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XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello traders! check out my analysis and share your opinion in the comment section. current price: 2613 Gold is going to fly. Bulls are back and market has established a bullish parallel tradeline. today market has tested lowest position 2613 multiple times but seems unable to break the pattern. Now market will go further high if it reject this position and its first target will be 2640 and after breaking its resistance 2645 its next target will be 2664. key points: supporting area: 2607 Resistance area: 2643, 2664 Note: Target 1: 2640 Target 2: 2660 Stop Loss: 2592 kindly like, comment and follow me. thanks for your precious time.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Ibrahim_Gold_Traders
6
Santa Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock MarketsSanta Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock Markets in 2024 The Santa Claus rally is a well-known seasonal phenomenon where stock markets often see gains during the final trading days of December and the start of January. But what causes this year-end trend, and how does Christmas influence stock markets overall? In this article, we’ll explore the factors behind the rally, its historical significance, and what traders can learn from this unique period in the financial calendar. What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally, or simply the Santa rally, refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. For instance, Santa Claus rally dates for 2024 start on the 24th December and end on the 2nd January, with stock markets closed on the 25th (Christmas day) and the 28th and 29th (a weekend). First identified by Yale Hirsch in 1972 in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this phenomenon has intrigued traders for decades. While not a guaranteed outcome, it has shown a consistent pattern in market data over the years, making it a point of interest for those analysing year-end trends. In Santa rally history, average returns are modest but noteworthy. For example, per 2019’s Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has historically gained around 1.3% during this period, outperforming most other weeks of the year. Across the seven days, prices have historically climbed 76% of the time. This trend isn’t limited to the US; global indices often experience similar movements, further highlighting its significance. To check market dynamics, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. The Christmas rally in the stock market is believed to stem from several factors. Low trading volumes during the holiday season, as many institutional investors take time off, may reduce resistance to upward price movements. Retail investors, buoyed by end-of-year optimism or holiday bonuses, may drive additional buying. Additionally, some investors reposition portfolios for tax purposes or adjust holdings ahead of the new year, contributing to the upward momentum. However, this pattern is not immune to disruption. Broader economic events, geopolitical tensions, or bearish sentiment can easily override it. While the Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, it’s essential to view it as one piece of the larger market puzzle rather than a reliable signal on its own. Why Might the Santa Claus Rally Happen? The Santa Claus rally isn’t a random occurrence. Several factors, both psychological and practical, can drive this year-end market trend. While it doesn’t happen every year, when it does, there are usually clear reasons behind it. Investor Optimism and Holiday Sentiment The holiday season often brings a wave of positive sentiment. This optimism can influence traders to take a bullish stance, especially as many are eager to start the new year on a strong note. Retail investors, in particular, may view this period as an opportunity to position themselves for potential January gains. The festive atmosphere and the prospect of year-end “window dressing”—where fund managers buy well-performing stocks to improve portfolio appearances—can also contribute. Tax-Driven Portfolio Adjustments As the year closes, many investors engage in tax-loss harvesting, selling underperforming assets to offset taxable gains. Once these adjustments are complete, reinvestments into higher-performing or promising stocks may push markets higher. This activity can create short-term demand, fuelling upward momentum during the rally period. Lower Trading Volumes Institutional investors often step back during the holidays, leaving markets dominated by retail traders and smaller participants. Lower trading volumes can result in less resistance to price movements, making it easier for upward trends to emerge. With fewer large players balancing the market, price shifts may become more pronounced. Bonus Reinvestments and End-of-Year Contributions Many professionals receive year-end bonuses or make final contributions to retirement accounts during this period. Some of this money flows into the markets, adding buying pressure. This effect is particularly noticeable in December, as investors seek to capitalise on potential market opportunities before the year wraps up. How Christmas Impacts Stock Markets The Christmas period is unique in the trading calendar, shaping market behaviour in ways that stand out from other times of the year. While some effects align with holiday-driven sentiment, others reflect broader seasonal trends. Reduced Liquidity and Trading Volumes One of the most notable impacts of Christmas is the sharp decline in trading activity. This contributes to the Santa rally, with the largest market participants—institutional investors and professional traders—stepping away for the holidays. This thinner activity can lead to sharper price movements as smaller trades carry more influence. For example, stocks with lower market capitalisation may experience greater volatility during this time. Sector-Specific Strength The most popular Christmas stocks tend to be those in the consumer discretionary and retail sectors (though this isn’t guaranteed). The holiday shopping boom drives significant revenues for companies in these sectors, often lifting their stock prices. A strong showing in retail sales, especially in countries like the US, can bolster market indices tied to consumer spending. Many consider companies like Amazon and brick-and-mortar retailers to be among the most popular stocks to buy before Christmas, given they often see increased trading interest around the holidays and a potential Christmas rally. Economic Data Releases The Christmas season still sees the publication of economic indicators. While there are no specific year-end releases from government statistical bodies, some 3rd-party reports may have an impact. Likewise, scheduled publications, such as US jobless claims (every Thursday) or non-farm payrolls (the first Friday of each month), can affect sentiment. Positive data can provide an additional boost to stock markets in December. However, weaker-than-expected results can dampen enthusiasm, counteracting any seasonal cheer. International Variations While Western markets slow down for Christmas, other global markets may not follow the same pattern. For instance, Asian markets, where Christmas is less of a holiday, may see regular or even increased activity. This discrepancy can create interesting dynamics for traders who keep an eye on global portfolios. The "Post-Holiday Rebound" As Christmas wraps up, markets often experience a slight rebound leading into the New Year, driven by renewed investor activity. This period, while brief, is closely watched as it can set the tone for the opening days of January trading. Potential Risks and Considerations While the Santa Claus rally and year-end trends can be intriguing, they are far from guaranteed. Relying solely on these patterns without deeper analysis can lead to overlooked risks and missed opportunities. Uncertain Market Conditions Macro factors, like interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected economic data, can disrupt seasonal trends. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty, the optimism often associated with the holidays might not translate to market gains. Traders must account for these broader dynamics rather than assuming the rally will occur. Overemphasis on Historical Patterns Historical data can provide valuable insights, but markets evolve. A pattern that held up in past decades may not carry the same weight today due to shifts in investor behaviour, technological advancements, and globalisation. Traders focusing too heavily on past trends may miss the impact of more relevant, current developments. Low Liquidity Risks The reduced trading volumes typical of the holiday season can work both ways. While thin markets may allow for upward price movements, they can also lead to heightened volatility. A single large trade or unexpected event can swing prices sharply, posing challenges for those navigating the market during this time. Sector-Specific Sensitivity Sectors like retail and consumer discretionary often draw attention during December due to strong sales data. However, poor performance or weak holiday shopping figures can cause a ripple effect, dragging down not only individual stocks but broader indices tied to these sectors. FOMO and Overtrading The hype surrounding the Santa Claus rally can lead to overtrading or ill-timed decisions, particularly for less experienced traders. Maintaining a disciplined approach, potentially combined with clear risk management strategies, can potentially help mitigate this issue. The Bottom Line The Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, offering insights into how market sentiment and activity shift during the holidays. While not guaranteed, understanding these patterns can help traders develop their strategies. Whether you’re exploring seasonal trends in stock CFDs or other potential opportunities across forex and commodity CFDs, having the right platform is essential. Open an FXOpen account today to access more than 700 markets, four trading platforms, and low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the final week of December and the first two trading days of January. It’s a well-documented phenomenon, first identified by Yale Hirsch in the Stock Trader’s Almanac. While it doesn’t occur every year, Santa Claus rally history demonstrates consistent patterns, with the S&P 500 averaging a 1.3% gain during this period. What Are the Dates for the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally typically covers the final five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. The Santa Claus rally in 2024 