Bitcoin Daily in a large pennant with apex end of July
Bitcoin is once again getting rejected off the Fib circle just above.
This is also just under a 618 Fib extension and so a combined rejection zone.
Beneath this, we have support on that Bold dashed line. This is a Local line of supprt but has strength.
And so, we find outselves in apennant again and that apex is around 22 July.
PA tracts before the apex.
As will be explained in the monthly chart I iwll post later, this all points towards a Calm July, possibly RED month.
PA does however, have the ability and strength to push higher if the Bulls decide to make a move.
The MACD
The Daily MACD is just above Neutral and has enough room to move.
So, if we drop, support is arouns 103K
If we loose that then 100K and then we land on that red 236 Fib circle that will offer a sliding line of support.
But I do not think we will get there just yet
Enjoy
Community ideas
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalCHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
CHF/JPY continues to show strong momentum, currently trading in the 181.45 – 181.60 range just shy of recent highs around 181.80. The pair is up roughly +4.4% YTD, with a +3.8% gain in the past month, maintaining bullish strength driven by broader USD softness and ongoing haven flows.
Continued USD weakness may further sustain CHF/JPY upside, while safe-haven demand continues to support both the Swiss franc and Japanese yen especially if global risk sentiment worsens.
Technical Outlook:
On the 15-minute timeframe, CHF/JPY previously consolidated above a visible support area at 181.200, forming a base after breaking through key resistance at 181.400. This breakout was followed by accumulated buy orders and a liquidity hunt within the 181.200–181.400 zone a classic sign of smart money manipulation.
After sweeping the zone and retesting the structure, the pair is now poised for a potential continuation move. The next key step is for price to close a bullish candle above the 181.460 area, aligning with bullish order flow continuation.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 181.460 (Buy Stop Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 181.280 (Just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 181.830 (Next minor key resistance / ~1:2 RR)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Is BigBear.ai the Next Titan of Defense AI?BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) is emerging as a significant player in the artificial intelligence landscape, particularly within the critical national security and defense sectors. While often compared to industry giant Palantir, BigBear.ai carves its niche by intensely focusing on modern warfare applications, including guiding unmanned vehicles and optimizing missions. The company has recently garnered considerable investor attention, evidenced by its impressive 287% rally over the past year and a notable surge in public interest. This enthusiasm stems from several key factors, including a substantial 2.5x increase in backlog orders to $385 million by March 2025 and a significant ramp-up in research and development spending, signaling robust foundational growth.
BigBear.ai's technological prowess underpins its rising profile. The company develops sophisticated AI and machine learning models for diverse applications, from facial recognition systems deployed at major international airports like JFK and LAX to AI-augmented shipbuilding software for the U.S. Navy. Its Pangiam® Threat Detection and Decision Support Platform enhances airport security by integrating with advanced CT scanner technology, while its ConductorOS platform facilitates secure communication and coordination for drone swarm operations under the U.S. Army's Project Linchpin. These cutting-edge solutions position BigBear.ai at the forefront of AI-driven advancements crucial for evolving geopolitical landscapes and increasing defense AI investments.
Strategic collaborations and a favorable market environment further fuel BigBear.ai's ascent. The company recently formed a significant partnership in the UAE with Easy Lease and Vigilix Technology Investment to accelerate AI adoption across key industries like mobility and logistics, marking a major step in its international expansion. Additionally, multiple contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense, including those for J-35 fleet management and geopolitical risk assessment, underscore its vital role in government initiatives. While BigBear.ai faces challenges, including revenue stagnation, escalating losses, and stock volatility, its strategic market position, growing backlog, and continuous innovation in mission-critical AI solutions present a compelling high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the burgeoning defense AI sector.
BTC LONG TP:110,000 30-06-2025Still riding the bullish pattern 🚀
Looking for an entry between 106,200 – 106,700, targeting 109,500 – 110,500, with a clean 4 RR average.
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
⏳ Duration: 40–50 hours
Context: This is all about catching a manipulative wick — small entry now, stack more if price hits the suggested levels later.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the trade is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
NZDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:NZDUSD is consolidating, but the chart shows signs of readiness to shift to a distribution phase, which could lead to a rally.
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, which is continuing its main trend, the NZD may break out of consolidation in a distribution pattern. Since the accumulation is quite large (taking into account the long squeeze), the trend may be strong.
A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to 0.6080, followed by the price breaking through the resistance of the global trading range. Consolidation above 0.6080 will confirm the breakdown of the structure, which could trigger distribution
Resistance levels: 0.6080, 0.612
Support levels: 0.6062, 0.604
The price may be supported by a bullish trend and a decline in the dollar. A breakout from the 4-month consolidation may be accompanied by a continuation of the uptrend until the intermediate high of 0.6355 is reached in the medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
FFC | Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall?By analyzing the FFC chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 23 rupees up to 393. However, after hitting that level, price reversed and currently trading around 389 and eventually finding support around 376.
