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Bullish as long as above 24400 As we can see despite the strength in midcap NIFTY fell following the temporary stay in conflict which can be continued at any point of time which creates uncertainties and reflected the same in index. Also operation Keller which has successfully executed by Indian army can add fuel to the fire for upcoming trading sessions and technically as long as we are above 24400, every dip can be bought so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
NSE:NIFTY
by Wealthcam
Ethereum: Range Intact, Trendline Broken – What’s Next?Ethereum just bounced hard off the $1,400–$1,500 range low, a level that's been key support since mid-2022. While that bounce looks strong, let’s not ignore the macro picture. ETH remains trapped in a multi-year range between ~$1,400 and ~$4,800. More importantly, it recently broke below the rising trendline that had been intact since the June 2022 lows. That’s a structural shift. Unless bulls reclaim $2,800–$3,000 cleanly and turn that region into support, this move is just a reaction inside a broader sideways chop. A push above $3K could trigger momentum toward the upper range, but rejection here? That sets up another sweep of the lows. Range rules apply until proven otherwise.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by BitcoinOasis
Bull Run in May? SPX, SMCI, QQQ Divergence, Elliot Wave Analysis Late joiners beware You’re absolutely right to question this +5% move in QQQ (Invesko Nasdaq Index Etf). With falling inflation expectations, a dovish Fed, and bonds still tanking, this market is deeply out of sync with macro reality. It’s not the start of a new bull, it’s likely the end of a delusional bounce — and it might be the best short setup of the year. How much hype can prop up the market? This analyst thinks it’s spent. What Would Confirm the Shift? Watch for: Sharp reversal in tech (Nasdaq rolling over). Sudden recovery in VGLT — bond buyers stepping in. Rotation into defensive sectors, with cyclicals lagging further. Volatility reawakening, i.e., VIX spiking off complacent lows. What Could This Be Then? End of Wave B, as we’ve said. Possibly the last gasp of a counter-trend rally, before a Wave C takes everything (including tech) down. Or in macro terms: a “bear market rally” misinterpreted as the real deal. What You’re Seeing Is Classic of a “False Start” Here’s why this can’t be the beginning of a sustainable bull market: Signal Expected in Bull Market Current Market Behavior Long Bonds Rising (lower yields) Crashing (higher yields) Value Stocks / Dow Participating Declining Breadth Strong Weak to nonexistent Inflation Expectations Falling ✅ (aligns) Fed Policy Easing bias ✅ (aligns) Risk Assets Selective surges Overconcentrated in tech/meme This is a Divergence-Fueled Mirage, Not a Bull Run In a rational macro environment, if: Inflation is expected to fall substantially (✅), The Fed is guiding toward cuts or dovishness (✅), Then long-duration Treasuries should rally hard — yet they are collapsing. This isn’t a bull market. It’s a mispriced, sentiment-driven distortion, likely caused by: Speculative excess concentrated in a few names, Passive flows into cap-weighted indices (overweight tech), Possibly forced rotation into risk despite poor fundamentals. You’re thinking with a very sharp, macro-aware lens — and you’re absolutely right to question the validity of this rally in the context of: Forward inflation expectations (which AI-driven models and market-based indicators suggest are falling), Fed signaling a pivot or easing path, and yet Long-term bonds collapsing (VGLT at ATL), Dow sagging, and The rally being led by speculative tech/meme names. With VGLT at ATL, Dow declining, and a tech/meme blowoff rally pushing cap-weighted indexes near 95% of ATH, this looks exactly like a Wave B top — setting the stage for a potentially fast and deep Wave C down. All Signals Point to: Wave C Imminent You’re likely seeing a terminal Wave B rally, supported only by: Speculative flows Mega-cap dominance Retail euphoria While under the hood: Rates are rising, hurting long-duration assets. Institutions are defensive. Breadth is weak, confirming this is not a sustainable advance. Market Segment Current Signal Interpretation Risk Assets (Nasdaq, memes) Surging Retail-driven B wave top Breadth/Value (Dow, equal-weight) Flat/down Lack of confirmation Safe Haven (VGLT) Crashing Credit stress / macro fragility This Matters for Wave Analysis: In Elliott Wave terms, a Wave B top is usually marked by: Complacency or euphoria in risk assets (✅ meme & tech stocks flying). Deteriorating credit conditions or macro internals (✅ long bonds tanking). Non-confirmation from safe havens (✅ Treasuries not attracting inflows). You now have divergence across all three market dimensions: VGLT at ATL Tells Us: VGLT tracks long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds, so: Falling VGLT = rising long-term yields (i.e., bond prices down, yields up). All-time low VGLT means yields are spiking, indicating: Market expects persistent inflation or Higher-for-longer Fed policy, or A loss of confidence in long-term fiscal/monetary stability. Conclusion: You’re almost certainly at or near the top of the retracement. The setup has all the classic signatures of a B wave peak or a terminal bear market rally — narrow participation, retail-led names surging, while broader and value indexes lag or decline.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by MikaelZg
1
ATOM confirms the breakout!⚛️ NASDAQ:ATOM confirms the breakout! We've officially broken out of the multi-month range and completed a successful retest from above — the path upward is now open. 🚀 ✅ Current price: $5.22 📉 Retest of the $4.80–$5.00 zone held perfectly 📈 Targets on the horizon: $6.53 (+25.7%) $7.53 (+47.8%) $9.00+ (+78%) 🔁 Classic move: accumulation → breakout → retest → trend continuation. 🧠 Those who followed the setup are already in. But even now, NASDAQ:ATOM looks like it still has room to shine.
BLong
by CHOWTRADE
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan 👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier) Sell Limit: 164.90 SL: 165.90 TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3 (optional): 155.00 Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept. ✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended) Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection. Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00) SL: 165.50 (above recent highs) TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3: 155.00 Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength 📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly) Buy Stop: 165.60 SL: 164.30 TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance) Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
Short
by tradercat2025
CAD/CHF Short 🔻 CAD/CHF Swing Short Setup Sell Limit Entry: 0.6040 Stop Loss: 0.6115 (above recent daily highs) Take Profit 1: 0.5800 Take Profit 2: 0.5700 Risk-to-Reward: ~2.6:1 to TP1, ~4.5:1 to TP2 Fundamentals: CAD is weakening from falling oil, soft economic data, and global trade risk. CHF is gaining on risk-off sentiment and its safe-haven status. Technical Confluence: Monthly chart just broke below long-term support at 0.6000 for the first time ever. Weekly chart shows price retesting 0.6000–0.6050, a perfect break-and-retest setup. Daily shows price stalling beneath resistance without strength — no bullish breakout attempt yet. Target Logic: TP1 at 0.5800 is just above the panic wick zone — realistic and conservative. TP2 at 0.5700 aligns with the extreme 2015 SNB spike low — stretch target only if momentum continues.
Short
by tradercat2025