Get started

Community ideas

Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached: 📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target. Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion. But there’s a growing complication: The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery. As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma: Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher. Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum. --- 🔁 Reflexivity at Work This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions. > “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.” — George Soros The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base. --- ⚠️ Key Takeaways June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution. Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing. Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify. Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication. --- In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
by mehrshad31
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing Scenario I’m closely watching a probabilistic swing setup based on natural price oscillations and EMA wave dynamics. The current structure suggests that Bitcoin could need a deeper retracement to the 100k - 102k zone to allow the short-term EMAs to snap together just above the 55 EMA. This is typically where the market builds energy for significant moves. I've highlighted this potential snap zone and the expected price flow in the chart. If the price compresses in this area, it could trigger a move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k. A clean pullback followed by EMA clustering is usually the kind of natural swing that opens the door for explosive price action. From there, a retest around 108k - 110k would not only be healthy – it would likely serve as the launchpad for a possible extension towards the macro target zone of 160k - 180k. I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural market rhythms, EMA waves, and energy compression zones. What’s your view on this? Are you tracking a similar path?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by getthelukas
1
EUR/USD Keeps Climbing – Dollar on the Back FootEUR/USD is still pushing higher today, trading around 1.171 and showing no signs of slowing down. The pair’s strength is backed by both technical momentum and the current market backdrop. What’s fueling the move? Simple: the US dollar is under pressure again. Fresh concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence — especially with talks around replacing Powell — are shaking investor confidence. That’s giving the euro the upper hand and helping this pair hover near its highest level in four years. Looks like the bulls aren’t done yet. You riding this trend?
Long
by Edward_TradingFX
GBPUSD - Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy)📈 GBPUSD – Falling Wedge Breakout Within Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy) Type: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout Timeframe: 1H Status: Trade Running 🔍 Analysis Summary: GBPUSD is respecting a strong ascending channel, with a recent correction forming a textbook falling wedge pattern. Price has now broken out of the wedge with bullish momentum during the NY session, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel. This setup aligns perfectly with my TCB Strategy: Trend: Bullish market structure intact Countertrend: Falling wedge correction Breakout: Clean bullish breakout above wedge resistance 🧠 Trade Plan: Entry (EP1): 1.37350 (Breakout entry) SL: 1.36850 (below wedge low) TP1: 1.37600 TP2: 1.38200 (channel top) 🛠️ Checklist Score: ✅ 100% All criteria met, including session timing, structure confluence, breakout candle quality, and risk-reward profile. 📌 Watching how price reacts around 1.37600. Clean break above that could open the path to 1.38200+. Follow for updates. #GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #TCBStrategy #BreakoutSetup #FallingWedge #PriceAction
Long
by J1000PIPSfx
MONTH START WITH STRONG BUY MOVE ALERT !Currently, price action on the 30-minute chart is showing signs of weakness as it hovers near a key support level at around 3328. The chart has been respecting an ascending trendline, but now we see price attempting to break below this trendline 📉. 🔸 Resistance Zone: 3338 🔸 Support Zone: 3328 🔸 Bearish Target Area: 3315–3300 region 🚨 If the price breaks below the support and the ascending trendline is invalidated, we may see further downside movement, with a potential target near the 3300 zone, which aligns with a previous demand area. 🛑 Watch for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or retest rejection) before entering a short position. 💡 Bias: Bearish below 3328 📌 Next Key Support: 3290 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬 📊 Trade safe and always manage your risk! 🛡️
TVC:GOLD
by GOLD_INVESTOR_ACADEMY
GOLD DISTRIBUTION TYPEHello folks. its been a while I am posting. Been dealing with this idea last week. wait for a rally to 3344, if it breaks above 3351 then we still waiting below our main Entry 3280-3289 zone. less stoploss below the friday low. Trade it swing if we see monday rally. then wait our entry. Goodluck and have fun trading, If trading is a lifestyle this is it. this is your lifestyle. waiting here is boring. thats why we need to be more patience. xiaaaaooo.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by D1GITALTRADES
Trading Recommendations for NZD/USDNZD/USD remain in a dominant bullish wave that began in April. Wave extremes from a "horizontal pennant" on the chart. The bearish phase since May 26 remains a part of internal correction. The bullish leg from June 23 has reversal potential. Weekly Forecast: The pair is likely to continue its upward movement for a few more days. A sideways trend and reversal conditions are expected near the resistance zone. Downward movement becomes more probable in the second half of week. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.6070 / 0.6120 Support: / 0.5940 / 0.5890 Recommendations: Selling: Low potential and potentially risky. Buying: Can be considered if reversal signals appear near the support zone.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
4
EAND – Gaining Momentum for the Next MoveEtisalat Group appears to have bottomed, establishing a key accumulation range between 15.74–18.58 AED. Price is currently playing within this range, building a solid base after a prolonged downtrend. If Etisalat breaks above the 18.58 AED resistance with strong volume and follow-through, it opens the door to a clean upside move toward the next key levels: T1: 20.14 AED T2: 22.24 AED T3: 25.88 AED T4: 28.70 AED The structure is tight and range-bound, but the market sentiment shows early signs of strength. A breakout from this base would confirm a shift in trend and could trigger a mid- to long-term bullish leg. 📌 Risk management: The 15.74 AED level serves as the invalidation zone. As long as price holds above it, bulls remain in control of the setup.
