Community ideas
SYN about to trap some bullsWe've entered the orange structure and overshot our normal target due to consolidation in the B phase. However, the red sequence started prematurely, turning before reaching the reversal zone. This suggests the current structure may not follow typical patterns.
The forming green structure, with constantly lower lows in the X phase, is concerning, especially given Synapse's relatively new data and the untested equal lows acting like a magnet for liquidity.
Given my outlook on Bitcoin falling further, I expect the green structure to fail and the range low to be taken out before any bullish structures form. So, I'd advise caution: wait and see how the market reacts at the range low. Once we see a bullish structure, then it's time to trade. For now, patience is key.
Though Still Bullish but ...Though Still Bullish but there is a
Bearish Divergence on Monthly as well
as Weekly Time Frame; so one should stay
Cautious.
To remain Bullsih, it should Cross & Sustain
1190 - 1193. & if this level is Sustained, we
may witness 1380 - 1400+.
On the flip side, if 1000 is broken, we may see
Trend Reversal.
theta midterm sell"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Quick Short Trade Setup: 1:2 RR | 4H Downtrend Break+Confluence🔍 Trade Idea:
This setup is based on the break of a 4H downtrend, aligning with key confluence factors:
1️⃣ A support level near a previous demand zone.
2️⃣ The VWAP median support acting as an additional confirmation.
📊 Key Levels:
• Entry: On a confirmed bounce at VWAP median support.
• Stop-Loss: Tight stop 21.15.
• Target: 2x the risk for a 1:2 RR.
🕵️ Analysis:
Price action shows consolidation near support, indicating potential momentum shift. The downtrend break provides directional bias, with VWAP and support adding strength to the setup.
On a weekly level LINK has support on fib 0.382 retracement and the weekly support of 22.03. On HTF LINK is still bullish.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management and position sizing. This is a short-term trade idea and requires quick execution and monitoring.
**Disclaimer:**
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. I am not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of your trading or investment activities. Trade responsibly!
XAUUSD Price Breakout Next Target 2660 XAUUSD Gold Once again Grow Based on the market Condition From Last Days Price will Break From 2610 Then fallow the Market Condition Then Expected Next Target 2660 To Buy Side.
If You Are Trading or monitoring gold Prices keep eye on The Market interest Rates and Geopolitical events can heavily influence gold Prices.
Rate Share your Idea What's Going On Thanks.
Yo ho ho and a #BottledUp $RUM (Post IPO Phase Base?) Is this break out real? Paytience Pays as noted with SMCI today...
I do like the "somewhat" inverse head n shoulder base, but its definitely not NEAR as clean as the CVNA Post IPO Phase Base seen here;
This can be a "sympathy" play ie; highly correlated movement, with $DJT...
I like this look with the hype currently building... Great things take time... Don't get chopped to bits before the real move/meat comes.
Just some post boring market day #Thots
Analysis This is a Bitcoin price chart against USD on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. It appears to analyze potential price movements. Here's a brief breakdown:
1. Price Range:
Current price: 93,707 USD.
Support zone: Highlighted in white near 92,000 USD.
Resistance zone: Highlighted in red above 100,000 USD.
2. Trend Lines:
A descending price movement has tested the support zone.
Two potential scenarios are drawn:
Yellow trendline suggests a potential upward continuation beyond 102,000 USD.
White trendline suggests a brief pullback before a breakout upward.
3. Volume:
Volume activity is shown at the bottom but seems relatively stable for now.
This chart predicts bullish potential after retesting the support zone. Are you looking for specific insights or technical analysis?
aaveusdt shortAAVEUSDT
SHORT
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
XAUUSD - 15m | SELL SELLSimple trading - Wyckoff Event
This is an extremely short-term pattern, and there is not much to explain here. Other than this, the pattern/event happens when the market makes a big dip and starts to consolidate. AKA "accumulation phase"
Expect the market to fall back down to the previous support area 2595-2585. After this fall the market should reject support and continue its bullish trend to ATH
Sell GBP/NZD Triangle PatternThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1983
2nd Support – 2.1860
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
AUD/JPY 4H Timeframe AnalysisAUD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis:
The AUD/JPY pair is currently in a reversal phase, with the price initially hitting minor support at 95.700 during a downtrend. This was followed by the formation of a Doji and a Bullish Engulfing Candle, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The price began creating higher highs and higher lows, eventually breaking the minor resistance at 98.200. After a retest of this level, a double bottom formed, accompanied by a wick rejection and a bullish engulfing candle, further confirming the bullish reversal. The price then moved above the minor resistance, accumulated buying orders, and performed a liquidity grab below the resistance before resuming its upward momentum.
Price Action Expectation:
After the liquidity grab, our objective is to wait for the price to break above the minor key resistance at 98.200 again, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. The plan is to place a buy stop order above the resistance at 98.240, ensuring entry once the breakout is confirmed. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity grab at 97.460, while the target for this trade will be the next resistance level at 99.930.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 98.240 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout)
Stop Loss: 97.460 (below the liquidity grab)
Take Profit: 99.930 (next resistance level)
Additional Considerations:
Key Level Reactions: Monitor price behavior near 98.200. If the price fails to break above this level, it may indicate potential consolidation or reversal.