starts on the 24th of December and ends on the 2nd of January. During this period, stock markets will be closed on the 25th (Christmas Day) and the weekend of the 28th and 29th. How Many Days Does the Santa Claus Stock Rally Take? The rally spans seven trading days: the last five of December and the first two of January. While its duration is fixed, the intensity and consistency of the trend vary from year to year. Is December Good for Stocks? Historically, December has been one of the strongest months for stock markets. Positive sentiment, strong retail performance, and tax-related portfolio adjustments often contribute to this trend. Is the Stock Market Open on Christmas? No, US and UK stock markets are closed on Christmas Day, with reduced hours on Christmas Eve. Historically, What Is the Best Day of December to Invest in the Stock Market? Financial markets bear high risks, therefore, there is no best day for trading or investing. According to theory, in December stock market history, the last trading day of the year has often been among the strongest, as investors position portfolios for the new year. However, results vary based on broader market conditions and a trader’s skills. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
6
PEPE Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!After breaking the ascending triangle, the price experienced significant growth. As you can see, the price has now dropped to the 0.618 Fibonacci line. Market volume indicates that the price may not be able to break above the 0.618 line, which means the price could drop to the 0.382 line before rising again. Previous analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
BTC.D Crumbles: Is the Ultimate Altseason About to Begin ?!!?1. **BTC.D Drops → Altcoins Rise**: - BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market share relative to the entire cryptocurrency market. A falling BTC.D typically means capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins, signaling increased altcoin strength. 2. **Recent BTC.D Context**: - The **rejection at 59.23% resistance** and breakdown below support (57.48%) indicate Bitcoin dominance is weakening. This often coincides with: - A **rotation into altcoins**, as traders seek higher ROI opportunities. - Altcoin outperformance during periods of bullish market sentiment or when Bitcoin consolidates. 3. **Supporting Indicators**: - **Volume Shift**: Rising altcoin volume (lower BTC.D) is a common precursor to an altcoin rally. - **RSI & CMF on BTC.D**: Weak momentum and capital inflow into altcoins align with BTC.D's bearish setup. 4. **Scenarios**: - **Altcoin Rally Catalyst**: If BTC.D continues breaking down, altcoins could capitalize, especially large-cap alts. - **Key Levels to Watch**: BTC.D support at 56.00%. If breached, altcoin dominance may rise sharply. Summary The current BTC.D setup hints at an ongoing **altcoin season** if dominance continues falling, provided overall market sentiment remains bullish.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by vagada
2
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars. previous analyses Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Mobileye & Honda Partnership? Massive move ahead!MOBILEYE - NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘 A partnership between HONDA and MOBILEYE could potentially result in a massive $10-30 billion deal over ten years, or even shorter time frames with the same extrapolated value. 🚀 Base Case Added Revenue: $1B/year Current 2024 Revenue: $1.7B New Potential Revenue: $2.7B/year minimum with just one partnership! To put this into perspective, let's consider the old Honda deal with GM's Cruise, which was cut short and is now over six years old. Technological Advancements A LOT of advancements in Full-Self Driving (FSD) and Autonomous Vehicle (AV) technology have occurred since then, friends! In October 2018, Honda partnered with General Motors (GM) and Cruise, agreeing to invest $2.75 billion over 12 years into GM Cruise, starting with an initial $750 million equity investment. This partnership aimed to develop and deploy autonomous vehicle technology on a large scale, though Honda recently ended the agreement. Conclusion If my gut, research, and the data at my fingertips are correct, not only will this deal between Honda and Mobileye be monumental, but it will also squeeze shorts to a pulp. Simultaneously, Wall Street will recognize the massive opportunities in FSD/AV technology beyond NASDAQ:GOOGL (Waymo) and $TSLA. This news could potentially take us to $25 or more in my opinion! And that's before any type of squeeze! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
3
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 24th DecemberNifty opened with gap-up around 23740 and after consolidating Nifty went up but 23870 acted as strong rejection zone and we saw more than 200 points fall from day high. Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 23830 for the targets of 23880 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23650 for the targets of 23590 and below marked level on the chart. Expectations: Volatile day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 23830 Sell Below - 23650 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
