OIL Today's strategyIn view of the fact that a large number of news items with a significant influence on the market trend are about to be released today, before the news breaks, we can conduct transactions within the established price range by adopting the strategy of selling high and buying low. In order to effectively control risks and seize potential profit opportunities at the same time, it is advisable that you keep your position within 20%.
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
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Community ideas
Review and plan for 2nd April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Few stocks too.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 0.83668
High: 0.83670
Low: 0.83260
Close: 0.83635
Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid).
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation.
Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis.
2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce.
Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure.
The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case.
Pattern Dynamics:
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand.
The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700.
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345).
This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375).
This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447.
This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447).
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target.
The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Pattern Components:
The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize.
Arrows and Labels:
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 0.84447.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance.
Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair.
Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 0.84000:
The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level.
Market Volatility:
EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
BTC Dominance V/S Other ALT Coin DominanceA comparative weekly analysis of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and the dominance of altcoins excluding the top 10 (OTHERS.D).
Key Observations:
Left Chart (BTC Dominance - BTC.D)
Current Level: 62.88%
Resistance: Around 63.09% (marked by a red line and arrow)
Previous Support: 60.17% (red horizontal line)
Trend: BTC dominance has been rising and is approaching a major resistance zone.
RSI: 66.35, showing bullish momentum but nearing overbought levels.
Bearish Divergence in RSI: The RSI has shown lower highs while price made higher highs in the past, indicating potential weakness in the trend.
Right Chart (Altcoin Dominance - OTHERS.D)
Current Level: 8.19%
Demand Zone: Highlighted in yellow (around 6% - 8%)
Trend: Altcoin dominance has been declining and is now approaching a strong demand/support zone.
RSI: 36.15, indicating oversold conditions and a possible bounce.
Possible Market Implications
If BTC.D breaks above 63%, it could signal further Bitcoin dominance, leading to more capital flowing into BTC rather than altcoins.
If BTC.D gets rejected at resistance, we might see a rotation of capital into altcoins, leading to a bounce in OTHERS.D.
OTHERS.D is at a demand zone, meaning a reversal could be imminent if buyers step in.
The RSI on BTC.D suggests caution as it nears overbought levels, while RSI on OTHERS.D suggests a possible bounce.
Potential Strategies
For BTC holders: Watch for rejection or breakout above 63%. A rejection may lead to altcoin season.
For Altcoin traders: A bounce from the demand zone in OTHERS.D could be a good entry point for altcoins.
For Market Neutral Traders: Look for BTC dominance rejection signs and altcoin strength confirmation before rotating capital.
Would you like further insights or an updated analysis? 🚀
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for(BUY)trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (85100) to (84850) 📊
FIRST TP (85800)📊
2ND TARGET (86800)📊
LAST TARGET (88000) 📊
STOP LOOS (83700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
USDCAD INTRADAY rising support retestUSDCAD remains in a bullish trend, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent price action indicates a corrective pullback toward a key support zone.
Key Level: 1.4300
This level represents the previous consolidation range and serves as a crucial support area.
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from 1.4300 could reinforce the uptrend, with potential targets at 1.4370, followed by 1.4420 and 1.4490 over the longer term.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 1.4300 with a daily close under this level would weaken the bullish outlook, leading to further declines toward 1.4250, 1.4220, and 1.4180.
Conclusion:
USDCAD remains bullish unless it loses support at 1.4300. Traders should watch for a bounce or a breakdown at this level to determine the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
CHECK GBPJPY ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(GPBJPY) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (GBPJPY) ready for( BUY )trade ( GBPJPY ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (192.200) to (192.100) 📊
FIRST TP (193.600)📊
2ND TARGET (194.600) 📊
LAST TARGET (194.800) 📊
STOP LOOS (192.400)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
ADA - Bearish Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG)?This 4-hour chart of ADA/USDT shows price making a strong recovery after a significant drop. However, it is now approaching a key resistance area—a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here’s the potential setup:
🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is entering a liquidity zone where sellers might step in.
🔹 Possible Double Top Formation: A rejection at this level could lead to a bearish reversal, forming a distribution pattern before dropping.
🔹 Bearish Continuation? If the FVG acts as resistance, ADA could resume its downtrend, targeting lower support zones.
Will this resistance hold, or will ADA break through and continue higher? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📉
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news:
➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction.
➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day."
➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods.
Personal opinion:
➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible.
➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810
❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
RENDER ANALYSIS📊 #RENDER Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retests from the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone
👀Current Price: $3.455
🚀 Target Price: $4.4-6.0
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #RENDER price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#RENDER #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
GBPJPY Q2 W14 1st April 2025 Outcome80% of lot size is now removed approaching the Tokyo highs of yesterday, in addition, I have opened the TP to allow it to run although I do foresee the turn around in price.
