Stronger Upside Potential for CCL: Long Trade Opportunity Next W
Current Price: $20.19
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $21.50
- T2 = $22.50
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $19.50
- S2 = $18.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Carnival Cruise Line.
**Key Insights:**
Carnival Cruise Line (CCL) is benefiting from a resurgence in travel demand as consumers prioritize discretionary spending on leisure post-pandemic. The company has reported strong booking trends and expects occupancy rates to approach pre-pandemic levels heading into the pivotal holiday and summer seasons. Moreover, cost optimization initiatives and operational efficiencies implemented by the management are expected to positively impact margins, making the stock an attractive growth candidate. Technical trends show bullish momentum supported by increased volume and the stock recently testing and reclaiming key support levels.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past month, CCL has consistently rebounded from minor pullbacks, indicating strong underlying demand among investors. The stock has gained approximately 6% from its monthly lows, with price action consolidating above the $20 psychological level. This performance underscores increasing confidence in CCL's ability to execute on its earnings growth strategy.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts highlight Carnival's bullish MACD crossover and strong RSI levels, further supporting the case for an upward trend. The recent technician’s confidence is shared by fundamental analysts, pointing to Carnival’s higher revenue per passenger and expanding itinerary offerings. Investment banks have revised their price targets for CCL higher, reflecting optimism over the cruise industry rebound and management's effective execution on expansion strategies.
**News Impact:**
Carnival recently unveiled extended itineraries in high-demand travel regions like Europe and the Caribbean, which has garnered significant customer interest. The release of positive forward guidance on passenger bookings and a commitment to enhanced health and safety protocols has helped assuage lingering investor concerns surrounding post-pandemic risks. Media sentiment surrounding the cruise industry shifts favorably, providing additional tailwinds to CCL's bullish trajectory.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on bullish technical indicators, resilient demand trends, and positive news sentiment, CCL is positioned for an upward rally. Investors can consider a LONG position, capitalizing on Carnival’s strong operational outlook and favorable market conditions.
Community ideas
Nike’s Tight Rope Between Recovery and Resistance
Current Price: $58.30
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $60.50
- T2 = $62.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $57.30
- S2 = $56.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Nike.
**Key Insights:**
Nike’s stock appears to be entering a potential recovery phase after a substantial dip from its recent highs. Market participants view the stock as undervalued compared to its historical trading levels, with anticipated support around $56–$57.50. Institutional interest remains strong, driven by favorable long-term projections for growth and operational efficiency, despite near-term macroeconomic headwinds.
However, Nike faces challenges that could weigh on investor sentiment. Key factors include global inflationary pressures, reduced consumer discretionary spending, and evolving market conditions that demand adaptability. Furthermore, external risks such as geopolitical uncertainties and potential reputational concerns highlight the importance of a cautious yet optimistic approach in evaluating the stock’s near-term outlook.
**Recent Performance:**
Nike has underperformed in recent weeks, driven by broader market volatility and sector-specific pressures. The stock is down sharply from its highs, approximately 50%, offering potential entry points for value-investors. Despite the short-term headwinds, Nike’s core business remains fundamentally strong, supported by ongoing innovation and brand loyalty in the global sportswear market.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts have a mixed outlook for Nike, citing concerns about how macroeconomic trends, such as inflation and currency fluctuations, could impact profitability. Some experts are optimistic due to Nike’s ability to leverage digital transformation and direct-to-consumer channels, positioning the company for long-term growth. Investors should watch key price pivots around $58–$60 in the coming weeks.
**News Impact:**
Recently, reports of branding challenges in college sports and reputational risks may impact Nike’s image in certain demographics. However, the broader economic landscape, including performance trends seen globally and competitive efforts from peers, suggest opportunities for strategic market growth. Macroeconomic recovery, if timed correctly, could ignite positive momentum for Nike moving forward.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Nike’s current price level and key technical supports suggest a high-probability LONG trade setup for informed investors. With targets of $60.50 and $62.00, traders should maintain positions with stops set at $57.30 and $56.00 to manage downside risks. Monitoring macroeconomic developments and Nike’s adaptability to evolving challenges will be crucial for sustaining bullish momentum.
3 Earnings Season StarsThese companies all beat on the top and bottom lines—and crucially, they raised guidance too. In other words, they didn’t just exceed expectations, they increased them.
Microsoft (MSFT): AI Momentum Meets Financial Muscle
Microsoft delivered across the board, with strength in all segments and standout growth in Asia—the region that’s fast becoming the beating heart of its AI strategy. Revenue rose 13% year-on-year, and cashflow was particularly impressive, helping lift net income to $25.8 billion. The result? Analyst price targets are moving higher, and investor sentiment has clearly turned.
The shares gapped sharply higher following the results, clearing both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages in one move. Prices have since held above those key trend indicators, with short-term momentum staying firmly bullish. Microsoft looks to be back in trend mode.
MSFT Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Meta Platforms (META): Still Beating, Still Climbing
Meta knocked it out of the park again, posting $6.43 in earnings per share versus $5.28 expected. Net income rose to $16.6 billion, marking a strong improvement on the same quarter last year. The market reaction was swift: shares gapped higher post-earnings and investor appetite for tech profitability looks far from exhausted.