ADX:EANDLong
by Katri01
USDJPY Ascending channel breakout buy strong from demand zone📈 USDJPY Bullish Breakout Alert! 🚀 USDJPY has officially broken out of the descending channel from the 143.800 demand zone — showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H time frame! 🔥 🎯 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 145.000 – Supply Zone 💥 2nd Target: 146.000 – Key Resistance 3rd Target: 148.000 – Major Resistance Level Momentum is building — bulls are in control! 🐂 👇 Like, Follow & Comment your thoughts below! 💬 Join our trading community for more real-time updates and analysis! #USDJPY #ForexSignals #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #LiviaTrades 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
A Mini Rally and a Mega Rally expectation for Others MCapHi all, This is how I follow Others Mcap. If we break the ascending channel to the down, this idea will be invalid. As long as the price keeps in the channel up, we should touch the upper channel band at some point which is Target #1 for me for a risk adjustment. I expect it to be in mid/late August. Then a small correction like 5-8 weeks. By beg. of October, I expect Others to start MEGA rally till end of the year. These are just my opinions and not a financial advise. DYOR! Cheers!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by askocaturk
FILUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨 Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation. Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred. Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events. Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss. Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading. Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses. This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading. Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region. thanks for like and follow @ydnldn
Short
by ydnldn
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone 🔹 Macro Structure: Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x – 327x zone. Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained. Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent. 🔹 Liquidity Map: Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur. Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared. 🔹 Expectation: Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 → Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB. A retracement into the discount zone (3301 – 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade. Watch for bearish signs near 3388 – this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence. 🔵 BUY SETUP (Retracement entry – continuation) Buy Zone: 3301 – 3303 OB Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low) Targets: 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 – 3346 – 3388 🔴 SELL SETUP (Reversal entry – premium zone) Sell Zone: 3348 – 3350 (mitigation area) Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick Stop Loss: Above 3354 Targets: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3325 – 3310 – 3300 ✅ Alternative Entry (Low sweep) Buy Limit: 3270 – 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone) SL: 3262 TP: 3280 – 3290 – 3300 – 3315+ ⏳ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades. 🧠 SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
2
Oscar (OSCR) – Tech-Enabled Healthcare with Margin Momentum Company Snapshot: Oscar NYSE:OSCR Health is a technology-focused health insurer leveraging data and digital platforms to deliver affordable, personalized care. Its platform-centric model improves member experience, cost control, and care outcomes—setting it apart in a highly regulated sector. Key Catalysts: Steady Execution Under Proven Leadership 🧠 CEO Mark Bertolini (ex-Aetna) brings credibility and strategic clarity, reinforcing investor trust in Oscar’s long-term viability. Focus remains on operational discipline, risk management, and scalable infrastructure. 2025 Guidance Reaffirmed 📊 Following a solid quarter, Oscar reaffirmed full-year 2025 guidance, projecting margin expansion and sustained growth despite sector headwinds. Medical loss ratio (MLR) held steady at 75.4%, absorbing a $31M prior-period hit—showing resilience in cost containment. Robust Financial Flexibility 💰 With $1B+ in free cash flow, Oscar is well-positioned for: Organic growth in new markets Potential share buybacks or dividends Continued investment in digital infrastructure Investment Outlook: Bullish Entry Zone: Above $17.00–$17.50 Upside Target: $32.00–$33.00, supported by margin stability, capital strength, and smart execution. 🩺 Oscar is transforming health insurance from reactive to predictive—backed by tech, discipline, and capital strength. #OscarHealth #OSCR #HealthTech #InsurTech #DigitalHealth #MarkBertolini #MedicalLossRatio #FreeCashFlow #TechEnabledCare #HealthcareStocks #Bullish #ValueDelivery #HealthInnovation
NYSE:OSCRLong
by Richtv_official
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart. Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline. Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk. Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline . 🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach) To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup: 🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade). 🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher. 🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably. 🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms. 🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy. 💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict. 🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1