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NAS100 Slammed by Fed Data and Trump Trade Remarks Can 22,640 ?The NAS100 plunged after strong US economic data fueled expectations of tighter Fed policy, and Trump's renewed push for aggressive trade deals rattled tech sentiment. After rejecting the 23,665 🔼 resistance, the index dropped sharply through multiple support levels. Price is now consolidating just above the 22,640 🔽 zone, a key near-term support. Support: 22,800 🔽, 22,640 🔽, 22,500 🔽 Resistance: 23,025 🔼, 23,277 🔼, 23,332 🔼 Bias: 🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 22,640 could trigger a move toward 22,500. If that fails, 22,400 becomes the next target. 🔼 Bullish: A reclaim of 23,025 would be the first sign of bullish recovery. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by SPOT_FX
DXY 4Hour TF - August 3rd,2025🟦 DXY 4H Analysis Neutral idea 📅 August 3, 2025 🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias: • Monthly – Bearish • Weekly – Bearish • Daily – Bearish • 4H – Bullish The dollar index is in a larger bearish cycle but just bounced from near-term resistance around 100.250. While the 4H shows temporary strength, we’re trading into major resistance and we may see it short lived. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch • Support: 98.00 • Resistance Zones: 99.25 and 100.25 • 61.8% Fib: 98.57 Price is currently testing structure after rejecting from the 100.25 resistance zone. This area remains a strong ceiling unless the higher timeframe structure shifts. ✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path) 1. Bearish Structure confirmation below the current zone 2.If bearish rejection confirms, expect price to continue toward 98.00, possibly 97.50 3.Clean confluence with the higher timeframe trend ⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Extension (Orange Path) 1.If price breaks and holds above 99.25, we may see a continuation toward 100.25 2.Short-term bullish strength, but against HTF bias 3.Must treat as a counter-trend idea unless confirmed with HTF structure shift 🧠 Final Notes • 98.50 is the key decision zone, watch reaction closely • Trend remains bearish on all major timeframes • Don’t force the long, lean bearish unless structure proves otherwise
TVC:DXY
by ForexLeague
Combining a "cup and handle" pattern with a long position on ETHCombining a "cup and handle" pattern with a long position on ETH/USDT is a classic bullish technical analysis strategy. Let's break down what this pattern signifies and how to approach it for a long trade. Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern The cup and handle is a bullish continuation pattern popularized by William J. O'Neil. It suggests a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside, signaling a likely continuation of the prior uptrend. Disclaimer: Technical analysis patterns like the cup and handle are tools, not guarantees. Always combine them with sound risk management and your overall trading strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Long
by Money_Trix
1
GU| Bullish Structure | Waiting for 30M CHoCH + OB Mitigation(Refined & Structured): • Pair: GBPUSD • Bias: Bullish • 4H Overview: Bullish structure is given with strong intent. A major higher high was broken to the upside. Price swept significant sell-side liquidity and inducement, then mitigated a refined 4H OB with a clean smart money reaction—clear buyer interest. • 30M Structure: Currently watching for a proper change of character (CHoCH). Still in analysis mode. Waiting for the lower high on the 30M to be breached and liquidity taken before considering execution. • Entry Zone: Once price confirms with a CHoCH and mitigates the 30M internal OB, I’ll drop to the 5M to hunt for final confirmation before executing. • Targets: 5M to 30M structural highs depending on price delivery. • Mindset Note: The best setups come to those who wait. No rush. Let price do the talking. My trigger isn’t just structure—it’s precision and patience working together.
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPUSD Possible long.-In the monthly (higher timeframes), GBPUSD is bullish. -In the weekly timeframe, the was a momentous price reaction at the 1w Hidden Invalidation, making it a very strong area of liquidity and unlikely to be broken further in the short term period but maybe tested. In the the daily and timeframe GU is bearish, but it is just a possible higher timeframe retracement, but still we are looking for opportunities in that retracement too. -Above is our high probability low risk idea.
