BTC Pullback or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch Around 110KBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance.
This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move.
However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow.
📌 Trading Insight: Wait for confirmation before entering — don’t jump in without a clear signal.
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XAU/USD 01 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
40–50% Decline Possible for Crude OilLight Crude Oil Futures broke below a descending triangle and re-tested the breakdown level on volume twice as high as the 50 day moving average (daily chart). I anticipate a 40–50% decline to approximately $30–40 over the next 6–12 months, despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This move aligns with a broader macro correction. Long-term, I remain bullish on oil.
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello friends! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my view on EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the EUR-USD chart, I see two potential scenarios ahead:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
If EUR-USD breaks below 1.16836 on the 15-minute time frame, I expect a downward move toward the 1.16319 to 1.15850 area.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Bullish then Bearish:
If the price rises from the current level, I expect an initial move up toward 1.17937, followed by a decline back toward the 1.16319 to 1.15850 zone.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Support: 1.16836 / 1.16319 / 1.15850
📌 Resistance: 1.17937
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD? Let me know in the comments below.
Trade safe
Russell 2000 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Russell 2000 (US2000) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,163.07 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,130.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 2,215.08 which is an overlap resistance.
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BCH Faces Pullback RiskFenzoFx—Bitcoin Cash broke above last week’s high at $510.0 and is stabilizing near $525.0. However, the daily Stochastic is overbought, suggesting a pullback toward the 50-SMA at $487.4.
A rebound from there could resume the uptrend, while a close below $487.4 may send BCH toward $437.0.
7.1 London gold rebounds and rises, gold market trend analysis aGold rose to 3295 in the Asian session on Monday and was blocked. It fell in the European session as we expected, but the decline was not strong. After the lowest price of 3274.57, it rose again in the US session and stood firmly at the 3300 mark. The monthly line closed with a cross Yang K. The gold price continued to rise at the opening today. After the market on Monday, the 3247 below can be used as a reference for the bottom rebound position. Now the short-term trend belongs to the bulls, so we will continue this trend today and look at the upward trend first, wait for the European session to see the strength of the decline and then formulate the idea of the US session.
From the market point of view, after the gold price stood above the 3300 mark again, it is used as a short-term support level reference for the bulls. The Asian session can rely on this position to arrange long orders to see the continuation of the upward trend; the initial pressure on the upper side focuses on the 3328 position, followed by 3345. Now that the idea is established, the idea for intraday operations is: wait for the gold price to pull back to around 3308 in the Asian session and then go long and bullish, protect the 3300 mark, and target around 3328; if there is pressure at 3328 in the European session, you can arrange short positions with a downward trend, wait for the US session, and then decide whether to go long again based on the pullback position and target around 3345.
Gold Breaks Key Resistance — Bullish Spike in FormationGold dropped to the 61% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the long-term ascending trendline, where it showed a strong bullish rejection.
Currently, price is breaking out of the descending channel and the 200 SMA, and is beginning to form a potential bullish spike formation.
If this pattern completes and breaks to the upside, we would have three confluencing technical signals pointing to a possible target area around $3,425.881.
📌 I’ll wait for a confirmed breakout of the bullish spike to look for long entries.
LCrude Oil: Bearish Pressure as Brazil Emerges as an Energy PHLCrude Oil: Bearish Pressure as Brazil Emerges as an Energy Powerhouse
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
LCrude (Ticker AT:Lcrude), which replicates the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures contract, has been one of the most volatile assets in 2025. It faces mounting pressure from a growing global supply, cautious demand, and a renewed wave of investment in Latin America—especially in Brazil.
Technical Analysis
Technically, LCrude has lost momentum since the April 2024 highs near $87 per barrel. After breaking the upward trendline in late June, the same daily candle triggered a corrective move toward the $64–$65 range, where it has been trading since. The price entered a downward channel, and the key $66 support was broken decisively. Losing that level opens the door for a drop toward $60 per barrel. On the upside, a recovery above $73 would reignite buying pressure, targeting $78 near the long-term point of control. The support around the $54.72 lows reinforces the view that LCrude is now trading around its mean. Moving average crossovers—where the 200-period MA sits above the 50-period—suggest that price corrections may continue.
Fundamental Analysis
On the macroeconomic front, concerns over economic slowdowns in China and Europe are weighing on demand expectations. At the same time, the outlook for a supply surplus is solidifying, particularly with signals coming from emerging producer countries. One of the most significant developments is the resurgence of Brazilian oil—a silent revolution that could shift the global energy power balance. Brazil, now an external member of OPEC+, has impressed with record discoveries and licensing rounds. Its offshore projects offer an internal rate of return (IRR) close to 26%, among the highest in the world. Sector Experts project that by 2030, Brazil could surpass 5 million barrels per day, placing it among the global top five, just behind the U.S., Russia, and Saudi Arabia.
However, the sustainability of this growth will depend on the exploration of new frontiers, such as the Foz do Amazonas basin. The International Energy Agency (IEA) warns that without new discoveries, production could begin to decline after 2030.
