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US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants. For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌. ⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
THINKMARKETS:US30
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD 26 Feb 2025 W9 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Today economic news: No Major economic news scheduled today. The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹With this week open, price continued Bullish as expected and created another ii-BOS after which price started PB for the ii-BOS and reached the recent Demand which we could see the next Bullish move from. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase 2️⃣ 🔹After the 15m Bullish BOS, price initiated the Swing PB Phase. 🔹Price reached the 15m Swing EQ (50%) and turned Bullish after the INT structure changed to Bullish iBOS indicating that the Swing PB maybe over and we are currently starting the Swing Bullish continuation Phase. 🔹As price continued Bullish yesterday with Bullish iBOS. Currently with the recent iBOS we started the pullback and reached the INT structure extreme Demand where price can start the INT structure Bullish continuation and target the Weak INT High and ultimately the Weak 15m Swing High. 🔹If price failed to hold the INT structure Bullish and Turned Bearish, there is a high probability that we will continue Bearish based on the DXY PB Phase on 4H (PB after Bearish iBOS) and price may target the Strong 15m Swing Low. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish with the 15m / 4H INT & Swing are all Bullish while also cautious about the possibility of price to turn Bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
USD/JPY Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 USD/JPY Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📊 Current Price: 149.563 🔍 Market Structure: Bullish Bias 📌 Key Levels: 🟢 Demand Zones (Support): 148.715-149.603 📈 Entry Plan – Long Setup 🔹 Buy Zone: 148.715-149.603 (Fib 0.618 - 0.786) 🎯 Target: 150.727 ⚠️ Key Observations: • BOS confirms bullish momentum. • Fair Value Gaps (FVG) align with support zones. • Break below 148.715 may lead to a liquidity grab before reversal. #FXFOREVER #USDJPY #SmartMoney #SMC #Liquidity #OrderBlock #Forex #Trading
by FXFOREVER_87
US30 PROBABILITH ANALYSIS# 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** This is the **high-probability** scenario where price continues upward. Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry:** If price pulls back into the **discount zone** or holds above the **equilibrium level**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on lower timeframes** (5M or 15M). - Bullish rejection (e.g., **pin bar, engulfing candle, or liquidity sweep**). - **Price must stay above the discount zone** and not break below BOS. Entry Trigger** - Look for price action near **43,365 – 43,425 (equilibrium area)** - If price shows bullish reaction in this area, enter long. Stop Loss (SL)** - Below the **weak low** or **PDL (Previous Day’s Low)** - **Target:** - **First TP:** PDH (Previous Day’s High) around **43,800**. - **Final TP:** The strong high near **43,850 – 43,900**. 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → Aim for **1:3 or higher**. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** This setup assumes price **rejects from the premium zone** and sells off. Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry:** At the **premium zone** near **43,750 – 43,850**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **liquidity grab** above PDH (**price fakes out then drops**). - **Bearish engulfing candle** or strong rejection. - A **Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside on lower timeframes Entry Trigger** - If price **sweeps PDH (Previous Day’s High) but fails to hold above**, enter short. Stop Loss (SL)** - Above the **strong high (~43,900)**. Target (TP)** - **First TP:** Equilibrium (~43,450). - **Final TP:** PDL (~43,245). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → **1:4 or higher**. 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between equilibrium & PDH**, avoid taking trades. - Only enter if **clear BOS or liquidity grab** happens. Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,365 – 43,425 | Below PDL | 43,800 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,750 – 43,850 | Above 43,900 | 43,450 | 43,245 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts** - **For Longs:** Wait for a bullish rejection in the discount zone. - **For Shorts:** Look for a liquidity grab at the premium zone. - Use a **1:3 or 1:4 R:R** for better profitability. - Stick to **risk management** (max **1% per trade**).