Technically, Meta is in a clean uptrend with a steep ascending trendline in play—ideal for timing pullbacks. There’s still plenty of headroom before the February highs come back into focus, and momentum indicators support the idea that this move has legs.
META Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Roblox (RBLX): Turning the Corner, One Quarter at a Time
Roblox isn’t handing out dividends or buying back shares, but it is showing clear progress. A narrower loss, 86% growth in operating cashflow, and 123% growth in free cashflow suggest that the company is finally maturing. Management is now forecasting profitability within four to six quarters—a major milestone for what’s been a high-growth, high-burn name.
The shares have been building nicely since bottoming in March. After a healthy pullback with the broader market, price action has realigned with the long-term trend, with the 50-day moving average comfortably above the 200-day. It’s a constructive setup for bulls looking for continuation.
RBLX Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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EURUSD staff pattern tips EURUSD to down sideThe EUR/USD exchange rate has generally moved downward since its high point in 2008, reflecting a period of euro weakness and U.S. dollar strength. After reaching its peak, the pair has gone through several bearish phases, and interestingly, the support and resistance lines form a staff.
Economic Recovery in the EU and UK Since the Global Financial Crisis
The EU and UK have seen "no meaningful recovery" since the global financial crisis. Many regions in the EU managed to recover their GDP per capita to pre-crisis levels within a couple of years, though the pace and strength of recovery varied widely. The UK, after a deep recession, returned to its pre-recession GDP levels within several years. However, both the EU and UK have faced ongoing challenges, including sluggish productivity growth and weaker expansion compared to previous decades.
Green Energy Transition and Grid Stability
European policymakers have made the green energy transition a top priority, sometimes advancing more quickly than infrastructure could support. Experts warned as early as 2014 that the rapid adoption of solar panels could put stress on power grids and increase the risk of instability. This concern became reality in Spain, where a significant blackout occurred shortly after the country announced it had achieved 100% renewable power on weekdays. To prevent similar incidents, experts now believe that a massive upgrade of the EU power grid will be necessary to ensure reliable integration of renewable energy sources, and this will cost a trillion dollars. The shortage and rising energy costs will make the EU and the UK lag in the AI race. Especially, a data center is power-consuming. The energy cost of the UK is the highest among developed countries and 5 times that of the US. Thank you to the politicians adopting an unrealistic path to green energy.
Outlook for the EU economy
With ongoing challenges such as the need for large-scale infrastructure investment, slow productivity growth, and pressures from global trade dynamics, the EU economy is expected to continue facing headwinds. Most forecasts indicate that economic growth will remain subdued in the short term, and further slowdowns are possible if structural issues are not addressed.
Gold Breaks Support Level – The Downtrend May Not StopAfter peaking at $3,500/ounce in April, gold is in a clear correction phase. On the H4 chart, the price has broken through both the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating that a short-term downtrend has been established. The most recent session closed at $3,223, losing nearly $130 in just a few sessions.
The sharp decline appeared after a long rally and the peak was rejected many times. The break through the EMA89 support has triggered technical selling pressure, reflecting the psychology of profit-taking after failing to surpass the old peak.
I wish I was wrong with this but now it's looking better EUR/ZAROk so this was painful.
The W Formation neckline broke above and since then headed to the target at R22.00 a EURO!
For someone who travels to Europe a lot, it's not easy on the rands.
But since it hit the target, it turned down and hopefully will stay down for now.
We are currently at R20.34 with a first target at R20.00.
And if it breaks below that we COULD see R19.00 again.
But you'll be the first to know and I'll send the analysis.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.520.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Trade Idea: EURNZD – Buy on Dip Toward Trend Line SupportExpires: 13/05/2025 06:00
Trade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 1.8810
Stop Loss: 1.8725
Target: 1.9050
Duration: Intraday
Technical Overview
The primary trend for EURNZD remains bullish, with recent price action showing a controlled pullback.
Price is approaching a well-defined ascending trendline, offering strong support near 1.8800.
Buying on dips into this zone offers a favorable risk/reward opportunity.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC at Crucial Retest Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!Price Action Alert on #BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)
#Bitcoin recently broke down from a rising wedge, a classically bearish pattern. Alongside this, we've also identified a bearish RSI divergence, further validating potential downside momentum.
Key Observations:
🔺 Rising wedge breakdown confirmed
📉 Bearish divergence on RSI (4H)
🔁 Price is now retesting the broken wedge from below (a classic bear signal!)
⛔️ Still holding above a key horizontal support — watching for a clean break here for confirmation
📌 Bearish Trade Setup (Waiting for Confirmation):
Entry: Below key support zone (marked on chart)
Target 1: $84,300
Target 2: $75,000
Stop-loss: Above wedge breakout point (100,500)
💼 Always follow proper risk management!
🧠 Why This Matters:
The combination of pattern breakdown, bearish divergence, and a retest zone is a powerful signal — but patience is key. We wait for full confirmation (support break) before executing any short trade.
