XAUUSD - Eyes on 3,392 USDAfter breaking out of a multi-day downtrend channel, XAUUSD confirmed a strong bullish breakout and surged toward the 3,333 USD level.
Now, the market appears to be entering a healthy pullback phase, likely revisiting the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 support zone between 3,302 and 3,315 USD before continuing higher.
If this support holds firm, the next upside targets are:
🎯 TP1: 3,358 USD
🎯 TP2: 3,392 USD
Let’s see how price reacts — stay sharp and trade safe!
Community ideas
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📊 Core Inflation Edges Higher
May’s core inflation rose unexpectedly to 2.7% year-over-year, up from 2.6%, casting uncertainty over the Fed’s timeline for rate cuts. While headline CPI sits at 2.3%, the resilience in underlying prices complicates policymakers’ projections for later this year
💵 Weak Dollar, Rising Rate-Cut Bets
Markets are reacting to “summertime data”—like the core CPI uptick—with renewed optimism. Traders now see up to 75 bps in Fed rate cuts later this year, while the dollar remains near 3½-year lows on concerns about Powell’s independence and trade developments
🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Resume
Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada restarted today, following Ottawa’s suspension of its digital-services tax. Progress toward a broader agreement could reduce tariff risk and offer further relief to risk assets
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, July 1:
All Day – U.S.–Canada Trade Talks
Markets will watch for updates on tariff resolution and broader trade deals. Any breakthrough could notably boost equities and improve trade sentiment.
10:00 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (June)
A below-50 reading again would reinforce the narrative of industrial weakness. A rebound could support equities and temper recession concerns
10:00 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (May)
Still at elevated levels (~7.39 million in April), this metric assesses labor-market resilience. A decline could shift rate-cut expectations.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
GBPUSD: Targeting 1.4200 Swing Move Target! Swing Trading GBPUSD: We’ve identified a key reversal zone where our long-term take-profit target is set at 1.4200. This is a long-term approach, but in the short term, we could target 1.3900, which is a reasonable take-profit area. Before taking any buying entry, please do your own analysis.
Good luck and trade safely!
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KULR | High-Growth Channel Reversal – Targets +298% to +2,368%📍 Ticker: AMEX:KULR (KULR Technology Group, Inc.)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: $7.11
📈 Pattern: Rising parallel channel with bullish consolidation
🔍 Technical Setup:
AMEX:KULR is respecting a clean ascending channel since early 2023 and is currently consolidating just above key support and the lower trendline, forming a launch base.
🔵 Key Resistance: $6.51 has flipped to support
📈 Price bounced from demand zone + holding mid-channel
📊 Volume profile supports accumulation at lows
🧠 Trade Plan & Dynamic Stop:
📥 Entry Zone: $6.80–$7.20
⛔ Trailing Stop: A few % below the lower rising trendline
→ Trail it dynamically as the channel rises (e.g. ~4–7% buffer under trendline)
🎯 Targets & ROIC:
🎯 Target 1: $9.45
→ Return: +31.3%
🎯 Target 2: $28.81
→ Return: +305.1%
🎯 Target 3 (Channel Top): $168.12
→ Return: +2,268%
⚠️ Key Technical Notes:
Bullish retest of major breakout zone ($6.50) is holding
Trendline structure is strong → perfect for trend-following strategy
Trailing stop method protects gains without prematurely exiting
Momentum expected to increase above $9.00
💬 Is KULR about to explode higher with the next growth leg?
Watch for confirmation above $9.50 for breakout acceleration.
#KULR #ChannelBreakout #SmallCapTech #ExplosiveSetup #TrendTrading #TargetTraders
Tron (TRX): Buyers Are Getting Ready For Breakout | +40% ComingTron coin is seeing a decent volume of buys recently, and we are still expecting to see a volatile breakout, which would give us an opening and potential of 40% movement from here, so we wait for BREAK OF STRUCTURE.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
Possible Movement of Silver: Watch the Golden Zone RetestSilver has broken above a two-top downtrend with a strong bullish impulse, marked by a long white candle. Currently, it appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern. A break below the neckline and the supporting uptrend could lead price back to the golden zone—around the base of the breakout candle—before resuming its upward move toward the main target near $39.
Chainlink, The Fed, Vanguard, Crypto & Apple"Buy the rumor, sell the fact." The market tends to price-in an event before it happens. I am talking about the reduction in interest rates. The participants are aware that there will be a reduction in interest rates by the Fed and this is bullish and so buying starts to happen much sooner compared to the announcement of the actual event. By the time the event becomes a reality, it is already priced-in. Meaning...
Chainlink is bullish now and the chart is the same as HIVEUSDT, which I shared just now, and many other altcoins. This is good because we know what happens next. If there are other pairs with the same chart but moving up, moving ahead, then we know that these two and all those other staying behind will also follow, makes sense? Sure it does. We are all one. What one does, the rest follows.
Chainlink (LINKUSDT) is set to grow. Easy to see, higher highs and higher lows.
