$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $.
But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains.
But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks.
Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
Community ideas
Bitcoin: If history Repeats. (update)Per previously published idea -- --bitcoin is returning to parabolic curve line between now and late March. Today's move lower was in general expected...
It is possible "gold" guide line may need to be adjusted to show it returning to parabolic "blue" line earlier than anticipated (mid-March).
2/21/25 - $qqq - Pls read this and comment2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
Pls read this and comment
- i put my Schiff on the table
- guys. i'm working with a really wonky thesis and i need some comments, let's debate this
"the market has mostly crashed already"
- this has been a pretty asynchronous crash. aapl, nvda, msft... meta held the tape for a record period... they all are taking turns keeping vol in check
- and then under the surface, we have EPS reports and this has been the weirdest thing i've ever traded, experienced in 30 years. i have never felt like i'd just want to trade ex post dips and avoid necking out at all (with VERY few exceptions hello UBER and NXT- thank gawd for you :)
- so the thinking is, we're in an asynchronous crash. everything INCLUDING MAG7 is down 15-50% from the let's say last 6 months peaks. and so the index has managed vol. the machines. our overlords. whatever.
- so maybe we "crush" 5% from here. 10%? dude 10% is a thing of the past. i dumped my TQQQ puts today. i didn't expect them to cash. just insurance against my mega positions (which has become somewhat singular. nx-faking-t. nextracker NASDAQ:NXT )
- but let's get this real. are we getting gaslighted into a crash incoming when we're literally in the middle of it. new coronavirus BS coming out of "wuhan" we believe that chit again. come on. ppl. take off that N95, touch grass... think. think.
- am i going nuts? usually i'm the guy that goes nuts first. rings the bells. i'm lonely thinking this. tell me WHY i'm wrong if you disagree. i genuinely want to debate this.
- i'm picking winners here. getting situated in the non momo BS that has reported gains, generates cash, attractively valued.
- nxt HUGE size
- obtc, get the king at a 10% discount (use limits)
- uber
- glob (short term swing b/c OTD cucks gonna cuck didn't expect to trade or own this, but here i am, cleaning you all up)
- tsm
some others stuff.
but honestly. i'm here. i'm typing this. that's 90% of success. God. family. friends.
the rest are details.
be well. we'll crush it.
but if we read this tape right...
V
Gold technical analysis next move possibleThis chart is a technical analysis of Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/OZ) on a 1-hour timeframe, created using TradingView. It displays support and resistance levels, along with potential price movements. Here's what it means:
1. Support & Resistance Levels:
Red horizontal lines represent resistance (price levels where selling pressure is strong).
Blue horizontal lines represent support (price levels where buying pressure is strong).
2. Key Price Levels:
Current price: 2,911.040 (falling by -41.685 (-1.41%)).
Nearest resistance: 2,956.150.
Nearest support: Around 2,921.055.
3. Bearish Move & Potential Recovery:
A sharp drop in price occurred, touching the highlighted red box (potential demand zone).
US-Ukraine minerals deal: key commodities at stake Ukraine is set to sign an “improved” minerals deal with the US after the US dropped its claim to $500 billion in potential revenue, according to the FT. The news has boosted the euro and market sentiment, but what about the commodities involved?
Ukraine holds about 5% of the world's critical raw materials, essential for EVs, clean energy, and defense. Its untapped reserves, valued at over £12 trillion, include lithium, titanium, and graphite. The US is eager to secure these resources to reduce reliance on China, which dominates 75% of rare earth production.
Ukraine has commercially viable deposits of 117 key minerals. It holds 500,000 tonnes of lithium, vital for rechargeable batteries, and one of Europe's largest titanium reserves, used in aerospace and military industries. Ukraine also holds 20% of global graphite resources, crucial for EV batteries and nuclear reactors.
However, 20% of Ukraine’s land, including regions with £6 trillion in mineral wealth, is currently under Russian occupation. Bordering areas containing £2.8 trillion in resources, faces an advancing Russian military.
Hamster Kombat Token ($HMSTR) Defies Market Dip, Surging 10%In a surprising turn of events, Hamster Kombat Token ($HMSTR) surged 10% today despite the broader crypto market experiencing a significant downturn. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) dipped to as low as $85K, while Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) slumped to $2,400. However, $HMSTR seemed unaffected by the bearish sentiment, exhibiting a notable decoupling from the prevailing market trend.
The Correlation Between Bitcoin and $HMSTR
A peculiar pattern has emerged in recent days—each time Bitcoin experiences a dip, $HMSTR appears to surge. This inverse correlation raises intriguing questions: Is this a sign of traders shifting capital into different ecosystems in anticipation of the next bull run? Or is there an element of insider play fueling $HMSTR’s resilience?
Regardless of the underlying reasons, $HMSTR’s ability to hold its ground while the broader market faces sell-offs signals growing confidence in the project. Hamster Kombat, a play-to-earn (P2E) sensation, has been gaining traction, and its recent price movement suggests that investors are paying close attention to its potential.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, $HMSTR is currently trading with an RSI of 50.69, indicating moderate momentum. While the 10% surge is impressive, it’s crucial to note that $HMSTR has yet to break free from the bearish zone. The token is still hovering around its 1-month low support level, making its next move critical for traders.
The key resistance to watch is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A strong push above this threshold could pave the way for a more bullish breakout, potentially attracting new buyers and increasing trading volume. Conversely, failure to sustain momentum could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
Why Is $HMSTR Holding Strong?
Fundamentally, the rising popularity of Hamster Kombat as a P2E project may be a key driver behind $HMSTR’s performance. The gaming sector within crypto has witnessed substantial growth, with investors increasingly exploring tokens linked to engaging, community-driven projects.