Long
by relentlessforex
August 2025 Monthly ScenariosChartingMyLosses | Monthly Analysis | 1M TF Speculative structure meets macro zones 🔵 Scenario 1: Direct continuation to the highs (Blue Path) Price holds above PH June and pushes toward the 0.78 retracement of July, targeting 121,399 USD. This would be a classic bullish continuation fueled by residual momentum and liquidity above recent highs. 🟢 Scenario 2: Support retest before continuation (Green Path) A sweep of the 109,893–103,009 USD zone (June’s fib cluster and previous breakout range) leads to a rebound. This would validate the zone as a new macro support and could signal institutional reaccumulation before an end-of-month push to the highs. 🔴 Scenario 3: Deep retracement into OB + FVG (Red Path) Bears attack, dragging price down to the 98,459–96,000 USD range, tapping into a Daily Order Block + FVG inefficiency. A full liquidity sweep in this zone could set up a powerful reversal toward the new max, but would require market-wide risk-on behavior to confirm. 🧠 Speculative Note In just one month, BTC can traverse thousands of dollars. The real question isn’t "will it drop or pump?" but rather "where is price most efficient to move next?". Keep an eye on volume, reactions at fib levels, and especially how the market behaves near the prior June low (PL).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ChartingMyLosses
UJ| Bullsih Bias | Professional Sweep Forming Off 30M OB (Refined & Structured): • Pair: USDJPY • Bias: Bullish • 4H Overview: After breaking previous highs, price pulled back into a sell-side liquidity (SSL) zone. This move shows signs of exhaustion following the sweep, hinting at bullish continuation. • 30M Structure: Price took out internal liquidity/SSL and is now reacting from a refined 30-minute order block. Looks like a professional sweep is in play, with refined structure holding. • Entry Zone: Waiting for further confirmation on the lower timeframes once the market opens. • Targets: 5M and 30M structural highs depending on how price delivers. • Mindset Note: This setup is a prime example of letting price come to you. Trusting HTF structure and recognizing the sweep fuels the patience needed to strike on LTF intent.
Long
by Juicemannn
Gold analysis and trading strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data came in significantly below expectations, with new job additions falling far short of market forecasts. This sparked a sharp rise in expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. As a result, the U.S. dollar index declined and gold prices surged violently, rallying from the 3281 level to a high of 3362 — a single-day gain of over $85, completely erasing the week's prior losses and reestablishing a strong bullish structure. ✅ Technical Analysis 📊 Weekly Chart Gold posted a strong bullish weekly candlestick, reversing the previous consolidation trend and signaling a structural shift in market sentiment. Bulls have regained full control. The key resistance zone lies between 3380–3400; if price breaks and holds above this level, the next upside target will be around 3430. 📊 Daily Chart Gold stabilized at the 3281 low and surged on Friday evening following the NFP surprise, closing near the day’s high — a sign of aggressive buying. The short-term trend has clearly reversed to the upside, and any pullback is now considered a buying opportunity. The key support has moved up to around 3335, serving as a critical pivot zone. Further support is seen near 3316, a previous swing low. 📊 Hourly Chart Price is currently trading above short-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The key level for a potential bullish continuation is around 3355, which represents a recent support-turned-resistance area. If price pulls back to this level and holds, or breaks above it directly, it will confirm bullish strength. If gold opens with a gap higher toward 3385, beware of potential short-term volatility due to a liquidity gap. Chasing highs in such scenarios requires caution. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3375–3380 / 3400–3430 🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3340 / 3330–3335 / 3316 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Primary Strategy – Buy on Dips: 🔰Consider long entries around 3340–3335, with a stop-loss below 3328. 🔰If the market remains strong, a direct long near 3355 is viable, targeting 3375 and above. 🔰A deeper pullback to 3330–3335 is a favorable entry zone for mid-term longs. 