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Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend. - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline. Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading. If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07). In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend. - (USDT.D 1M chart) In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend. If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend. We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall. If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14. - USDT is likely to continue to rise. This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market. Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend. Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline. ----------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key. In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25. If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25. - The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3). And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line. Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone. If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line. When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start. Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range. I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again. (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
FINAL UPDATE ON EUR/USD TRADEEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has played out perfectly, taking the market higher. This was expected and I am expecting this structure to continue longer term. We can expect price to pullback first. With price now setting a higher timeframe high a pullback is expected as it follows the laws of bullish structure, setting higher highs and higher lows in the market. This trade took profit for + 97 pips. (+ 5%) 5RR A big well done to those of you who stayed involved in this market and those of you who got involved earlier on today from the voice note and screenshot provided. Its important you manage the trades correctly. If you havent taken profit you should look to take profit on the trade and look to re-enter when we have further confirmation of another position. If you have any questions about the trade or the analysis drop me a message or comment below.
Long
by Lukegforex
Liberation Day: Fear or greed in the air? We are less than hour out from the Liberation Day tariff announcements. The U.S. is preparing to roll out reciprocal tariffs on all countries, with rates set at 10%, 15%, and 20%, according to Sky News. Investors hoping for certainty may be disappointed—this could mark the start of a longer phase of trade battles. Mexico, once again, is reading the room. President Sheinbaum has confirmed Mexico won’t respond with tit-for-tat tariffs. They understand that the way to deal with Trump is to treat him with kid gloves. Meanwhile, gold hit another record high, reaching $3,149.04 on Tuesday before pulling back a little. Buyers might have a better setup around the parallel pivot line to position for further upside.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan(Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red MA Level. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (192.000) Day/scalping trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 198.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Positioning and future trend target... Before start the heist plan read it...go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows. Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase. Appearance on the Chart: The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward. The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation. The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665). This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671). This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout. After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660). This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend. The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure. Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data). Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Buy EthereumThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
Gold market trend analysisGold risk aversion pushed up gold prices, but the bulls failed to continue, and gold prices fell after rising. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour gold price remained above the moving average, and the bullish trend remained unchanged. Structurally, the rise in gold prices was symmetrical in time and space, and the early decline was in line with expectations. The hourly chart showed a weak short signal and diverged. At present, the upper resistance is at 3137-3141, and the lower support is at 3111-3106. In terms of operation, I suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high short. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to pull back to 3105-3100 long, stop loss 3092, and the target is 3130-3150. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to rebound to 3139-3144 short, stop loss 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Oliver389
GBP/USD: Possible Triangle Formation (H8)Hi Traders! GBP/USD: Possible Triangle Formation and Growth to 1.31500 On the 8-hour GBP/USD chart, a contracting triangle appears to be forming as wave 4. The pattern is not yet fully completed, but it is in its final stage. If the triangle is confirmed, we could see an upward movement in the pair. The primary target for growth is 1.31500, the 2023 high. A further rise to 1.32600 is also possible, but 1.31500 may act as strong resistance. However, the market is currently influenced by multiple factors, so the scenario depends on the confirmation of the pattern. If the triangle plays out, the British pound may strengthen against the US dollar.
Long
by AUREA_RATIO
CADCHF Bullish Breakout: Key Levels to WatchThe market has been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows after a previous strong downtrend. Currently, CADCHF is testing a key resistance level (0.6185 - 0.6190), with signs of consolidation. A slight retracement is expected before a potential breakout to the upside. Key Levels: Resistance Levels: 0.6225 – First target after breakout. 0.6265 – Major resistance zone and final target. Support Levels: 0.6130 - 0.6140 – Potential retest zone before further upside. 0.6050 – Strong demand zone (invalidates bullish bias if broken). Trade Plan: 📉 Pullback Entry: Waiting for a small retracement to the 0.6140 zone before entering long. 📈 Bullish Breakout Confirmation: A break and close above 0.6190 could confirm further upside towards 0.6225 - 0.6265. Final Outlook: Bias: Bullish above 0.6140, bearish below. Risk Management: Stop loss below 0.6130. Potential Reward: A successful breakout can provide +80 pips upside.
Long
by ultreosforex