This area acted as a strong demand zone. Currently, FFC is trading around 389, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone, we may expect another bullish move towards 390 and 400.
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
Updated GBP/USD Trade Idea: New Setup If Price Reaches Key LevelAfter successfully executing the previous trade, I’m now monitoring GBP/USD for a fresh opportunity. If the price reaches this point, it aligns with a high-probability zone where market structure suggests a potential reaction. This area has historically acted as a decision point, and I’ll be watching closely for confirmation before entering the next position.
This updated idea reflects a disciplined, price-action-based approach—focused on timing, structure, and market behavior. Whether you're a day trader or swing trader, this setup offers a clean risk-to-reward profile and fits well within an intraday strategy.
📈 Stay tuned for real-time updates, trade management insights, and detailed breakdowns. 💬 Follow for more GBP/USD strategies and actionable forex content.
Hashflow Hits Bottom... Notice The Waves... The Large Bull RunNotice the waves... It all starts in January 2023 with a strong advance. 243% total growth. Mid-February 2023 we have a price peak and this signals the start of a bearish trend. Notice the waves...
It all starts with a large wave. As the downtrend unravels, the waves become smaller. Then we have a medium wave and finally a small wave.
As the market hits bottom, you guessed it, 7-April 2025, there is a very strong increase in trading volume. This uptick in volume signals that the bottom is in. Once the bottom is in we can prepare for a change of trend. Long-term growth.
Now we will have the same dynamics but in reverse. First a small wave... The initial bullish breakout. Then a medium wave and finally a large wave which is the end and the bull run.
Namaste.
MSTR Daily Chart Analysis: Key Price LevelsThis analysis focuses on the daily chart of MicroStrategy (MSTR), highlighting significant price action, identified patterns, and predefined support and resistance levels.
Price Action Overview:
Starting from late 2024/early 2025, MSTR experienced a notable downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, leading to a test of the "Strong Support" zone, illustrated by the grey shaded area around the 230-240 price level.
Following this decline, the chart illustrates a distinct "W" pattern formation, often interpreted as a potential bullish reversal signal. This pattern culminated in a decisive breakout above the overhead descending trendline (marked in red), indicating a shift in market structure from downtrend to a more bullish posture.
Post-breakout, the price saw a strong upward move into May. A subsequent pullback found significant support within the "Key Support 360 to 370" zone, which appears to have acted as a crucial pivot point, preventing further decline. More recently, the price has consolidated and is current
ly trading above the "1st Support 390 to 400" area.
Key Levels Identified:
Key Resistance / Target Level (435 to 450): The red shaded area at the top represents a significant overhead resistance zone. This level aligns with a previous peak and is identified as a potential target if the current upward momentum continues.
1st Support (390 to 400): This green shaded area serves as the immediate support level. The price has recently traded above this zone, suggesting it has transitioned into a new support area after potentially acting as resistance previously. Sustaining price action above this level would be a key observation.
Key Support (360 to 370): Located below the first support, this green zone has demonstrated its importance in recent price action, coinciding with the lows seen in June, where buyers stepped in.
Feb 50% Retracement & Flip Zone (330 to 340): This lower green shaded area represents a significant structural level, identified as a potential 50% Fibonacci retracement level from a previous move and a historical "flip zone" where price action shifted between support and resistance.
Strong Support (approx. 230-240): The grey shaded box at the bottom indicates a strong historical support level, representing the lowest point observed within this timeframe, acting as a critical long-term floor.
Current Observations:
The current price of 405.09 indicates MSTR is trading above its immediate "1st Support 390 to 400" zone. The dotted blue line on the chart illustrates a hypothetical continuation of the current upward momentum, projecting a potential move towards the "Key Resistance / Target Level 435 to 450."
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery
- **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed
- **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315)
- **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
| Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 |
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🟢 Bullish
**Trend:** 📈 MSU
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Impulse completed?EUR/USD maintains its bullish trend intact after a sharp rally last week. The pair keeps consolidating gains as the 4-hour Relative Strength Index pulls back from overbought levels and price action is constrained within a 70-pip range, right below a nearly four-year high at 1.1750.
Today, price hit upside target at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the June 10-12 rally at 1.1795. I Think we might see a correction for the eurusd as the impulse seems to be completed.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ:
Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally.
From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index.
While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead.
🔍 The Technical Setup:
SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern.
As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone)
Neckline/Resistance: $530
Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs)
Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish.
📊 Momentum & Volume:
RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building.
MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend.
Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up.
🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle:
Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery.
🧭 Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer.
🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.