Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips !Dear friends!
The exit from the bearish channel has led to an impressive price increase. At the time of writing, the financial market is trading above the $3,300 mark. The uptrend is very strong as it consolidates at high levels with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame.
Therefore, the upcoming reports on US employment and manufacturing are highly anticipated. This has contributed to the market being hotter than ever. The price increase is expected to reach $3,385, if the Fed signals monetary policy easing. What do you think about this? Do you agree with me?
Community ideas
Ascending Triangle Breakout This chart shows a clear ascending triangle breakout on the weekly timeframe
Strong resistance around $13, tested multiple times (red arrows).
Rising trendline support (green arrows), forming the ascending base.
A large volume surge (highlighted by orange arrow) on the breakout candle, validating institutional interest and confirming the pattern.
The measured move projection targets a rally toward $41.28, representing a potential 268% upside from the breakout zone.
This structure suggests a bullish continuation, provided the price holds above the breakout zone ($11.13โ$13.00).
WTI CRUDE OIL: Brutal collapse expectedWTI Crude Oil has turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.990, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 38.289) and is expected to accelerate the effect as based on the 16 year Cycles, late 2025 and most of 2026 should experience a price collapse. The most optimal Buy Zone starts at $33.00, it could go lower but that's a solid base from which to expect a bounce back above $110.00 by 2028.
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GJ-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Lots of speeches in NY, including BoJ Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Being consistently profitable is not equal to be simply profitable.
Many but many claims that they are consistently profitable but
they need years of track record to be able to say that and not
months of track record.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post with a revised area of interest on the 4 hour chart. I will check to see how the overnight charts do for gold's direction. I will post during the end of the London session or when the Pre NY volume comes in tomorrow morning. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out and all my thanks. Thank you so much and don't get caught trading in the range, wait for a break and close and if the lower time frames match up, see if the set up plays out. DYOR and never try to force or rush a trade. I did all that years ago and just lost money and / or blew threw the account.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.8%X1:
#XAUUSD/#GOLD Long Trades
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.8%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook๐ง SPX Weekly Outlook โ Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup
The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding โ and they did so with force.
๐ Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration.
We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory.
๐บ Entire GEX structure has shifted higher.
๐ฏ New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 .
๐ What Just Happened?
๐ The 6060โ6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks โ until last weekโs breakout.
๐ฅ Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound.
๐ VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment .
๐งฒ Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure โ weโre in long gamma mode .
โ
Bullish Bias โ But Stay Tactical
We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought.
Key pullback zone to watch: 6125โ6060 .
๐ ๏ธ Strategy Ideas:
โข Wait for a 6060โ6125 retest before re-entering longs
โข Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+
โข Scale out or trim risk near 6200โ6225
โ ๏ธ Risks to Watch
Weโre overextended short-term.
๐จ Losing 6130โ6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 .
Bearish signals to monitor:
โข IV spike or renewed put buying
โข Loss of 6100 = no-manโs land without confirmation
โข Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms
๐๏ธ Short Trading Week Note
๐บ๐ธ U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day.
This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect:
๐ Early week dealer hedging
๐ Possible positioning unwind on Thursday
๐ก Weekly Trade Idea โ Structure in Place
๐ผ Setup:
โข Put Butterfly below spot
โข 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide)
โข Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE
๐ฏ Why it works:
โข Leverages IV backwardation
โข Profits from time decay
โข Favors a stable or modestly bullish week
โข Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14)
๐ฐ Profit Target: 10โ20% return on ~$1,730 risk.
Take profits before time decay kills the center valley โ donโt overstay. ๐๐จ
๐ Final Thoughts:
The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant ,
but big moves often retest before continuing.
Let price breathe.
Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. ๐
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
If you like the way I present and analyze, make sure to boost,
share and follow me for more future posts, ideas and useful informations.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Gold Market Outlook โ 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook โ 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
๐ธ **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
๐ธ **Timeframe:** 30min
๐ธ **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
๐ธ **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
---
## ๐ Market Context:
- **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU)
- **Efficiency:** โ
Clean & Efficient Delivery
- **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed
- **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300โ3315)
- **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure
---
## ๐ง Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF โ Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300โ3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## ๐ Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
| Long | Above 3,303โ3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 |
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345โ3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## โ ๏ธ Risk Factors to Watch:
- ๐บ High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- ๐บ Overextension above supply zone without support โ trap risk
- ๐บ Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## โ
Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340โ3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** ๐ข Bullish
**Trend:** ๐ MSU
**Efficiency:** โ
Clean
**Liquidity:** ๐บ Above SH & Below recent HL
---
๐ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
MRKEntry Zone: $81.50 to $80.00 (Potential accumulation area for buyers).
