USDCHF: Consolidation ContinuesDuring our daily interaction class today, we observed that the 📉USDCHF pair is consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame.
After testing its resistance, there was a downward movement in the market which led to the breach of the neckline of a double top pattern, indicating a strong bearish signal for intraday trade.
As a result, I anticipate that the price could decline to the 0.8789 level in the near future.
Community ideas
4/2/25 - $fc - Solid co, but dip buy ONLY4/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FC
Solid co, but dip buy ONLY
- been on my radar for about a year, but "rolling" over starting last quarter and estimates really got floored
- so the "setup" from a financial POV such that we can *see* bottom and *have confidence* in mgmt "optimistic" speech is a stock you could buy
- but honestly, at higher EBITDA multiple than NXT (which as you all know is my benchmark) on a small cap stock in this environment and where this type of service (training ppl inside biz's) is likely being tightened at the margin, especially "now", early in 1H25... i can't imagine if you don't own this you would want to be piling in.
- if stock does pop, i'd guess larger holders use the liquidity to sell down/ adjust. if stock sinks... the incremental bid esp to the start to a new quarter could be limited.
- but even on trough say $20 mm FCF on a cap of $320 mm, you're at >6% fcf "not bad at all". the only issue is whether you can believe it's $20 and on it's way back to $25 or $30 in '26. i just don't think we have that visibility.
- so the play for me is if they report "abysmal results" and perhaps even we get a double whammy of mkt beta/tide go out in the coming weeks. this could be an interesting play at a double digit+ FCF yield, which is still a healthy 30% lower. so i'll set my greedy target slightly above $20 to look again <> mainly bc that sort of move on a well capitalized co like this is simply too extreme - so it would be a multi-day/week greedy target.
that's a lot of writing for a small name, but wanted to do the thinking for myself in the future b/c when we're in the moment it's easier to "just act" then go through this exercise and block out the emotions :)
have a good liberation day, or whatever that is, everyone.
V
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD TRADE PLAN🔥
✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
📌 STATUS: Price is within the entry zone; monitoring for confirmation signals.
📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL):
Primary Entry Zone: 1.2950 - 1.2975
Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.3000 - 1.3025
📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.3030 (Invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥉 TP1: 1.2850 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven)
🥈 TP2: 1.2800
🥇 TP3: 1.2750 (Final target)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3
Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4
📌 Reason for Entry:
Bearish Trend: GBP/USD has been dominated by a downward correctional wave, indicating a bearish outlook.
Technical Resistance: The pair faces resistance near the 1.3000 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong barrier.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.
📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING:
H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone.
Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure.
Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence.
❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.3030 without a bearish reaction.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER:
💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS:
✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours.
❌ Invalid if:
Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2.
Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event).
Price breaks above 1.3030 = Trade invalidated.
📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS:
GBP Weakness: The British pound has fallen significantly against the US dollar, testing key support levels.
USD Strength: The US dollar remains strong amid global economic uncertainties.
COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing GBP longs.
🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY:
SELL GBP/USD on a pullback into 1.2950 - 1.2975 (or 1.3000 - 1.3025 if a deeper correction occurs).
Targeting: 1.2850 → 1.2800 → 1.2750.
SL: Above 1.3030.
**Trade valid for the next 24 hours.
🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDT.D Launched in 2014, Tether is a blockchain-enabled platform designed to facilitate the use of fiat currencies in a digital manner. Tether works to disrupt the conventional financial system via a more modern approach to money. Tether has made headway by giving customers the ability to transact with traditional currencies across the blockchain, without the inherent volatility and complexity typically associated with a digital currency. As the first blockchain-enabled platform to facilitate the digital use of traditional currencies (a familiar, stable accounting unit), Tether has democratised cross-border transactions across the blockchain.
symmetric triangle detected possible break aboveConsolidation Phase: A symmetric triangle indicates a period of consolidation where the price is narrowing, with lower highs and higher lows. This suggests indecision in the market, but often precedes a breakout.