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1
BTC Long back to the MeanBitcoin has recently broken out of its prior range, sweeping liquidity below key levels. This setup presents a potential mean reversion opportunity, expecting price to revert back into the range. The target for this trade is around 96,785.2, aligning with the previous consolidation area. Key Levels: Entry: Current price region (~89,310) Target: 96,785.2 (Mean reversion level) Stop-Loss: 85,969.9 (Below liquidity sweep) Trade Execution: Entry Confirmation: Signs of rejection from the liquidity grab area / MSB on 2h Risk/Reward: Favorable setup with a good R:R ratio. Stop Placement: Below the liquidity sweep to prevent early invalidation. Conclusion: The market has grabbed liquidity and is now positioned for a move back into the range. If bullish momentum continues, we expect price to revert toward the 96,000 level.
Long
by SerenityEquity
Combined US Indexes - Incoming Break or Bounce ?From the previously marked timeline on 18 Feb 2025, just days later, you see the combined US Indexes plummet to cut through the middle decision box (purple), and extrude out below. This formed the double top second peak in essence, and the days following just closed at a two month low. While this might appear Bearish, it is worth noting the lower tails in previous candles which are followed by rallies to the upper resistance. Would this happen the third time? I would beg to differ... In fact, marked out is a critical support point which should be tested in early March. At that point (yellow ellipse), there is a confluence of a previous trend change support, the current TDST and just below that the larger consolidation range support. While the RoVD is slightly bullish, the MACD is dipping with MACD in bearish lower half, and the signal line tapering down towards the boundary into bear territory. In summary, it looks slightly bearish to the critical support point. From there, it would be good to see if it bounces or it breaks down.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Auguraltrader
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower, continuing its selling pressure. The index quickly dropped to the lower boundary of a large range, touching the 120-day moving average. The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line, confirming the downtrend, and the index has now reached a potential support zone near previous lows. Yesterday provided a short opportunity at the 5-day moving average, and since there was no meaningful rebound, the gap between price and the 5-day MA has widened significantly. This suggests that a short-term technical bounce could occur based on intraday movements. However, given the strong selling momentum on the daily chart, even if the market consolidates for a few days, further downside remains likely. If considering long positions, strict stop-loss management is essential. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues to dominate, with both the MACD and signal line dropping sharply below the zero line. Comparing this to past price action near 20,763, the current MACD decline is even steeper, meaning that even if a short-term bounce occurs, the MACD is unlikely to recover back above zero easily. Overall, selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy, but traders should watch for intraday bottoming signals, as a bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower, weighed down by concerns over slowing consumer demand. On the daily chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the break below $70 has now confirmed a potential breakdown. Since $70 had been a key support/resistance level, the break below it suggests further downside risk. Today, a shorting opportunity may arise at the 3-day moving average, in line with technical retracement principles. However, the $66–67 range remains a strong support zone, so traders should monitor whether selling pressure is strong enough to push prices below this area. Since the MACD is turning sharply downward, and price action is forming a large bearish candle, the best strategy remains shorting into rallies near the 3-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, a third bearish wave has developed, leading to an accelerated decline. Aside from potential buying at key support levels on the daily chart, selling into rallies remains the most favorable approach. Given that inventory data will be released today, traders should be cautious of increased volatility. Gold Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle as the Consumer Confidence Index fell. Yesterday, gold was at a crossroads between a buy and sell signal, and with this bearish breakout, the sell signal is now confirmed. For now, gold is likely to trade within a broad range, as the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated from the zero line. This suggests that while further downside is possible, periodic rebounds should also be expected. Since gold has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and reached the 20-day MA, traders should treat the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day MAs as key resistance levels, while the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day MAs serve as support levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below zero, with the signal line following downward. This reinforces a range-bound trading strategy, focusing on buying at major support levels while keeping in mind potential rebounds. By analyzing the daily candles, traders can identify potential future scenarios for Nasdaq, oil, and gold. This is why daily and intraday technical analysis is essential. Additionally, NVIDIA’s earnings report will be released tonight, which could introduce further market volatility. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard