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WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- WTI crude oil reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 64.55 (former resistance from the end of April), the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May. The upward reversal from this support zone started the active medium-term ABC correction (2). WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 70.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
BankNifty levels - Jul 09, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
XAU/USD 08 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout SetHello traders, I'm sharing my current outlook on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe. Price is ~109K below a key descending trendline (in red), which has defined the structure since 21 May. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $111,000 Support: $91,000 Current Price: ~$109,000 ⚡ Breakout Scenario: If Bitcoin closes above $111K on the daily chart, backed by strong volume (ideally 30% above the 20-day average), I expect the next targets to unfold as: ✅ $122,000 ✅ $133,000 ✅ $144,000 🗓️ Target date for $144K: Around 22 September 2025 This projection is based on a pivot structure I’m tracking: 🟢 25 March 2025: Pivot low at ~$84K 🔴 12 June 2025: Pivot high 🟡 Expected pivot high: ~4 September 2025 (if symmetry holds) This pattern suggests a 1-2-3 formation that could lead to a breakout move. 🧯 Failure Scenario: If BTC fails to break out, I’m watching for a pullback toward the $91K support zone. 🛑 Current Stance: I’m not in a position yet. Waiting for a daily candle close above $111K with volume confirmation and momentum indicators. 📣 Stay Updated I’ll be sharing daily updates as the price action evolves. Follow me here on TradingView, and feel free to share your analysis or ask questions in the comments! 🏷️ Hashtags: #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup Let me know your comments.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Eymen-GUVEN
Report - 8 jully, 2025Trump Grants Three-Week Tariff Reprieve President Trump has extended the pause on sweeping reciprocal tariffs from July 9 to August 1, providing critical breathing room for US trading partners to negotiate. While this delay briefly steadied sentiment, his renewed threats — specifically a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea — have reignited global trade fears. S&P 500 fell 0.9% after the announcement, Nasdaq dropped 0.8%, and the Dow retreated similarly. Japanese yen and Korean won weakened 1.1% against the USD, underscoring capital flight and potential export growth fears. Analysts expect continued volatility, but ING suggests the fallout should not match April’s sharp correction when tariffs first roiled markets. Ukraine Reshuffle: Diplomatic Realignment Ukrainian President Zelenskyy agreed to replace Ambassador Markarova after criticism from Republicans about her close ties to Democrats. The reshuffle is framed as an effort to "appease" Trump amid paused US arms deliveries. Zelenskyy also plans to restructure his cabinet next week, emphasizing consolidation of control by his chief of staff, Andriy Yermak. Potential ambassador candidates include Prime Minister Shmyhal and senior ministers, signaling strategic alignment with US interests. Russian Transport Minister’s Apparent Suicide Russia's transport minister, Roman Starovoyt, was found dead in a suspected suicide after his dismissal by President Putin amid a corruption probe. The case highlights severe internal pressures and the Kremlin’s tightening control. The Kursk region scandal has drawn public criticism over failed defense construction during Ukraine’s advances. Germany’s AfD Attempts Image Moderation The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party introduced a new code of conduct to improve its parliamentary image and broaden voter appeal. With AfD declared a right-wing extremist group by domestic intelligence, any moderation effort reflects broader attempts to legitimize and normalize extremist platforms before 2029 elections. China-EU Climate Standoff The EU declined China’s push for a joint climate declaration ahead of Xi–von der Leyen meetings. Brussels demands firmer emission reduction commitments, reflecting tensions around trade and Russia policy. The EU proposed a 90% emission reduction by 2040 but faces pushback internally amid fears of economic competitiveness loss. China remains the world’s largest emitter, and the EU is wary of soft pledges lacking concrete policy changes. LG Energy Solution Surges on Biden Tax Incentives LGES posted a 152% YoY surge in Q2 operating profit (₩492bn), defying lower EV demand, largely due to advanced manufacturing tax credits from the US Inflation Reduction Act. Despite falling sales (-9.7% YoY), early front-loading by automakers helped offset volume risks. Trump’s new budget plan scraps consumer EV credits but retains production incentives to 2032, which supports battery manufacturers like LGES but may soften downstream demand. Royal Gold’s $3.7bn Acquisitions Signal Gold M&A Wave Royal Gold is acquiring Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper, expanding its portfolio to 80 producing assets and 266 exploration-stage properties. Gold’s price strength has fueled an "animal spirits" surge in mining M&A. Royal Gold’s market cap is projected to rise to ~$15.4bn, reinforcing its position as the only US-based large-cap pure gold streaming and royalty company. Sibanye-Stillwater Calls for Western Price Support CEO Neal Froneman advocated for price guarantees on critical minerals to offset Chinese competitive advantages. He warned that de-globalization trends require Western miners to receive direct support to stay viable. Sibanye’s expansion into lithium and nickel (Finland and France) reflects the shift to battery metals, but profitability is challenged by higher capital costs and lower platinum/palladium prices. BP Strengthens Board with Ex-Shell CFO Simon Henry joins BP’s board to bolster oil & gas expertise amid renewed investor pressure and possible takeover speculation. BP recently pivoted back to traditional hydrocarbons after Elliott Management took a large stake and pushed for strategic shifts. BP’s shares have lagged peers, making governance and board composition critical to fend off activist threats. ------------ US Equity Market Sector Trends From your dashboards: Utilities (+0.21%) and Staples (+0.07%) were the only positive sectors, highlighting defensive repositioning. Tech (-0.73%), Discretionary (-1.27%), and Communications (-0.96%) led the declines, reflecting tariff fears and profit-taking in high-beta growth stocks. Industrials (-0.52%) and Materials (-0.88%) were under pressure, signaling investor concerns over input costs and global demand. Factors and Style Performance Low volatility (+0.41%) and momentum (+0.41%) factors outperformed, indicating a flight to stability. Small caps underperformed sharply (down ~1%), reflecting their greater sensitivity to domestic and policy risks. Value and high dividend yield factors were slightly negative, reinforcing cautious sentiment. Currency and Rates Moves US dollar gained 0.2% against a basket of major currencies, driven by safe haven flows. EUR/USD slipped 0.5%, and GBP/USD declined 0.3%. USD/JPY climbed, reflecting yen weakness. US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.39% (+0.05 pp), signaling investor rotation from bonds to cash amid tariff fears. Global yields mostly edged higher; UK 10-year gilt rose to 4.59%. Commodities Gold slipped slightly (-0.1%), despite general risk-off sentiment, reflecting dollar strength and potential profit-taking after recent highs. Crude oil gained ~1.7% (WTI at $67.97), supported by geopolitical tension and potential supply disruptions. Industrial metals broadly fell, notably copper (-2.4%), due to China rerouting exports and tariff concerns. Agricultural commodities showed mixed performance; soybeans and wheat fell (~-2.4%), reflecting improved harvest outlooks. Global Equity Markets & Country ETFs European equities showed resilience: DAX +1.2%, CAC 40 +0.4%. Asia-Pacific mixed: Nikkei -0.8%, China slightly positive, reflecting capital reallocation and local policy adjustments. Emerging markets underperformed slightly (MSCI EM down ~1.4%), as USD strength pressured flows. Notably strong YTD performers include Brazil (+16%) and Mexico (+13%), while China and Japan remain subdued. Fixed Income and Credit Conditions US fixed income ETFs mostly red; long-duration Treasuries (20+ years) underperformed sharply (-1.0%), reflecting rate sensitivity. High-yield spreads narrowed slightly, but issuance remains cautious given tariff-related macro risks. Municipal bonds and short-term corporates showed slight positive performance, reflecting defensive rotation. Macro Themes & Outlook Trade Policy Risks Intensify: Extension to August 1 provides temporary relief but does not remove risk. Markets fear escalation with Japan, South Korea, and potentially the EU. Rotation to Defensives: Investors shifted into utilities, staples, and low-volatility plays, anticipating higher volatility and lower global growth. Dollar Strength & Rate Adjustments: Strength in USD and higher yields could challenge risk assets, especially in emerging markets. Commodity Divergence: Energy remains firm on geopolitical concerns; metals weak amid China rerouting and uncertain demand. Corporate Actions and M&A: Gold sector consolidations continue (e.g., Royal Gold’s $3.7bn acquisitions), indicating bullishness in precious metals, contrasting weakness in industrials and agriculture. Conclusion & Strategy View In the near term, we expect continued volatility around August 1 as the tariff deadline nears. Defensive positioning remains prudent, favoring cash, high-quality bonds, and low-volatility equities. For commodities, energy and precious metals are relatively better supported, while industrial metals and agriculture face demand and trade headwinds. Currency-wise, the USD strength may persist, pressuring EM assets and riskier FX pairs. We recommend closely monitoring further White House communications and bilateral trade talks, particularly involving Japan and South Korea, to reassess global risk exposure and sector allocations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
BITCOIN Short-term Target = $117kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is coming off a 4H Golden Cross, attempting to hold the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support. The early hours of the E.U. session today show that this might be a difficult task, however comparison with May's Bullish Leg, gives positive signs. Almost the entire month of May sequence has been an uptrend, which looks very similar to today's. Almost identical rises from their bottoms (+13.60% against +12.60%) until the first top, with similar 4H RSI fractals also, we can expect the current uptrend to make a second top soon near the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at $117000. Are you expecting such an outcome in the coming days? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25%..How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25% Bullish Opportunity on EURCAD Introduction A strong bullish signal has formed on the EURCAD currency pair, capturing the attention of traders using a combination of breakout confirmation and daily chart reversal signals. With a clear confluence across the 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, this technical setup offers a well-supported case for a buy position with an estimated 25% upside, targeting the 1.6100 level. Whether traded intraday or held for a few days, the structure of this trade offers exceptional technical clarity and reward potential. ✅ Key Technical Highlights 🔹 4-Hour Breakout Confirmation The EURCAD pair has broken decisively above a recent range high on the 4-hour chart. This breakout occurred on increased volume, which validates the move as more than a false spike. Price action shows bullish momentum building as candles close strongly above the 50-period EMA, indicating short-term strength. 🔹 Weekly Chart Breakout Structure Zooming out, the weekly chart reveals that EURCAD has cleanly broken through a key resistance zone, which had previously capped price several times. The breakout aligns with the long-term trend shift, reinforcing the bullish narrative from a macro perspective. Support now sits firmly below at previous resistance. 🔹 Daily Chart Reversal Signal The daily chart offers the most critical insight: a strong reversal pattern, potentially a bullish engulfing or morning star, has formed near the breakout area. This suggests a change in sentiment and invites buying pressure as traders react to the clear reversal signal after a recent pullback. This reversal provides timing precision for the trade. 🎯 Take-Profit and Target Projection The price target is placed at 1.6100, which corresponds to: A previous structural high A Fibonacci extension zone A round psychological number respected historically The move to this level offers a potential 25% profit window, depending on entry price and lot size. This makes it attractive for both day traders and short-term swing traders. 🕒 Trade Duration Outlook While this breakout setup is forming across the weekly and daily charts, the 4-hour entry makes it highly suitable for day trading. Traders who prefer intraday execution can look for a pullback to breakout support for entry, followed by momentum confirmation from RSI or volume spikes. Swing traders may hold the position over several days, aiming for the full stretch to the 1.6100 target, while trailing stops to lock in profits. ⚠️ Risk and News Awareness Traders must remain cautious of: Oil price movements, which directly impact CAD strength Economic data from the Eurozone or Canada (GDP, employment, interest rate updates) Central bank speeches that may introduce volatility Risk should be limited by placing stop-loss orders just below the 4-hour breakout level or the low of the daily reversal candle. 📌 Why This EURCAD Setup Matters This setup is more than just a breakout—it combines: Multi-timeframe confirmation Momentum breakout on the 4-hour chart Weekly structure validation Daily chart reversal timing These factors build a strong technical case for bullish continuation and provide high confidence for experienced and new traders alike. Conclusion EURCAD presents a powerful trading opportunity backed by clear technical signals across major timeframes. With a 25% upside and precise entry timing from a daily reversal pattern, this is the kind of setup traders seek for both fast profits and well-structured trades. Whether approached as a day trade or a swing play, the EURCAD breakout is one to watch. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money and learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Long
by lubosi
NZD/USD H&S Reversal Pattern Clear,Short Setup To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion On NZD/USD On 4H T.F , If we checked the chart we will see that we have a very strong Historical res that forced the price many times to respect it and stay below it and now we have another good confirmation , we have a perfect reversal pattern and we have a clear closure below our neckline so the pattern already confirmed , i`m waiting the price to go up a little to retest my broken neckline and then we can enter a sell trade . only 1 case i will avoid this idea , if we have a daily closure agin above my res with clear closure .
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
$AAPL Long Setup – Range Breakout Potential with Tight RiskApple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is finally showing signs of strength after a prolonged sideways range. Price is attempting to break above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart while MACD is starting to curve upward—indicating a potential shift in momentum. After holding the $190–$200 zone as support for months, this move above $200 could trigger a short-term breakout toward the $220–$226 levels. The current setup has a clean structure with a 4.27 risk/reward ratio: Entry: $200.30 Stop: $195.07 (below recent range lows) Target: $222.61 (prior high + pivot cluster) If this move holds, it could mark the start of a trend reversal in Apple following months of chop. Solid setup for a 2–4 week swing trade or as part of a core position rebuild. Let me know if you're playing this one or waiting for confirmation above $208.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by aaronkaltman
1
Birlasoft - Ready to enter stage 2 - cautiously optimistic setupTechnically stock seems to be ready to enter stage 2, looking to buy on dips around 415 (support zone). It shows a cautiously optimistic technical setup. As long as it remains above Rs. 415 pivot/support zone, the bias is bullish with room to push into the Rs. 450–480 range. Keep an eye out for Birlasoft’s upcoming dividend on July 18, 2025 and the next earnings on August 6, 2025. Both events can trigger increased volatility.
NSE:BSOFTLong
by Arora_MA
#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup 📊 **#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup** 🔍 If you recall our **morning analysis**, we clearly mentioned that price is likely to **mitigate the zone below 3300** — and as expected, **price tapped into 3296**, which aligned with both the **H1 Order Block** and **Golden Fibonacci zone** 🎯📉 --- 📈 **Current Setup in Progress:** We're now watching for a **bullish H1 candle close above 3353** 🔼 Once confirmed, we’ll execute a **layered buy strategy**: 🔹 **50% entry at activation** (above 3353) 🔹 **30% on retracement** (if price dips 50–60 pips below entry) 🔹 **Remaining 20%** if price dips **70+ pips** below entry zone --- 🛡️ **Stoploss:** 3338–3337 (slightly wide due to structure) This is why we **scale into the trade** — for **better risk management** and **position control** ✅ 🎯 **Minimum Target:** 100–150 pips 🏁 **Extended Target (Optional):** 3396 – for those who can hold with conviction 📊💰 --- 🧠 *Follow structure, manage risk, and trust the plan. High probability setups don’t need to be rushed.*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KTechnicalLevels