ONENTRY ONENTRY
Wait for it !
GBP/JPY Overnight Range Breakout Strategy
Timeframe: 30 Minutes
Session: London Pre-Market (00:00 - 06:30 +2GMT)
Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range
Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT).
Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range.
Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels
After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool:
Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle.
Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move (first candle of the range).
Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement.
Step 3: Trade Execution
Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout.
Stop Loss :
Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle’s body.
Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle’s body.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.0 Fib (1:1 risk-reward).
TP2: 1.25 Fib extension.
TP3: 1.6 Fib extenasion
TP4: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
Step 4: Trade Management
Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1.
Community ideas
CHECK GBPJPY ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(GPBJPY) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (GBPJPY) ready for( BUY )trade ( GBPJPY ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (192.950) to (192.850) 📊
FIRST TP (193.300)📊
2ND TARGET (194.700) 📊
LAST TARGET (194.200) 📊
STOP LOOS (192.200)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (1.41400) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the MA level Breakout Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.42800) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.40000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💸💵USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EURNZD SELL IDEA i love how the zones on eurnzd have been super clear and with the recent bos a pullback has occurred and on the lower time frame we can see that price is starting to close back under support and for me once price did that the probability of at least going back into half of that zone makes this trade idea worth one me taking.
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices
1. Impact of tariff policies
- Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold.
3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded
Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
4-hour cycle:
Confirmation of strong structure:
3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend.
Target forecast:
Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion).
Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points.
1-hour chart strategy:
Key watershed 3100:
This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change.
Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130:
Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion".
Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105.
Patiently wait for the callback
Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025 🚀
🔹 Current Price: 83,187.60
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones):
🟢 81,266.01 – Major Support Zone
📌 Key Resistance Levels (Fair Value Gaps - FVGs & Supply Zones):
🔴 83,929.01 – First Target
🔴 85,231.24 – Major Resistance (Potential Target)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
BTC is currently consolidating around 83,187 and forming a potential bullish structure.
A break above 83,929.01 could lead to a rally toward 85,231.24.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (85,310.24) is a key area to watch for potential resistance.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold above 83,000, we could see a drop towards the 81,266 support zone.
A break below 81,266 may indicate further downside movement.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for bullish confirmation before entering long positions.
✅ Look for potential rejection at the FVG zones for reversal trades.
✅ Use risk management and set stop losses appropriately.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #CryptoMarket
Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Drop to $1,550 Imminent This Week?As of April 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,838 (based on recent market data), reflecting a precarious position in the crypto market. After a volatile start to the year, ETH has shed over 44% year-to-date and is now testing critical support levels. This analysis explores the potential for an 11% drop to the $1,550 range within the next few days (by the end of this week, April 6), driven by technical breakdowns, bearish on-chain signals, and broader market pressures.
Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Mounting
On the daily chart, ETH has been struggling to maintain momentum above the $1,800 psychological level. After a brief bounce from its yearly low of $1,760 on March 11, the price has failed to reclaim the $2,000 mark—a key resistance zone that previously acted as support in late 2024. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup:
Key Support Breach: The $1,800–$1,877 range has been a critical support zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the December 2024 high of $4,106 to the March 2025 low of $1,759. A close below $1,770 this week would confirm a breakdown, opening the door to the next major support at $1,550–$1,600, a level last tested in October 2023.
Bearish Pattern Confirmation: The 2-hour chart shows ETH completing a corrective structure (likely an A-B-C wave) after its March 19 peak at $2,070. If wave C mirrors wave A in length—a common Elliott Wave scenario—the target aligns near $1,550, coinciding with the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent bounce.
Moving Averages: ETH is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2,321) and 200-day SMA ($3,010), signaling a sustained bearish trend. The 50-day SMA, now sloping downward, acts as dynamic resistance, capping any relief rallies. A failure to reclaim this level soon reinforces the downside risk.
RSI Oversold but Weak : The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, as seen during ETH’s 2022 bear market. Momentum remains weak, with no bullish divergence to suggest an imminent reversal.
Target Projection : A drop from $1,838 to $1,550 represents an 11% decline, achievable within 2–3 days if selling pressure accelerates. The $1,550 level aligns with historical support and the long-term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a plausible target.
On-Chain Data: Selling Pressure Intensifies
On-chain metrics paint a grim picture, supporting the bearish technical outlook:
Exchange Reserves Rising: Ethereum’s exchange reserve has ticked up from 18.3 million ETH, reversing a multi-month decline. This suggests long-term holders or institutions are moving assets from cold storage to exchanges, potentially preparing to sell.
Whale Activity: Recent data shows significant whale sell-offs, with large transactions (over 100 ETH) spiking in the past 48 hours. This aligns with posts on X noting whale distribution near current levels, adding downward pressure.