Trading MRI comprehensive trade analysis for BNZIBanzai International, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BNZI ) is a marketing technology company that provides essential marketing and sales solutions for businesses of all sizes. Recent acquisitions, financial restructuring, and a reverse stock split signal strategic shifts aimed at enhancing the company’s market position. However, its financial metrics reflect significant challenges, including negative operating, profit, and gross margins. Recent Stock Performance Closing Price (Dec 20, 2024): $1.71 (+5.56% from previous close of $1.62). Daily Trading Range: $1.63–$1.85. Volume: 4.07 million shares (below the 4.23 million average). Volatility: 5-day fluctuation: 16.33%. 30-day fluctuation: 11.04%. Moving Averages: +11.89% above 20-day SMA. -19.48% below 50-day SMA. -82.60% below 200-day SMA. 52-Week Range: -99.23% from 52-week high. +32.05% above 52-week low. Recent Company Developments Acquisitions: Vidello: Adds 6.5M in revenue and 2.3M in EBITDA (announced Dec 20, 2024). OpenReel: Enhances AI-powered marketing with enterprise video solutions (completed Dec 19, 2024). Debt Restructuring (Sept 2024): 5.6M liabilities written off; 19.2M restructured. Reverse Stock Split (Sept 19, 2024): 1-for-50 split to meet Nasdaq listing requirements. These developments indicate strategic efforts to stabilize operations and capture growth in the video marketing sector. Analysis Overview Daily Timeframe: Setup: Green Setup 3 progressing toward Green Setup 4. Trend: Bullish short-term, supported by price action above the 20-day SMA. Key Levels: Resistance at $1.85. Support at $1.60. Weekly Timeframe: Setup: Transition from Red Setup 8 to Green Setup 1. Trend: Strong reversal potential. Key Levels: Resistance at $1.80–$1.95. Support at $1.35. Monthly Timeframe: Setup: Red Setup progression from 2 to 4. Trend: Bearish continuation. Key Levels: Breakdown below $1.45 signals bearish dominance. Support at $1.30 and $1.20. snapshot Risk Assessment 1. Probabilities: Daily (Bullish): ~50.7% success rate. Weekly (Bullish Reversal): ~90% success rate. Monthly (Bearish Continuation): ~55.6% success rate. 2. Risk-Reward Ratios: Daily: 1:1.5 (moderate). Weekly: 1:2 (favorable). Monthly: 1:1.5 (moderate). 3. Trade Risks: Financial instability and operational losses may limit upside potential. Reverse stock split suggests efforts to manage compliance rather than growth. Trade Recommendations Daily Chart: Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 4. Entry: Above $1.75. Stop-Loss: Below $1.60. Targets: $1.85, $1.90. Weekly Chart: Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 2. Entry: Above $1.80. Stop-Loss: Below $1.35. Targets: $1.95, $2.00. Bold Prediction for Q1 2025 NASDAQ:BNZI Optimistic Scenario: If bullish reversals on daily and weekly charts are confirmed, supported by revenue growth from recent acquisitions: Target Price: $2.10–$2.20. Drivers: Growth in video marketing demand and operational cost savings from debt restructuring. Target Price: $2.10–$2.50 by Q2 2025. Pessimistic Scenario: If bearish continuation dominates, compounded by financial challenges: Target Price: $1.15–$1.25. Conclusion and Bold Prediction BNZI's stock performance in 2025 will hinge on the successful execution of its strategic initiatives and the market reception of its enhanced video marketing solutions. Optimistic Scenario: Integration of Vidello and OpenReel drives growth and operational efficiencies, potentially lifting the stock to $2.50 by mid-2025. Pessimistic Scenario: Continued financial losses and market volatility may push the stock to a low of $1.10 by mid-2025. Investors should monitor quarterly updates on revenue growth, profitability improvements, and operational synergies from recent acquisitions. This will provide crucial insights into the company's trajectory in 2025.
NASDAQ:BNZILong
by charts-tradingmri
1
BTC watch 90 then 85k: Targets for the well foreseen RetraceBTC peaked at a wave end point projected by our fibs. Retrace progressing with speed and very few bounces. Adding a retrace fib gives us a few key targets below. $ 88,976 - 90,177 is the Minimum Expected dip. $ 84,686 - 85,714 is the Strongest support below. $ 80,438 - 81,289 Speed Bump only, unlikely to hold. $ 77,179 - 77,672 is a MUST-Hold for bulls or its "ova". ================================================ Previous Analysis: Big Picture projection of 97.8k break and run to $105k Near term warning of possible top at $104-105k ==================================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
4
Are We at the Start of the Next Altseason?The chart showcases the Veselka system, which I’ve finally brought to completion. This system helps identify the specific phase of the cycle the cryptocurrency market is currently in. Take note that this system is demonstrated on the chart of one of the oldest altcoins — Dogecoin, whose history dates back to early 2014. As you can see, when the "Are you ready?" phase began, there was a very strong and rapid growth not only in Bitcoin’s chart but also in altcoin charts. In fact, this was the main growth phase for all coins — a very fast and explosive rally often referred to as altseason. If we trust this system and several other models, everything is still going according to plan, and we are currently in this phase, still relatively at the beginning.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
4