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Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis🧠 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis 📅 Chart Date: April 2, 2025 🔍 Pattern Observations Previous Uptrend (Left Section of Chart): The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern that formed after a strong uptrend. Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder were clearly formed and confirmed. The price reversed strongly after completing this H&S, indicating a bearish reversal. Current Pattern Forming (Right Section of Chart): A new H&S pattern is now forming, suggesting another potential bearish setup. The Left Shoulder and Head are already in place. The price is currently moving upward toward what may become the Right Shoulder. Expected completion of Right Shoulder around the 40,000 level. A trendline support from the prior lows aligns with this area, strengthening this level as a possible resistance zone. 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Pattern Confirmation) If price reaches ~40,000, forms the Right Shoulder, and then starts to decline, the pattern will be complete. A decisive breakdown below the neckline (drawn from the lows of Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder base) would confirm the bearish H&S pattern. In that case, projected target zone would be calculated as: Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline) Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline) Depending on exact neckline placement, target could be around 38,000 or lower. 🚫 Invalidation Scenario (Pattern Failure) If price breaks above the Head region (~42,500 - 42,800), then the current H&S pattern gets nullified. In this case, the structure becomes bullish again, potentially leading to new highs beyond 43,000+. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Level Significance 42,500-42,800 Head Resistance / Pattern Invalidation 40,000 Expected Right Shoulder Peak 38,000 H&S Breakdown Target 41,000 Interim Support 39,500 Neckline (approx.) ⚠️ Risk Factors H&S is a reliable reversal pattern, but like all technical patterns, confirmation is key. Right Shoulder is still under formation; premature trading before confirmation could lead to false signals. Market sentiment, macroeconomic news (like inflation data, Fed announcements), or geopolitical events could override technical patterns. ✅ Conclusion DJI has already completed one H&S pattern post-uptrend and saw a bearish reversal. Now, it's potentially forming another H&S, and 40,000 is a key level for the Right Shoulder. If the price rejects at 40,000 and breaks below neckline, bearish trend may resume, targeting 38,000 or lower. If the price breaks above the Head (~42,800), the bearish structure is invalid, and we may see a bullish continuation. 📢 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The chart patterns discussed are based on historical price action and do not guarantee future performance.
TVC:DJIShort
by shiva560060
S&P500: Persistent SupportThe S&P 500 continued its recovery following its reaction to the support at 5509 points. However, in our primary scenario, we expect the index to fall below this mark to ultimately complete wave in green within our color-matched Target Zone (coordinates: 4988 points – 4763 points). Within this range, there are entry opportunities for long positions, which could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary. Once the corrective movement has reached its low, the final upward movement of the green wave structure should commence. In the process, the index should gain significantly and reach the high of wave above the resistance at 6166 points. If this mark is surpassed prematurely, our alternative scenario with a 30% probability will come into play.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
POTENTIAL LONG POSITIONS ON GBP/USDGBP/USD 1H - This is another pair I have been looking at that is holding some good potential. This market has been bullish for some time on the higher timeframes. We saw that price was breaking lows and respecting areas of Supply within this ranging market, however we have now seen that these characteristics have reversed and price is actually starting to breaking highs, protect lows and trade higher. You can see that the last high that set the lowest low within what looks to be a potential corrective wave was broken, giving us our first break to the upside. We have then seen another one take place after price has traded into another area of interest. This second break is giving us further confluence to suggest potential bullishness. Aligning with our GBP/JPY analysis. I want to see price now trade down and into the Demand Zone I have marked out, deliver us with another break to the upside. This would give me confirmation to look to go long.
Long
by Lukegforex
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations. Key technical nodes Bull-bear watershed: Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday) Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone) Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension) Downward target: First look at the breakthrough of 3100 Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area) Deep correction may touch 3030-3000 Trading strategy recommendations Main strategy: short on rebound Ideal shorting area: Preferred 3124-3128 range Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases Stop loss setting ： 10-8 dollars above each resistance zone Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high Target position: Phase 1: 3100 mark Phase 2: 3077-3057 Phase 3: 3030-3000 Key points for auxiliary observation The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations Risk warning If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend
USTEC Buy Setup – Reversal Signal & Smart Money AccumulationTechnical: After a sharp decline, TRADENATION:USTEC has found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A reversal candle on March 31, followed by a bullish confirmation on April 1, suggests a potential bottom. Today’s small pullback ahead of Liberation Day may offer a buying opportunity. Fundamental: While concerns over tariff implementation persist, the market may have already priced in the worst-case scenario. Any outcome perceived as "less bad than expected" could trigger a short-term rebound. Additionally, increased commercial interest in TRADENATION:USTEC signals that smart money is positioning for a move higher. Risk & Reward: This is a speculative setup due to ongoing tariff uncertainties, but it presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity. 📈 Trade Idea: Entry: 19308 Stop Loss: 18766 Target: 20726 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Signal_Centre1
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2 Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance. Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva. Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Paradigm Shift: Markets in Tension over Trump's New TariffsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst at ActivTrades The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump's administration has generated a wave of uncertainty in financial markets. This measure could trigger a forceful response from the European Union, marking a paradigm shift in global trade and in the European bloc's economic strategy. Reactions in Europe and the ECB Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stressed the need for Europe to move towards greater economic independence. Her statements suggest that the EU will not back down from protectionist measures and that its fiscal and financial policy will have to adapt to this new global context. It can be sensed from the statements that countries such as Germany and Italy, with a strong dependence on automotive exports, could be among the most affected. In addition, strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum would face an increase in production costs and possible interruptions in supply chains. Spain and Poland could be affected in the strategic raw materials sector as one of the most powerful net exporters in Europe. Especially Spain, given that it dedicates a large part of its aluminum exports to the North American country. Economic and Financial Impact A tariff-based trade war could slow growth, increase unemployment and generate a disinflationary or even deflationary environment not only in the United States but also in the European economic region. In this context, the bond market has begun to discount further interest rate cuts, reflecting declines in longer maturity yields and break-even inflation rates. Expectations of Europe, and even traditional allied countries Canada and its rapprochement with Europe, as well as Japan and Korea showing approaches to China, could be demarcating a red line for the White House in terms of its foreign policy form. What Trump will have to consider if the market begins to respond so negatively to such an “enemy of trade” attitude, and especially such a “bad friend” to his traditional allies. Another key factor to consider is the NATO-NATO section where Europe may eventually displace the US from the grouping. DAX Analysis (Ticker AT: GER40) The German index has started the Asian session with a sideways movement and 2 hours before the European opening there have been strong falls after the alliance comments in Asia. The situation of the index seems to have reached a floor around 22,241 points generating a possible support this Wednesday. If we look at the trend, the index has reached highs twice last month on March 6 and 18, marking on the second occasion a new milestone trading at 23,480.22 points, generating a return to a range where the index is comfortable this year between 22,918 points and 22,105 points, with the annual lows at 22,209.21 points. The current situation is indicating a possible golden crossover to reverse the current situation. The Current Control Point (POC) is located at 22,967.56 points, so it would not be unusual with the increase in volume and with an oversold RSI at 44.93%, it is possible that the index climbs to 22,522 points in its mid-range zone and try to pierce if the news accompanies the Euro zone and in particular Germany and the companies that make up the index. If this happens, we could see an advance to the upper part of the range slightly below the indicated checkpoint. Future Outlook If the Trump administration maintains its uncompromising trade strategy, pressure on European financial markets could intensify. The EU, for its part, will have to assess possible countermeasures to protect its economy and maintain stability in an increasingly challenging environment. At ActivTrades, we are closely following these developments and their impact on global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Long
by ActivTrades
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK