Quarter Ends, Setup Begins: Long from DAX Support ZoneDAX returned to its major support zone around 22,000 after an extended decline through March. I’ve been triggered into a long position as we step into a fresh month and quarter. We’re sitting at strong historical demand with multiple macro events lined up this week—I’ll take what the market gives and manage it accordingly. No ego here, just flow with the setup. Let’s see where this one heads as NFP and PMI data come in.
Technicals
• Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Zone: Strong support retest at 22,000
• Setup: Long triggered on reaction from major support
• Target: Zone around 22,950
• SL: Below the support zone (~21,800)
• Fibcloud: Still trending below, watching for reclaim
• End-of-month rebalancing and Quarter close may add volatility.
Fundamentals
• DAX dropped nearly 2% on Monday, hitting its lowest levels since Feb 10, in line with global market weakness.
• US trade tariff uncertainty under Trump’s “reciprocal” rhetoric weighs on sentiment.
• Germany’s CPI eased to 2.2%, the lowest since Nov 2024, aligning with market expectations.
• Q1 performance remains strong overall, up nearly 11%, supported by Germany’s spending plan.
• Eyes on this week’s NFP and PMI data which could drive further price action.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Community ideas
Gold's Soaring Bull Market: How to Capitalize on the UptrendRecently, the bulls have been surging and hitting new highs repeatedly. In this turbulent upward trend, have you successfully ridden the wave and reaped substantial profits, or have you encountered obstacles at every turn on the investment path? Regardless of your past gains and losses, there is hope to achieve an investment breakthrough with the help of Jhon.
Currently, the gold market is performing strongly, with large bullish candlesticks emerging one after another, and the daily candlestick chart also closes in the green. Gold is heading towards the $3200 mark, and it is only a matter of time before this threshold is broken through. The moving averages are diverging upwards, and the slope continues to rise. The candlestick chart has a lower shadow, all of which are typical bullish signals.
During this period, every time gold experiences a slight pullback, it is quickly engulfed by large bullish candlesticks, indicating that the bullish trend is solid. Therefore, today we maintain the strategy of going long on dips. When the price retraces to around the support level of 3110, we can place a long position. If the market strengthens and this level is not reached, we can consider going long near the low point of around 3120.
XAUUSD
buy@3110-3120
tp:3140-3150-3160
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
USD/JPY Ready to Take Off: Golden Opportunity on 1H!Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry:
🔹 Entry: 150.08
🔹 TP: 150.589
🔹 SL: 149.547
USD/JPY is breaking out of a bullish pennant pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The RSI is holding above 50, indicating bullish momentum building up. If the price sustains above 150.08, we could see a push toward 150.589. Keep your eyes on price action and manage your risk!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!📊#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!
🧠From a structural perspective, the bullish structure is still intact, bullish expectations still exist, and the ideal target zone (86500-88188) has not yet been achieved, so we can still keep a small number of positions to look forward to this possibility.
➡️However, at present, we are testing the downward trend line at the daily level again, and whether it can be successfully broken through is still unknown, so we are conservative and lock in 80% of the main profits, and don’t chase the resistance zone.
➡️If it breaks through successfully, it will also reach the ideal target zone of the bullish structure, so new long transactions need to observe whether it can stabilize above the downward trend line, otherwise it should not be too optimistic.
⚠️Note that if the downward trend line cannot be successfully broken through, we need to be wary of the risk of further decline.
Let’s see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
EURNZD Wave Analysis – 2 April 2025
- EURNZD reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 1.8700
EURNZD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area located between the resistance level 1.9100 (which stopped the earlier sharp upward impulse wave I at the start of March) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier short-term impulse wave iii of the upward impulse wave 3 from the end of February.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.9100, EURNZD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.8700.
Nifty - Awaiting the Fifth Wave for a BreakoutNifty recently hit a low of 21,905 , marking a key reversal point in the trend. A well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is emerging, with the right shoulder currently forming. The ongoing pullback has retraced to the 38.2% level, but there is potential for it to extend towards the 50% mark at 22,906 . However, the upward move appears to be losing momentum, with buying interest remaining subdued.
Based on the chart, the head of the pattern signifies the beginning of a new impulse wave. This appears to be the fourth wave within the larger first wave. Once Nifty completes this corrective phase, the fifth wave is expected to present a trading opportunity. If wave equality holds, Nifty could potentially rise to 24,857 .
