Community ideas
BTCUSD Possibly Breaking Trend Looking like its breaking out of daily trend.
Wait for a green candle close out of trend (maybe a few days)
Look for a retest of daily down trend line and take a possible sell based off of that.
From then possible massive drop down to around £88,879 (60%fibb and on a weekly untested hold lvl)
2 POTENTIAL BREAKOUT POSSIBLE... WHICH ONE IS GONNA BE I’m closely tracking two key resistance levels that could be the trigger point for the next big breakout in crypto:
Resistance 1: $94,000
Resistance 2: $104,000
Right now, the market is showing strong momentum and coiling up near these zones. These resistance levels act like "ceiling prices" — once broken, they often signal powerful upward moves as traders pile in.
📊 So, Which Level Is the Real Breakout Trigger?
Let’s break it down:
🔸 $104K — The Early Signal
This is the closer and more immediate resistance.
A breakout here could trigger a short-term rally, likely inviting aggressive buyers.
But beware: it might still be a fakeout if volume doesn’t support it.
🔸 $94K — The Confirmed Breakout
This is the major resistance, likely watched by institutional traders.
A clean breakout At the $94K with volume would be a strong confirmation of a broader bullish trend.
This level breaking could ignite the real FOMO wave across the market.
AUD/USD - Triangle Breakout (02.06.2025)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6490
2nd Resistance – 0.6512
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forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
BTCUSDT/IBIT: No Recovery in Sight Yet. Don't Be Fooled.Hello everyone. As I closely examine BTCUSDT and IBIT, I have a significant observation: there are no clear signals yet that selling is slowing down. This means it's too early to speak of a recovery in the market.
As intelligent investors, we look not only at price movements but also at the market's underlying dynamics. Currently, I see no clear indication in either BTCUSDT or IBIT that selling pressure is diminishing.
In such situations, a meticulous examination of the volume footprint is essential. We analyze every detail in the volume to understand if buyers are truly stepping in, and if selling orders are being absorbed. At the same time, I am closely monitoring CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) divergences. If selling pressure were truly decreasing, we would expect to see clues in the CDV, but as of now, such confirmation is absent.
To confidently state that the market has entered a recovery phase, we need strong and confirmed breakouts on a low timeframe (LTF). Following these breakouts, a successful retest of the broken levels as support would be a reliable signal that the market has shifted direction. However, at present, such a structure has not formed.
As you know, I only trade coins that show a sudden and significant increase in volume. This approach allows me to focus my capital where the market is truly revealing its intentions. My current observation in BTCUSDT and IBIT is that this type of volume increase is not yet signaling a recovery.
Therefore, for those anticipating a market recovery, it is crucial not to act hastily and to await concrete confirmation signals. The market rewards the patient.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook
📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44%
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Trump Coin Wave Analysis – 30 May 2025
- Trump Coin broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 10.00
Trump Coin recently broke the support zone between the support level 11.95 (which has been reversing the price from the start of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward correction (2) from the start of April.
The breakout of this support zone continues the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April.
Trump Coin can be expected to fall to the next round support level 10.00 (which stopped the previous wave 1 at the start of May).
$XLV - Long Calls (Sept)I picked up calls for September based on price action and key control levels. The stock has been in a downtrend and recently tested significant support levels on both a monthly and weekly basis. Considering the slow price movement and that the recent decline was driven by fundamental factors, I'm targeting a rebound back to the monthly high from May.
MTF outlook: local wave X/A finished, looking for retracementThe local wave X (or A) from April 8 low seems to have finished at $2790 on May 28th.
Now looking for a retracement (wave Y or B).
Locally, 0.382 Fib level at $2250 provide an interesting level for counter-trading, and I'd be looking for sign of local strength for a short-term long position.
I'll start looking for sign of strength at 0.5 level ($2087), but in reality, I'd really like to see the POC tapped at $1875 for the best risk-to-reward ratio, and to finish the wave X (or B) move. The POC is derived from the larger wave Y since Dec. 2024 to April 2025.
