BTCUSDTBTC ,another complete analysis as posted for free early ,the weekly candle failed to break and close above 4hr supply roof at 108k and the next step is to watch the current 4hrs demand floor .A BREAK OF STRUTURE WILL BE EYEING 96-94K ,THE EMA+SMA STRATEGY ALIGNS WITH THE ASCENDING TREND LINE FOR A POTENTIAL BUY BACK WHERE WE HOPE TO CHALLENGE BROKEN 100K ZONE AS NEXT SUPPLY ROOF IF RESPECTED.
Community ideas
USD/CAD H4 | Potential bearish breakoutUSD/CAD is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 1.3601 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 1.3662 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3539 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with a 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Market Update – DailyBitcoin remains in a tight range between $110,221.73 (resistance) and $101,546.27 (support). These two levels are the main reference points for initiating high-probability trades.
🔸 Market Context:
The primary trend is bullish, so the priority remains on long setups.
Short positions should only be considered below $101,546.27 with confirmation.
With the prevailing bullish structure, early entries can be taken with a low-risk trigger at $108,746.08.
🔸 Moving Averages & Momentum:
The SMA 7 has caught up with the daily candles, but we haven’t seen a strong reaction yet.
If today's candle wicks above the SMA 7, we can more confidently pursue long setups starting tomorrow.
Otherwise, we may see a pullback toward the SMA 25, especially given the decreasing volume typical of ranging phases.
🔸 Lower Timeframe Setup (1H/4H):
A micro range box can be observed between $108,746 and $106,649.78.
If price approaches $108,746 with increasing volume, that can serve as a valid long trigger on intraday timeframes.
⏳ Final Note: Patience is key while BTC trades inside this range. The bullish structure remains intact, and opportunities for long trades are more favorable for now. Wait for clean breakouts or volume-based confirmations before entering new trades.
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCPrice #CryptoStrategy #BitcoinRange #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Silver Bullish and Looking for retest of Previous ResistanceSilver remains bullish on the back of positive Chinese data, and is trading at its highest levels since 2012.
We have developed a range between support at 35.30-35.60 and resistance at 37.03-37.33, however, we are still yet to retest the previous resistance and breakout level at 34.50-34.80, which can offer a good opportunity to go long
Stops: Would need to be below 34.30
Initial Target: Back to 35.30-35.60, but if the fundamentals remain strong then we can have full target back towards 37.00
Previous Trade Ideas Still Valid
EURUSD -
XAUUSD Long Setup – Watching 3247 Entry ZoneHi Traders,
The recent price action of XAUUSD has been a bit complex, but I hope this idea turns out to be profitable for everyone.
Feel free to share your thoughts if you see anything differently.
What I find most interesting is the entry zone around 3247–3245 . If we take the wave count starting from May 15, 2025 (3120.76) and consider wave 5 to be completed on June 15, 2025 (3451.52), then wave 2 should ideally retrace to around 3247.
On top of that, wave C of wave 2 seems to follow a clean 1–2–3–4–5 structure. If we treat the current move as a downtrend, wave 5 would likely complete right at 3247, which I find both accurate and technically compelling.
I'll be watching 3247 closely and plan to go long from there.
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
Chainlink, The Fed, Vanguard, Crypto & Apple"Buy the rumor, sell the fact." The market tends to price-in an event before it happens. I am talking about the reduction in interest rates. The participants are aware that there will be a reduction in interest rates by the Fed and this is bullish and so buying starts to happen much sooner compared to the announcement of the actual event. By the time the event becomes a reality, it is already priced-in. Meaning...
Chainlink is bullish now and the chart is the same as HIVEUSDT, which I shared just now, and many other altcoins. This is good because we know what happens next. If there are other pairs with the same chart but moving up, moving ahead, then we know that these two and all those other staying behind will also follow, makes sense? Sure it does. We are all one. What one does, the rest follows.
Chainlink (LINKUSDT) is set to grow. Easy to see, higher highs and higher lows.
Will the market go up because of the Fed? We can say so before or after the event, right now the only important action is to buy-and-hold. It is important to be fully invested in Crypto, because Crypto is outperforming every other risk-asset in the entire world. You want be in in the market that is about to pay. You don't want to be holding bonds or index funds, that's a huge mistake. You buy these stuff to make money, you can make with Crypto in 6 months what an index fund (Vanguard SPX) will pay in a decade... Do the math, are you a young adult, are you smart? If you are, take action now before it is too late.
Your choice of course. Imagine the people in the 80s investing in Gold rather than Google, Microsoft and Apple... Big mistake.
Namaste.
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3323-3315-3305
TP 3340-3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GU: Asian highs > Previous Day Low?Hi everyone,
Here is my forecast this morning for GBPUSD. Overall I'm thinking bearish, but I reckon that price could take out the Asian range highs first and then give us a bearish leg towards the previous day low.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms supportAnalyzing the USD/JPY across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery after a significant drop, indicating a potential phase of accumulation by institutional players. The daily chart shows a recent decline followed by a stabilization and slight upward movement, suggesting a possible change of character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish momentum. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this with a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a shift towards bullish sentiment.