📣 What do you think — will #BTC break the support or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🗣️
If you found this analysis helpful, like, comment, and follow for more real-time setups! 🚀
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #Bearish #ShortSetup #RisingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingView
EURGBP...
Technical Outlook:
EURGBP is forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
I'm watching for a retracement to the demand zone around 0.84807, where a long opportunity may present itself if bullish confirmation appears.
Buy Scenario:
Wait for price to dip into 0.84807 zone
Look for bullish price action signals
Target: 0.87382
Stop loss: Below 0.84740
Sell Scenario (if broken):
Clean break of 0.84807 , followed by retest (pullback)
Target: TRALING STOP LOSS
Note:
This setup is based on key market structure levels and potential reaction zones.
I update my levels weekly and track how price respects them.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
@ForexCSP
XAUUSD - Is Gold Going Down?!Gold is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. A downward correction in gold will open up buying opportunities from the demand areas.
Investors in the precious metals market witnessed another week of gold’s strong performance. Although overall optimism about a potential reduction in trade tariffs slightly slowed gold’s momentum, robust demand from Asia and other global regions provided solid support, preventing any major market correction.
At the beginning of the week, gold prices fell by over 1% on Monday as news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China prompted investors to shift toward riskier assets. This drop occurred alongside easing geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which also contributed to a calmer market atmosphere.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamison Greer announced that the two nations had reached an agreement during negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The deal, which is expected to be released as a joint statement, signals a reduction in trade tensions that had escalated in recent weeks with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports.
As part of the agreement, the U.S. and China plan to establish a joint economic and trade consultation mechanism to continue discussions on tariffs. President Donald Trump hinted last week at a potential reduction in tariffs to 80%, although the official details of the deal have yet to be disclosed.
Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, commented that in the current market environment, it is difficult not to be bullish on gold. However, he warned that any de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions could dampen the strength of gold’s rally. He added, “Even though a 50% reduction in tariffs wouldn’t be the final chapter, if implemented, it would represent fairly rapid progress and a positive sign for both parties.”
In addition to trade developments, the easing of tensions in Kashmir and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan have also reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The ceasefire, brokered by the United States, remained largely intact over the weekend.
Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated that his outlook on gold remains unchanged. He explained, “Rising concerns over a potential U.S. recession, coupled with cautious optimism about easing trade tensions—especially between Washington and Beijing—could exert pressure on gold. However, gold’s notable resilience against price declines indicates underlying demand that has not yet fully entered the market.”
Meanwhile, Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, firmly maintained a bullish view on precious metals. He said, “If I had to write one analytical sentence on the market board, it would be: Precious metals must rally. I emphasize ‘must’ because nothing is certain in the markets. My bearish call last week was wrong, and it’s clear that technical analysis has become almost obsolete—especially in today’s world where algorithm-driven trading dominates.”
After a week largely influenced by the Federal Reserve’s meeting and tariff-related headlines, market focus now shifts to a data-heavy week featuring a broad range of U.S. economic indicators. The action kicks off Tuesday with the release of the April Consumer Price Index (CPI), a report that could offer insights into whether the Fed might cut interest rates in its June meeting.
The real highlight, however, is expected on Thursday, when key reports are scheduled to be published, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales figures, jobless claims data, and two major regional indices—the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing index. Amidst this flood of information, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also set to deliver a speech in Washington, which could serve as a major catalyst for market movement.
To wrap up the week, markets await Friday’s release of the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May—a report often viewed as a psychological gauge of American consumer behavior.
DeGRAM | ETHUSD the best score among the tops📊 Technical Analysis
● ETH blasted above the long‑term resistance line of the descending wedge, flipping it to support and signalling trend reversal.
● Price is riding a new rising channel; holding the mid‑channel support level (~$2 300) sets sights on the marked resistance level at $2 540 – 2 600.
✨ Summary
Wedge breakout + renewed ETF optimism favour a short‑term long: objectives $2 540 → $2 600+; strategy invalidated on a sustained drop below $2 200.
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XAUUSD 12/5/25Following our change in bias last week on gold, we continued to follow the bearish narrative into new lows after taking out the highs we identified at the beginning of the week. Now, we're looking for a similar setup — a potential pullback into those previous highs to give us the shift downward we’re anticipating.
That said, I believe gold may have more potential to move directly into our target zones without a significant pullback. Still, we keep that scenario on the table, as it's part of the trading plans we build from these key levels.
Of course, we don’t expect price action to simply go bullish and hand us perfect shorting opportunities. But we do believe that if price pulls back into certain areas, it could continue to deliver the downside movement we’re expecting.
Remember, we’re following a rule set. We’re sticking to our risk parameters and allowing the system to guide us. We’re not trading just because price moved down — we had a clear understanding of what we wanted to see, and price continues to respect that structure.
Stick to your plan, follow your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Orion is bearish, and so are we.
Trade safe. Stick to your plan. Always follow Orion.
EURUSD | 10.05.2025BUY 1.11900 | STOP 1.10000 | TAKE 1.14300 | We expect the development of an upward movement pattern from local and medium-term support levels. Technically, the price growth potential is determined by the formation of a trending upward channel. We will also watch the publication of economic data in May this year.