🔻 Secondary Strategy – Sell on Rebounds (Short-Term Only): 🔰If gold opens Monday with a sharp spike to around 3385 but fails to break higher, a light short position may be considered, targeting a quick $10–$15 pullback. 🔰If 3385 is broken and held, abandon short setups and revert to a bullish view. ✅ Overall Outlook Gold has completed a technical reversal following the bullish fundamental catalyst from the NFP data. The trend has shifted from bearish to bullish, and the market has clearly moved into a higher price range. The core trading logic should remain “buy on dips”, and countertrend trades should be approached with caution. Look for long opportunities near key support levels, and consider short positions only at major resistance levels and for quick intraday trades. A confirmed breakout above 3375 will likely open the door to 3400–3430 in the near term
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
ETHUSD: How I see 15 min chart. Technical Context Price completed a 5-wave decline into Wave 4 support at $3,246 (1.236 Fib extension of Wave 3) within a rising pitchfork channel Expect a multi-leg accumulation between the orange lower pitchfork line and the red median line before resuming the up-trend Accumulation Trajectory Initial Leg: Bounce off $3,246 → rally to $3,563 (0.618 Fib of the entire drop) Secondary Pullback: Retrace toward the orange trendline (~$3,400) Subsequent Rallies: Series of higher lows along orange support, testing channel median at ~$3,600–3,650 Final Shakeout: Quick flush toward $3,300–3,350 to clear weak hands before impulsive leg Intraday Trade Plan Entry Zones Tier 1: Near $3,260–3,280 (first swing low) Tier 2: Along orange rising support (~$3,350 on strength) Targets Partial at $3,563 (0.618 retracement) Full exit near red median line (~$3,625–3,650) Stop-Loss Below $3,230 (just under accumulation low) Position Sizing Risk ≤ 0.5% of account per leg; scale in on confirmation candles “Fear in China might prompt a sell-off; use these dips to accumulate for the next impulsive wave.” References Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical analysis of the financial markets. New York, NY: New York Institute of Finance. Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (2005). Elliott wave principle: Key to market behavior (10th ed.). New Classics Library.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell entries plus swing trade ide1. Overall Chart Analysis Timeframe and Trend: This 4-hour chart highlights a short-term downtrend with signs of exhaustion and consolidation. Gold peaked sharply on the left (possibly a local high around 2,400+), followed by a steep decline with lower highs and lower lows, forming what looks like a descending channel (diagonal trendlines connecting peaks and troughs). Recent candles show sideways ranging with smaller bodies and wicks, indicating indecision or a potential reversal setup. This could be a bear flag pattern or a base for accumulation. Key Patterns: Bearish Decline: Strong red candles early on suggest impulsive selling, possibly driven by external factors like USD strength or rising yields. However, the downtrend is losing steam, with recent bounces off lower levels. Range-Bound Action: Price is trapped in a horizontal range (bounded by your marked lines), with dojis and spinning tops signaling buyer-seller balance. A breakout could lead to a volatile move. Support and Resistance: Your green lines (lower) align with support zones where price has reversed upward multiple times. Red lines (upper) act as resistance caps, rejecting rallies. Indicators (Inferred): Moving Averages: Price is likely below key MAs (e.g., 50-period or 200-period EMA), confirming bearish bias. A golden cross (shorter MA crossing above longer) near green lines could validate buys. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Potentially oversold (below 30) at green line tests, supporting buy entries. Neutral or overbought (above 70) near red lines would favor sells. Volume and Momentum: Volume bars on the right show spikes on down moves but fading recently, hinting at bearish exhaustion. MACD might show narrowing histograms, indicating weakening momentum. Volatility: If Bollinger Bands are applied, they're likely contracting, suggesting an imminent expansion (breakout). Market Bias: Bearish in the short term due to the downtrend, but with bullish potential if support holds (gold's macro uptrend from inflation/geopolitical hedging). Watch for catalysts like US economic data or Fed announcements. The setup favors range trading (buy low, sell high) until a clear breakout. Risk Considerations: Gold can move 50-100 pips per 4H candle; use tight stop-losses (SL) 1-2% away from entries. Risk no more than 1% of your account per trade. Multi-timeframe confirmation (e.g., daily chart) is recommended. 