid Threat of Strike on IranOil Prices Surge Amid Threat of Strike on Iran
As shown on today’s XBR/USD chart, Brent crude oil prices have jumped (as indicated by the arrow) to a one-week high. This surge follows U.S. intelligence reports suggesting that Israel may be preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Although CNN, citing officials, noted that it remains unclear whether Israeli leaders have made a final decision, oil prices are rising as markets price in the risk of escalation disrupting Middle Eastern oil supply chains:
→ Iran is the third-largest oil producer within OPEC.
→ There is concern that Iran could retaliate by blocking the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf — a key shipping route used by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and others to export oil products.
Technical Analysis of XBR/USD
Brent crude oil price has climbed towards the descending trendline (marked in black), drawn through key highs from April and mid-May. From a bearish perspective, this key resistance could trigger a downward pullback.
On the other hand, recent price action in Brent suggests upward momentum (indicated by blue lines), with the $65.20 level — previously a cap — potentially turning into support after a breakout.
Whether the black resistance line is broken will largely depend on geopolitical developments. It is possible that reports of an imminent missile strike on Iran may later be refuted.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A very choppy day on gold today making it difficult to hold trades into the extreme levels. The range is smaller than usual and accumulation is in progress, so we will say please play defence on the markets.
We wanted lower to go higher, the red box broke upside, and if switched to the 1H TF, like us you would have got a decent trade into red box resistance for the RIP and short scalp. As you can see, price is now playing between the red boxes with intra-day support being way down at 3210 and resistance above at 3255. These are now the levels of play in our opinion and the market has played it in such a way that both are open targets! We'll wait lower to long or higher to short, here in the range, not interested.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3235 with targets below 3196, 3185, 3177, 3165 and 3155
Bullish on break of 3230 with targets above 3242✅, 3250, 3255 and 3262
RED BOXES:
Break above 3210 for 3118✅, 3220✅, 3225✅, 3230✅, 3235✅ and 3247✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3195 for 3187, 3179, 3165, 3155, 3150 and 3137 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
WLD - AI Cycle Is Back!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈WLD has been in a correction phase. However it is still overall bullish long-term trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support and round number $1.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #WLD retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Forget $342 more like $378This daily chart looks so primed to run hard all the way up to $378. It doesn’t get much better than this!!! The question is how soon will we smash through $342? If volume holds up, my guess is no later than May 23! This is only speculation and just for fun! Not financial advice so don’t go getting bent out of shape! 🙌
[$XMRUSD] Monerochan is riding the bull KRAKEN:XMRUSD
+++ Quick update and follow-up to 'The only true crypto currency.' from Jan 13 2025 +++
🗺️Macro-mentals
What the f* is going on?
How is it effecting Crypto overall as 'an alternative to FIAT-Money'
↗️ Dollar-debt getting slowly out of control (Moody's honest down-grading from 'Aa1 to Aaa')
⬆️ Trade-Wars are de-escalating lately
↘️ ongoing geopolitical risk (ME/Israel/Iran, EU/Ukraine/Russia, ...)
🚀 Pumpa-mentals
How far can Monero pump in this cycle?
1) BTC has to top and stay there for a full-on alt-cycle
2) No black-swan this time (Israel-Iran Attack, etc.)
--
Entry : 200 USD
Profit-taking : 550 USD and above -> that is already 2,75x (175%)
Profit-taking : 600 USD and above -> for all greedy degens
Stop-Loss/Repositiong : 165 USD
So, to sum it up:
I hope you went long, and are flying with Shen-Long 🐉
Please like / share / comment /dislike!
CME Gap Aligns with 4h 200 EMAThe CME Gap around 5710-5730 is beginning to align with the 4h 200 EMA.
4h RSI has been diverging bearish 3 times with each leg up within the channel above.
Also, a breakdown of that channel has measured moves down that align with both the 4h 50 and 200 EMA:
- 50 EMA an 0.5x measured move down
- 200 EMA a 2.5x measured move down
Pre-req on targeting the gap is a breakdown of the parallel channel shown above, and then loss of the 4h 50 EMA.
Good luck!
LINK: Breaks Out From A Clear Inverse Head & Shoulders PatternLINK: Breaks Out From A Clear Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
LINK has broken out from a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a bullish trend.
After the breakout, the price pulled back to retest the neckline, finding strong support near $14.90, where it reacted multiple times.
If this level holds, LINK could start a larger bullish wave, with potential targets at: 🎯 $17.60 🎯 $19.60 🎯 $21.60
The BTC price positions is the only tricky part but it can happen that as a minimum to push the price near to the first and second target.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy)
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
📈 Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher.
• MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly.
• RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels.
⏱ 15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward.
• RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential.
⏱ 3-Minute Chart
• Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive.
• RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal.
⸻
🌐 Fundamental Context
• Gold is supported by:
• Persisting inflation concerns.
• Geopolitical risk premium.
• Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters.
There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD
• Entry (Buy): 3320.00
• Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence.
• Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00
• Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout.
• Take Profit (TP): 3370.00
• Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GBPUSD I Technical and Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin time? We Are Watching the Old World Fade in Real-TimeTechnical Breakdown:
🎥 Watch today’s full Bitcoin chart video here:
👉
📊 Also see:
Gold outlook -
DXY macro reversal –
THEN CONNECT THE DOTS WITH ME:
This isn’t just Bitcoin... this is the evolution of money in motion.
🟠 Bitcoin Time? We Are Watching the Old World Fade in Real-Time
This isn't just a moment for Bitcoin —
This is a moment for the entire monetary system .
The same chart we’ve used since the 2020 breakout continues to hold.
We called the structure.
We called the delayed breakout.
And now we are watching a macro pivot that goes far beyond crypto .
🔁 Technical Outlook
✅ Breakout after Halving 4 (April 2024)
✅ Structural retest complete
🔹 70% chance: Break above 115K
🔻 30% chance: Retest the 59K major support
The third test is building...
And historically, third tests break out or break everything .
We are prepared for either — but positioned for the upside.
🌍 Global Context
While this structure plays out, here’s what’s happening outside the chart:
🟡 Gold breaks ATHs → hard assets are in demand
💵 Dollar breaks support → normalization or loss of confidence?
🧊 Inflation cools to 2.4%
🟠 Bitcoin gains macro relevance — ETF flows, institutional entry, and global uncertainty
🔮 The End of Cycles?
We’ve ridden Bitcoin’s halving-driven cycles for a decade.
But ask yourself:
What if Bitcoin is no longer a cycle asset… but a reserve one?
2025 could mark a shift from speculative bull runs to long-term monetary adoption.
The signs are there.
⚔️ New Monetary Order?
China hoards gold
The U.S. aligns with Bitcoin (BlackRock, ETFs)
The Dollar fades structurally and symbolically
This is not just a trade.
This is a transition.
From fiat to fixed.
From speculation to structure.
From old world to new order.
Still long. Still with structure. Still watching history unfold.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
$SPX Weekly – 2025 Trendline Bounce Confirmed Again📈 The S&P 500 ( VANTAGE:SP500 ) just bounced cleanly off the long-term trendline that has defined this bull market since the COVID low in 2020.
🟢 Touchpoints:
March 2020 🦠
June 2022 (inflation bottom)
October 2023 (Fed pause)
Now again in 2025
That’s four successful tests in five years. Price action suggests that this trendline remains the key support for bulls — as long as it holds, the trend remains intact.
But if it breaks in the future… buckle up.
$SHIBUSDT – Major Retest Holding!CRYPTOCAP:SHIB is retesting a key breakout zone after breaking through a long-term descending trendline + 200 EMA. The structure remains bullish with a clean higher-low forming at the confluence of support.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
Breakout from descending triangle
Bullish retest of trendline + 200 EMA
Price printing higher lows above key support
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.000015252
TP2: 0.000017091
TP3: 0.000018929
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.000013153
📍 Entry Zone: Around 0.000014785
If bulls hold this zone, SHIB could see continuation toward mid-May highs and beyond.
$BERAUSDT (30M Chart) – Bullish Breakout in PlayBIST:BERA has broken out of the descending triangle with conviction and is now consolidating just above the breakout zone.
🔹 Triangle breakout confirmed
🔹 Retesting previous resistance as support
🔹 Holding above 200 EMA, showing momentum shift
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: $3.311
• TP2: $3.424
• TP3: $3.586
🛑 Stop-loss: $3.077 (below structure)
Momentum is shifting. Watch for a strong candle close or volume spike on the retest to confirm continuation.