The 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts display more granular price action, with recent bullish candles suggesting an ongoing push for higher prices. This could be a response to retail selling pressure being absorbed by institutional buying, a common scenario during early stages of a bullish reversal.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in the early stages of an accumulation phase, targeting liquidity above recent highs to trigger stop losses and fuel further upward movement. The presence of unmitigated order blocks (OB) on the 1-hour chart around 143.400 provides a potential area for re-entry, suggesting that price may revisit this zone to balance before continuing upwards.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This scenario highlights how institutions often retest key levels where significant orders were previously placed, confirming their commitment to driving the price in the intended direction.
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: USDJPY
ENTRY PRICE: $143.400
STOP LOSS: $143.200
TARGET PRICE: $144.000
CONDITION: Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms support.
RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish CHoCH on multiple timeframes, presence of a 1H OB, and the anticipation of a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
STRATEGIES USED: 1H OB Mitigation, Liquidity Sweep Above Recent Highs
URGENCY: MEDIUM
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.20, Reward=$0.60, Ratio=1:3.0
CRITICAL RULES:
The analysis strictly adheres to Smart Money Concepts, avoiding traditional retail indicators.
The decision is based on visible price action and institutional logic, ensuring a high probability of success.
The risk/reward ratio exceeds the minimum requirement of 2:1, enhancing the trade's viability.
PIVXUSDT Holding Key Support Within Falling WedgePIVXUSDT continues its descent within a falling wedge structure, currently stabilizing above a key support zone. Price is now poised to retest the Immediate Internal Resistance Level.
A breakout above this level could trigger a reversal, while rejection may lead to a new low toward the strong accumulation zone a potential high-probability buy area. Targets toward the projected final upside are highlighted on the chart.
Monitor closely for confirmation at the resistance level to define the next move recommended.
USDCAD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1,3623, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.3697, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3590, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 3343 -3346.77, an overlap resistance
Our take profit will be at 3322.08, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3358.78 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPAUD waiting for conditions to break out of the wide rangeGBPAUD found some buying momentum at the 2.085 support in today's trading session. In the long term, the pair's trading range is wide, extending from 2.102 to 2.067. A breakout of this range will form a new trend.
A BUY trading signal is confirmed when the pair breaks the resistance at 2.10200.
A SELL signal is confirmed when the pair breaks the support at 2.085.
📈 Key Levels
Support: 2.085 - 2.067
Resistance: 2.102 - 2.138
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key
Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked.
This one’s got me on the edge.
What’s Happening Here
We’re currently watching a move that could be either:
- A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or
- A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff
That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias.
The Line in the Sand: 152
Here’s what I’m watching for:
Key Level: 152
- That’s the bull/bear line for me.
- A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent.
- But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure.
Elliott View
This is where the paradox plays out:
If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect:
- A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy)
If it’s a Zigzag ABC:
- Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move.
The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions.
152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it.
The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp.
Your Turn
How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know.
Trade safe, trade clarity!
Short Trade Idea: HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)🧠
📅 Timeframe: 30-Minute
💼 Type: Short Position
📉 Setup: Triangle breakdown + Resistance rejection
📍 Trade Details:
Entry: $92.33 (bearish rejection candle at resistance + lower trendline break)
Stop Loss: $95.33 (above local high & upper trendline)
Target 1: $89.47 (previous support level)
Target 2: $86.64 (mid-support zone)
Target 3: $83.89 (key horizontal support)
Extended Target: $81.66 (major support from breakout zone)
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Price formed a rising wedge/triangle and broke the lower trendline
After rejecting $95+ zone, it failed to hold above yellow resistance line
Bearish engulfing + retest of broken support confirms downside pressure
Momentum fading after a strong uptrend – ideal for a reversal trade
🎯 Risk/Reward Outlook:
RR Ratio: Favorable (min 2:1+ depending on targets)
Good structure for tight risk and wide target zone
LULU – Compression Complete? Reversal in Progress | WaverVanir PTicker: NASDAQ:LULU
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Posted by: WaverVanir International LLC | VolanX DSS Framework
🧠 Technical Thesis:
LULU is showing signs of a potential macro reversal after a sharp capitulation and retest of key demand (~$235–240). The double-bottom formation and absorption at prior support suggest smart money accumulation.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $237–245
Target 1: $310 (Risk:Reward ~2.5R)
Target 2: $385
Target 3: $460+ (ATH retest zone)
Invalidation: Daily close below $228 (breakdown continuation)
🧭 DSS Confluence (VolanX Modules):
✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Displacement followed by BOS (Break of Structure)
✅ Volume Profile: Major acceptance above $240
✅ Fibonacci Cluster: 0.618 retrace aligns with breakout targets
⚠️ Earnings Watch: Next ER marked – high volatility expected
📊 Probability Estimate:
Reversal/Breakout (Long Bias): 72%
Chop/Retest: 18%
Breakdown Continuation: 10%
📎 Macro Context:
With consumer discretionary stabilizing and earnings revisions improving, LULU may benefit from a re-rating cycle, particularly if macro tailwinds (Fed cuts, soft landing) persist through Q3–Q4 2025.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. WaverVanir International LLC is not liable for any trading decisions based on this content. Always do your own research.
✅ Follow us for more DSS-backed setups.
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