Risk Management: Ensure proper position sizing to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
External Factors:
Stay vigilant for economic data releases or geopolitical events that may impact the AUD or JPY, as these can introduce unexpected volatility.
Conclusion:
The AUD/JPY pair exhibits strong bullish potential following a liquidity grab and double bottom formation. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakout above 98.240 to capitalize on the continuation toward the 99.930 resistance level. As always, careful risk management and attention to key levels are essential for executing this trade effectively.
SHIBUSD Bullish AnalysisSHIB is range bound however movements tend to be fairly large with this asset after it has finished the inital pump. I show 2 possible bullish scenarios with the green lines indicating the most likely direction for the trade with the red dots indicating a take profit, not a short entry. This is because of the eratic nature of this coin price action could break out above either of the order walls both above and below current price action. These order walls are keeping the price action range bound with sideway movement the most likely scenario at this time. This coin already pumped almost 400% and has already pulled back substantially. Any take profits could lead to substantial cash in a re-entry at a lower price scenario or yield a massive amount of additional coins.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-23: BreakAway PatternToday's pattern is a Break Away pattern.
I'm not expecting much to happen just before Christmas, but this is when surprises may happen.
If you have not already protected your capital - now is the time to do it (almost too late at this point).
You should be prepared for anything that happens and move into a position of safety related to the holidays.
Remember, the markets will always be here. Get through the holidays and get busy trying to enjoy your life.
I suspect the markets will stay very flat over the next 3 to 5+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold: Navigating a Range-Bound Phase After the DropGold (XAU/USD): Consolidation in a Bearish Territory Amid Uncertainty
The gold market has entered a consolidation phase, trading within a defined bearish range following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. This pullback comes as the precious metal adjusts to a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with current attention focused on the critical price levels of 2622 – 2581. A deeper look into the backdrop reveals that sentiment remains subdued due to broader market dynamics, and the technical setup underscores the vulnerability of gold prices as they test recent lows.
Fundamental Overview: Fed’s Conservative Stance and Market Implications
The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday had ripple effects across global markets. Adopting a more cautious stance, the Fed announced plans for just two rate cuts in 2025. This decision disappointed investors hoping for a more dovish approach and weighed heavily on risk-sensitive assets, including gold. Meanwhile, the dollar emerged as the clear beneficiary, strengthening to new local highs as traders flocked to safe-haven assets tied to U.S. monetary policy.
The dollar’s rally placed additional pressure on gold, which often moves inversely to the greenback. However, the broader implications extend beyond just this week. Gold's recent struggles highlight the ongoing challenge of balancing inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and macroeconomic trends.
Looking ahead, today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—could introduce another layer of volatility. A surprise deviation from expectations in the PCE data, whether upward or downward, could significantly impact gold prices. Furthermore, any unexpected escalation in political uncertainty, whether domestic or international, has the potential to act as a short-term catalyst for the metal, possibly leading to a recovery attempt toward resistance levels.
Technical Analysis: Testing the Lows in a High-Volatility Environment
From a technical perspective, gold remains entrenched within a consolidation zone after the steep decline earlier this week. Such a pattern is not uncommon at this time of year, characterized by thin liquidity and heightened volatility as institutional players wind down for the calendar year. Price action suggests that the market is trading in a relatively wide range, bounded by key resistance levels at 2616 – 2622 and notable support levels at 2589, 2581, and 2560.
Currently, prices hover near the lower end of this range, testing the support levels repeatedly. If the support at 2581 holds, it may trigger a short-term recovery toward the upper boundary of the range. However, any failure to defend these levels could lead to a retest of deeper support at 2560, further cementing the bearish outlook.
Conversely, on the upside, resistance around 2616 – 2622 remains critical. A breakout above this zone may entice bullish momentum, but such a move is likely to be capped or short-lived, given the overarching fundamental headwinds. In fact, a retest of this resistance could result in a false breakout scenario, where prices temporarily breach the level before reversing sharply back into the range, targeting local lows.
Trading Strategy and Broader Market Context
For traders navigating the current environment, the focus should remain on the boundaries of the consolidation range. Range-bound strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, could be effective in the short term. However, caution is warranted given the heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events, including today’s PCE data release and potential geopolitical developments.
In the longer term, the bearish undertone suggests that gold may continue its descent unless a significant shift in fundamentals alters the market narrative. Any sustained rally would require a combination of favorable catalysts, such as a dovish pivot from the Fed, a weakening dollar, or heightened geopolitical tensions.
Conclusion
Gold’s journey through this consolidation phase is emblematic of the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets. While the precious metal has shown resilience in the past, the current setup underscores the challenges it faces in a bearish environment. Resistance at 2616 – 2622 and support at 2581 – 2560 serve as pivotal levels to monitor, with price action within this range offering opportunities for tactical trades.
In the grander scheme, the coming weeks will likely determine whether gold can break free from its consolidation or succumb to further selling pressure. As we approach the end of the year, reduced liquidity and heightened volatility will remain defining features of the market, setting the stage for potentially significant price swings in early 2024.
(The market decides how much profit you make. You decide how much you lose.)