Bitcoin with or without some rest new ATH is ahead We are looking for new ATH asap.
But also we may have a short-term fall before that to supports like 100K$ or 93K$ first and then like green arrows pump for Bitcoin is ahead and market is now extremely bullish.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Inverse H&S + Triangle = Gold’s Perfect Setup for a BreakoutAs I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise after a correction and made another attack on the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) and Yearly Resistance (2) .
If we look at the Gold chart from a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, two Classic Patterns are clearly visible.
1- Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a good sign for a Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) breakout.
2- Symmetrical Triangle Pattern is also a sign of a continuation of the recent bullish trend
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the corrective waves , and we can expect the start of an impulsive wave . Breaking the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245 ) can be a good sign for the start of an impulsive wave and a gold pump .
I expect Gold to trend higher in this week , and the first sign could be a break of the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) . The targets are clear on the chart.
Note: If Gold touches $3,179 , we should expect a drop.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Gold - Small rejection before $3400?Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.
Bounce from strong support
Just a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.
FVG and Golden Pocket
Interestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.
Target to the downside
If price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.
Target if we break above the FVG
On the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.
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BTC/USD..4H CHART PATTERN..Here’s a structured trade plan based on me *BTCUSD SELL* entry:
### *Trade Plan: BTCUSD SELL @ 105,300*
*Risk-Reward Ratio:* ~1:2.5 (assuming stop loss at resistance)
#### *Key Levels:*
- *Entry:* *105,300*
- *Stop Loss (SL):* *107,300* (above resistance, ~1.9% risk)
- *Take Profit (TP):* *93,600* (~11.1% downside target)
#### *Risk Management:*
- *Risk per Trade:* Adjust position size so that a move to SL loses an amount im comfortable with (e.g., 1-2% of capital).
- *Leverage:* If trading with leverage, ensure it’s low enough to avoid liquidation (e.g., 3-5x for conservative plays).
#### *Additional Notes:*
1. *Confirmation:* Wait for bearish rejection (e.g., pinbar, RSI divergence) near *107,300* before entering.
2. *Partial Profit-Taking:* Consider closing 50% at *~99,500* (midway TP) and trailing SL for the rest.
3. *Market Context:* Monitor Bitcoin sentiment (ETF flows, macro news) as breaks above *107,300* could invalidate the setup.
*Alternative Scenario:*
- If price breaks *107,300, the bearish thesis weakens—watch for a retest-then-rally toward **110,000*.
Would you like help refining the setup or analyzing supporting indicators (e.g., RSI, volume)?
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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BTC - Can BTC push past $109k in this rising channel?Bitcoin has been trading within a clearly defined upward channel since the beginning of April. This rising channel is characterized by three touchpoints on both the upper and lower trendlines, indicating a consistent pattern of price movement within these boundaries.
Approaching key resistance
Currently, BTC is approaching a critical resistance level near the $109,000 mark, which coincides with its previous all-time high. This level represents a significant psychological and technical barrier, as it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is now testing this resistance while still remaining within the rising channel. The confluence of the upper channel resistance and the historical all-time high makes this a decisive moment for Bitcoin's price action.
Bullish breakout
A rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a temporary pullback, potentially towards the lower boundary of the rising channel. This would not necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend, but rather a healthy consolidation within the established structure. However, a confirmed breakout above the $109,000 level, especially if supported by strong volume and bullish momentum, would likely signal a significant shift in market dynamics. Such a breakout would validate the strength of the current uptrend and could open the door for new all-time highs. In that scenario, the $109,000 level would likely flip from resistance to support, becoming a crucial area for bulls to defend on any future retests.
Bearish breakout
On the downside, traders should also be aware of the implications of a breakdown below the rising channel. The lower boundary of the channel, currently located around $104,000, is an important technical level to watch. A decisive break below this level could indicate a loss of short-term bullish momentum and may trigger a deeper retracement. In such a case, BTC would likely target the imbalance zone between $97,500 and $100,500, a region where price moved rapidly in the past without establishing strong support or resistance. This zone could serve as a critical area for buyers to step in and attempt to reestablish bullish control, potentially setting the stage for another rally toward the $109,000 resistance and a renewed attempt at a breakout.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal juncture. The upward channel that has guided price action since April remains intact, but BTC is now confronting a major resistance zone at its previous all-time high. Whether price breaks through to new highs or experiences a pullback will depend on the strength of market momentum and the behavior of buyers and sellers at these key levels. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and prepared for both scenarios, as the next move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks.
