Get started

Community ideas

EUR/AUD Buyers Face Resistance Amid Australian Dollar WeaknessOn the four-hour chart, EUR/AUD has successfully broken above its previous downtrend and now trades above the 100-period moving average, reinforcing a short-term bullish outlook. Buyers have managed to clear the 1.65192 resistance level, extending the rally toward the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the latest bearish swing at 1.65433. A sustained break above this level could trigger a continuation toward 1.65740 and 1.66078, reinforcing the upward momentum. However, failure to maintain momentum above 1.65433 could result in a pullback, with initial support at 1.64854. A break below this level would shift focus to the 1.64306 support zone, which, if breached, would invalidate the bullish outlook and confirm a reversal. Read full article on our website: erranteacademy.com
Long
by Errante
Brace for Impact: NQ’s 15% Plunge AheadAgainst the backdrop of current market conditions and based on the collected indicators, the situation for the NQ index appears rather unfavorable. If the price fails to hold above the 21850 level in the near term, there is a high probability of a scenario where the current price declines by 15%. This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis that includes both technical and fundamental indicators. Considering the possibility of further decline, I have decided to hold a short position, distributing profit targets to optimize risk. The strategy involves setting a stop-loss at 21860, which will help mitigate potential losses in the event of an unexpected market reversal. The profit target levels are broken down into several stages: Take 1: 20900 Take 2: 20150 Take 3: 18500 Current data indicate the realism of this scenario, and therefore it is crucial to closely monitor market behavior, especially around the key level of 21850. Should that level be breached, the short-term decline may materialize faster than expected, making this trading idea particularly attractive for a short strategy. Always remember the importance of risk management and regularly reviewing positions in response to market changes.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Darvas_UA
The Case for a 76% drop on MSTR: Norms of fib levels in a trend.If you draw a fib from the high to the low of the 2022 drop in MSTR, you'll see we have now completed all of the fibs of this swing. In this post we're going to take a detailed look at two things; 1 - How a trend typically forms heading into a 4.23 extension. 2 - What typically happens at 4.23 extensions. Everything we cover here will be generic rules for trend development. It's equally valid on bull and bear moves (we'll use examples of both) and it can be used on any timeframe. We're going to stick to big charts for this but these same concepts also scale down to day trading. We are going to look at these specific hypothesis'; 1.27 - 1.61 will produce some sort of pullback. The breaking of 1.61 will produce a steady trend to at least 2.20. Around 2.20 - 2.61 there will be some sort of reaction. The move from 2.61 to 4.23 is very strong. 4.23s can mark the end of major moves. These conditions in MSTR are marked into the chart pic. Let me show you another example on a bear trend to get us started. This was the last bull swing before the 2007-2008 reversal. We're using the topping swing for our fib. We can draw this really early as soon as we see the first possible break. We drop to the 1.61 and then we bounce. It looks like a recovery in real time. Then once the 1.61 is broken we drop quickly to the 2.20. Look closely here. The move to the 2.20 isn't the big red candle. There's a wick. That tells us this was a flash event. Crashed to the support, rapid bear trap. Filling our conditions of the expectations of a 1.61 break and the reaction 2.20. The wick candle pullback went to around 1.61 and then there was capitulation when the 2.61 was broken. We get to the the Final Boss of the fibs. The 4.23. There's a head fake under it and then a recovery back over it. And the 2008 crash is over. Want another one? Here's BB. The pattern expressed over a very long time. Full booms and bust. Saw a lot of these patterns in 2021. Imagine if you could have used the same playbook we can observe on the all time BB chart and used the same set of rules to understand all the key parts of the 2021 trend. That'd be weird. Attached is a pic of the real time 2021 mention of fading the BB rally at the 4.23 (just to show this isn't just perfect fitting after the fact). Let's jump back to another low. Here was the BTC low. Or a bull one. What Happens at 4.23 Fibs? Most of the time when 4.23 fibs are hit there is