US30 Trade Idea 29 Oct 2024 (Time Frame H1)The chart you've shared shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on a 1-hour time frame. Here's a breakdown of the analysis, based on what I can see:
Observations:
Elliott Wave Count: The chart has Elliott Wave annotations, specifically identifying a correction pattern (labeled a, b, c) followed by a possible impulsive move (labeled i, ii, iii, iv, v).
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Multiple Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn, suggesting potential areas for price reversals. Key levels are marked at 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786.
Projected Path: The white zig-zag line projects a possible upward trend following the completion of the current wave structure, with a target above the 0.5 or 0.618 retracement levels.
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator below shows values near the oversold region, which could indicate that a reversal is near.
Potential Trade Idea:
Entry: Wait for a confirmation of the fifth wave completion (v) near the support zone or Fibonacci extension levels (like 1.23 or 1.618). If the price holds and begins to turn upwards, it could signal the start of an upward impulsive move.
Target: Initial targets could be set at the Fibonacci retracement levels, such as 0.382 (42,413), 0.5 (42,393), or 0.618 (42,373). A stronger move could aim toward the higher Fibonacci levels.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent low, possibly below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level (42,203), to limit downside risk.
This analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal setup after wave completion. Make sure to monitor the price action for confirmation before entering a trade, and adjust risk management based on market conditions.
Happy trading and trade wisely guys..
Community ideas
U.S. Index Futures Eye Key Pivot Ahead of ElectionU.S. Index Futures Eye Key Pivot Ahead of Election
U.S. stock index futures surged on Monday, poised to recoup some losses from a turbulent trading week as investors prepared for key corporate earnings and the final phase before the Nov. 5 presidential election.
Technical Analysis:
After pulling back from the Support zone around 5803, the price will touch the 5863 and then will drop again by stability under it.
If the price holds below the Resistance line, it could drop to 5803.
Breaks the liquidity Zone which is between 5863 and 5891 it could push up toward 5939
Watch for confirmation at the liquidity zone for a bullish breakout or breakdown from the support line for further downside movement.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5863
Resistance Levels: 5891, 5939
Support Levels: 5825, 5803, 5781
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 5863
Bullish above 5863
AMDs not doneFor the most 2024, AMD has taken a seat back in the market - being up less than 6% YTD - while wall street AI darling NASDAQ:NVDA has enjoyed major growth, rallying up over 140% YTD. Although AMD is known for having one of the most overvalued Forward P/E ratios, from a technical perspective and overall market outlook for Q4 2024, I think there is still some room for AMD to climb higher.
Since Q4 2022, AMD has remained within this rising channel testing support and resistance in a series of higher highs and higher lows, and currently sits at a key support area on the weekly chart. AMD's 246B "miniscule" market cap compared to NVDA's 2.9T requires less trading volume to see a significant move up, and with rate cuts tipped in the markets favor for Q4, I think we can easily see a 175$ - 185$ AMD by years end. It’s also good to see that Trading View’s current analyst rating sports AMD as a “buy”, while the average 1Y price forecast sits at 186$.
A lot of people cover this so stock so I will be looking to cover this on a weekly basis. Best of luck!
audusd buy signal
. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
close signal 👇👇👇
US100 NEXT STEPAfter a successful long entry for today, US100 will reach a HH, reaching at the same time a KL and an uptrend limit ;
Then it is to plunge back to re establish the RSI which will drop a lot, showing a new HH coming soon after.
Remember : this is a 1D uptrend case, no matter what happens, it is going up after.
Trading Signal For JASMYUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the JASMYUSDT JasmyCoin (Spot) (4h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.01822
⭕️SL @ 0.01722
🔵TP1 @ 0.02193
🔵TP2 @ 0.02543
🔵TP3 @ 0.03165
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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nice sell opportunityThe Swiss Franc pair is usually used as a carry trade.
The Swiss Franc is considered as a safe currency during unstable economic times and the Australian Dollar is a more responsive one to global economic conditions.
The AUDCHF pair is often used as a measuring stick for global economic performance.
and as you know , how is the global economy ?
beside all these CHF has reached an oversold area so AUDCHF could be a fantastic and high performance pair .
lets see ...
GBP/NZD Ready For Some Bullish ActionGoing long on GBPNZD for 3 reasons
1. Breakout Confirmation
2. Inverted H/S neckline breakout confirmation
3. 1:2 Risk to Reward.
Price may continue to move higher if the data release doesn't mess stuff up for the pair this week.
Note: Trade with caution and manage your position volume wisely.
SMCI $60 EASY THEN MUCH MORE.. READ THE IDEA. pls.... SMCI IS THE ONE I AM BETTING WILL POP THE MOST. The delays in filling are nothing more than growing pains. Read this report entirely, so that you get the idea. MSCI fundamentals are as strong as ever.
The rest is secondary, it is sales and revenue all that matters, the delays have been explained. The endorsement is NVDA, the super star of companies. The Hindenburg Report ruffled feathers, the feathers of limelight seekers at the SEC, the 3 minutes of fame. A nothing burger in the end. Meanwhile, what a gift. Finally a lotto ticket with great odds.
SMCI Super Micro - regulatory filing this and that, what maters is how good their products are and how much they have sold. The answers to these to premises, is a lot. And a lot means return on investment. The delay filling is likely the product of extreme difficulty in reporting compliance. Did you know this same issue is facing thousands of companies around the world. It seems that the global IQ has declined, hehe, no no for real, and number crunchers need to be extremely analytical, the things is that analyticals make much more in other professions, and what is left is deficient.
I know full well that SMCI will file what it needs to file, but I also know their products are second to none, and that means caching for the shares.
The background and preamble:
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is delaying its filing of the annual 10-K report due to several issues:
Internal Control Assessment: SMCI has stated that additional time is needed for management to complete its assessment of the design and operating effectiveness of its internal controls over financial reporting as of June 30, 2024
Accounting and Financial Reporting Concerns: A report by Hindenburg Research alleged accounting manipulation, including premature revenue recognition and undisclosed related-party transactions. These allegations have raised concerns about the company's financial practices and contributed to the delay
Regulatory and Legal Scrutiny: The delay has attracted regulatory attention, including a non-compliance notice from Nasdaq, which requires SMCI to file the report or submit a compliance plan within 60 days from the notice date. Additionally, there is an ongoing investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice into the company
These factors have collectively contributed to SMCI's decision to delay filing its annual report.
Key Dates
Original due date: August 29, 2024
Non-compliance notice date: September 17, 2024
60-day deadline: Approximately November 16, 2024 (60 days from the notice date)
Maximum potential extension: Approximately February 25, 2025 (180 days from the original due date).
SMCI
Potential Accounting Issues
The delay comes amid allegations of accounting irregularities:
On August 27, 2024, short-seller Hindenburg Research published a report accusing SMCI of "glaring accounting red flags" and engaging in a "fraudulent revenue recognition scheme"
Hindenburg claimed SMCI was prematurely recording revenue for equipment that could not be delivered or installed, and booking revenue for faulty or incomplete products
I beleive that SMCI is growing so fast, and that massive growth ia generating issues in the process, issues that many companies face, however, in the case of SMCI considering Hindenburgs Opportunistic take on markets, saw SMCI and NVDA at a fractal pivot point and the took advantage, however, as SMCI is an illiquid stock, especially before the split, they had to put another bullet to tranquilize the herd and now cause it to come back and buy all the shares bach much faster giving them no change to adjust. Like what just happened to tesla for example.
All these accusations lead to ..... Regulatory Scrutiny.
Regulatory Scrutiny
The filing delay has attracted regulatory attention:
SMCI received a notification from Nasdaq on September 17, 2024 stating that the company is not in compliance with Nasdaq listing rule 5250(c)(1), which requires timely filing of periodic reports with the SEC
On September 26, 2024, it was reported that the U.S. Department of Justice had initiated an investigation into the company
So here is where we are.... SMCI is the working partner for NVDA and Charles Liang seems like a smart man. The SMCI servers sell super well.
I beleved SMCI is a super clean entity, and that they will comply with fillings, but what is much more relevant to me is cash made, and cash made with SMCI seems huge.
Gold - 29 october reviewForecasting 3% to 4% Profit-Taking Opportunities in Gold
Gold prices reached an all-time high today, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid the approaching, last week’s highly competitive U.S. presidential election.
Gold has been steadily reaching new record highs, while other precious metals have also seen gains. However, silver prices have faced resistance near their 52-week peak.
In 2024, gold and silver prices have increased by approximately 35% and 60%, respectively.
In morning today’s US sessions, December gold futures hit a record high of $2,783.95 per ounce, while spot gold prices climbed to $2,771.73 per ounce.
An economic downturn would alter the dynamics affecting the prices of precious metals both silver and gold. Gold was supported by safe-haven demand as the conflict in the Middle East continued. Traders were anticipating Israel's response to Iran following an attack in early October.
Additionally, a 25-basis point reduction by the ECB suggested that major global central banks were positioned to implement further rate cuts, creating a lower interest rate environment that is expected to benefit gold and other non-yielding assets.
Overall, gold prices are considered overbought, yet a combination of factors is driving the current rally.
Despite the strengthening U.S. dollar, gold prices continue to rise, highlighting the ongoing inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and gold, which adds downward pressure on gold prices.