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Break Out Setup – 42150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearih Break out Setup – 41730 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19100
Key Level / Equal Highs Formation
Strong Rejection from 18800 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 41740 : 42150 – Liquidity Engineered
BOS @ — 41750 | 42050 – Directional Shift Confirmed
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 March 17, 2025 – First Retest @ 41830
💯 March 20, 2025 – Second Retest @ 41830
💯 March 24, 2025 – Third Retest @ 41830
💯 March 31, 2025 – Fourth Retest @ 41830
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Be cautious when bullish on gold at high levels, as it may fall!In the long run, although there may be a short-term correction, fundamental factors still support gold. Global inflation concerns, monetary policy shifts in major economies, and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to provide upward momentum for gold prices, but we need to be wary of the risk of shock adjustments after a rapid rise in prices.
Personal operation analysis:
Lightly short selling idea around 3135, stop loss at 3043, take profit around 3100----3095, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
BTC - Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG) Incoming?This 4-hour BTC/USDT chart highlights a key resistance zone where Bitcoin is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
Key Observations:
🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is nearing an area of unfilled liquidity, a common reversal zone.
🔹 Potential Rejection: A move into the FVG could trigger sell orders, leading to a downturn.
🔹 Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds, BTC may resume its downward movement, possibly targeting lower support levels.
Will Bitcoin push through or face rejection? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
NCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionNCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.9
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 212.70
Entry limit range ~ 212.50 to 209.50 (Avg. - 211) on April 02, 2025 at 12:53 PM.
1. Target limit ~ 223 (+5.69%; +12 points)
2. Target limit ~ 233 (+10.43%; +22 points)
Stop order limit ~ 206.5 (-2.13%; -4.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Fcpo prediction this week until closing contractYesterday market open with the gap up..my prediction price will be collect price at bellow before go to higher price,because still have few spot price haven’t collect yet..like got few fair value gap haven’t collect..
This is the spot price maybe will collect before go up trend.
4536 - 4534
4424 - 4418
4314 - 4310
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the Markets today, with our analysis playing out perfectly completing our 1h chart idea.
After completing 3090, 3103 and 3117, we stated that the lock above opened 3128 and just fell short and we were looking to buy dips to complete this target. This played out perfectly hitting this target and completing the chart idea.
We will update a new 1h chart idea later this week and in the mean time, please refer to our multi time frame chart ideas (weekly), that we shared Sunday, which are still in play.
BULLISH TARGET
3090 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide
(Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results)
Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset.
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Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work
Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average!
Example:
- Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators.
- Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators.
If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this.
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The Pivot Point Method for Calibration
One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step:
Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart
Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings.
How to Add ZigZag on TradingView :
1. Open your chart.
2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it.
3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters).
The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys).
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Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market
Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle.
Example :
- If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars.
- If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars.
In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots.
Formula for Indicator Settings :
- RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
- MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8
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Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators
Backtest on TradingView :
1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings.
2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve.
Look For :
- Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early).
- Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves).
---
Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules)
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Half the average cycle length.
- Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto).
2. MACD
- Default : 12, 26, 9.
- Calibrated :
- Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle.
- Slow EMA = ½ of cycle.
- Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle.
- Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3.
Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts.
3. Williams %R
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle).
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How to Avoid Common Mistakes
Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past)
- Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future.
- Fix : Test on 2 types of data:
1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate).
2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works).
Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes
- Problem : What works today might not work next month.
- Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes).
---
Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed)
1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts
Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested).
2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators
Try pre-built adaptive indicators like:
- Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility.
- Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
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Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System
Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method :
1. Add ZigZag to your chart.
2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings.
3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD.
Example :
- Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12.
- Calibrated RSI = 6 days.
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Why This Works (Without the Math)
Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings.
The Science Behind It
When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm:
- Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time
- Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster
- Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately
---
A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration
For even better results, calibrate across timeframes:
1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading
2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading
3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation
---
Final Tips for Beginners
1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first.
2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations.
3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets.
4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it.
Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/JPY: Bullish Continuation SetupDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions.
In my analysis of EUR/JPY, the market appears to be maintaining a bullish trend on the four-hour timeframe. The recent price action suggests that the upward momentum is still intact, and I believe the market is showing potential for continued long positions, unless price action indicates otherwise.
Starting on the four-hour chart, I observed that the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers are still in control. Moving down to the one-hour timeframe, we can see the formation of key supply and demand zones that could present opportunities for traders to enter long positions at favourable prices.
This setup appears to be well-suited for traders looking to capitalize on the bullish trend, especially if the market retests demand zones for a potential entry.
Gold is under dark clouds, waiting for opportunitiesThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold bulls have suffered heavy losses. After gold rebounds and repairs, we can only continue to short. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3110, and now it has fallen below. Then gold 3110 has formed an effective suppression in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3110, sl: 3120, tp: 3090
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum.
Here are two possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+.
❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