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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
-ISM Services PMI
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced
-Looking for retest of the bullish structure
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3100
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment as it sweeps imbalances toward 100.370. Meanwhile, the gold market remains bullish, benefiting from the weakening dollar. Traders should watch for further downside in DXY and potential strength in gold FOLLOW FOR MORE INSIGHTS , COMMENT AND BOOST IDEA
Breaking: Filecoin's USDFC Now on SushiSwap $FIL To Surge 250%The Filecoin's -backed stablecoin $USDFC has extended its services to the Sushiswap platform where users can now swap USDFC seamlessly on SushiSwap, making it easier than ever to access!
Furthermore, by providing liquidity to the FIL/USDFC pool, you can earn fee income.
This strategic move by Filecoin ( LSE:FIL ) is set to make LSE:FIL go parabolic in the coming week with an anticipated 250% surge in the horizon.
As of the time of writing, Filecoin ( LSE:FIL ) is down 6.24% losing the $3 pivot currently down to $2.66. The asset is approaching oversold levels as hinted by the RSI at 37.60. However, the daily chart pattern depicts a symmetrical triangle, a breakout above the ceiling of the triangle could cement the grounds for the 250% surge.
What Is Filecoin (FIL)?
Filecoin is a decentralized storage system that aims to “store humanity’s most important information.” The project raised $205 million in an initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, and initially planned a launch date for mid-2019. However, the launch date for the Filecoin mainnet was pushed back until block 148,888, which is expected in mid-October 2020.
Filecoin Price Live Data
The live Filecoin price today is $2.67 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $171,672,956 USD. Filecoin is down 6.34% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #47, with a live market cap of $1,728,274,124 USD. It has a circulating supply of 647,135,072 FIL coins and the max. supply is not available.
Breaking: $PORK Approaching Key Fibonacci Levels for a Breakout PepeFork ($PORK) a memecoin created as a parody to the original CRYPTOCAP:PEPE coin is set to go parabolic amidst breaking out from the 61.5% Fibonacci retracement point, a level holding ground as the support pivot for $PORK.
The asset is trading with moderate momentum as hinted by the RSI at 43. $PORK is nearly approaching the 61.5% Fibonacci point and a bounced from that level would spark a bullish campaign for PepeFork ($PORK).
PepeFork Price Live Data
The live PepeFork price today is $4.75e-8 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $2,431,278 USD. PepeFork is down 5.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $18,706,640 USD. It has a circulating supply of 393,690,000,000,000 PORK coins and a max. supply of 420,690,000,000,000 PORK coins.
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's long and short boundaries:
3127
Support and resistance levels
3164
3150
3141
3113
3103
3089
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164
If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD TRADE PLAN🔥
✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
📌 STATUS: Price is within the entry zone; monitoring for confirmation signals.
📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL):
Primary Entry Zone: 1.2950 - 1.2975
Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.3000 - 1.3025
📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.3030 (Invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥉 TP1: 1.2850 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven)
🥈 TP2: 1.2800
🥇 TP3: 1.2750 (Final target)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3
Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4
📌 Reason for Entry:
Bearish Trend: GBP/USD has been dominated by a downward correctional wave, indicating a bearish outlook.
Technical Resistance: The pair faces resistance near the 1.3000 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong barrier.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.
📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING:
H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone.
Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure.
Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence.
❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.3030 without a bearish reaction.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER:
💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS:
✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours.
❌ Invalid if:
Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2.
Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event).
Price breaks above 1.3030 = Trade invalidated.
📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS:
GBP Weakness: The British pound has fallen significantly against the US dollar, testing key support levels.
USD Strength: The US dollar remains strong amid global economic uncertainties.
COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing GBP longs.
🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY:
SELL GBP/USD on a pullback into 1.2950 - 1.2975 (or 1.3000 - 1.3025 if a deeper correction occurs).