Conclusion
LCrude's performance will depend on both technical patterns and fundamental factors tied to geopolitics and the global supply-demand balance. Brazil’s rise on the global energy map and the context of oversupply exert structural bearish pressure on the market. Nonetheless, current levels continue to offer opportunities for traders focused on range strategies and momentum.
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Bank of America Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025
- Bank of America reached resistance level 48.00
- Likely to fall to support level 46.00
Bank of America recently reached the powerful multi-month resistance level 48.00, which has been reversing the price from last November.
The resistance zone near the resistance level 48.00 is strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 48.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Bank of America can be expected to fall to the next support level 46.00.
WEEKLY SUPPLY MAY HOLDAfter price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows.
XAU USD 2HR CHART ANALYSIS 🔎 XAUUSD (Gold Spot) 2H Chart Analysis:
✅ Price recently made a strong bullish rally up to the resistance zone between 3346–3368.
✅ A supply zone has been marked in this area, which is currently causing a bearish reaction.
✅ BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) labels on the chart indicate that the overall market structure has been bearish, and price has now retraced to this supply area for a potential pullback.
✅ The trader appears to have taken a short position with a stop loss around 3368 and a target around 3259, giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.
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🔎 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bearish Scenario (preferred):
If the supply zone at 3346–3368 holds and price rejects from there, the logical target could be the previous support near 3259, in line with market structure and bearish momentum.
✅ Bullish Scenario (invalidation):
If price breaks above 3368 with strength and confirms a candle close above, that would invalidate the supply zone, and the uptrend may resume toward higher levels around 3418 (previous highs).
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🔎 Key Levels:
✔️ Resistance (Supply Zone): 3346–3368
✔️ Support (Demand Zone): 3259–3244
✔️ Market Structure: bearish, with a pullback into supply
✔️ Stop loss (for the short): above 3368
✔️ Target: around 3259
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This analysis is not financial advice and does not constitute a trade recommendation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
BankNifty levels - Jul 02, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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#bulla /USDT 2H ChartSupport Zone: A strong base is at 0.09000-0.10000, where buyers stepped in before.
Resistance Level: The next big test is at 0.11880-0.12880—break that, and it could go higher
Falling Wedge: Often signals a bullish move if it breaks above 0.12880 $BULLA
Momentum: The uptrend had good volume, but the recent dip suggests a short pause.
Timeframe:Watch the next 12-24 hours for the wedge to break out.
Possibilities:Bullish Move: A jump above 0.12880 with strong volume could push it to 0.14000 or more! #bulla $BULLA
Bearish Drop: A fall below 0.11330 might bring it back to 0.10000—stay alert!
Safety Tip: Set a stop-loss below 0.11330 to stay safe.
Bitcoin Daily in a large pennant with apex end of July
Bitcoin is once again getting rejected off the Fib circle just above.
This is also just under a 618 Fib extension and so a combined rejection zone.
Beneath this, we have support on that Bold dashed line. This is a Local line of supprt but has strength.
And so, we find outselves in apennant again and that apex is around 22 July.
PA tracts before the apex.
As will be explained in the monthly chart I iwll post later, this all points towards a Calm July, possibly RED month.
PA does however, have the ability and strength to push higher if the Bulls decide to make a move.
The MACD
The Daily MACD is just above Neutral and has enough room to move.
So, if we drop, support is arouns 103K
If we loose that then 100K and then we land on that red 236 Fib circle that will offer a sliding line of support.
But I do not think we will get there just yet
Enjoy
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳
As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈
As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀
For now, we wait! ⏳
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
"That last candlestick bar is a breakout 4hour (4H) session "I feel so sad because am in a situation
where i have to make a decision to receive government surpport.
Now personally i dont mind government surpport.
But doing it to please my family is not what i wanted.
It makes me sick.I hate politics.I love capitalism.
Eventhough capitalism and potics are related.
When you look at copper prices.Let me show
you a relation i saw.
On the futures prices of copper.I saw a weekly
brekout.This surprised me.It was at this time
that i then looked at the copper prices on the spot market.
TO my surprise i saw the manipulation for the
first time in my trading career,Instead of a breakout
it looked like an arbitrage.
I saw a perfect reversal on the weekly pattern.
How is that possible? When its clear
that a breakout price action is visible on the futures markets?
This connection between the futures market
of copper in india and the spot price in america.
Is something to thinnk about.
Its like mixing capitalism and politics it makes me sick
but maybe its a necessary evil just be careful
when you mix the two.
Stay humble, and see the attack coming and adjust your position
politics is very important and so dont ignore its power.
Just like studying the connection between the futures
markets and spot market.
If you look at this chart you will notice 3 candlestick patterns:
-Doji
-Hanging Man
-Bearish Engulfing.
The two Red candlestick patterns you are
seeing shows you the breakout price action.
That last candle stick bar is a breakout 4hour (4H) session entry
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky.Please learn risk management and
profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you
trade with real money.Also do not use margin trading.Trade safe.