UJ, will we see a bearish leg today?USDJPY looks quite interesting after the wick rejection from key level 144.000. Will this area be respected and give us a bearish leg. Hmm, let's see how price unfolds for this pair today.
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Aman | SMC Wolf FX
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thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal.
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Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms supportAnalyzing the USD/JPY across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery after a significant drop, indicating a potential phase of accumulation by institutional players. The daily chart shows a recent decline followed by a stabilization and slight upward movement, suggesting a possible change of character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish momentum. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this with a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a shift towards bullish sentiment.
The 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts display more granular price action, with recent bullish candles suggesting an ongoing push for higher prices. This could be a response to retail selling pressure being absorbed by institutional buying, a common scenario during early stages of a bullish reversal.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in the early stages of an accumulation phase, targeting liquidity above recent highs to trigger stop losses and fuel further upward movement. The presence of unmitigated order blocks (OB) on the 1-hour chart around 143.400 provides a potential area for re-entry, suggesting that price may revisit this zone to balance before continuing upwards.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This scenario highlights how institutions often retest key levels where significant orders were previously placed, confirming their commitment to driving the price in the intended direction.
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: USDJPY
ENTRY PRICE: $143.400
STOP LOSS: $143.200
TARGET PRICE: $144.000
CONDITION: Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms support.
RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish CHoCH on multiple timeframes, presence of a 1H OB, and the anticipation of a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
STRATEGIES USED: 1H OB Mitigation, Liquidity Sweep Above Recent Highs
URGENCY: MEDIUM
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.20, Reward=$0.60, Ratio=1:3.0
CRITICAL RULES:
The analysis strictly adheres to Smart Money Concepts, avoiding traditional retail indicators.
The decision is based on visible price action and institutional logic, ensuring a high probability of success.
The risk/reward ratio exceeds the minimum requirement of 2:1, enhancing the trade's viability.
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 36.24, an overlap resistance close to the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 35.89, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 36.57, which is a swing-high resistance.
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Euro Dollar, institutions are still bullish ($1.20 this summer?)There's one constant on the floating exchange market (Forex) this year, the US dollar is by far the weakest currency. It's the same scenario as the first months of Donald Trump's first term in office in 2017 repeating itself. The US President's stated aim is to give US exporters a competitive exchange rate.
The Euro exchange rate is also being supported higher by a combination of fundamental factors, notably a relative catch-up of European assets against US stock market assets. It is the sum of these fundamentals that is enabling a well-constructed uptrend in the EUR/USD rate on FX this year 2025. A new monthly technical close was recorded on the evening of Monday June 30, and with technical resistances breached, it looks as if the euro-dollar rate is on course to reach $1.20 this summer.
1) A new monthly technical close (June technical close) continues to support the euro-dollar's annual uptrend
The June technical close has been in place for the euro-dollar since the start of the week, providing further bullish chart confirmation. The euro-dollar price has confirmed that it has broken through a descending resistance line in place since the 2008 financial crisis. The price is converging with its momentum (represented here by the RSI and LMACD technical indicators) and the next natural technical target lies at $1.20. This is a technical target for the summer, bearing in mind that in the short term, a move back towards support at $1.15 and $1.17 remains possible.
The chart below shows monthly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the Ichimoku, RSI and LMACD technical indicators
2) Institutional traders are still bullish on the euro-dollar rate, according to the CFTC's COT report
What's most interesting about the overall analytical approach is the convergence between technical analysis signals and institutional positioning signals on the EUR/USD rate.
According to the CFTC's COT (Commitment Of Traders) report, institutional traders (hedge funds + asset managers) became net buyers of the euro dollar at the start of 2025, and weekly updates of this positioning data show that their buying exposure is increasing as the EUR/USD price rises. This bullish convergence between chartism and institutional investor positioning lends credibility to a scenario that would see the euro dollar reach resistance at $1.20 this summer. This market view would be invalidated if support at $1.14 were broken.
The two charts below show institutional traders' positions on Euro Dollar futures. Institutional traders were predominantly bullish at the start of the year, and month after month, they are increasing their buying exposure.
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HYPEUSDT Probably CookedToken driven by demand from trading on Hyperliquid. Crypto looks set for a few month long consolidation probably into Q4.
That loss in trading volume will reduce demand for the token and the company may be forced to sell the token to come up with large gains for its clients. Either way it's a bearish catalyst for the token which has really ran hard. Ugly head and shoulders as well as a topping pattern in an overall financial market that looks like it wants a pull back
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 2nd July 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Notes:
- Strong bullish closure on daily
-Looking continuation buy
after a solid pullback
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025
- Nikkei 225 reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 39000.00
Nikkei 225 index recently reversed down with the Evening Star from the resistance zone between the resistance levels 40000.00 and 40550.00 (former multi month high from January).
This resistance zone was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May.
Given the strength of the aforementioned resistance zone and the overbought daily Stochastic, Nikkei 225 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 39000.00.
[SNOW] SNOW InvestmentReally late on this investment so half size for me on this one and will not add to the downside.
I missed the reversal pattern but I have strong convictions on the fundamental part so I wanted to be part of it ... maybe I am wrong otherwise I am holding for a while ... can be a major stock for the future.
Great Trade !
Title: Rejection at 3340 – Gold Struggles to Break ResistanceGold faced a clear rejection at the 3340 zone, dropping nearly 30 pips. This confirms that the 3335–3340 area remains a strong resistance. If price fails to break above this zone, we may see a move towards 3330 in the coming sessions. EMA 64 is now the key support to watch.
CARP Bullish possibility Technically the stock just completed a textbook capitulation-wedge pattern with an attractive 2 +: 1 reward-to-risk profile.
Swing (2-8 weeks)
Starter tier on a daily close > $10.10 (break & retest of wedge trend-line).
Add on close > $11.50. T1 $12.70, T2 $16, T3 $23.70 (measured-move from wedge).
Daily close < $8.30 (or hard stop $6.20 if using the full pattern box).
New month - new plan for SUIMarked key monthly levels as we begin a new cycle. Price currently trades below the monthly pivot point in correction mode, suggesting potential downside toward this week's support zone before looking for long entries. However, if price breaks down and fails to reclaim the weekly support S2, we may see continued downward momentum
More details in the video itself - enjoy watching!
Multi timeframe Pullback reversal entriesThis is very simple but yet effective way of trading. Entry through Multi timeframe analysis. Price riding on MA ( respecting MA levels) and at Pullback - we can enter at reversal in lower time frame once price started riding MA. Though this is very basic - but very effective as this can be applied in timeframe. The sync between higher and lower timeframe for entry. We can exit as per out trade rules - either lower TF MA breach or Higher TF. Entry with proper calculation of Risk Reward only. This is the basic strategy of trend following specially for learners and practicing trading. Even season traders use this. MA period can be arranged as per suitability. Here I have applied 30/50.
This for educational and learning purpose only. Enter trading post proper practice only.
Views are highly welcome.
Trading plan for ADABINANCE:ADAUSDT Today marks a new month, and I've identified key monthly levels to watch. On the higher timeframe chart, we're observing an ABCDE triangle formation - as long as the critical $0.5 level holds, this pattern could resolve upward with potential to break through trendlines. This week, after bouncing from support, we may see price advance toward the monthly pivot point
More details in the video idea itself - enjoy watching!