DeFi Weakness: Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) is waning, with total value locked (TVL) dropping as competing Layer-1 chains gain traction. Reduced network activity undermines ETH’s utility-driven demand, a key pillar of its value proposition.
Staking Dynamics: While staking activity increased post-Shapella upgrade, the anticipated selling pressure from unstaked ETH continues to linger, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty prompts profit-taking.
Market Sentiment: Fear Dominates
The broader crypto market is reeling from macroeconomic headwinds. The U.S. Core PCE Index rose to 2.8% in February, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, signaling persistent inflation. Higher interest rates for longer dampen risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Posts on X reflect growing pessimism, with some traders eyeing sub-$1,000 levels if $1,760 fails—a sentiment echoed by Ethereum’s 7% drop this week alone.
Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $82,000, has also faltered, dragging altcoins lower. ETH’s correlation with BTC remains high (around 0.9), and a failure to hold $80,000 for BTC could amplify ETH’s decline. Additionally, the lack of immediate catalysts—such as ETF approvals or major network upgrades—leaves ETH vulnerable to further capitulation.
Price Scenarios and Key Levels
Bearish Case (Base Scenario): A daily close below $1,770 triggers a swift move to $1,550–$1,600 by April 6. Volume spikes and panic selling could push it lower, though $1,550 offers strong historical support.
Bullish Rejection: A reclaim of $2,070 (the March 19 high) invalidates the bearish setup, potentially sparking a relief rally to $2,250. This seems unlikely without a significant BTC breakout or positive news.
Invalidation: A close above $2,120 this week would negate the short-term bearish thesis, though resistance at the 50-day SMA ($2,321) caps upside potential.
Trading Strategy
Entry: Short ETH below $1,770 with confirmation of increased volume.
Target: $1,550 (11% drop), with a stretch goal of $1,500 if momentum persists.
Stop Loss: $1,911 (intraday high from April 2), limiting risk to 4–5%.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 2.5:1, assuming a $1,550 target.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s technical setup, coupled with bearish on-chain signals and a fearful market, suggests an 11% drop to $1,550 is plausible by the end of this week (April 6, 2025). The $1,770 level is the line in the sand—watch it closely. While oversold conditions hint at a potential bounce, the lack of buying conviction and macro pressures tilt the odds toward further downside. Traders should monitor BTC’s price action and exchange inflows for confirmation. Stay nimble, and let the charts guide your next move.
GBPUSD upside target 1.331-1.343On the daily chart, GBPUSD continues to rise, and the bullish trend is obvious. At present, we can pay attention to the support of 1.304-1.306 area. If it falls back and stabilizes, we can consider going long. Pay attention to the previous supply area of 1.331-1.343 above.
The Collaborative Edge: Pfizer's Innovation Secret? Pfizer's success in the biopharmaceutical industry hinges on its internal capabilities and a strategic embrace of external collaboration. This proactive approach, spanning diverse technological frontiers, fuels innovation across its operations. From partnering with QuantumBasel and D-Wave to optimize production planning using quantum annealing, to collaborating with XtalPi to revolutionize drug discovery through AI-powered crystal structure prediction, Pfizer demonstrates the tangible benefits of cross-industry partnerships. These initiatives showcase a commitment to exploring cutting-edge technologies to enhance efficiency and accelerate the identification of promising drug candidates, ultimately improving patient outcomes and strengthening Pfizer's competitive position.
The article highlights specific examples of Pfizer's collaborative endeavors. The Pfizer Healthcare Hub in Freiburg acts as a catalyst, connecting internal needs with external innovation. The successful proof of technology in production planning using quantum annealing resulted in significant time and resource savings. Furthermore, the partnership with XtalPi has dramatically reduced the timeframe for determining the 3-D structure of potential drug molecules, enabling faster and more efficient drug screening. These collaborations exemplify Pfizer's strategic focus on leveraging specialized expertise and advanced technologies from external partners to overcome complex challenges in the pharmaceutical value chain.
Beyond these specific projects, Pfizer actively engages with the broader quantum computing landscape, recognizing its transformative potential for drug design, clinical studies, and personalized medicine. Collaborations with technology giants like IBM and fellow pharmaceutical companies underscore the industry-wide interest in harnessing the power of quantum computing. While the technology is still in its early stages, Pfizer's proactive participation in this collaborative ecosystem positions it at the forefront of future healthcare breakthroughs. This commitment to synergy, from basic research to market research, underscores a fundamental belief in the power of working together to drive meaningful advancements in the pharmaceutical industry.
GBPJPY- Stay bullish!GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 193.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 197.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
ETH/USDT- Buy!ETH is still trading inside a descending channel, showing signs of a possible reversal. The price is bouncing off support levels around $1,750-$1,830, with a possible retest of higher resistance levels. The 50-day moving average (red line) is acting as a dynamic resistance above the price.
