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NASDAQ 100 at Heavy Supply – Time to Sell the Top?The US100 (NASDAQ) has entered a strong supply zone near 21,800, and history suggests this is no time to get greedy… 🧠 Key Observations: Price is now inside a critical resistance area marked by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator. We've had multiple rejections at this level going back to March. Momentum is slowing even as price pushes higher — divergence alert 🚨 📉 Potential Drop Zones: 21,765 = immediate resistance-turned-support to watch 19,185 = former consolidation + breakout base (likely bounce zone) 16,948 = demand cluster where bulls are likely to reload 📆 Timing Is Key: With macro catalysts (⚡🌍📰) scheduled in the coming week — including inflation and Fed signals — volatility could spike and force a sharp move down if sellers take control. --- 📌 My Setup: If price fails to break and hold above 21,800, I’m watching for bearish confirmation to short, targeting 19,185 short-term and 16,948 mid-term. --- 💬 What’s your take on NASDAQ? Do you trust this breakout or is it just another bull trap? 👉 Comment below, leave a ❤️ if this helped, and follow for more chart breakdowns.
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14
Continue to short gold Gold rebounded from around 3315 and has now reached above 3340. According to the current structure, gold tends to rebound upward. But the characteristics of the recent market trends are also very obvious. Gold has risen with difficulty, but has retreated very quickly! Overall, there was no continuation in the process of long and short games, which was disorderly fluctuation. According to the current structure, as long as gold cannot break through the 3350-3355 area and the bulls have not completely gained the upper hand, gold still has the potential to go down and test the 3320-3310 area again. Therefore, for short-term trading, we should not chase gold too much, and we can still try to short gold with the 3345-3355 area as resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/06/2025Nifty opened with a slight gap-up near the 25100 level, continuing its recent pattern of consolidation. Despite the positive opening, the index remains well within its established range, suggesting that market participants are still awaiting a decisive breakout. There are no major changes observed in key support or resistance levels compared to the previous sessions, reinforcing the view that the market is currently lacking strong directional momentum. On the upside, if Nifty sustains above the 25100–25250 zone, it could attempt a move toward 25350, followed by 25400 and potentially 25450+. However, this upward move will require strong follow-through buying to break the current consolidation zone. Until then, any intraday rallies may face resistance near the 25250 mark, making it a crucial level to watch for bulls. Conversely, failure to hold above the 25200–25250 region could lead to a reversal toward 25150, and if selling pressure intensifies, a further decline toward 25100 and 25050 may unfold. These levels are important short-term supports and have previously acted as buying zones. A break below 25050 may open the gates for deeper cuts, though that remains unlikely unless broader market sentiment weakens.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
BTC - Short Play - Market Structure UpdateMarket Structure Update: As we continue forming the right side of the current market structure, several key levels emerge as critical points of control. It's important to highlight that the current formation is mirroring the left side of the structure, and we are now approaching the midpoint of the cycle. Based on this mirroring cycle, we anticipate downward movement today and tomorrow as the structure progresses toward completion. --- 🔻 Short Entry Zones A close or wick below the following levels would confirm potential short entries: 109.6k – Left-side structure wick 109.3k – Structural support 108.2k – Key breakdown level --- 🎯 Short Targets If confirmed, potential downside targets include: 108.3k 105.3k 104.6k 103.2k 102k 101.4k 100.3k --- 🔺 Important Levels to Monitor (If Uptrend Momentum Builds) In the event of a bullish breakout, keep an eye on: 110.7k – All-Time High wick, right side of structure 111.9k – Wick just below ATH (May 25th), key structural zone Stay alert. "As Above, So Below." — ZemoG Trading Group
Short
by ZemoGTradingGroup
ETHUSDT - Rare Flat Range + Potential Wyckoff SpringUnusually flat range – ETH has spent -30 days- oscillating between ≈ $2 470 (support) and $2 780 (resistance). Tight “boxes” of this length are uncommon in crypto and often precede explosive moves. Spring attempt – Price just dipped below the range low on elevated volume. If it snaps back inside, Wyckoff theory calls this a Spring (Phase C of Accumulation). Liquidity grab – The wick beneath support flushed late longs & triggered stops, handing larger players cheap inventory—classic shake-out behavior. Confirmation Criteria Volume Reclaim on high buy volume Retest Behavior Low-volume retest into $2,470 = healthy Structure 1H higher low (HL) during reclaim Sentiment Perps short-heavy = fuel for squeeze
Long
by PaulV
1
Crude oil rose as expected 💡Message Strategy OPEC’s crude output increase in May was lower than required by the OPEC+ agreement, which had planned to increase production sharply last month. The five OPEC members that pledged to cut production in the OPEC+ agreement and are now gradually lifting the cuts had to increase production by a combined 310,000 barrels per day, but according to data from oil flow tracking companies and surveys of sources at OPEC, oil companies and consultancies, they only increased production by 180,000 barrels per day. This was because Iraq cut production to make up for a long period of overproduction, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE increased production by less than their target levels, the survey found. Saudi Arabia had the largest increase in May compared to April. According to the survey, OPEC's largest producer and de facto leader, as well as the leader of the OPEC+ alliance, increased production by 130,000 barrels per day. This is also one of the driving forces accelerating gold's rise 📊Technical aspects WTI crude oil prices finally extended their upward momentum. However, crude oil prices have risen as tensions in the US-China trade war ease and global oil demand recovers from tariff-related pressures. From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is hovering around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly fluctuating and rising. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 70 line The short-term (2H) trend of crude oil continued to rise. The oil price encountered resistance near 65.40, and the K-line crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective upward trend changed. The second large real negative line formed the main rhythm. It is expected that the crude oil trend will further fall to around 64.50 during the day, and then restart the upward momentum. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 64.50-65.00，65.00-65.30
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
#DOGS/USDT#DOGS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0001575. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend. We are in a trend of consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.0001604 First target: 0.0001656 Second target: 0.0001656 Third target: 0.0001680
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSDPrice has recently retraced to a key support zone and is showing bullish structure on the lower timeframes. A long position is anticipated based on the confluence of the Fibonacci retracement and recent bullish momentum. Entry: Buy EUR/USD at current market price or upon confirmation of bullish candlestick pattern near the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone. Partial Take Profit: Secure partial profits at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous swing move. Final Take Profit: Trail remaining position toward the 100% extension or next significant resistance. Stop Loss: Below the 61.8% retracement or just under recent swing low for risk management. Rationale: Bullish order flow combined with Fibonacci confluence suggests a potential continuation move to the upside. Taking partial profits at the 50% level ensures capital protection while allowing room for extended gains.
