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Chart Analysis Gold (XAU/USD)Chart Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) **Bearish Outlook (Short-Term)** * **Price is below EMA 7 and EMA 21**, showing short-term bearish momentum. * Strong **resistance zone** around **\$3,430–\$3,440** was rejected sharply. * Price has broken below **\$3,405–\$3,395** support and is now **consolidating above \$3,385–\$3,380**, a critical support area. * Volume is rising on red candles, supporting **selling pressure**. **Key Support Zone:** \$3,380 – If broken, next downside targets: → **\$3,370** → **\$3,360** *Bullish Scenario (If Support Holds)** * If **\$3,380** holds and price reclaims above **\$3,395**, a **bounce toward \$3,405–\$3,410** is possible. * Look for a **break above EMA21 (currently near \$3,402)** for bullish confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Harry_Megat
XAU/USD 25 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#3,377.80 Resistance remains strongMy position: I have Bought Gold many times above #3,400.80 benchmark however as it got invalidated, I Bought #3,390.80 again late U.S. session and closed my set of Buying orders on #3,395.80 nearby extension. I left one runner (#3,390.80 entry point) with Stop on breakeven expecting Asian session to recover #3,400.80 benchmark, however it was closed on break-even as Gold extended Selling sequence. I will continue Selling every High's on Gold and if #3,357.80 gives away, expect #3,352.80 and #3,342.80 contact points to be met. As expected Gold delivered excellent #3,372.80 and especially #3,365.80 - #3,352.80 Selling opportunities throughout yesterday's session which I utilized to it's maximum. I have also Bought Gold on late U.S. session with #3,372.80 as an entry point / however since Gold was ranging, I closed my order on break-even and met Gold below #3,352.80 benchmark this morning personally on my surprise (I did expected #3,377.80 to be invalidated to the upside). Technical analysis: Gold’s Price-action is performing well below both the Hourly 4 chart’s and Daily chart’s Resistance zones for the cycle. Selling direction of today’s session is directly correlated with Fundamentals leaving the scene which found Sellers near the Intra-day #3,377.80 Resistance and most likely DX will close the Trading week in green, however struggling to make Bullish comeback and if #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 reverses the Selling motion, Gold’s Daily chart’s healthy Technicals which preserved core uptrend values. If the Price-action gets rejected at #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 Resistance zone, then further decline (under conditions where I will have more information with U.S.’s session candle) is possible and cannot be ruled out. Notice that at the same time and manner, Bond Yields are on consecutive Selling spree as well which Fundamentally has a diagonal correlation with Gold. The slightest uptrend continuation there, should add enormous Selling pressure on Gold. My position: I am Highly satisfied with recent results and will take early weekend break (no need to Trade more). If however you decide to Trade today, Sell every High's on Gold / no Buying until Monday's session (my practical suggestion).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
#3,377.80 Resistance remains strongMy position: I have Bought Gold many times above #3,400.80 benchmark however as it got invalidated, I Bought #3,390.80 again late U.S. session and closed my set of Buying orders on #3,395.80 nearby extension. I left one runner (#3,390.80 entry point) with Stop on breakeven expecting Asian session to recover #3,400.80 benchmark, however it was closed on break-even as Gold extended Selling sequence. I will continue Selling every High's on Gold and if #3,357.80 gives away, expect #3,352.80 and #3,342.80 contact points to be met. As expected Gold delivered excellent #3,372.80 and especially #3,365.80 - #3,352.80 Selling opportunities throughout yesterday's session which I utilized to it's maximum. I have also Bought Gold on late U.S. session with #3,372.80 as an entry point / however since Gold was ranging, I closed my order on break-even and met Gold below #3,352.80 benchmark this morning personally on my surprise (I did expected #3,377.80 to be invalidated to the upside). Technical analysis: Gold’s Price-action is performing well below both the Hourly 4 chart’s and Daily chart’s Resistance zones for the cycle. Selling direction of today’s session is directly correlated with Fundamentals leaving the scene which found Sellers near the Intra-day #3,377.80 Resistance and most likely DX will close the Trading week in green, however struggling to make Bullish comeback and if #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 reverses the Selling motion, Gold’s Daily chart’s healthy Technicals which preserved core uptrend values. If the Price-action gets rejected at #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 Resistance zone, then further decline (under conditions where I will have more information with U.S.’s session candle) is possible and cannot be ruled out. Notice that at the same time and manner, Bond Yields are on consecutive Selling spree as well which Fundamentally has a diagonal correlation with Gold. The slightest uptrend continuation there, should add enormous Selling pressure on Gold. My position: I am Highly satisfied with recent results and will take early weekend break (no need to Trade more). If however you decide to Trade today, Sell every High's on Gold / no Buying until Monday's session (my practical suggestion).
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
GBPUSD Long, 25 JulyHigh Risk HL Play from 5m OB + D EMA Support We’re reacting off a Daily Bearish OB, but price got rejected precisely into the D 50EMA, creating a potential HL. Confluence comes from DXY aligning for a bounce and a 5m OB entry on GU, even though LTF structure isn’t ideal. 📈 HTF Confluence: ✅ Rejection from Daily OB → back to D 50EMA 🔄 Trend unclear, but EMA tap suggests short-term buy opportunity 📍 EMA sits right in the same zone as our LTF POI → stacked confluence 📉 LTF Context: ✅ Asia range formed ✅ DXY also in its Asia + 15m POI zone → supports GU long bias ❌ No LTF BOS or strong structure shift on GU yet 🎯 D Imbalance on GU still unfilled = TP area 🎯 Entry Plan: ✅ 50% position already in from 5m OB tap, which aligns with HTF EMA + DXY 15m POI ⏳ Waiting for 1m BOS to confirm the rest of the entry ❗ This is the last unmitigated OB before invalidation – strong RR if it holds 🛡 SL: Placed below 5m OB to protect structure 📌 TP: D Imbalance above, aligns well with a clean 1:5 RR, but will take partials at asia high or 1:3
Long
by sTax11
EUR/USD (1H) – Price Compression Near Decision Zone🔍 Market Insight: The pair is hovering just above a fresh bullish OB zone, after forming a Market Structure Shift (MSS) and showing signs of bearish exhaustion. The chart outlines two clean scenarios – a potential reversal into premium OB or a deeper sweep toward the SSL below. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts Applied: 🔄 MSS + Trendline Liquidity (TL) 🧱 Order Blocks (OB) marked at high accuracy ⚡ Liquidity sweep potential toward SSL 🟨 Breaker Block acting as retest trap zone 📍 Key Price Zones: 🔴 Premium OB (Supply): 1.1752 – 1.1788 🔵 Demand OB (Buy Zone): 1.1731 – 1.1713 🟨 Breaker Block: ~1.1685 – 1.1700 🟦 Major Buy POI / SSL Trap Zone: 1.1612 🔵 Day High / Day Low: 1.1788 / 1.1733 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reversal (Purple Path): Price taps OB @ 1.1713 → reversal expected First target: 1.1744 Bearish Bias Zone Second target: 1.1788 OB ✅ Confirmation needed via bullish engulfing or BOS on LTF 📉 Scenario B – Liquidity Grab + Deeper Drop (Orange Path): If OB fails, price may dive into the Breaker Block Rejection from there can lead to the SSL sweep @ 1.1612 ⚠️ This would trap breakout buyers & sweep below liquidity before bullish re-alignment 🎯 Trade Idea (Example – Scenario A): Buy Limit: 1.1715 SL: 1.1695 TP1: 1.1744 TP2: 1.1785 Risk-Reward: ~1:3+ ✅ Suggested TradingView Caption: EUR/USD (1H) – Waiting for Liquidity Play Price is consolidating near OB support with potential reversal to the premium zone. Two clean scenarios: a bullish break toward 1.1788 OB, or a liquidity sweep through the breaker block and into 1.1612 SSL. RSI cooling off, MACD showing divergence. Staying patient for confirmation. 📘 Educational idea – not financial advice.
by SmartMoneyProfessional
1
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target📌 Chart Overview: This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection). 🔍 Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained: 🔹 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction) Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00–146.50. This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum. The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation. 🔹 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. It’s now being retested from below. The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap. Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns. 🔹 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zone—used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries. Major zone: Sitting around 148.50–149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction. 📈 Projected Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds. After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50–149.00). There, we look for: Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation). Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals. 🚫 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection Price fails to hold above the Central Zone. Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again. Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50–146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement. 🧩 Technical Insights Summary: Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain. Key Confluence: 2x Supply → Strong demand. QFL + Central → Key breakout/rejection zones. Major Zone → High-probability reversal area. Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50. Watch for: Candlestick rejections in Major Zone. Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone. USD-related news near July 30–31 (highlighted below chart).
Long
by GoldMasterTrades