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#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: This is a short squeeze and very little could concinve me otherwise. Does it matter? No. We are going higher and until bears print a big bear bar again, bulls remain in full control. 8 Consecutive daily bull bars is always something special. Above 22700 there is no reason not to go for 24000. current market cycle: Trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf key levels: 21500 - 24000 bull case: Big breakout on Wednesday with follow-through. Bulls want to go above the start of the panic selling down at 22735ish. If they do, I doubt there will be much resistance until we print a new ath and even then the first pullback will likely be bought again. The volume is atrocious compared to the selling weeks but that is unimportant. Market is going higher, low volume or not. Stops are not dependent on volume. Below 21900 most bulls will likely think the squeeze is over and secure profits. Invalidation is below 21900. bear case: Bears last hope is that prior support turned resistance and we stay below 22700. How likely is that? Given that we have not seen a red daily close for 2 weeks, very very unlikely. What would change my mind? Daily big bear bar closing on it’s low below 21900. Nothing else. We have a clear bull trend line and until that is clearly broken, bulls remain in full control. I do think this is a gift to late bulls who did not sell yet. If I had long term longs, I’d thank the lord for a second opportunity to exit them. We will see lower lows below 19000 this year. Zero doubt. 22700 short term: Neutral. Bullish above 22700 for 24000 and bearish only below 21900 on very strong momentum. Bears have turned this bearish again only with a break of the bull trend line and gap close to 21400. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is over. We could still print a lower high below 23000 and go down to 19000 or lower but that would rather be a very shallow broad bear channel. Yes, it can be shallow due to marginally lower highs and lower lows but broad because the range is huge. Can we go much below 19000 this year? Only with a deep recession. We could already be in one but for now it’s unlikely. US tariffs will duck excrements up but it will take more time to manifest.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
TAO/USDT.P Short Setup – Riding the Downtrend with PrecisionTrade Details: Leverage: CROSS 15x - 20x Entry: 348 - 351 USDT Stop: 361.1 USDT Targets: TP1: 332 USDT TP2: 319 USDT TP3: 300 USDT Why This Trade Makes Sense: ✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss placed at 361.1 USDT ensures protection above the supply levels. ✅ Strategic Targets: The targets are set at key support levels (332, 319, and 300 USDT), where price is likely to react. Final Thought: With tight risk management and logical profit-taking targets, it offers a solid chance to ride the market lower. Patience and discipline are key—keep an eye on price action and stick to the plan!
Short
by Heruprabowo
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing. Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral. For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options: pump till PWH and then move on correction slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
Long
by Almenio
XAU/USD 28 April - 02 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue horizontal dotted line. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print bearish CHoCH. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoin Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Very bullish breakout on Tuesday, now bears last hope before 100000 is if maybe prior support has turned resistance. I marked the area with the red box. How likely is it? Very unlikely. Much more likely is a measured move up which could lead to 101000ish. current market cycle: weekly chart says continuation of the bull trend but i highly doubt it. much more likely we are in a big trading range 73000 - 110000 key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next) bull case: Big breakout above 90000 and now 100000 is the obvious next target. The lowest measured move up I can see is 101000 but I want to see market reaction around 100000 first before I look for higher targets. Bulls are in full control of this but any pullback should stay above 88000. Invalidation is below 88000. bear case: Bears gave up on Tuesday and I think more will wait for 100000 and see if bulls take profits there before initiating new shorts. Until bears can get a daily close below 88000 again, they don’t have much. Invalidation is above 101k. short term: Neutral but bullish above 96k on good momentum for 100k. No shorts until bears show strength again. medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-13: Bear targets for this year are met. Now we likely range before we get new impulse to either side. I wait for market reaction around 100000 before I write more here. For now my assumption is still that this will be a trading range 73000 - 100000 for longer than a retest or even new highs.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
GBPUSD – Bearish Breakout Expected | Short OpportunityThe British Pound (GBP) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.3300 level, forming a potential lower high. If the price confirms a break below the immediate support, we could see an aggressive bearish move targeting lower support zones. Key support levels to watch: 1.32497 1.30997 1.29233 1.27056 A clean break below 1.32497 could accelerate the sell-off, with a major downside target near 1.27056. Plan: Monitor price action around the current level. Look for bearish confirmation signals to enter short positions. Place stop-loss orders above recent highs and manage risk accordingly.