a large correction or a full blown reversal. Cases of 4.23's breaking without retesting the 1.61 - 1.27 (and that's a crash, big move) are rarer. In the times there is a 4.23 breakout, the following trend is usually exceptional. When looking at big instances of failed 4.23s they're usually found around the middle of a bubble or crash (depending on if it's a bull or bear break). It's much more difficult to show examples of the failed ones without being able to zoom in and out a lot, but you can look for them in places like the Nasdaq bubble, NVDA rally and in failure points of uptrends heading into crashes. Almost invariably, the trend goes into a state of hyper performance if the 4.23 is broken. However, if it is not broken - then we're usually going to ultimately end up spiking out the 1.27 fib. Which round trips most of the move. If MSTR is a 4.23 blow off, it's give up most of the gains of the recent rally. That is inside of the bullish perspective. The correction comes to 1.27. If 1.27 fails, then you can end up with that lifetime BB chart. Action around the 4.23 itself is fraught with caveats when it comes to actionable trading. You have to always have the assumption that if you're wrong you're going to be betting against a punishing trend and you have to be risk cautious and quick to get out / plan new levels. It always has to be remembered if wrong, the fade will fail spectacularly. Further complicating things is we really can't be sure what sort of 4.23 head fake we're going to get. There are times we reverse right at the 4.23. Or come up a bit shy of it. Other times we make a nominal head fake that you could have started betting against almost as soon as it got passed the level and it went nothing but well for you. Then there are the super blow offs. BB was somewhere in the range of 20 - 25% blow off. I remember this well (I'd shorted the 4.23 touch) it only lasted an exceptionally brief amount of time and was ultimately the Mother of all wicks but if I'd be fully exposed to all that price move - wouldn't have mattered. I'd probably have got nailed before it. When it comes to the actual tactical betting on a 4.23 reversal, it's tricky. The core underlying theory of the 4.23 decision is a simple binary one though. Usually when the 4.23 is hit we're going to head into hyper trend conditions. These can be higher (and this is hard to quantify targets for with fibs) or they can be crashes (which we can usually roadmap with the 1.61 - 2.20 - 4.23 thing). Extremely polarizing level here. Either all fib bases bear cases are entirely annulled for the foreseeable future or a drop of about 75% is setting up. The 4.23 pullback/reversal is the far more common outcome. ==== Bonus doom posting:
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by holeyprofit
17
$DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZTVC:DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZ (1/9) Good afternoon, Tradingview! The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) sits at 106.47 today—tariffs and Fed vibes keep it humming 📈🔥. Down a hair from 106.60—let’s unpack this greenback glow! 🚀 (2/9) – YEARLY SURGE • 2024 Run: From 100.16 to 107+ by Dec 💥 • Today: 106.47—off 0.12% from yesterday 📊 • Driver: Trump tariffs juice inflation fears TVC:DXY ’s got grit—2025’s off to a zesty start! (3/9) – BIG BOOSTERS • Tariffs: Auto, chip threats—dollar darling 🌍 • Fed: Slow cuts—rates outshine abroad 🚗 • Crypto Nod: Pro- AMEX:USD admin vibes 🌟 Greenback’s flexing—policy packs a punch! (4/9) – MARKET PULSE • Vs. Peers: Outpaces euro, yen—rate gaps shine 📈 • X Chatter: 107 peak, post-swearing dip? • Edge: U.S. growth trumps global woes 🌍 TVC:DXY ’s steady—king of the currency hill? (5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY • Deficits: Fiscal bloat looms long-term ⚠️ • Geo-Tension: Wars nudge safe-haven bets 🏛️ • Fed Pivot: Faster cuts could dim shine 📉 Tough tailwinds—can TVC:DXY dodge the drag? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Tariffs: Inflation lift—dollar darling 🌟 • Rates: Fed’s edge over ECB, BOJ 🔍 • Haven: Chaos loves $ USD—rock solid 🚦 TVC:DXY ’s got muscle—global star! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Debt piles—future wobble? 💸 • Opportunities: Tariff hikes zap rivals 🌍 Can TVC:DXY keep the crown or stumble? (8/9) – TVC:DXY at 106.47—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—108+ by spring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Holds steady, risks hover. 3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below 100 soon. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY TVC:DXY ’s 106.47 glow—tariffs, Fed, and grit shine 🌍🪙. Deficits lurk, but strength rules—bull or bust?