2. Analysis of Marked Levels and Entry Rationale Your lines are horizontal, with green lines clustered at lower price levels (buy zones, e.g., around 2,300–2,320) and red lines at higher levels (sell zones, e.g., around 2,340–2,360). These appear to be based on prior price action (swing points). I'll group them by color and explain the technicals, drawing from support/resistance, patterns, Fibonacci, and momentum. Green Lines: Potential Buy Entries (Bullish Setups) These lower lines seem to mark strong support areas where price has bounced repeatedly, often with bullish candle formations. They could represent the floor of the descending channel or a demand zone. Technicals Supporting Buys: Support Zones: Green lines align with historical swing lows (e.g., visible double or triple bottoms in the chart's dips), where buyers have defended price. This creates a "value area" for accumulation, especially in gold's broader bullish context. Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals like hammers, bullish engulfing, or long lower wicks appear at these levels—indicating rejection of lower prices and potential reversal. For example, a green candle closing above the line after a touch would confirm entry. Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing from the chart's high (left peak) to low, green lines likely hit key levels like 61.8% or 78.6% retracements—common for buying deep pullbacks in trending markets. Momentum and Divergence: RSI bullish divergence (price lower lows, RSI higher lows) or an oversold reading supports upside. The downtrend's slowing pace (smaller red candles) suggests fading sellers. Trend Context: These are counter-trend buys in a downtrend—ideal for scalps or reversals. Wait for confirmation, like a 4H close above the green line or increased volume. Entry Strategy: Enter long on a retest of the green line with bullish confirmation (e.g., RSI >30 crossover). Place SL 20-30 pips below the line to account for wicks. Suggested Take-Profit Levels: TP1 (Conservative): Nearest minor resistance or 38.2% Fibonacci level—e.g., if entry at ~2,310, TP at 2,330 (1:1 risk-reward, ~20 pips profit for quick partial exit). TP2 (Aggressive): Mid-range or next red line—e.g., 2,340–2,350 (1:2 ratio, scale out 50% of position). Stretch TP3: If bullish breakout above the channel, target prior highs (e.g., 2,370–2,400). Trail stops using a 20-period MA or ATR-based levels for dynamic exits. Red Lines: Potential Sell Entries (Bearish Setups) These upper lines appear to cap price action, with rejections forming bearish patterns. They could be the ceiling of the channel or supply zones. Technicals Supporting Sells: Resistance Zones: Red lines correspond to prior swing highs (e.g., failed rallies in the mid-chart), round psychological numbers, or the upper channel boundary. Multiple touches with downside reversals confirm seller control. Candlestick Patterns: Bearish indicators like shooting stars, bearish engulfing, or long upper wicks at red lines signal rally failures—sellers stepping in aggressively. Fibonacci Extension/Retracement: From the downtrend's wave, red lines might align with 38.2% or 50% retracements—prime spots for selling into strength within a bearish structure. Momentum Indicators: RSI overbought (above 70) or bearish divergence (price higher highs, RSI lower highs) at these levels reinforces downside. MACD line cross below signal line could trigger entries. Trend Context: Aligns perfectly with the downtrend's "sell the rallies" mantra. The overall lower highs pattern suggests continuation unless broken. Entry Strategy: Enter short on a rejection from the red line (e.g., red candle close below it with volume). Place SL 20-30 pips above the line. Suggested Take-Profit Levels: TP1 (Conservative): Nearest minor support or green line below—e.g., if entry at ~2,350, TP at 2,330 (1:1 ratio, ~20 pips for scalping). TP2 (Aggressive): Lower range or channel support—e.g., 2,310–2,300 (1:2 ratio, partial close). Stretch TP3: If bearish breakdown below green lines, target extended supports (e.g., 2,280–2,250 via 161.8% Fibonacci