Long
by mwananukachabota
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down. 🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025) The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players. Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility. This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price. Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next. 🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025) The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area. Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad. This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action. Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest. 🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025) A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally. Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back. This gave a textbook smart money entry. Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction. 🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025) Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure. This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending. After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders. 🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price) Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450. This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily. However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge. Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow. 🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800) The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis. Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong. This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab). 📌 Key Levels Zone Price Range Role Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point 🧠 Strategy Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Complete Market Structure: Order Flow and Multiple TimeframesUnderstanding Market Structure: A Simplified Breakdown Market structure can seem complex at first glance. But when you break it down piece by piece, it becomes much simpler to understand. At its core, price action is a visual representation of human emotion and logistic balance. It’s both calculated and unpredictable. To truly grasp price action, we must begin by understanding the foundations of the market. 1. Sentiment In the beginning, there was just a single bar — whether on the 1-minute, 1-hour, 1-day, or 1-week chart. That one bar only had one defining trait: direction. At this early point, there was no trend, no supply or demand zones — only bullish or bearish sentiment. Over time, as more bars formed, sentiment shifted. What was once bullish became bearish, or vice versa. This shift gave rise to a new phenomenon: engulfment . 2. Engulfment An engulfment occurs when one candle overtakes the previous one, signifying a strong shift in sentiment. When this happened for the first time, it created what we now call an order block around the engulfed candle. The engulfment generated a gap, which led to an imbalance in the market. Naturally, price tends to return to fill this gap to regain balance. Often, price will later engulf back in the original direction, continuing the cycle. 3. Order Flow / Sequence As more bars appeared, patterns began to form. Series of bullish bars created bullish order flow, and bearish sequences formed bearish order flow. These sequences, when viewed on higher timeframes, appeared as single candles. As these larger candles began to engulf each other, it triggered a new surface-level event: bullish sequences began overtaking bearish ones, and vice versa. This is what I call internal shifting . 4. Internal Shifting Through internal shifting — where sequences start overtaking each other — the chart begins to display more defined highs and lows. These fluctuations deepen as order flow keeps switching back and forth. Eventually, the structure is no longer just internal. Highs and lows start breaking, and broader, more visible structures form. 5. Highs, Lows, and Breaks of Structure (BoS) As this cycle continues, the external structure of a timeframe emerges. Highs get higher, then lower, and this alternation continues. The result is a zigzag pattern — the hallmark of market structure. But this structure is not random. It’s the collective output of sentiment shifts, engulfments, sequences, internal shifts, and breaks of structure, all working together to create the full picture. 6. Multi-Timeframe Principles In simple terms, the external structure of a smaller timeframe is just a more detailed (fractal) version of its higher timeframe. Likewise, the internal structure of a given timeframe is the external structure of its lower timeframe. This creates multiple perspectives of the same phenomena, depending on scale. 7. Same Concepts, Different Scales What’s called an order block on a higher timeframe may be known as a supply or demand zone on a lower timeframe. An engulfment on a higher timeframe can appear as a sequential engulfment on a lower one. An internal shift on a lower timeframe might just be a pullback when viewed from above. If you go two timeframes apart — say, from low to medium to high — you’ll notice even more complexity. For instance, a higher timeframe order block becomes a premium/discount zone in the lowest of those three timeframes. 8. Low, Medium, and High Timeframes: The Complete Picture By analyzing the market using three timeframes in unison, you can establish a complete view of market structure. When you truly understand this approach, trading becomes more strategic. Your setups gain better risk-to-reward ratios, and consistent profitability becomes more achievable. Market structure is both logically and emotionally driven — simple, yet intricate. And while we’ve covered the logical side, the emotional side lies in trading psychology — a topic I’ll be exploring in detail next. Want to apply this concept using indicators? I've developed custom indicators that reflect the principles explained above. If you'd like to see how this theory works in practice, check out my TradingView page : The_Forex_Steward , where you can access these tools.
by The_Forex_Steward
Can EUR/USD Break Through the Range Constraint?The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation trend, currently trading around 1.1400. The dovish statements from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are offset by the positive economic signals in the Eurozone, leading to a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. In the short term, the EUR/USD exchange rate is expected to remain in a narrow range consolidation pattern. Technically, the exchange rate needs to break through the recent high to sustain the upward momentum; otherwise, it may return to the broader range of 1.12-1.15. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
by Ashbur