Timing is a guess but based on time-fib projection and understanding of the traditional market summer lull days, I'm expecting wave Y (or B) to finish late June to mid-July. June, July, August are dubbed the 'dog days of summer' because not a lot of price action happens, so trend usually stalls or corrects (this is statistical average). Just an intuitive guess.
BTC/ USDT DOM.. more downside? This is USDT on the weekly.. as you can see last June and July even before this is a big level of support for USDT DOM.. Wont be surprised for some more down side here for the crypto market. I know its easy to say now after it lost 111k but I just got home and wanted to look deeper into it. Play it level by level obviously.. fib by fib but don't be surprised to see some down side.. Also you're only down if you bough in the last 2 days and that being said don't buy something that ran up to ATH and think its time to buy.. you kinda deserve it.. but lets see what happens. I hope I'm wrong
$CROX - LongsNASDAQ:CROX is approaching daily control levels that align with key weekly lows. The current price also coincides with the YTD AVWAP, and the recent decline appears to be fundamentally driven.
* First Entry: $99 - $100, targeting the daily supply around $110.
* Second Entry: $94 - $95, if price continues lower, with the same $110 targe if the first entry doesn't reach it.
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC.
DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge.
2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields
Evolving Relationship:
Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes).
Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds.
Key Drivers:
Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025).
Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations.
3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates
Fed Policy Impact:
Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC
Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal
Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments.
Summary Table
Correlation Relationship Key Drivers
BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven
BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification
BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics
Critical Trends in 2025
BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence.
Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation.
Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case.
Conclusion
BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes.
Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles.
Trade Implications:
A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum.
Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Golden Cross? No Thanks!! Here’s How to Get In Early.📉 “Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.”
By FXProfessor
Everyone’s hyped about the Golden Cross again...
📰 “Bullish Signal!”
📈 “50 SMA crossed the 200!”
🎉 “Party time!”
Let me stop you right there.
If you’re waiting for that cross to go long —
You’re not late.
You’re definitely late.
The Golden Cross is a lagging indication.
It’s the afterparty. The smart money already had the drinks and left.
🔍 Here's the deal:
✅ Golden Cross forms after the move
✅ Price is usually already up double digits
✅ Sometimes it triggers right before a top
✅ Even EMAs (which I prefer) are still confirmation tools
✅ The real edge? Structure. Trendlines. Pressure zones.
📊 What I use instead:
-Custom EMAs that react faster
-My signature parallelogram method for early pressure
-Focus on trendlines and structure
-Above all — logic, not hype
- Fundamentals first!
For example, while the Golden Cross just printed, I was already watching $74,394 and $79,000.
Why? Because pressure builds before indicators react.
That's where the best entries live.
So next time someone posts
“Golden Cross confirmed!” 😏 Just smile and remember:
By the time the cross lights up, I’m already halfway to the next target.
Use EMAs if you like. But structure comes first.
That’s where the party starts.
One Love,
The FXProfessor 🧠📈
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome people who care about the TRADER FIRST!
eurusd 15mThis chart displays a short-term technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what's illustrated:
Key Zones and Levels:
Register Zone (Resistance):
Highlighted in red, around 1.13862. This is a strong resistance area where price has previously reversed.
Current Price:
Around 1.13698 at the time of the chart.
1st Level (Support/Break Zone):
Labeled at 1.13546, slightly below current price. This is a potential breakdown level.
Target Point (Support/Buy Zone):
Marked in green at 1.13158, this is the anticipated target if price breaks below the 1st level.
Trade Idea Implied:
Bearish Outlook:
The chart suggests that if the price fails to hold above 1.13546, it may trigger a downward move towards 1.13158.
Trigger Point:
A break below 1.13546 could be the confirmation for entering a short (sell) position.
Invalidation Zone:
A move above the register zone (1.13862) might invalidate the bearish setup, indicating possible further bullish movement.
Let me know if you'd like help forming a trade plan or backtesting this scenario.