extension). Trail stops with a parabolic SAR or based on recent swing lows. 3. Additional Suggestions and Scenarios Breakout Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: A strong close above the highest red line (e.g., on high volume or positive news) invalidates sells—switch to longs targeting 2,400+ (macro resistance). Bearish Breakdown: Close below the lowest green line accelerates downside to 2,250–2,280 (next major support, possibly a monthly low). Risk-Reward and Position Management: Prioritize 1:2+ RR (e.g., risk 20 pips to gain 40+). Use partial profits: Exit 50% at TP1, trail the rest. Combine with oscillators: Avoid buys if RSI <20 (extreme oversold) or sells if >80 (overbought). Time of Day: Gold volatility peaks in NY/London sessions; avoid thin markets. Potential Biases or Warnings: Gold's inverse correlation to USD (check DXY) or bonds could override technicals—e.g., a weak USD might break red lines upward. The range is tightening; a false breakout is possible. If consolidation persists, consider straddle strategies. This is a technical view only; fundamental shifts (e.g., Middle East tensions boosting gold) could alter dynamics.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure & Path Projection: BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level. Two bullish paths are suggested: One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725). The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher. 2. Key Zones: Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation. Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken. Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base. 3. EMA 200 (Blue): EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario. 4. RSI (14): RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200) Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone Targets: TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone) TP2: 130,312.02 (main target) Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
NIFTY Toot Sakta Hai?! | US-Russia War Impact ExplainedHey traders, Serious geopolitical tension is brewing between the U.S. and Russia, and if things escalate, we could see a major shake-up in global markets — including our very own Nifty 50. Here’s my view: 🔹 24,500 is the immediate level to watch. If this breaks down with volume, 24,000 is next, and things could get ugly quickly. 🔻 In a worst-case escalation, Nifty may drop all the way to 23,500 – 21,000. Yes — that deep. And it won’t be a straight line. 💡 My trading strategy? I’m avoiding heavy longs Hedging with puts Staying in cash or safe sectors Watching global cues, especially crude oil and the India VIX 📉 Protect capital first — opportunities will come later. Like, comment your view, and don’t forget to subscribe for more real-time market updates. Stay sharp, stay safe! #Nifty #StockMarketIndia #USRussiaWar #Geopolitics #NiftyAnalysis #TradingStrategy
NSE:NIFTY
by abhisheksinghchauhan
OP 4H – Bounce From Golden Pocket, But Will It Hold Above $0.65?Optimism is bouncing directly from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement ($0.620), showing respect to the golden pocket region — but with Stoch RSI flipping into overbought, this bounce could be tested quickly. 📊 Fibonacci Zones: – 0.5 = $0.668 – 0.618 = $0.620 (current reaction) – 0.786 = $0.551 (last line of defense) So far, the reaction is strong — but to confirm continuation, bulls will need to reclaim the $0.66–$0.68 range with volume. A failure to hold may trigger a deeper move toward $0.55.
COINBASE:OPUSDLong
by Quant_Trading_Pro
BTCUSDT | Key Trend Channel Breakdown & Major Support AheadBitcoin has broken below a key trend channel on the 4H chart, currently trading around $113,891. Price is reacting after a sharp drop, approaching a major demand zone located between $107.5K and $109K, which previously acted as a strong support. 📉 Downside Potential: Main Demand Zone: $107.5K – $109K A possible bullish reaction is expected here if buyers step in aggressively. 📈 Upside Targets if Price Rebounds: First Target: Upper boundary of local channel – ~$117.5K Second Target: Full bullish recovery – ~$135K ⚠️ Note: This move comes after an extended consolidation and a sudden breakdown. Pay close attention to the lower boundary zone, as failure to hold could trigger a deeper correction. 📊 Chart Type: BTCUSDT – 4H (Binance) 🔧 Tools Used: Trend Channels, Support/Resistance Zones 📅 Date: August 3, 2025
Short
by TradeWithMky