Targeting: 1.2850 → 1.2800 → 1.2750.
SL: Above 1.3030.
**Trade valid for the next 24 hours.
🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
Quarter Ends, Setup Begins: Long from DAX Support ZoneDAX returned to its major support zone around 22,000 after an extended decline through March. I’ve been triggered into a long position as we step into a fresh month and quarter. We’re sitting at strong historical demand with multiple macro events lined up this week—I’ll take what the market gives and manage it accordingly. No ego here, just flow with the setup. Let’s see where this one heads as NFP and PMI data come in.
Technicals
• Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Zone: Strong support retest at 22,000
• Setup: Long triggered on reaction from major support
• Target: Zone around 22,950
• SL: Below the support zone (~21,800)
• Fibcloud: Still trending below, watching for reclaim
• End-of-month rebalancing and Quarter close may add volatility.
Fundamentals
• DAX dropped nearly 2% on Monday, hitting its lowest levels since Feb 10, in line with global market weakness.
• US trade tariff uncertainty under Trump’s “reciprocal” rhetoric weighs on sentiment.
• Germany’s CPI eased to 2.2%, the lowest since Nov 2024, aligning with market expectations.
• Q1 performance remains strong overall, up nearly 11%, supported by Germany’s spending plan.
• Eyes on this week’s NFP and PMI data which could drive further price action.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag:
🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity?
M2 includes:
Cash
Checking deposits
Savings accounts
Other near-money assets
When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to:
Increase money supply
Lower the cost of capital
Make riskier assets more attractive
💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2?
Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class
BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when:
Investors are optimistic
There's more disposable capital floating around
Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve
When liquidity enters the system:
It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks)
Then mid-cap equities
Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto
Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days)
This 70-day lag happens because:
Institutions take time to reallocate capital
Retail follows after they see initial market strength
It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying
📊 Empirical Backing
Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted:
BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days
Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes
⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag?
Cause Effect
Global M2 rises Money becomes more available
Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin
Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases
~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
BTC weekly Cup & Handle pattern Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you are doing well during these unsatisfying days, because honestly, I’m personally starting to get a little bit bored. I know one of the toughest things during market crashes and sideways movement is to stay reasonable and committed to your strategy — and always try to stay calm, because the less you react to the market, the more you will earn!
Now let's talk about this BTC pattern:
As you might notice from the chart, we are currently above a very important level, which is the weekly support, and I’ve drawn it using a black line.
Currently, the price has retested it once as a new support. Also, it's the neckline for the Cup and Handle pattern — and if the price succeeds in breaking the downtrend and goes above the previous high, we could expect a massive rally to the monthly red resistance line, which I will talk about once we get back into bullish mode.
But for now, make sure to stay calm and pay close attention to that support line.
I hope you enjoyed this idea, and as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
DAX Bullish ReversalDAX Index (GER30) Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis
The DAX Index (GER30) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key support zone. The price has reacted at 21,975.87, indicating a possible upward move. A retracement to the **62% Fibonacci level (22,534.21) presents an optimal buy entry with a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio.
Trade Details:
- **Entry:** **22,534.21** (62% Fibonacci retracement)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **21,975.87** (Below the recent swing low)
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** **23,476.14** (0% Fibonacci level)
- **TP2:** **24,056.53** (38.2% Fibonacci level)
- **TP3:** **24,995.45** (100% Fibonacci extension)
Analysis & Justification:
✔ Key Support Confirmation** – The price bounced off **21,975.87**, a significant support level.
✔ Fibonacci Confluence** – The 62% retracement level aligns with historical reaction zones.
✔ Moving Average Resistance** – A breakout above **22,600** could confirm bullish momentum.
✔ Risk-to-Reward Ratio** – The trade offers a **minimum 1.7:1 ratio**, improving with higher TP levels.
SNX Analysis (1D)SNX has broken an old trigger line and is also forming a CP within a channel.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the Demand zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you