Additionally, trader sentiment appears to favor assets that show resilience amid market volatility. The fact that $HMSTR remains steady while Bitcoin and Ethereum decline suggests that some traders are diversifying into alternative assets that show independent price action.
Final Thoughts: A Shift in Market Dynamics?
The broader crypto market is currently navigating through turbulent waters, but $HMSTR’s recent performance hints at a possible shift in trader behavior. If the trend of inverse correlation with Bitcoin continues, we may see more capital flowing into Hamster Kombat and similar ecosystems.
69K bitcoin? Hi guys, I want us to look into this chart together. it looks like after all the pump that happened bitcoin is not over extended after all. I think there's another bull market ahead. 69k looks possible but it's a very risky bet. I'll really appreciate if you'll take a minute of your time to let us now your thoughts.
Thank you!
__Nhest Trading___
Important Bitcoin levels. The game of expectations.Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks.
However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level.
A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.
Silver Technical Analysis (1-Hour Chart)OANDA:XAGUSD
Current Price: 32.45
Key Support Levels: 32.0, 31.7, 31.0
Target Resistance Levels: 32.8, 32.9
#### Overview
Silver prices are currently at a critical support level. If this support holds, we may see a bullish move toward the resistance area of 32.8 to 32.9. Before that potentially upward movement, silver is expected to retrace slightly to the 32.0, 31.7, or even down to the 31.0 region.
#### Key Levels to Watch
- Support Levels:
- 32.0: This level is crucial for maintaining bullish sentiment. A sustained hold above this level could validate the upwards potential.
- 31.7: This level acts as an additional support zone and might provide buying opportunities if tested.
- 31.0: Should the price break down further, this level would be critical to watch for signs of a rebound or reversal.
- Resistance Levels:
- 32.8/32.9: If silver successfully holds above the support levels and bounces back, these resistance zones will be key targets to monitor. An upward breakout past these levels could signal increased bullish momentum.
#### Chart Patterns
- Potential Retracement:
- Prior to any significant upward movement, a retracement to 32.0 - 31.0 is expected. Traders should watch for key reversal signals or bullish patterns that could indicate a potential buying opportunity in this area.
#### Conclusion
Silver's ability to maintain support levels around 32.0 will be crucial in projecting a bullish move toward the resistance area of 32.8 to 32.9. Traders should closely monitor the price action around the support zones for potential buying opportunities as well as retracement levels. As always, incorporate sound risk management practices in trading decisions.
Disclaimer: Please ensure to conduct thorough research and consider current market conditions before making trading decisions. Good luck!
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Bearish Momentum Below $70.49 WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Analysis – February 24, 2025
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading at $70.18, and as long as the price trades below $70.49, the bearish momentum remains dominant.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Active)
✅ The price failed to reclaim the pivot zone at $71.78, leading to continued selling pressure.
✅ A confirmed break below $70.49 indicates a potential drop toward $68.53 and $67.03 as the next bearish targets.
✅ The monthly support trendline around $67 - $68 will act as a key level to watch for a potential reaction.
🔹 Bullish Reversal (Invalid Unless Above $71.78)
⚠️ If the price closes above $71.78, we could see a potential pullback toward $72.72 and $75.00.
⚠️ However, the trend remains bearish while trading below $70.49, meaning any bullish movements will likely be corrective bounces rather than a full reversal.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Resistance Levels: $71.78 | $72.72 | $75.00
🔹 Pivot Zone: $70.49
🔹 Support Levels: $68.53 | $67.03 | $66.20
🚨 Directional Bias: Bearish as long as the price stays below $70.49. Expect further downside pressure toward $68.53 - $67.03.
$LTC waking up - targetting $200!It’s been a while since we had a clear signal to long in crypto.
CRYPTOCAP:LTC looks healthy here—trade stays active as long as it holds above 114.
Buying into the 120s down to 116.
Targeting 200.
Both weekly and monthly trends are looking solid, so I’m jumping in just in case it pulls an XRP-like move. The hype might not be there, but I’d be happy with a 2x.
BINANCE:LTCUSDT
TSLA Not Looking Too GoodTSLA has been subject to some extreme volatility recently with shareholders hoping for good news and optimism as Elon Musk partners with Donald Trump.
At the moment, I understand that Tesla earnings can be a potential positive catalyst for the stock if good news is reported, however shareholders may be in for a larger surprise as the price action may be suggesting a potential ABC or larger WXY corrective structure is currently at play.
For this structure, I would like to see the overall 1-1 extension of the trend based fibonacci. To me, it looks as though this structure is made up of many smaller corrective patterns, which are creating a very choppy and volatile environment.
While many stocks have retraced to their "Trump pump" gap levels, Tesla is still quite a ways away, being potentially overvalued.
I will personally be looking for the 0.618 retracement on Tesla just above $440-$450 for a short trade back down to the low of $330 where the latest fomo rally began up to nearly $500.
From there, I would be very much open to taking a long trade or a longer term investment on Tesla.
Only time will tell!
GBP/NZD +160 Pips 0 Drawdown , Second Entry Valid To Who Missed This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
Bearish in BTCI only see the signs. I hope it's not the case, but it looks like #Bitcoin will soon experience a price correction to around $80K to $75K.
Patterns:
A breakout of a significant resistance level, which I have marked in the image (Price Action).
The opening of the Alligator indicator’s mouth, signaling the swallowing of indicators and the breakout of a large volume of selling fractals formed outside the Alligator’s mouth and below the jawline, along with the occurrence of two red candles (The Fifth Dimension) (Bill Williams).
The Awesome Oscillator nearing zero.
The breakout of resistance at point B in the chart pattern.
The potential targets have been determined based on a cluster of Fibonacci convergence.
I have also marked the stop loss for you.
Entering this position is your own responsibility. I have already entered. Hoping for good profits.