A stronger U.S. dollar tends to make gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies, as gold is priced in dollars. When the dollar appreciates, it increases the cost of purchasing gold for foreign buyers, thereby reducing the metal's appeal as an investment. This inverse relationship between the dollar and gold often leads to decreased demand for the precious metal in times of dollar strength, as investors seek more affordable alternatives or move to other assets. Consequently, a rising dollar can weigh on gold prices, making it less attractive in global markets.
Short-term traders in the gold market are engaging in profit-taking, capitalizing on recent price increases. These traders, who typically seek to benefit from short-term fluctuations, are selling off their positions to lock in gains. This activity can temporarily pressure gold prices, creating volatility in the market, as selling momentum increases. Profit-taking is a common strategy when traders believe the asset may have reached or is approaching a life time high peak, signalling a potential pullback before prices stabilize or resume an upward trend.
Key Strategies Traders Should Consider Amid Gold Market Volatility
Considering recent market conditions, spot gold (XAUUSD) reached a high of $2,771.73 at morning US sessions, presenting a potential strategic entry opportunity for traders.
If profit-taking occurs and prices continue to fall, spot gold (XAUUSD) could test the 5-day moving average at $2,742.16. A break below this level may trigger a move towards the 20-day moving average at $2,685.32, with further declines potentially reaching the October 10 low of $2,604.15. On the other hand, if upward momentum persists, gold could attempt to set a new record high. However, based on my analysis, spot gold prices are expected to experience profit-taking, with a potential decline of around 3.00% to 4.00% from recent record highs in the coming days.
MCX December Gold Futures price of ₹79,277 per 10 grams reached an all-time high today, acts as a key entry point. Potential downside targets include ₹78,111 per 10 grams, the yesterday’s low. A breach of this level could lead to a test of last Week's low at ₹77,613 per 10 grams, with further declines possibly reaching 15th October’s low of ₹75,766 per 10 grams. A drop below this level would indicate a significant downtrend, with the next support likely around ₹74,757 per 10 grams, this month's low (October 10 low).
Holding Period – Maximum 2/3 weeks.
In conclusion, the current dynamics of the gold market suggest that traders should remain vigilant as profit-taking appears imminent, with expectations of a potential decline of 3% to 4% from recent highs. Key technical levels, including the 5-day and 20-day moving averages, will serve as crucial indicators for market direction. Should gold prices breach significant support levels, such as those observed last Thursday and Wednesday, it may trigger further declines, warranting careful consideration of entry and exit strategies. Conversely, if upward momentum resumes, there could be opportunities for new record highs. As always, a thorough analysis of market conditions, combined with a disciplined trading approach, will be essential for navigating the evolving landscape of gold investments.
Crude oil - selling pressure again?
Crude prices were firmer in early trade this morning, making back a proportion of yesterday’s sharp losses. The jump came after the US said that it plans to purchase crude oil to replenish its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But the gains so far fall well short of what’s needed to take crude back to Friday’s close which saw front-month WTI trading close to $72 per barrel. Oil gapped lower as it reopened on Sunday night as details emerged of Israel’s retaliation for Iran’s missile bombardment earlier this month. Israel’s attack focused on military targets, including Iranian air defences, as well as missile and drone production and launch facilities. There was widespread relief that Israel chose not to attack Iran’s oil and nuclear infrastructure, and this in turn could give Iran a way out from taking tit-for-tat measures with all the escalation risk such a move would have. So, with oil supply from the region still unaffected, and global demand growth forecast to slow further, it looks as if the path of least resistance is down, at least in the medium term. Front-month WTI could be in the process of completing a near-text book head and shoulders pattern, particularly if prices were to retest the September lows around $65.
Bitcoin to 68k - Bull flag** short term analysis - daily chart **
24 days have passed since RSI entered a downtrend channel. The channel resistance has now printed a breakout at the same time as price action from its resistance.
A bull flag print has now confirmed with the downtrend in price action. A measured move takes price action to the 68k area by the end of the month.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
BTCUSD 74500$-75000$After breaking the previous high, Bitcoin made a retest and started a new bullish consolidation. We also see a break of the upper trend line and a strengthening of the bullish momentum. Everything indicates that we will visit the ATH zone again and attack it to create a new one. The target is -0.618% Fibonacci level and $74600. It would be nice to see Bitcoin at $80,000 in December, and maybe even earlier.
Today GOLD Outlook With Classical Technical AnalysisAs you can see, the price looks like want to go higher but we can't forget that there was a very strong drop last week, then today we know that the market is make bullish structure but with a correction pattern, so I would expect it to go down first to the RBS (resistance become support) area
Let's see, it's just about probability
I would say 70% it will potentially go down and 30% it will go up