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GBP/NZD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! GBP/NZD is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 2.264 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
BTC Dominance Breaks Out Altcoins Set to Bleed, Be CautiousHey everyone, let’s dive into this BTC Dominance chart on the 4H timeframe. As you can see, BTC Dominance has just broken out to the upside from a descending triangle pattern, which is a bullish signal for dominance. Currently sitting at 62.633%, it’s testing a key resistance zone around 62.71% (the recent high). If this level holds as support, we could see BTC Dominance push higher toward the next resistance around 64-65%, a zone that aligns with the upper trendline of the longer-term ascending channel. What does this mean for altcoins ? When BTC Dominance rises, it typically signals that Bitcoin is outperforming altcoins, often leading to altcoins bleeding in value relative to BTC. The breakout suggests capital is flowing into Bitcoin, likely due to market uncertainty or a flight to safety within crypto. Altcoins could face downward pressure in the short term, especially if BTC Dominance confirms this breakout with a strong close above 62.71%. Key Levels to Watch Support: 62.62% (recent breakout level) – if this fails, we might see a retest of 61.5%. Resistance: 64-65% – a break above this could accelerate altcoin underperformance. Invalidation: A drop below 61.5% would negate the bullish setup for BTC Dominance and could signal a potential altcoin rally. Altcoin Outlook Altcoins are likely to struggle in the near term as BTC sucks up market liquidity. However, keep an eye on major altcoins like ETH, BNB, or SOL for relative strength – if they hold key support levels despite this dominance move, they might be the first to recover when BTC Dominance cools off. Final Thoughts This BTC Dominance breakout is a warning sign for altcoin holders. Consider tightening stops on altcoin positions or hedging with BTC exposure. Also don't forget this is NFP Week as well. Let’s see how this plays out over the next few days – stay nimble and trade safe!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by wolfchemist
JPMorgan at a Crossroads Bullish Surge or Bearish Retreat ? Hello, fellow traders! Today, I’m diving into a detailed technical analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) on the 2-hour chart, as shown in the screenshot. My goal is to break down the key elements of this chart in a professional yet accessible way, so whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, you can follow along and understand the potential opportunities and risks in this setup. Let’s get started! Price Action Overview At the time of this analysis, JPM is trading at 243.62, down -1.64 (-0.67%) on the 2-hour timeframe. The chart spans from late March to early May, giving us a good look at the recent price behavior. The price has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows, but we’re now seeing signs of a potential pullback or consolidation. The chart shows a breakout above a key resistance zone around the 234.50 level (highlighted in red on the Volume Profile), followed by a retest of this level as support. This is a classic bullish pattern: a breakout, a retest, and then a continuation higher. However, the recent price action suggests some hesitation, with a small bearish candle forming at the current price of 243.62. Let’s dig deeper into the tools and indicators to understand what’s happening. Volume Profile Analysis The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart is a powerful tool for identifying key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. Here’s what it’s telling us: Value Area High (VAH): 266.25 Point of Control (POC): 243.01 Value Area Low (VAL): 236.57 Profile Low: 224.25 The Point of Control (POC) at 243.01 is the price level with the highest traded volume in this range, acting as a magnet for price. Since the current price (243.62) is just above the POC, this level is likely providing some support. However, the fact that we’re so close to the POC suggests that the market is at a decision point—either we’ll see a bounce from this high-volume node, or a break below could lead to a deeper pullback toward the Value Area Low (VAL) at 236.57. The Total Volume in VP Range is 62.798M shares, with an Average Volume per Bar of 174.44K. This indicates decent liquidity, but the Volume MA (21) at 165.709K is slightly below the average, suggesting that the recent price action hasn’t been accompanied by a significant spike in volume. This could mean that the current move lacks strong conviction, and we might see a consolidation phase before the next big move. Trendlines and Key Levels I’ve drawn two trendlines on the chart to highlight the structure of the price action: Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle formation, with a flat resistance line around the 234.50 level (which was later broken) and an upward-sloping support trendline connecting the higher lows. Ascending triangles are typically bullish patterns, and the breakout above 234.50 confirmed this bias. After the breakout, the price retested the 234.50 level as support and continued higher, reaching a high of around 248.02. Current Support Trendline: The upward-sloping trendline (drawn in white) is still intact, with the most recent low around 241.50 finding support on this line. This trendline is critical—if the price breaks below it, we could see a deeper correction toward the VAL at 236.57 or even the 234.50 support zone. Key Price Levels to Watch Based on the Volume Profile and price action, here are the key levels I’m watching: Immediate Support: 243.01 (POC) and 241.50 (recent low on the trendline). A break below 241.50 could signal a short-term bearish move. Next Support: 236.57 (VAL) and 234.50 (previous resistance turned support). Resistance: 248.02 (recent high). A break above this level could target the Value Area High at 266.25, though that’s a longer-term target. Deeper Support: If the price breaks below 234.50, the next significant level is 224.25 (Profile Low), which would indicate a major trend reversal. Market Context and Timeframe The chart covers 360 bars of data, starting from late March. This gives us a good sample size to analyze the trend. The 2-hour timeframe is ideal for swing traders or those looking to capture moves over a few days to a week. The broader trend remains bullish, but the recent price action suggests we might be entering a consolidation or pullback phase before the next leg higher. Trading Strategy and Scenarios Based on this analysis, here are the potential scenarios and how I’d approach trading JPM: Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the POC at 243.01 and the trendline support at 241.50, I’d look for a bounce toward the recent high of 248.02. A break above 248.02 could signal a continuation toward 266.25 (VAH). Entry could be on a strong bullish candle closing above 243.62, with a stop-loss below 241.50 to manage risk. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 241.50 and the POC at 243.01, I’d expect a pullback toward the VAL at 236.57 or the 234.50 support zone. A short position could be considered on a confirmed break below 241.50, with a stop-loss above 243.62 and a target at 236.57. Consolidation Scenario: Given the lack of strong volume and the proximity to the POC, we might see the price consolidate between 241.50 and 248.02 for a while. In this case, I’d wait for a breakout or breakdown with strong volume to confirm the next move. Risk Management As always, risk management is key. The 2-hour timeframe can be volatile, so I recommend using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, if you’re going long at 243.62 with a stop-loss at 241.50 (a risk of 2.12 points), your target should be at least 248.02 (a reward of 4.40 points), giving you a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your account on this trade. Final Thoughts JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 2-hour chart, with a confirmed breakout above the 234.50 resistance and a retest of this level as support. However, the recent price action near the POC at 243.01 and the lack of strong volume suggest that we might see a pullback or consolidation before the next move higher. The key levels to watch are 241.50 (trendline support), 243.01 (POC), and 248.02 (recent high). For now, I’m leaning slightly bullish as long as the price holds above 241.50, but I’ll be ready to adjust my bias if we see a break below this level. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let the market show its hand before taking a position. What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below, and happy trading! This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NYSE:JPMLong
by wolfchemist
AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025 All the ingredients for a high probability short position. Weekly & daily 50 Exponential moving averages coming to join the short party. Higher time frame, namely the weekly time frame currently range with EMA beautifully in the middle of price action. That leaves from a deeper look into the lower time frames to see where the higher time frame EMA's line up. I'll keep it snappy, what I require is price NOT to touch the Tokyo lows. This is added into the bag of FRGNT confluences. Price needs to trickle into the 15' just above the current Tokyo session. I need lower time frame breaks of structure to form post London open. A lower time frame order block to be created to short from. 5' Break of structure is what is I'd like to see. Short and snappy short synopsis. I hope the photo paints the narrative better than I can explain it. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Gold Price Analysis April 1D1 candle is still showing a remarkable increase of Gold. Signaling that the uptrend will continue for another half. The wave in the h4 frame is still continuing a strong uptrend and no correction wave has appeared. H1 is trading in the border zone of 3126 and 3142. The trading plan for GOLD to close below 3032 shows a clear downtrend to 3106. On the contrary, if the candle closes above, wait for the 3142 zone to confirm that it does not break the price, then SELL to 3106. 3163-3165 is the Target for the BUY signal to break the ATH when the candle confirms above 3143
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its benchmark interest rate at 4.10%, citing uncertainties in leading economic indicators, including the impact of President Trump’s tariff policies. Markets expect the RBA to cut rates in May. - The Washington Post reported that White House staff have drafted a proposal to impose a 20% tariff on most U.S. imports. - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the European Union has the power to negotiate with the U.S. and to retaliate if necessary. - The March ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector has entered a contraction phase. Meanwhile, the February JOLTS Job Openings report showed 7.57 million job openings, missing market expectations, suggesting a gradual slowdown in the labor market. These two indicators hint at the formation of stagflation in the U.S. economy. Key Economic Events This Week + April 2: U.S. March ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech AUDUSD Chart Analysis With the market frozen ahead of Trump's reciprocal tariffs, AUDUSD remains largely range-bound. Technically, a short-term rise to 0.63500 is likely, followed by a decline toward 0.60000. However, given potential variables, a breakout above 0.63500 is possible, which could extend gains toward 0.66000.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Be cautious when bullish on gold at high levels, as it may fall!In the long run, although there may be a short-term correction, fundamental factors still support gold. Global inflation concerns, monetary policy shifts in major economies, and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to provide upward momentum for gold prices, but we need to be wary of the risk of shock adjustments after a rapid rise in prices. Personal operation analysis: Lightly short selling idea around 3135, stop loss at 3043, take profit around 3100----3095, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TimConrad
1