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GBPUSD: Will DXY Bounce Back? |GBPUSD Swing Sell|The GBPUSD pair is currently rallying towards a potential selling zone, where sellers could push the price down. However, the main concern is the current state of the DXY, which clearly indicates another sell-off and could lead to another lower low. Please remember to use risk management while trading forex pairs.
There are three take-profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
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BTC Current Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
From the 4-hour K-line chart of BTC, after a period of sideways consolidation, the price has finally broken through the resistance level formed by the previous high, reaching a recent new high. However, a closer look at the chart reveals that although the price has made a new high, there is no obvious sign of stabilization—the K-line has a short real body and a long upper shadow, indicating that bullish momentum has not yet fully taken the lead.
The Bollinger Bands show an upward-opening expansion pattern, with the space between the upper and middle bands gradually widening, suggesting that market volatility is increasing. The fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have continued to diverge after forming a golden cross above the zero axis, and the red energy bars are gradually expanding, indicating that the current market is still in a bullish trend, and further upside can be expected.
BTCUSD
buy@105500-106500
tp:107500-108500
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Reversal ConfirmedGOLD reached a significant horizontal support level last week..
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, leading to a bounce that broke through a strong downward trend line.
This indicates buyer strength, suggesting the market may continue to rise, with a target of 3322.
DOGEUSDT in Descending channel soon breakout and Pump As we know the descending channel in bull market appear and let the price rest for a while but this one dump the price as we can see and soon it will break to the upside and then more gain and even new high here is expected because market gain the power needed in this channel.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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USDJPY I Daily CLS Nested In Weekly CLS, Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EURUSD Bearish Setup📌 Market Structure & Setup Summary
Major Supply Zone Rejection (Red Zone at Top):
Price tapped into higher timeframe supply zone at 1.13755 (red box).
This was a buy-side liquidity grab just above the previous high → textbook distribution zone.
Now price is respecting that zone and rejecting it with bearish momentum.
Bearish Rising Channel Broken:
Red trendlines show a rising wedge → often leads to a bearish breakout.
Price is currently breaking out of that wedge to the downside.
Premium Pricing Confirmed:
Price was pushed into the premium zone (above equilibrium), inducing buy orders → now being reversed.
🔄 Trade Plan (Short Bias)
✅ Entry: Activated inside the red supply zone after confirming wick rejections and structure shift.
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the red supply zone (above 1.13755).
🎯 Targets:
TP1 → 1.12545: Structure support and breaker block.
TP2 → 1.11663: Previous demand zone and trendline intersection.
TP3 (Optional) → 1.11002 – 1.10610: External liquidity + trendline + FVG zone.
📉 RR Ratio: Estimated 1:4 to 1:5+ if TP2/TP3 hits.
⚠️ Key Confluences
🔹 Bearish break of rising wedge = structural shift.
🔹 Rejection wick inside red supply + BOS.
🔹 TP zones aligned with previous OB, breaker blocks, and liquidity pools.
🔹 News/volatility likely during the double blue vertical lines, so expect reaction spikes.
🚫 Invalidation Criteria
If price closes above 1.13755, the idea is invalid.
Watch for manipulation or false breakouts during high-impact news.
🔮 Market Forecast
If current rejection holds, expecting price to seek sell-side liquidity from 1.12545, then 1.11663, and possibly lower. This is a classic distribution > BOS > retrace > expansion sequence.
NVDA When the Dome is Pierced but the Crowd Doesn’t Cheer.NVDA pierced the dome. But the market didn’t roar—just whispered.
You’d expect prices to leap on headlines like “hyperscalers buying hundreds of thousands of H100s and B200s.” But instead, we’ve seen price hesitations… rejection wicks… and a quiet fade into the resistance box.
That’s the tell.
The “bull case” is loud—CoreWeave, Meta, and Microsoft are all investing capex in datacenter growth.
Headlines scream demand.
Analysts raise price targets.
AI buildout is the macro story.
And yet… NVDA can’t sustain above 137.
Technically, this is what I'm seeing:
A clear inverted dome pattern—price pierced through, but volume didn’t confirm.
Rejection within the gray box: 134–137 remains a trap zone.
Rising wedge structure beneath, with weakening RSI momentum.
Key levels to watch:
137.50: Failure here confirms the fakeout.
