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SPX at CrossRoadThe chart illustrates the logarithmic scale of the S&P 500 index since 1933. From 1933 to 1997, the index consistently followed an upward-sloping channel. Key years such as 1942, 1949, 1974, and 1982 saw the index test the lower boundary of this channel. However, since 2009, following the introduction of quantitative easing (QE), the uptrend has shifted to a steeper slope. With the Federal Reserve hesitant to lower interest rates and the forces of de-globalization gaining momentum, the question arises: Can artificial intelligence (AI) emerge as the savior, propelling the S&P 500 to new highs? Or will the growing debt burden, combined with tighter monetary policies and the effects of de-globalization, finally break the index's back? What are your thoughts? Please share. I believe interest rates will continue to climb as investors demand higher premiums to compensate for heightened risks in the debt market. This could exert considerable pressure on stocks.
SP:SPXShort
by bruceyam
1
BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2 In the crypto market, key metrics such as BTC Dominance (BTC.D), Total Market Cap (Total), and Altcoin Market Cap (Total 2) are highly interconnected. Analyzing them in isolation does not provide a complete picture of market trends. When Bitcoin (BTC) moves up or down, these indicators shift accordingly, reflecting capital flows and overall market sentiment. 🔑 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – The Key to Understanding Market Flow 📊 BTC.D represents Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. 📈 When BTC.D is high → BTC dominates, and Altcoins may stay flat or decline. 📉 When BTC.D drops → Money flows into Altcoins, signaling a possible Altseason. 📌 Current Trend: BTC.D is moving between 60-61%, targeting 59.3% downward. This means BTC.D is in a correction and accumulation phase, and local BTC.D spikes may be SELL opportunities rather than bullish signals. 💰 Total Market Cap (Total) – Understanding Liquidity Trends 💵 Total reflects the overall capital in crypto. 📊 If Total increases → BTC.D determines whether money flows into BTC or Altcoins. 📉 If Total decreases → Altcoins suffer heavier losses than BTC. 📌 Current Trend: Total is sideways with a downward bias, fluctuating between $2.94T - $3.3T, with a target of $2.5T. 🔻 If BTC.D drops to 58%, BTC price could reach $75K before accumulation and reversal. 🚀 Total 2 – The Altcoin Market Perspective 📊 Total 2 excludes BTC, showing capital flow into Altcoins. 📉 Total 2 is also in a downtrend, mirroring BTC.D and Total. 📌 Currently: Moving within $1.07T - $1.34T, with a target of $900B. ⚠️ This signals that Altcoins are not yet ready for a major breakout. 📈 BTCUSDT Price Forecast 🔮 BTC’s projected path for the coming weeks: 1️⃣ BTC may reach $98.6K, then pull back to $88K. 2️⃣ Short-term recovery before further decline to $75K for accumulation. 3️⃣ If BTC.D and Total align, BTC could rally from $75K in the following months. ✅ Conclusion & Trading Strategy 🔹 BTC.D is decreasing, meaning BTC is losing dominance, but a strong Altseason is not imminent. 🔹 Total is downtrending, suggesting liquidity pressure. 🔹 Total 2 is weakening, signaling that Altcoins won’t see a major surge soon. 🔹 BTC likely drops to $75K before a strong recovery. 🎯 Trading Approach 📌 Monitor BTC at $75K for accumulation instead of expecting an immediate bullish continuation. 📌 Short-term traders can look for SELL setups when BTC.D spikes to local highs.