Breakdown Expectation: Typically, symmetric triangles break out in the direction of the prevailing trend or sometimes the opposite, based on market sentiment. In this case, if the breakout is expected to be downward (a breakdown), entering a put position would capitalize on the potential drop in price.
Technical Indicators: If other technical indicators (such as RSI or MACD) confirm a bearish divergence or downward pressure, it strengthens the case for a put position.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The pattern allows for a defined entry, stop, and target level, making it easier to manage risk. You can place a stop just above the triangle's upper trendline and set a target based on the height of the triangle projected downward.
BTCUSDT important support to hold!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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BTCUSDT surged nearly 4% pre-Trump's announcement, hitting $87.3k, indicating bullish momentum. To prevent a daily bearish reversal, BTC must maintain $85k support. A daily close above $ 88K is crucial for a bullish trend, returning BTC to its previous channel. This level's hold will determine short-term market direction.
Support Levels:
$85k
$83.6k
$81.2k
Resistance levels:
$ 87K
$ 89K
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Happy Trading!!
EURUSD ; BULLISH REVERSAL CONFIRMEDEURUSD; may continue to sell this is after it breaks through the trendline
Since we broke through the trendline EURUSD might continous buying to the supply zone around
1.09300
The price may pull back to the previous highs
Daily/H1/M15 , They all show buy confirmation
EUR-CAD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is making some
Bullish gains but the pair
Is approaching a horizontal
Resistance level of 1.5577
From where we can enter
A short trade with the
Target Level of 1.5508
And the Stop Loss of 1.5592
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Some history....GOLD HISTORY:
1970 TO 1980:
Gold has a strong bubble rise that falls 50% when it breaks.
2001 to 2011:
10 year up trend
Gold rises further with virtually no setbacks until 1919, but then collapses to $1019.
2015 to 2025:
10 year up trend still at the moment.
The gold price has increased from $1019 in December 2015 to well over $3155 today without serious dips or pullbacks. It is easy to see why this attracts investors, especially when compared to the turbulence in the stock market over the same period of time. It is also easy to see why people might expect that gold will continue to rise after watching it gain consistently for well over a decade.
However, history shows that asset prices cannot continue to go up indefinitely. There are always pull backs, crashes, and bear markets. The last time this happened to gold is a distant memory, but we all remember recent examples such as the tech stocks in the '90s and home prices in the '00s.
Now, lets see Elliot wave principle. When an extending wave 5 ends ( we are at one at the moment), we will see a swift correction down to sub wave 2 of this wave 5. So, the opportunity presents in two ways. First, we know it will be a rapid correction, which means we will not have to wait long for realizing our profits. Secondly, we know approximately how far the down move will likely travel.
At this moment , we are looking for the same escenario as 2008. Wave 3 travels 5.618 from wave 1, then wave 4 made a correction to the 38.2% zone, and finally wave 5 was equal to the entire previous 1-3 movement. This is what is happening right now as welll.
It is always easier to identify assets that are bubbling than to predict when the bubble will pop. Gold has much more downside than upside at this point, but this has been true for years without slowing price gains. Home prices and tech stocks also suggest that bubbles can exist for years even after objective measures (e.g. P/E ratios or rent to buy ratios) show that markets are out of equilibrium.
It is anybody's guess when gold will correct, but it is very likely that it will be ugly when it does.
Gold and Elliott Wave Theory.Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag and we should expect a Flat correction for a Wave 4. An A Wave forms shortly after Wave 3 was formed and a Wave B should follow. B's have 3 waves-- two impulses and one corrective-- and in this case Wave A was a simple Wave that was corrected by a Flat for B(Black). Our last impulse is a 5 Wave move and is marked in Black. We are currently on Wave 4 which will be a Flat because 2 was a zigzag. We are currently on the last phases of the B wave(Blue) that comes before a C(Blue) also a 4(Black) in this case. A retest at the 261.8% would spark a Wave 4.