TVC:DXYLong
by DCAChampion
Univers Of Signals | KSM : Accumulation or Breakdown Ahead?In this analysis, I want to review KSM for you. This project is one of the platforms within the Polkadot ecosystem and currently ranks 157th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $289 million. 📅 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, we observe a consolidation zone ranging from $15.36 to $55.85. The price has been fluctuating within this range for over two years. By comparing the weekly chart with Bitcoin’s chart, we can see that the KSM/BTC pair is in a downtrend, making it currently not a good buy against Bitcoin. 🔍 However, if we analyze this chart independently, if the price bounces off the $15.36 support and starts moving upward, we can consider buying if it breaks out of the upper box limit. In that case, we can confirm that this two-year range was an accumulation zone, leading to a long-term bullish trend. 📊 The buying volume within this range has been higher than selling volume, which can be a positive sign for buyers and increases the chances of an upward breakout. However, the bullish legs have been relatively short-lived, while the bearish legs have followed more technical and structured movements. 🚀 If the price breaks out of the range to the upside, the technical targets would be $177.68 and $530.43. This means a significant amount of capital would need to enter this coin, which seems unlikely at the moment. ❌ On the other hand, if the price breaks below the range, there will be no significant support left, and we will need to see where the new historical bottom forms. 📅 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price failed to reach the upper boundary of the range at $60.88 during its last bullish leg and got rejected at $51.21, initiating its downtrend. The price has since moved within a descending channel, approaching the bottom of the range. ✅ Yesterday's candle was heavily rejected from the mid-line of the channel, engulfing all recent candles from the past few days. This indicates strong selling pressure, which could initiate a much deeper downtrend. 📉 If the price breaks below the channel, the downtrend momentum will intensify, potentially leading to a parabolic bearish move for KSM. The key trigger level for confirming a parabolic downtrend is $16.08, and if this level is breached, we can expect a new bearish phase. 🧩 However, if the price breaks above the channel, the current breakout trigger is $22.37. A break above this level could be a buy signal for a long position. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
Forecasting BBRI1. Key Support & Resistance Levels Strong support: 3,620 – 3,500 Nearest resistance: 4,040 – 4,250 Major resistance: 4,800 – 5,025 Minor support: 3,810 (current price area) 2. Potential Price Movement If the price holds at 3,810 and doesn’t break down to 3,620, there is a potential technical rebound toward 4,040 – 4,250. If the price breaks down from 3,810 and breaches 3,620, there is a risk of further decline to 3,500 or even lower. If the price rebounds from 3,810 and breaks through 4,040, there is potential for an upswing toward 4,250 – 4,510. Entry Ideas & Reasons 📌 Buy Entry Entry Level: 3,620 – 3,810 (strong support area) Stop Loss: 3,500 (in case the price falls further) Take Profit Target: 4,040 – 4,250 (nearest resistance) Reason: The price is already at a historical support area. If there’s a bullish confirmation (reversal candle such as a hammer, doji, or bullish engulfing) in this zone, it can serve as a buy signal.
IDX:BBRIShort
by michaelhizkia14
USDT.D and the Market status from my POVSo far i managed successfully to increase my profits and my portfolio size from the previous posts i shared here. Now for me i believe it will be my final move for this cycle. It's been a long 3 years of accumulating, rotating and swing trading to be as close as i can to hitting my targets. So for those who don't know what is the relation between USDT.D, USD Index and NASDAQ with the crypto market i urge you to do some research and compare between the charts, especially between USDT.D and BTC. The correlation between cryptocurrency market prices and factors like USDT dominance, the USD Index (DXY), and the NASDAQ can provide valuable insights for spot trading strategies. Here's a structured breakdown: 1. Key Correlations USDT Dominance: Negative Correlation with Crypto Prices: Rising USDT dominance often signals risk aversion (investors moving to stablecoins), suggesting potential crypto price declines. Falling dominance indicates capital flowing into risk assets like Bitcoin, signaling bullish sentiment. Use Case: Monitor trends—rising dominance may warn of bearish conditions; falling dominance suggests accumulation opportunities. USD Index (DXY): Inverse Correlation with Crypto: A stronger DXY (rising USD) often pressures crypto prices as investors favor traditional safe havens. A weaker DXY may boost crypto demand, especially in non-USD markets. NASDAQ: Positive Correlation with Crypto: Both are risk-on assets. NASDAQ rallies often align with crypto gains, while sell-offs may trigger crypto declines. Use Case: Use NASDAQ futures/pre-market moves as sentiment indicators. Divergences (e.g., crypto lagging a NASDAQ rally) may signal trading opportunities. I can't speak on your behalf nor give you an advice, but what i can do is to tell you what i am doing right now. I'm not buying the dip at this moment and will wait until the USDT.D reach the targeted region as shown in the chart. Wish you all the best and again, kindly do fact check what i have shared and make up your own minds when it comes to utilizing market conditions in your favors.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by ShadowDNA