Bullish scenario: ETH needs to sustain above $1,830 to confirm a short-term correction. If ETH breaks the $2,200-$2,400 resistance zone, a rally toward $2,800-$3,000 could follow.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at the resistance could push ETH back towards $1,830 and possibly $1,750. A loss of $1,750 could trigger a further decline towards $1,600.
Resistance: $2,200, $2,400, $2,800
Support: $1,830, $1,750, $1,600
US 100 IndexIt would seem within the coming week, the first potential support to monitor on a closing basis is still the 19065 retracement, with 20307 continuing to represent possible resistance.
While closing breaks of either of these levels won’t guarantee a significant price movement with much still dependent on the outcome of events across the week, a closing breakout may lead to a more extended price move in the direction of any break.
Support: Closing breaks under the 19065 support might suggest resumption of recent declines, with risks possibly then emerging to test 18111, which is the deeper 50% retracement, may be even further if this is in turn breached.
Resistance: If 20307 is broken to the upside on a closing basis, it may lead to a further retracement of the February to March weakness, with the 50% level standing at 20679, or even 21050, which is the higher 62% retracement.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19037.00
- PR Low: 18819.00
- NZ Spread: 487.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
AMP temporarily increased margin requirements to double the standard rate ahead of Trump tariff announcement
- Over 740 point session gap down
- Extreme volatile open aligned with tariff anticipation
- Value decline continues to 18000 inventory following touch and go off daily Keltner average cloud
- Auction rotating back to previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/3)
- Session Open ATR: 484.77
- Volume: 85K
- Open Int: 249K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -15.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GBPCHF Trade IdeaGBPCHF Trade Idea
Analysis & Justification:
• Price is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bullish trend.
• A Break of Structure (BOS) has occurred, serving as a second confirmation that the price is in an uptrend and likely to continue its upward movement.
• Price has also rejected the Demand Zone at the BOS level, further reinforcing the bullish momentum after testing this key support area.
Trade Parameters:
• Entry Price: 1.14407
• Target Price: 1.14929
• Stop Loss: 1.14146
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2
This setup aligns with the trend-following strategy, leveraging trend continuation signals and demand zone rejections.
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish.
When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers.
The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
Gold fluctuates sharply at high levelsToday, the market focuses on the US non-farm payrolls data for March, including key indicators such as unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls and wage growth. The market generally expects:
The unemployment rate remains unchanged at 3.9%
The number of farm payrolls may be lower than the previous value of 275,000
The average hourly wage growth rate may slow down
From the perspective of expectations, the data is generally favorable for gold. However, it is necessary to be vigilant that the ADP employment data released this week performed strongly. If today's non-farm payrolls are also better than expected, it may put pressure on gold prices. Therefore, it is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern during the day, waiting for data guidance.
Technical analysis
Daily level:
Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated violently, first falling from the high of 3167 to the low of 3062, a drop of $1,000, and then rebounding strongly from the low of 3054 to 3135 during the US trading period, and finally closed at around 3100
The daily line formed a large negative line with an ultra-long lower shadow, showing a fierce battle between bulls and bears
$3100 became a key psychological barrier, which was both the low point of yesterday's retracement and the previous double bottom support
1-hour level: The moving average system showed signs of turning downward, and the downward trend line suppression level moved down to around 3108
Key price
Upper resistance: 3108 (trend line suppression) → 3135 (yesterday's US trading high)
Lower support: 3100 (psychological barrier) → 3085 → 3057/3054 (top and bottom conversion position)
Trading strategy
Short strategy:
Entry point: around 3108 (trend line suppression)
Stop loss: above 3118
Target: around 3060
Applicable conditions: no strong breakthrough in European session
Long strategy:
First look at 3100 support, and try long with a light position if it stabilizes
If it falls below 3100, pay attention to the support level of 3085/3057
For a better profit and loss ratio, you can consider arranging mid-term long orders
Risk warning
Non-agricultural data may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to reduce positions or wait and see before the data
If the European session breaks through the suppression of 3118, you need to give up the idea of short orders
Strictly control stop loss and guard against false breakthrough risks
Pay attention to the impact of the difference between the actual value of the data and the expectation on the market
Summary
Gold has entered the consolidation stage after experiencing a huge shock of 100 points. Non-agricultural data may become a key factor in breaking the current balance. Suggestions for investors:
3108 is the watershed for the Asian and European sessions, and high-altitude trading is the main focus
Adjust positions before the US session to cope with the non-agricultural market
Focus on the breakthrough of 3100 support and 3108 resistance
Flexibly adjust strategies based on actual performance after data is released
Falling towards Fibo confluence?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance.
Pivot: 143.94
1st Support: 142.19
1st Resistance: 147.13
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.