EURJPY: Selling Pressure Likely in the 162.723-163.434 ZoneHello Traders,
I trust you're doing well. It’s been a while!
Since March 18th, the EUR has been in a corrective pullback, and I anticipate further downside movement to complete Wave 4 of the correction. However, this afternoon, we witnessed an unexpected surge in the EUR pairs, driven by the EU’s emergency plan to shield its economy from U.S. tariffs. Despite this rally, I believe it may be short-lived.
EURJPY has reached a significant resistance zone where sellers could potentially push prices lower. Another key resistance level within this zone, where I believe sellers', activities are great, is last week’s high at 163.353. A confirmed break below 162.723 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential downside targets at 161.914 , 161.114 , 160.750 , and 160.350 , respectively. However, a breakout above 163.444 would invalidate this bearish.
Cheers and happy trading.
BTC not willing to die eventho it will eventually.Zooming into a smaller timeframe, Bitcoin is fighting for its life. Under pressure from both the bearish brown and orange structures, BTC keeps forming small ladder points inside our green bullish zones—but make no mistake, this ladder is preparing a move in only one direction: down.
My view is clear: BTC will break. A dive into the turquoise turning area is coming, with at least a touch of the orange resistance line on the cards.
And here’s the key—the bigger the ladder, the heavier the fall.
This is absolutely NOT a setup for longs. Way too risky.
Instead, the green target level presents a near-perfect shorting opportunity for those who know how to play pressure. Let retail get squeezed—we position for precision.
USOIL Strategy Analysis: will riseThe threat of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil by Trump is a factor closely watched by the market. Although he has no immediate intention to implement it for the time being, the future supply risk is gradually rising.
The uncertainty in the market comes not only from tariff policies, but also from potential sanctions on the supplies from Russia and Iran, as well as the impact of OPEC+'s production increase.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 70.95-71.15
sl 70.3
tp 71.65-71.85
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain more information.
Q1 Recap and What’s AheadThe first quarter of 2025 saw significant price movements in many different asset classes. Traders saw equity indices broadly selling off with the ES contract falling near 10% from the highs while Gold continued to push higher to all time high levels. There are many factors contributing to the price movement, including a shift in the administration in the U.S., geopolitical tensions globally, and critical tariff announcements looming. There are also questions about the Fed environment and the strategy that will be implemented this year to begin cutting interest rates. Looking at the CME Fed Watch Tool today, it seems the market is pricing another rate pause for the May meeting and a near 60% chance of rate cuts coming in June.
There is a large slate of economic date coming out for the rest of the week that could add great volatility to this uncertain market, including:
Tariff Announcement
Initial Jobless Claims
Nonfarm Payroll
Unemployment Rate
Average Hourly Earnings
This morning, traders saw the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change come in higher than expected and the markets are having a mixed reaction. President Trump will be speaking at 3:00 P.M. Central Time to introduce the tariff plan and how it will be rolled out, adding a level of clarity for the market moving forward into Q2.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
USDJPY DOWNWARDhello fellow traders, we wait for another down/retracements on this pair FX:USDJPY , but this is only my view, you can share yours if you have any idea.
1st target 148.6,
Long zone 145 . this idea base on my own understanding, on my other pairs that posted, still valid folks. GU, GJ, XAU. are we all connected?
this is not a financial advice,
follow for more swing trades. swing it....
822% in 1 day from 0.36 to 3.32 that's current state of market🚨 822% in 1 day from 0.36 to 3.32 that’s the current state of how wild things are in the stock market 🔥 NASDAQ:RSLS
Lots of opportunities out there 👀 but as always you MUST take profit along the way, these mostly low quality stocks exploding on news which might be real or not, exploding on shortsellers getting trapped and squeezed. When the party is over they usually slide all the way down where they came from so you need to be smart and take profits.
800% in a day is enough, no need to be greedy for more and get surprised with drop saying the news company previously released is unverified or the offering company does overnight.