134.28: break below, and the dome reasserts control.
130.64: losing this brings 119.59 into play—fast.
Fundamentally, the risk is timing:
Much of the demand for NVDA’s next-gen chips is already pre-booked.
Margins on the newer nodes may face pressure.
The buyer base is concentrated: a few hyperscalers dictate 80% of the flow.
If AI expectations plateau—even temporarily—valuation multiple compression is severe.
And then there’s the macro:
10Y and 30Y yields are pushing higher after a soft CPI print.
Moody’s downgrade lingers in the background.
Japan’s bond market is wobbling.
The bond lords are watching—and if they whisper “not at these yields”, risk assets will reprice.
This isn’t about fear. It’s about understanding silence.
When the loudest news doesn’t move price, something else is pulling strings.
Positioning note:
I hold puts. 5 contracts. Small size, but high conviction setup.
This isn’t just about charts—it’s about recognizing when perception has outpaced inflow, and when liquidity begins to vote.
The dome was pierced.
But without volume, it’s just vapor.
And when vapor meets gravity, price falls—silently.
Lingrid | TRXUSDT Trend Continuation FormationBINANCE:TRXUSDT remains in a clear uptrend, bouncing within its upward channel and forming higher lows. After a strong rally, price is consolidating around the $0.2680 support near the trendline, with signs of a bullish continuation pattern. A break above $0.2750 could fuel momentum toward the $0.2865 resistance zone. As long as price respects the rising trendline, the structure favors buyers.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.2680 – 0.2710
Buy trigger: rebound from trendline support
Target: 0.2865
Sell trigger: break below 0.2680
💡 Risks
Loss of trendline support could shift bias short-term.
Broader market pullbacks may suppress TRX upside.
Weak breakout could lead to fakeout and reversal.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BTCUSD: Made new ATH on Genius Bill vote. 1D Golden Cross formedBitcoin just made new ATH today pas 109,500 as the U.S. Senate officially advanced the GENIUS BILL for consideration. This has turned the 1D technical outlook overbought (RSI = 75.442, MACD = 4135.600, ADX = 30.728) but as mentioned before, Bitcoin tends to thrive on such a state. On top of the very bullish fundamental news, the market just formed a 1D Golden Cross the first since the U.S. elections one (October 27th 2024). That signaled the extension of the bullish trend to +122.18%. If we apply that on the current bullish wave along with the Fibonacci retracement level, we can see that the price is insde the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range, exactly where it was on the 2024 Golden Cross. If this plays out exactly this way, expect $165k by late July.
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Bullish Trend Forming After Key Fibonacci Rebound
Cookie has shown an impressive reaction off the $0.15 support level, which also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — a textbook area for bullish continuation in trending markets. This confluence of support not only held price but triggered a strong bullish impulse, suggesting renewed interest and accumulation at this key technical zone.
Following this bounce, Cookie is now approaching a crucial test: the VWAP resistance and a well-defined daily horizontal level. Price is currently backtesting this resistance area. While this could act as a barrier in the short term, a rejection here wouldn’t necessarily be bearish. In fact, a minor pullback from this zone could be considered a bullish correction, giving Cookie room to form a higher low — a key requirement for establishing a healthy uptrend.
It’s important for Cookie to maintain support above $0.15 and ideally form a consolidation range between the current level and the recent local high. This would signal strong market structure and allow momentum to build for the next leg higher.
The current price action shows early signs of a larger bullish trend in development. If Cookie manages to hold the current support and break above the VWAP and daily resistance, it could open the door for an extended rally toward previous highs and beyond.
Cookie is currently in a bullish phase, with clear technical confluence backing its recent bounce. A healthy correction here would reinforce the trend. Traders should watch for consolidation above $0.15 and a potential breakout above VWAP in the days ahead.
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
---
1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
---
2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
---
3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
---
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
---
5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
It’s been another piptastic day in the markets with our 1H chart setup playing out beautifully.
We began with our bullish target at 3236, which was successfully hit. This was followed by EMA5 cross and lock that opened 3278, also reached perfectly. The entire range played out smoothly, giving ample time after confirmation for entries.
Looking ahead, we’ll be watching for an EMA5 cross and lock above 3278, which could open the path to 3308. A further lock above 3308 would open the potential for extended upside.
However, if price fails to lock above these key levels, we may see a retest of lower Goldturns for a potential bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX