NQ - (FVG) - Fair Value GAPOn NQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 21685 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Community ideas
$AAPL โ Long Setup Brewing: Fib Break + Gamma Unwind?Not financial advice
Apple has been the last laggard among the Magnificent 7. While others have already reclaimed their weekly 20 MA, NASDAQ:AAPL has spent over seven weeks consolidating just below major resistance, potentially building fuel for a breakout.
The $205 level is the key battleground. It lines up with the .382 Fibonacci retracement from the previous high and acts as a psychological level and gamma pin. Todayโs rejection at $205 reinforces its importance. If broken with volume, it could trigger a strong directional move as delta hedging unwinds into upside momentum.
๐ Technical Outlook:
.382 Fib retracement = $205 โ major inflection level
Weekly 20 MA sits just above; price compressing underneath
Bollinger Bands tightening โ volatility expansion expected
MACD (weekly) flattening near a bullish cross
CMO rising, showing improving momentum under the surface
๐ Options Flow โ 14-Day Snapshot:
Call Volume: $7.87M
Put Volume: $5.37M
โ Volume favors calls
Call Premium: $2.34B
Put Premium: $5.11B
โ Premium skewed toward puts, suggesting larger capital flows hedging downside or playing defense
Open Interest Cluster: Dense between $195โ$300, particularly on the call side
Despite the put premium dominance, the consistent call volume and broad OI range suggest accumulation and potential bullish positioning under the surface.
๐งญ Trade Thesis:
Apple is coiling at a critical intersection โ Fib level, gamma wall, and major moving average resistance. If it breaks $205 with strength, we could see a swift rally toward $215โ$225, where the next Fib levels and gamma zones align.
Right now, the setup is compression under pressure. Watching for a clean breakout with confirmation.
CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)๐ CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)
๐ Ticker: NYSE:CRCL
Multi-model AI consensus indicates a bearish short-term outlook for CRCL this week, driven by weak technicals, downside pressure from max pain, and poor option liquidity.
๐ง Model Summaries:
๐น Grok/xAI
โข ๐ Bearish: Price below 10EMA, negative MACD, RSI near 41
โข ๐ง Support: $115.20 | Resistance: $116.34
โข โ ๏ธ Max Pain: $100 โ downside bias
โข ๐ก Trade: Buy $115 Put (Jun 20) โ PT: +50%, SL: โ50%
๐น Claude/Anthropic
โข ๐ Bearish intraday: below EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41
โข โ ๏ธ Max pain at $100, light OI โ downside risk
โข ๐ก Trade: Buy $115 Put @ ~$12.95 โ Target 30โ50%, SL: 25%
๐น Llama/Meta
โข โ๏ธ Mixed: Slight short-term bearish tilt, but warns against poor liquidity
โข ๐ธ Trade: No Trade due to spread/premium inefficiency
๐น Gemini/Google
โข ๐ Daily trend bullish, but intraday showing exhaustion
โข โ ๏ธ Extreme spreads, no open interest
โข ๐ธ Trade: No Trade recommended
๐น DeepSeek
โข ๐จ Strong Bearish: Breakdown of $115.20 w/ volume, negative MACD, RSI ~41
โข โ ๏ธ Sentiment: Max pain at $100 + bid-side put action
โข ๐ก Trade: Buy $115 Put @ $12.70 โ PT: $18.90 (+50%), SL: $8.82 (โ30%)
โข ๐ฅ Confidence: 80%
โ
Market Consensus:
๐ Outlook: Bearish Bias
โ Short-term momentum is weak (price < EMAs, MACD negative)
โ RSI ~41 suggests downside room
โ Max pain at $100 = gravity effect
โ VIX falling = no panic relief for bulls
โ Key Level to Watch: Breakdown below $115 = confirmation
๐ Suggested Trade Setup
๐ฏ Symbol: NYSE:CRCL
๐ข Strike: 115 PUT
๐
Expiry: 2025-06-20
๐ต Entry: $13.30 (ask)
๐ฏ Profit Target: $19.95 (+50%)
๐ Stop Loss: $9.31 (โ30%)
๐ Confidence: 75%
โฐ Entry Timing: At open
โ ๏ธ Risk Watch:
โข โ ๏ธ High premium & wide bid-ask spreads = slippage risk
โข โ Low open interest = exit uncertainty
โข ๐ Theta decay accelerates late in the week
โข ๐ Invalidated if price breaks above $116.34
โข ๐ฐ Unexpected crypto/news rallies = trend reversal risk
๐ TRADE JSON
๐ฌ Are you trading this NYSE:CRCL bearish setup? Share your thoughts below.