Short
by rainbow_sniper
Potential bearish drop?AUD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9063 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.9098 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 0.9006 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce?NZD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.8137 Why we like it: There is an overap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8103 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up witht he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.8195 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
#FIL Ready to Make a Mega Bearish Move? Bears Getting ReadyYello, Paradisers! Is #FIL on the verge of a massive collapse, or will the bulls step in at the last moment? Let’s break down the latest setup of #Filecoin: 💎#FILUSDT is forming a textbook descending triangle, a pattern that typically signals a bearish continuation. The price has been making lower highs while holding a crucial support zone around $2.45—a clear sign that sellers are in control. 💎A breakdown below $2.45 could trigger a sharp sell-off, with the next major support sitting around $0.82. If #FILUSD loses this level, it could enter price discovery to the downside, leading to extreme volatility. 💎On the bullish side, a breakout above the descending resistance line would invalidate the bearish setup. A strong daily close above $4.00 could flip the trend, targeting a move toward $6.00 and beyond. However, until that breakout happens, caution is warranted—trading inside a descending triangle without confirmation is dangerous. The market is at a make-or-break point. We will see if #FIL breaks below support and plunges lower or if the bulls stage a surprise comeback. Let us know in the comments! MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success 🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
Analysis of market trend and operation strategyGold maintained a significant decline today, and the lowest price so far is around 2924. Although gold has paused its previous record-breaking rise, the bullish potential of gold still exists. First of all, from the 4-hour chart, we can see that gold is trending from 2876 to 2956, and 2925 is exactly the Fibonacci 618 support position of this trend. If the callback does not break 618, then there will definitely be a high point. Moreover, gold has already tested the support position of 2920 many times, so if it rebounds from 2920 again, the probability of continuing to reach a new high is very high. In addition, from the daily chart, it can be found that the daily MA10 moving average position is currently around 2925. Today's lowest price also touched the 2924 moving average support. Therefore, the probability of gold continuing to rebound and break through to a new high is very high. Once it stands firmly above 2955, then the next place for gold is 2970-2975. So, my suggestion for future operations is to continue to go long near 2910/2900, look up to 2930, 2940, ​​and break to 2960.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hit-Eye
Gold Bulls Beware: Is the Market Ready for a Pullback?Looking at the chart posted, we can see that despite the price hitting new all-time highs and exceeding 2900 points over the past three weeks, the price has been reversing sharply from these highs. This suggests that a pullback is becoming increasingly likely. Yesterday’s all-time high was only about 20 points higher than the previous one, and the price has again quickly reversed. At the time of writing, gold is trading at 2936 points, hovering around key confluence support. If the confluence support is breached, traders should expect a deeper pullback with an initial target around 2880 points and a possible move towards 2850 points. I am bearish on gold, but I am waiting for further confirmation before initiating a sell trade.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by rcvfrcvf
NZDUSD in a sequence of higher lows and highs.NZDUSD - 24h expiry Trend line support is located at 0.5725. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.5725 (stop at 0.5695) Our profit targets will be 0.5800 and 0.5825 Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825 Support: 0.5725 / 0.5700 / 0.5675 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
CELSIUS ($CELH) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZCELSIUS ( NASDAQ:CELH ) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZ (1/9) Good evening, Tradingview! Celsius Holdings ( NASDAQ:CELH ) just surged 33%—Q4 earnings and a $1.65B Alani Nu buyout lit the fuse 📈🔥. Energy drink market’s buzzing—let’s unpack this jolt! 🚀 (2/9) – EARNINGS SNAP • Q4 Revenue: $332M, topped $329M expected 💥 • Margin: Jumped to 50.2%—beats 47.1% hopes 📊 • EPS: $0.14, above $0.11—solid grit Growth slowed, but NASDAQ:CELH flexed resilience! (3/9) – ALANI NU DEAL • Price: $1.65B—$1.275B cash, $500M stock 🌍 • Alani’s Pull: $595M ‘24 sales, 78% growth 🚗 • Combo: 16% energy drink share—$ 2B ‘25 goal 🌟 NASDAQ:CELH snags a rival—big playtime! (4/9) – MARKET VIBE • Surge: 33% to $33-$35—shorts burned 📈 • Vs. Peers: 6x sales, below 9x avg—value? • X Hype: “Top gainer”—bulls cheer 🌍 NASDAQ:CELH heats up—bargain or buzz? (5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT • Overlap: Alani vs. CELH—cannibal clash? ⚠️ • Slowdown: North Am. down 6%—Pepsi hiccups 🏛️ • Comp: Rivals eye shelf space—tight race 📉 Hot move, but bumps lurk ahead! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Deal: $1.65B Alani—growth rocket 🌟 • Margin: 50.2%—profit punch 🔍 • Global: 39% intl. leap—worldwide zip 🚦 NASDAQ:CELH ’s firing on all cylinders! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Q4 dip, overlap risks 💸 • Opportunities: $ 2B sales, $50M synergies 🌍 Can NASDAQ:CELH juice up the doubters? (8/9) – NASDAQ:CELH ’s 33% zap—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—$40+ in sight. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover. 3️⃣ Bearish—Hype fades fast. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY NASDAQ:CELH ’s Q4 and Alani Nu deal spark a 33% leap—$332M, $1.65B buy 🌍🪙. Resilience shines, but overlap looms—champ or chase?
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by DCAChampion
RUSSELL: Targeting at least 3,000 end of yearRussell 200 may be almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.476, MACD = -14.090, ADX = 24.893) but still neutral on 1W as the 1W MA50 continues to hold since November 2023. The price action is exactly around the middle of the 16 year Channel Up and since the September 2022 low, we've been on the new Bull Cycle / bullish wave. The Cycles are repetitive and so far in these 16 years we've had another three similar phases of growth. The 1W RSI indicates that the current will top near the end of 2025. All prior have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension but since the pace of the current Bull Cycle has slowed down, a TP = 3,000 will be much more suited as the target of this Cycle. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:RUTLong
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin: Fibonacci Triangle PatternSeeing diamond pattern on tops gives us general clue that market is about to fall. After all, this is what it draws (what masses go through) as it loses momentum and eventually goes for a correction. However, even if we're very sure, rushing to trade based on systematic patterns does not actually guarantee the desired outcome. For instance, the bullrun which started in 2016 lasted relatively longer and each top of smaller composite cycles might also have drawn similar patterns that one might identify as bearish reveals, but it kept going up. The concept of order in chaos is not absolute, so it's best not to rely on only one interpretation, especially when we're dealing with collective human consciousness where uncertainty and duality makes it one of the most trickiest systems. Therefore, seeking for an additional layer of confirmation is a preferred discipline, before considering fractals. Triangle Pattern - General Theory Historic swings are obviously crucial, however focusing on the recent price activity deserves a higher priority. If we observe the pattern closely, we can establish that there were rejections from top as well as bottom. In this triangular formation, a falling ATR reflects the indecisiveness of market participants. I've learnt from CMT that triangle pattern is also referred to as a “coil” because of the way price action behaves within the pattern — similar to a compressed spring or coil that is winding tighter before a strong breakout (energy release). You must know that they come in three primary types, each with distinct price movement implications. The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern where price forms lower highs and higher lows, signaling indecision and a breakout in either direction. The ascending triangle is bullish, featuring higher lows and a flat resistance level, indicating strong buying pressure and a likely upward breakout. In our case, we're dealing with the descending triangle which is interpreted as bearish, because of lower highs and a flat support line, suggesting increasing selling pressure and a higher probability of a downside breakout. (We still need to wait for breakout to occur!) Trading a coil triangle pattern effectively involves a systematic approach to confirm breakouts and manage risk. First, traders should wait for a breakout beyond either the resistance or support level, ensuring the move is decisive. A key confirmation factor is trading volume—a breakout accompanied by high volume is generally more reliable, reducing the likelihood of false moves. Once a breakout occurs, traders can set price targets by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance from the breakout level. To mitigate risk, it is essential to place a stop-loss just inside the triangle’s boundaries, ensuring that any unexpected reversals do not lead to significant losses. Fibonacci Triangle Visualization Since I love to experiment, I couldn't resist from capturing the pattern using Fibonacci Channels to help you visualize the high passions and tensions during the battle between bulls and bears for the direction of trend. It provides a data-driven structured way to project breakout targets with precision. This approach is a part of my research aimed at studying and understanding the actual market behavior, particularly market noises that lead to false signals.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by fract
3