With that said, the edge played out as expected. Weekly & daily 50 Ema continues to provide a solid basis to begin the chart analysis. Moving forward, as I share my ideas, you shall indeed see a consistent approach with regards to the higher time frame 50 EMA.
FRGNT X
GBP/JPY Entry IdeaGiven the multitude of the wick rejection on the 4hr timeframe, the consistent downtrend on the weekly and how price is returning to the key area, I am still bearish on price. I will be looking for any significant signs of rejection off the key area on the 15min timeframe, in which I will be going short.
Price is doing its "drop, base, drop" motion.
Should price break and close above the blue line strongly on the 1hr/4hr, I will be looking to go long as this would be a market shift.
"Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance & Support Analysis"This chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) price action, focusing on key resistance and support levels. The resistance zone is identified at approximately 3,136.62, where price action has previously struggled to break higher. Meanwhile, the support zone is marked around 3,100.95, acting as a potential area where buyers may step in to prevent further declines.
The chart suggests a potential rejection at the resistance level, leading to a price decline toward the support zone. The projected movement involves price testing the resistance level, forming a possible consolidation or double-top pattern before initiating a downward trend. This scenario aligns with a bearish outlook, where traders may seek confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators, before considering short positions.
However, if price action breaks above the resistance level with strong momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. Traders should apply proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above resistance, to mitigate potential losses.
Overall, this technical setup provides a structured approach to analyzing gold price movements, offering traders insights into possible market behavior based on historical price action.
Wednesday, April 2, 2025: Logical Analysis + Technical AnalysisHello traders,
** **
What happened last night?
In the COMEX gold futures market, the open interest for gold saw a **significant increase** in one day, with an addition of 62,187 contracts. Among them, the April 2025 contract increased by 45,428 contracts, which is a very rare and even abnormal surge.
Why is this event considered "strange"?
1. **Timing anomaly**: March 31 is the CME's "First Notice Day," when open interest typically begins to decrease as investors either opt for physical delivery of gold or roll over to the next contract. However, this time, open interest not only did not decrease but actually increased significantly.
2. **Abnormal relationship between price and open interest**: Normally, as gold prices rise, investors choose to take profits, leading to a decrease in open interest. Yet this time, while gold prices reached new highs, open interest surged.
What does this mean?
The 45,428 contracts correspond to approximately 4.5 million ounces of gold, worth about $14 billion at current gold prices. If this is not a data error or operational mistake, it could mean:
1. **A sudden influx of new physical gold demand**: A large amount of capital may have suddenly entered the gold market, preparing for physical delivery.
2. **Demand for deferred delivery being activated early**: Some physical demand that was originally planned for deferred delivery is now being activated ahead of schedule.
The sudden surge in physical delivery demand usually indicates that gold prices will rise significantly in the short term.
However, there is another possibility to be cautious about:
Someone might use massive positions to create a "short squeeze" panic, scaring off short sellers and driving prices higher, only to reverse positions for profit once the market overheats. In other words, the current situation may exhibit characteristics of "baiting" traders, requiring careful attention to risk.
Additionally, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is considering implementing "broader and higher tariffs" on all countries on April 2 (which is today) and "seeing what happens." Currently, the uncertainty index for U.S. trade policy is about 25% higher than during Trump's Trade War 1.0, and the U.S. economic uncertainty index has reached a historic high.
** **
** Insider Tips:**
On Monday of this week, during the Asian Tokyo session, gold broke upward, reaching a high of 3128.
This was a breakout from the consolidation that started during the European morning session last Friday and continued into the Asian morning session on Monday, with the highest point touching the extreme positions of FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414.
On Monday, it was suggested to wait for a 4-hour reversal signal before looking for a pullback to enter short positions in gold.
TP1: 3084
TP2: 3073
TP3: 3057
On Tuesday, crude oil experienced a brief pullback during the U.S. session, and the 1-hour chart showed that gold ended its consolidation after the U.S. market opened, resulting in a $34 pullback.
**Trading Plan for Wednesday to Friday:**
On the 4-hour chart, gold is likely to form a bullish reversal signal during the Asian morning session on Wednesday, with the candlestick stabilizing above the EMA. This indicates that the pullback in gold has ended, and the probability of continuing to rise is greater.
As long as gold remains stable above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before the non-farm payroll data on Friday, continue to go long on gold:
TP1: 3171
TP2: 3185
TP3: 3199
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!