Will the market go up because of the Fed? We can say so before or after the event, right now the only important action is to buy-and-hold. It is important to be fully invested in Crypto, because Crypto is outperforming every other risk-asset in the entire world. You want be in in the market that is about to pay. You don't want to be holding bonds or index funds, that's a huge mistake. You buy these stuff to make money, you can make with Crypto in 6 months what an index fund (Vanguard SPX) will pay in a decade... Do the math, are you a young adult, are you smart? If you are, take action now before it is too late.
Your choice of course. Imagine the people in the 80s investing in Gold rather than Google, Microsoft and Apple... Big mistake.
Namaste.
NFE | Long-Term Falling Wedge Reversal – 10X Over 39 months📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:NFE (New Fortress Energy Inc.)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: $3.34
📊 Volume: 829K
📈 Time Horizon: 39 months (~Q4 2028)
🔍 Technical Setup:
NASDAQ:NFE has formed a classic falling wedge over multiple quarters and is now attempting a long-term reversal from a compressed base. The structure suggests explosive upside potential if recovery unfolds as mapped.
🔻 Massive wedge complete
🟢 Accumulation phase after capitulation
📐 Breakout path projects full reversion to long-term resistance line
🧠 Targets & Return on Invested Capital (ROIC):
📥 Entry Zone: $3.00–$3.50
⛔ Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $1.65 (wedge structure failure)
🎯 Target 1: $6.89
→ ROIC: +105.6%
🎯 Target 2: $8.26
→ ROIC: +145.5%
🎯 Target 3: $11.10
→ ROIC: +230%
🎯 Target 4: $16.24
→ ROIC: +383%
🎯 Target 5: $24.97
→ ROIC: +643%
🎯 Target 6: $32.48
→ ROIC: +866%
🎯 Target 7: $39.68
→ ROIC: +1081%
⚠️ Key Insights:
Technical compression resolved upward = breakout watch
Price > $4.00 could initiate strong upside wave
Attractive for long-duration swing traders and structured LEAP positions
Rare asymmetric opportunity within energy sector
💬 Will NFE reclaim its prior cycle highs over the next 3 years?
Follow us and track the setup as it unfolds.
#NFE #TechnicalSetup #WedgeBreakout #LongTermTrade #EnergyStocks #TargetTraders #10xOpportunity
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Buy trade setup:
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🟢 Trade Type: Buy (Long)
Entry Price: 3321
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🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 3330 (9 pips gain)
2. TP2: 3340 (19 pips gain)
3. TP3: 3350 (29 pips gain)
---
🔴 Stop Loss:
SL: 3305 (16 pips risk)
---
📊 Risk-Reward Ratios:
TP1: ~1:0.56
TP2: ~1:1.19
TP3: ~1:1.81
---
✅ Analysis:
The setup shows a moderate risk with potential for compounding gains.
Ensure there's enough momentum or support confirmation at or around 3321.
Your stop loss is fairly tight (16 pips) — consider volatility during news hours (like NFP or Fed announcements).
---
Would you like a chart analysis, help with position sizing, or automating this setup (e.g., for MetaTrader/TradingView)?
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection Y
Levels 4,17
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Smart Money Concepts or Inner Circle Trade methodologies.Key Zones and Annotations
FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Marked in green:
Represents an imbalance in price (gap between candles).
Price often returns here to “fill” or mitigate that inefficiency.
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) – Marked in blue near the $3,340 area:
Indicates an area above recent highs where stop-losses (liquidity) might be resting.
This area is often targeted before reversals.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) – Marked in red near the $3,270 area:
Represents liquidity below recent lows.
This is a potential bearish target.
Structure Labels
LL (Lower Low), LH (Lower High), HH (Higher High), HL (Higher Low):
Used to track market structure direction (bearish/bullish trend).
ChoCH (Change of Character):
Indicates a shift in market structure, typically a sign of a trend reversal.
Price Projection
The projected path shows a short-term move upward toward the BSL region (~$3,340), suggesting liquidity grab or premium pricing area.
Then, a bearish reversal is projected targeting the SSL zone (~$3,270), suggesting a potential drop after the BSL is taken.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a short-term bullish move to clear buy-side liquidity followed by a bearish continuation targeting lower liquidity zones. This type of analysis is commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodologies.
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
If you like the way I present and analyze, make sure to boost,
share and follow me for more future posts, ideas and useful informations.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- USDCHF falling inside a minor impulse wave
- Likely to fall to support level 0.7900
USDCHF currency pair is falling strongly inside the minor impulse wave 3, which recently broke the daily down channel from the start of May.
The breakout of this down channel follows the earlier breakout of the key support level 0.8055 (which stopped the previous impulse waves (1) and i).
Given the strong daily downtrend and the continuous outflows from US dollar or risk-on mood, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.7900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
BTC Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Since the red arrow was placed on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish phase has ended and it has entered a corrective phase. This correction appears to be forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently in the middle of wave E.
After interacting with the demand zone, the price may move toward the specified targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You