USD/JPY 4-Hour Time Frame AnalysisUSD/JPY 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis On the 1-hour timeframe, USD/JPY is in a downtrend, consistently forming lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Recently, price retested the minor resistance at 150.500 before breaking below the key support level at 149.450, signaling increased bearish momentum. Following the breakout, price retraced upwards, likely targeting sellers' stop-losses placed above 149.450. This retracement indicates a liquidity grab, as market makers aim to trap retail traders anticipating a trend reversal. Currently, the price is positioned within a liquidity zone. If further bearish pressure emerges, we expect the downtrend to continue. Our strategy is to wait for a 4-hour candle to close below the 149.450 level for confirmation. Upon this confirmation, we will place a sell limit order at 149.380, aligning with our risk parameters. Sell Limit Entry: 149.380 (below key level) Stop Loss (SL): 150.290 (above liquidity) Take Profit (TP): 147.360 (next minor key support) Key Levels: Minor Resistance: 150.500 Minor Support: 149.450 (previously broken) This plan aims to capitalize on the continuation of the bearish structure while maintaining disciplined risk management. Fundamental Analysis: Recent statements from billionaire investor Steve Cohen suggest a bearish outlook on the US economy. Speaking at the Future Investment Initiative Institute's summit in Miami Beach (source: Bloomberg), Cohen highlighted several macroeconomic headwinds that could negatively impact the USD: Slowing US Economic Growth: Cohen predicts US GDP growth will decline to 1.5% in the second half of the year, down from 2.5%. Impact of Tariffs and Immigration Laws: New tariffs and tighter immigration policies under President Trump's administration are expected to weigh heavily on economic growth. Tariffs cannot be positive. It’s a tax, Cohen stated, warning that a potential tit-for-tat tariff war could further drag the economy down. Government Cost-Cutting: Elon Musk's leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency is pushing austerity measures, which Cohen described as a further headwind for growth. Cohen also indicated a bearish market outlook, expressing concerns about a significant market correction in the near term. Political Unrest and Its Impact on USD: In addition to economic concerns, there is widespread political unrest across the United States. Throughout February, protests erupted nationwide, particularly in opposition to mass deportations and other administration policies. On February 5, a coordinated movement called "50 protests, 50 states, one day" saw large demonstrations outside state capitol buildings (source: Bloomberg). Such social and political instability could further erode investor confidence in the USD. Conclusion: Given the combination of technical patterns and fundamental pressures, the USD/JPY pair is likely to experience further downward movement: Technical Confirmation: If the price breaks and closes below 149.450 on the 4-hour chart, it will provide a strong bearish signal. Fundamental Factors: Slowing economic growth, Tariff-induced trade friction, and Political unrest under President Trump's administration contribute to a weaker USD outlook. Based on these factors, our sell bias is supported by both market structure and economic fundamentals. We aim to execute our sell order at 149.380, targeting a downward move toward 147.360, while managing risk with a stop loss at 150.290. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
Ethereum Near Key Support: Ready to Bounce to 2,900?COINBASE:ETHUSD is approaching a significant support level, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has consistently acted as a key demand zone, signaling the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers regain control. If the price confirms a rejection within this demand zone, I anticipate an upward move toward the 2,900 level, which aligns with a key resistance area and a logical retracement point. The confluence of the demand zone, volume profile support, and long-term trendline strengthens the case for a bullish bounce. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns, higher lows, or increasing volume near the demand zone, to validate potential long positions.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DanieIM
16
XAUUSD analysis looking for short.This is a candlestick chart showing the price movement of Gold (XAU) against the US Dollar (USD) on an hourly timeframe (1H). The chart shows price action with red and yellow candlesticks indicating bearish and bullish movements. After a period of choppy, sideways movement, there’s a sharp downward price drop followed by a small recovery. An "Entry Zone" is marked in a shaded red area between roughly 2,914 and 2,922, indicating a potential area where traders might look to enter short positions. Above this zone, a red-shaded region represents a stop-loss area around 2,931.765. Two potential downward price movement projections are illustrated with black arrows, both suggesting a continuation of the downtrend after possible retests of the entry zone. The ultimate target for this move is marked near 2,865.335, suggesting a bearish outlook. This chart reflects technical analysis aimed at identifying a short-selling opportunity, with a defined entry zone, stop-loss area, and target for taking profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Artiverma256
Buy GOLD ow at 2911 and target 2947I´m expecting GOLD to climb due to yesterday sell off and coming GDP data. Black lines are important zones, Watch out especially 33 where there is a big activity of market participants. TP always partially at TP zones(black lines). At 2905 you can average your trade if you wish to. Good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, do not selling anything here. If you want to spend your money on "premium channels" feel free to contact one of the signalist commenting this idea. We are a group of traders sharing, discussing different strategies. Invest your money in learning, not in buying signals and fund signal services.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Rendon1
Gold intraday Idea 26/02/2025Yesterday, Gold followed scenario two, breaking below 2919 and retesting 2900 before rebounding. Despite a 170-pip attempt above 2929 today, a lack of fundamental drivers prevented continuation, leading to another pullback. Bias remains bullish, with buys above 2919 and 2929, while the safest entries remain above 2940. If price struggles at 2919, we could see a deeper pullback to 2900 or even 2888 before resuming bullish momentum. With no major news today, staying adaptive is key.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thetraderscollective