Short
by MR_MARK0
S&P Futures weekly chart review4/27/2025 Outside up bar last week needing continuation. Notice the bear bar of 2 weeks abo triggered and then reversed, trapping sellers. Buyers below. Outside up bars are expanding triangles. Likely we pulllback into the range of the bar, reverse and close above the bar. Good probability of trend continuation up. Momentum is strong, even though this is a second leg reversal back to a breakout point. For the bulls, the best case scenario is an initial selloff, then reversal and back up to form a 3rd leg of a wedge. But after that, likely to go back down. The bear channel down was strong, and bears will want a second leg, even if it eventually forms a failed flag. I view the corrective move down as 17 weeks, so likely 8-9 weeks of sideways to up, of which we are in week 3. So likely more time of sideways to up. So - expecting an initial selloff, then higher prices leading to another leg down for the bears. There are sellers above, and buyers below. Best case for bears is eventual trend resumption. Best case for bulls is a failed flag formation and back to new highs.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlSmith22
Gold in April is worthy of being written into history!!!The gold price trend in April can only be described as extreme and crazy, with a single day's volatility equivalent to half a month or even a month in the past. At the beginning of April, gold started at $3,130 and fell to a low of $2,957. With the outbreak of the tariff war, gold prices rose all the way, with frenzied weekly gains. Finally, after hitting a peak of $3,500 last week, it began to plummet sharply, dropping to the current $3,318. After the tariffs between the United States and China were gradually escalated, there was once news of a relaxation this week. However, Trump threatened over the weekend that he would not lift the tariffs on China unless China made substantial concessions, which may support the gold bulls. In the constantly fluctuating market trading, we need to have enough patience to wait for suitable entry points and avoid chasing rises or cutting losses in panic.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
BTCUSD – Potential Rejection from Key Resistance | Short OpportBitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within the critical resistance zone between 94,000 and 96,000. A rejection from this zone could trigger a strong downside move. Key support levels to watch: 93,881 90,572 87,401 84,230 81,228 If price breaks below these levels, we may see further bearish momentum towards the major support zone around 81,228, where a potential bounce could occur. Plan: Look for short setups if the price confirms rejection at the resistance zone. Place stop-loss orders slightly above the resistance area. Set take-profit targets at the mentioned support levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MR_MARK0
$EBAY $80 EOYA non factor amongst tariff rhetoric. I think the idea of US consumers (even internationally) buying and reselling has never been higher. I think a lot of consumers will start to look for used goods more than ever. I'm eyeing $70 calls for earnings this upcoming week (first week of May 2025) and if it has any pull back I will load the boat for $80 call leaps. I like the structure it's held at this $55-$65 range. I expect new highs on this name maybe earnings can give it a jolt. All the lines you see are 20, 50, 200 SMA and EMA. I could be wrong on earnings as this name tends to dip from earnings even posting beats but that's the gamble of earnings but LONG TERM this name is a good buy. Charts are Monthly and Daily. WSL.
NASDAQ:EBAYLong
by wallstreetloser001
Analysis of Gold Strategies for Next WeekThe ADP employment report, known as the "little non - farm payrolls", will be released next Wednesday. Meanwhile, the latest PCE inflation and consumption data will also be announced.👉👉👉 Next Friday, the real focus will be on the non - farm payrolls report, and there is currently intense speculation about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. A disappointing non - farm payrolls report, coupled with weak core PCE data, could strengthen expectations that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points in June rather than July. However, for May, the market generally expects the Fed to remain on hold. From a 4-hour analysis, the key support below should be focused on 3,270-3,280, and the short-term resistance above is near 3,360-3,370. In the short term, the 3,300 level continues to be bullish first, and a second rally is expected. Short positions need to enter at key points. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3290-3310 sl 3260 tp 3330-3340 If you want to learn more about trading insights, you can visit my homepage to check the content you're interested in.👉👉👉
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern🚨 SUI Forming Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern 🚨 SUI appears to be forming a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern. For confirmation of this bullish pattern, the price needs to break out above the neckline, which is marked in red. 📈 Technical Overview: Pattern: Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders Neckline: Red resistance level Confirmation: A breakout above the red neckline will confirm the bullish pattern. 🎯 Potential Move: Bullish continuation upon confirmation of the breakout.
Long
by WaveRiders2
"EUR/USD Squeeze Breakout"1. Chart Pattern: You can see a descending triangle forming (red lines). Price is squeezing between the red resistance line (sloping down) and the red support line (almost flat). This shows the market is in a consolidation phase. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Support zone: Around 1.13000 (the blue box at the bottom). Resistance zone: Around 1.15500–1.16000 (the blue box at the top). 3. Breakout Expectation: There is a black arrow indicating an expected bullish breakout (upward movement). Target after breakout is shown around 1.14414. 4. Trading Idea: If price breaks above the red resistance line (triangle top), it is expected to move towards the 1.14414 area. Buyers might enter after confirmation of breakout. 5. Risk Area: If price fails and breaks down below the red support, it could fall toward the 1.13000 zone.
Long
by XAUUSD_MASTER003
1
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of ONDO👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to fully review the ONDO project for you. First, I’ll go over the project’s information, and then we'll move on to its technical analysis. 🔹Introduction to Ondo Finance (ONDO) Ondo Finance is an open and decentralized investment bank designed to bridge the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). Founded in 2022 and based in the Cayman Islands, Ondo's mission is to democratize access to institutional-grade financial services. Its ecosystem is built to serve a wide range of stakeholders including DAOs, institutional players, and retail investors. Ondo's key innovation lies in tokenizing real-world assets, thereby making them accessible to a broader audience via blockchain technology. 🔹ONDO Token and Governance The ONDO token plays a central role in the governance of the Ondo decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Token holders have specific rights within the DAO, particularly over the governance of Flux Finance, which is one of the main platforms in the Ondo ecosystem. ONDO holders are empowered to propose and vote on changes, allocate funds for projects, and influence the platform’s direction, ensuring community-driven governance. The ONDO token sale occurred in mid-2022 and was purchased by over 18,000 individuals. 🔹Technology and Infrastructure Ondo leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized financial services. It operates on a secure and transparent distributed ledger system, which ensures that transactions are immutable and resistant to tampering. The platform uses Proof-of-Stake (PoS) as its consensus mechanism to validate transactions, offering both security and energy efficiency. Ondo is also integrated with various DeFi protocols and utilizes techniques from traditional finance to repackage DeFi exposures into institutional-grade risk-return profiles. Strategic partnerships with firms like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase enhance its interoperability and credibility. 🔹Real-World Use Cases Ondo's primary application is in the tokenization of real-world assets such as real estate or treasuries. This allows users to invest in fractionalized assets, lowering the barrier to entry for institutional-quality financial products. The platform is used for intellectual property management through blockchain-based records, enabling secure and transparent tracking. Ondo also engages in community events and educational initiatives to raise awareness about blockchain technology. Furthermore, it offers technical and business development services such as smart contract deployment and treasury management to startups and institutions. 🔹Key Developments and Milestones In 2022, the Ondo DAO was officially launched, providing a decentralized governance framework. Following that, the foundation introduced Flux Finance, a major protocol under Ondo DAO governance. The Ondo Foundation has formed several partnerships to expand its ecosystem and drive innovation. One of the important initiatives includes Ondo USDY LLC, which issues the USDY stablecoin. Ondo has also focused on education, contract deployment, and treasury management, solidifying its operational backbone and long-term strategic vision. 🔹Team and Founders Ondo Finance was founded by Nathan Allman and a team of former Goldman Sachs digital asset professionals. Nathan Allman brings a strong background in engineering and financial operations, serving as a key driver of the project’s vision. The founding team’s experience in traditional finance has been instrumental in shaping Ondo’s hybrid model, which integrates DeFi tools with institutional-grade strategies. 