๐๐ Follow for daily AI-powered trade breakdowns.
GU-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Will supports hold or GU breaking down?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Qualitative over quantitative trades, if I don't see good volume,
efficient moves with less and less drawdown I don't mind not taking
any trades even for days if it's necessary. When you control the urge
of having necessarily take trades everyday your psychology will level up a lot.
I take profits based on what the market conditions offer me and
not sticking to always have to set necessarily 1:2 RR or whatever.
It all depends on how market is doing. That's something we can't control.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I currently expect the price to correct slightly, as indicated on the chart, and then pump by about 6% from the PRZ . This signal is reinforced by strong positive divergence and a wedge pattern. In summary, the PRZ is a solid entry point, derived from the confluence of touchlines and pivots. However, if the price ignores this zone and falls below it, my analysis will be invalidated.
Best regards CobraVanguard.๐
MSTR in SatoshisI'm touching base on MSRT/BTC because we had another touch of this overhead - confirming the overhead basically, and predicting that if we touch this overhead again, we get a breakout.
Nothing has changed in the gameplan. It's just taking time. Time is a rare luxury, and most people don't have it, so the market works to strip the impatient and give to the patient. The market is tuned against you, and still you think you can outwit the market, but it's impossible if you don't have time, and very few do.
Thanks to Elon, RIVN is the new GME and GoldfinchFirst off, hats off to our politicians in office who are making this happen. When in history did you ever have both a president AND ceo butcher their company so hard that the 2nd option - RIVN - gets a god candle after a multi year breakout.
Tesla fan boys all say - never short tesla- and let me tell you, that only works if people expect it to drop. The whole long term picture is true, but for a long term hold, you have infinite time to buy in the short run. Those guys will love tesla a lot more at 100 than at 300.
I dont hate Elon. I like him, except Trump just proved to us what his motives are. Elon is a genius who will face an uphill short term battle with the horde of politicians. Wish him best of luck. In mean time my money is in RIVN. Lets go boys. and for the record, last year my money was in Tesla, back when you had a CEO focused on his company.
Gold fell as I expected!
From the daily level, gold is in a high-level consolidation since the peak at 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually rising. The range of consolidation is gradually narrowing, and the Bollinger Bands are flat again, indicating that the current market is in a stalemate, and it is difficult to have a breakthrough momentum. The MACD indicator is blunt, and the technical side lacks trend opportunities. The short-term market may continue to fluctuate. If it breaks, it needs to wait for major news to stimulate the breakthrough direction. In terms of operation, it is recommended to treat it as a high-altitude, low-multiple consolidation, mainly short-term or ultra-short-term, and do not chase the rise and fall before the range is effectively broken.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short in batches at 3328-3335 in the Asian session, and the target is 3317-3307;
Friends who doubt my analysis can take a look at the ideas I posted before!
NASDAQ Initiated a standard short-term Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up ever since the November 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The recent Trade War correction that started early this year, bottomed just before the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounded.
As this chart shows, every break below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has technically started a new Cycle. During this 16-year pattern, we have seen two types of Cycles, a short (blue Rectangle) and long (green Rectangle).
Based on the sequence since the start of the Channel Up, the index should have now just initiated its new short Cycle. Both previous ones peaked on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension before a correction below the 1W MA50 again. As a result, we expect to see 28000 at least before the next meaningful technical correction.
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BTCUSD: H&S neckline invalidated! Heavily bullish.Bitcoin turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook today (RSI = 58.910, MACD = 1101.600, ADX = 21.447) as it crossed over the neckling of the Head and Shoulders pattern and invalidated the bearish sentiment. This now targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension to the upside on the short term, TP = 123,500.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Channel Down needing to fill its top. Bullish.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.137, MACD = 0.740, ADX = 26.844), having completed a very strong 1W candle last week. This is the continuation of the May 5th bottom rebound. All prior such rebounds have filled at least the 1W MA50, having touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The 1W RSI LH trendline gives a good sense of where to sell, but since the 0.618 Fib is the guide, the target is TP = 71.15.