Key levels within this zone: $81.51, $81.53, $80.57.
Immediate Resistance: $83.07 (todayโs high).
Higher Targets:
$92.63 - $93.26 (First target zone).
$97.36 - $98.25 (Second target zone).
$100.55 - $101.73 (Major resistance zone).
Stop loss 72.00
BTC Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Since the red arrow was placed on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish phase has ended and it has entered a corrective phase. This correction appears to be forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently in the middle of wave E.
After interacting with the demand zone, the price may move toward the specified targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD - SELL After a reasonable big run up like this they will take profits
Looks like it's roiling over watching Super Trend and break of
Buffer Zone with Bearish Continuation Candle can easily Shoot back up if Wicks but should be plenty of room to make money on this one.
Hardest part is being patient
Selling seems to capitulate everyone wants to capture as much profit as possible or should I say Algo's
NY also current session so they have plenty of push and Greedy as can be !
USD has turned Strong for now also
Don't forget to protect profits when you deem fit should it run into profit trading Forex - Gold is very unpredictable their game is to take yr money deliberately - do the opposite just to snag yr hard earned cash.
Lets See : )
Potential Buy opportunity Gold had formed a W formation and moved upward quite a bit, it has created a pull back with the current bearish candle that has a nice wick.
It is also on a support, which evidence of the continuous bearish pattern on the left.
Entry at this point would be good in order to have a smaller stop loss.
BUY TRAP OR TREND ?xauusd is supposed to frame bearish zone by faking bullish trend. the current candle sticks momentum indicate seller control. the dollar performance and high intererst rate along with geopolitical peace full events are likely to encourage a seller control.
the resistance is 3370 if market did not break it then it will fall on the last target i set up for you.
target 1 ( 3330)
target 2 (3302)
SOL/USDT Scalping Setup โ 1H Reversal from Demand with FibonacciMarket Context:
Solana has pulled back into a key short-term demand zone after a sharp rejection from recent highs. Price action is now showing signs of local exhaustion, with confluence from lower timeframe support and bullish structure attempting to form. The setup anticipates a bounce targeting the mid-Fibonacci zone.
Setup Idea:
Price tapped into a local support shelf around 148.80, where previous demand initiated the last impulsive leg up. With momentum indicators stretched and RSI divergence building, this offers a high-probability scalp opportunity.
Targeting the 0.5โ0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone as first resistance, with confirmation needed for further continuation.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 148.80โ149.00
Stop Loss: Below 148.30 (beneath local swing low and structure break)
Target: 154.50โ155.90 (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618 zone)
Risk/Reward: Approx. 2.5R
Notes:
This is a reactive setup โ price must hold the current level or print a higher low. If sellers regain control below 148.30, the trade is invalidated. Watch closely for volume shift and 1H candle confirmation before adding size.
Mid-Fibonacci level (154.57) is a logical area to de-risk or take partial profits.
USDCAD โ Buy the Dip Near Pivot SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 1.3575
Target: 1.3675
Stop Loss: 1.3525
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 02/07/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
A lower correction is expected, providing an opportunity to buy into a potential reversal setup.
Pivot support at 1.3550 aligns with the Buy Limit entry area, offering a solid technical foundation for a rebound.
A move above 1.3625 will confirm renewed bullish momentum, supporting a push toward the target at 1.3675.
The current risk/reward does not favor chasing at higher levels, making buying dips the preferred strategy.
Watch for potential volatility from upcoming U.S. events:
Fed Chair Powell speech at 14:30 UTC, and
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC, which may impact USD flows.
Key Technical Levels
Support: 1.3550 / 1.3525 / 1.3500
Resistance: 1.3625 / 1.3675 / 1.3700
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone ๐น Macro Structure:
Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x โ 327x zone.
Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained.
Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent.
๐น Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur.
Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared.
๐น Expectation:
Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 โ Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB.
A retracement into the discount zone (3301 โ 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade.
Watch for bearish signs near 3388 โ this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence.
๐ต BUY SETUP (Retracement entry โ continuation)
Buy Zone: 3301 โ 3303 OB
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill
Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low)
Targets: 3306 โ 3310 โ 3315 โ 3320 โ 3330 โ 3346 โ 3388
๐ด SELL SETUP (Reversal entry โ premium zone)
Sell Zone: 3348 โ 3350 (mitigation area)
Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick
Stop Loss: Above 3354
Targets: 3344 โ 3340 โ 3335 โ 3325 โ 3310 โ 3300
โ
Alternative Entry (Low sweep)
Buy Limit: 3270 โ 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone)
SL: 3262
TP: 3280 โ 3290 โ 3300 โ 3315+
โณ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades.
๐ง SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.