🔹Fundraising and Token Sale Ondo Finance has conducted multiple fundraising rounds. An initial coin offering (ICO) took place on CoinList on May 12, 2022, raising $22 million. The token was priced at $0.055, with a minimum purchase of $100 and a maximum of $20,000. Another funding round was the IEO on Gate.io Startup, conducted from January 17 to January 18, 2024, which raised $40,000. In total, Ondo has raised $46.04 million, including $22.04 million from public sales and $24 million from private and institutional funding rounds. 🔹Tokenomics The ONDO token has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Distribution is divided as follows: 52.1 percent for ecosystem growth, 33 percent for protocol development, 12.9 percent for private sales, and 2 percent for community access sales. As of now, 33.9 percent of the total supply is unlocked, with another 19.4 percent scheduled for future unlocks. Approximately 46.7 percent remains locked. 🔹Vesting Schedule The vesting of ONDO tokens is structured into distinct categories. Ecosystem growth tokens are released linearly over five years, with 24 percent unlocked as of January 2024 and 39.2 percent expected to unlock gradually. Protocol development tokens have a one-year cliff, followed by a three-year linear unlock, with 25 percent becoming available in April 2025. Private sales follow the same schedule as protocol development, while community access sales were 90 percent unlocked from the beginning with full linear unlock over one year. — Certik: 87.50✅ 🔹Top Ondo Wallets Trust Wallet imToken MetaMask Torus Coinbase TokenPocket iToken Wallet Binance web3 wallet 🔹Liquidity Pools Uniswap Balancer 🔹Top Holders 0x677fd4ed8ae623f2f625deb2d64f2070e46ca1a1 0x460ae5a6666fcb9635ba99b541b31279e59665370x 524083970c7a1e62fbaa61d38781f87a4f191fd0 0xa63eace47618b9677261b09b32e3ca2b5c0a0182 0xd2e6e930e25456ffcd4df0124563cc334f3284f4 🔹Significant TVL Growth in Ondo Despite Sharp Liquidity Decline Since mid-January 2025, the total value locked (TVL) in Ondo has increased from 157,000 ETH to 631,000 ETH, reflecting significant growth in its TVL. However, in terms of liquidity, Ondo has experienced a sharp decline since late March, with a drop of nearly 50% compared to the previous month. 🔹On-Chain Analysis of ONDO Looking at ONDO’s on-chain data, the $0.833 level stands out as a key support zone based on the concentration of tokens currently in profit. On the flip side, the $0.856 area acts as a resistance level, with approximately 124 million ONDO tokens currently held at a loss. However, the volume of tokens in profit remains higher overall, which can be interpreted positively — these zones represent value and may attract increased demand. From a network activity perspective, there has been a noticeable decline, particularly in the number of new addresses being created. Analyzing supply and demand, approximately 75% of ONDO tokens are held by whales, indicating strong whale dominance. Address-level data shows that wallets holding between 10 and 100 million tokens have shown minor demand, while older holders are contributing meaningful inflows. Additionally, wallets identified as "investor" addresses have also demonstrated renewed buying interest. 👀 Now that we’ve reviewed the project's details, let’s dive into ONDO’s technical analysis. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there aren't many candles yet, so we can’t perform a complete analysis on this timeframe. ✔️ However, you can observe that after the project launched in January 2024, there was an upward movement up to the 1.3927 area, followed by a correction down to 0.5871. 💥 After this correction, the next bullish leg continued up to the 2.0565 area. 📈 During this bullish cycle, there’s also an ascending trendline that the price has reacted to multiple times, and now it has touched it again. ⚡️ The main support on this timeframe is at 0.5871, and the main resistance is at 2.0565. So, if you already hold ONDO and are considering setting a stop-loss, breaking 0.5871 could be a good point to activate it. 🔽 This level can also be used as a trigger for a short position. Breaking 0.5871 could create a downtrend in ONDO. 🛒 For spot buying, the main trigger is breaking 2.0565, and if this level is broken, the price could register a new ATH. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price has been supported by the trendline and has shown a very quick reaction, with bullish momentum pushing it above the 0.9253 resistance. 📊 Currently, the price has reached the SMA99 and reacted to it. The volume of the candles reacting to the SMA99 has increased, and if the price stabilizes above the SMA99, the main bullish leg could begin. 💫 The next resistance the price faces is at 1.1933, and if the SMA99 is broken, I believe the price can easily rise to this level. ☘️ Moreover, if this level is also broken, the price could climb up to 2.0565. 📉 For ONDO to turn bearish on this timeframe, the first trigger would be a fake breakout above 0.9253.The main bearish trigger would be breaking both the trendline and the 0.7122 level. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
1