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SPX500 โ Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview
Fundamental Insight:
S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week.
Key events include:
- US-China trade talks in London (Monday)
- U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday)
Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves.
Technical Outlook:
The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966.
A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902.
However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
Pivot Line: 6010
Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
Gold Monday opening operation strategyThe market is changing rapidly, and following the trend is the best way. When the trend comes, just do it, don't buy against the trend, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good for all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold orders. I believe many people have experienced it deeply. The more you resist, the more panic you will panic, and the floating losses will continue to magnify, making you eat and sleep poorly, and miss many opportunities in vain.
The non-agricultural data of gold on Friday was mainly volatile during the day. After opening at 3354 and rushing to the highest level of 3375, it was under pressure and started a volatile downward mode. During the day, we also made several long orders near 50-53 below and took profits. In the evening, the non-agricultural data was negative, and gold did not fall immediately, but fluctuated for a period of time and rebounded to the highest level of 3363 before starting to fall. Gold closed upside down this week. From a technical point of view, it should be mainly rebounded and shorted next week. Pay attention to the low point of 3298 this week. Once this position is effectively broken, it is estimated to go to around 3263-70. If the 3298 line is not broken, the market still has room for rebound. The daily line was blocked and fell back at 3375 yesterday. It fell to 3307 at midnight on Saturday. The short position is still strong. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
โใใFrom the 4-hour analysis, gold will focus on the support of 3296-3300 at the opening of next week. Pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3338-45 above. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious to chase orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold rebounds to 3320-25 line, and rebounds to 3338-45 line to cover the short position, stop loss 3353, target 3295-3306 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
$OP Building a Strong Base! Breakout Loading?NASDAQ:OP is showing a strong base here around the $0.59โ$0.62 zone, holding support perfectly!
A clear breakout above this falling trendline could open the door for a big move โ $0.82, $1.08, and even higher toward $1.38+ if momentum builds. ๐
Structure looks solid, bulls are stepping in again.
Now just need to watch for breakout confirmation.
Stay ready, the next big move may be coming! ๐
DYOR, NFA
LINK Bulls Building Toward a Chain ReactionIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
LINK just gave us a clean reaction out of an identified box. Bulls may finally be gaining control and a trend shift up is on the table.
We had eyes on this box for a potential reaction. The market delivered. Now bulls need to prove they can build on it. The first key is to defend 13.284. As long as this level holds, the case for a higher trend remains alive.
Next, bulls need to clear 14.47. That is the first smaller degree LH that must be taken out to confirm that buyers are pushing through the structure.
The big step remains 15.00. This has acted as a major flipping level. A true test for the bulls will be whether they can reclaim and hold above it. If they do, the door opens for stronger upside follow through.
The path is clear:
๐ฅ Hold 13.284
๐ฅ Break 14.47
๐ฅ Reclaim 15.00
We will continue to track this closely with the Elliott Scanner mindset. If momentum picks up through these levels, this could become an attractive higher-degree setup.
Watch these levels carefully. Bulls have work to do, but the ingredients for a shift are building.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS)As a Whole formation, it looks to me the nearest Scenario is we Completed Major 1st Wave at 102$ , In my opinion as a technical analyst in charts and technical formations, in addition to the corrective formations I have encountered many times before, we have completed the correction of a leg of a major correction for the second large wave at $1.18. We are entering the early stages of the second leg, which I expect 99% will go to its final target at $141 by 2027. However, the closest level in 2025 is $25, and perhaps with significant news like a partnership and investment with major companies, it might hit the target of $49 by early 2026. The correction as a whole is called the minor or accelerating correction A B C.
Target Prices and Expected Periods: -
1 Month = 25$
6 - 9 Months = 49$
12 - 15 Months = 141$
APPS has a High Technical Rating by Nasdaq Dorsey Wright.
Earnings announcement* for APPS - Jun 16, 2025