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SPXUSDT manipulated rise before the fallThe market is pulling back after a strong drop in the Asian session. At the moment, while bitcoin is showing -2%, BINANCE:SPXUSDT.P is accelerating by 15% in the hunt for liquidity.
Possible entry into liquidity zone and false resistance breakout
False resistance breakout
1) 0.5473
2) 0.6689
Market is bearish, no hint of growth
A pullback is forming with the aim of accumulation or liquidity before continuing the fall
The fall may continue after the bitcoin correction is over
Very wide and strong price range-watch technical zones for profi🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices opened the week with a sharp decline, hitting a one-month low below the $3,000 mark. However, buyers quickly stepped in, driven by the narrative that rising risks of a U.S. economic recession—fueled by Trump’s tariff war—pose a greater concern than inflation. This has increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement aggressive rate cuts this year.
➡️ Still, it remains to be seen whether gold can sustain its modest rebound, especially after Friday’s broad-based selloff, which forced traders to cover losses and meet margin calls by cashing out their gold positions.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The sellers are still dominant in the short term, and the bottom of this correction has not yet been determined. Gold prices fluctuate too quickly and strongly, so limit many orders because of high SL risk. Watch for technical zones to make profits and wait for further confirmation of the market trend.
➡️ Analysis based on important support - resistance zones and Fibonacci combined with trends and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3056 - 3076
Support zone: 3077 -3040
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3077 -3079
❌SL: 3070 | ✅TP: 3085 – 3090 – 3095
👉Buy Gold 3040 -3042
❌SL: 3033 | ✅TP: 3050 – 3060 – 3070
👉Sell Gold 3056 -3058 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3062 | ✅TP: 3050 – 3043 – 3030
👉Sell Gold 3076 -3078
❌SL: 3083 | ✅TP: 3070 – 3060 – 3050
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Possible Distribution Scheme in XRP (Chaotic Scenario)Someone asked me what the most chaotic scenario for XRP's price could be — and I answered: a long-term Distribution phase.
In this image, I illustrate a radical distribution scheme that could potentially extend into late 2025. But first, a sign of weakness — with price dropping below the Corona Dump levels, possibly close to $0.10. Sounds absurd to many, I know.
If it's Scheme 1, XRP would drop and then bounce back to the Last Point of Supply (yellow line).
If it's Scheme 2 (red line), price could spike between $5 to $6.8, with an average peak around $5.5–$5.7, likely triggering extreme euphoria.
But remember, this is just one insane possibility — and it depends heavily on Bitcoin, Market Makers, Supply vs Demand, public interest, and the macroeconomic context.
If this scenario plays out… what would YOU do?
SOLUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of SOL-USD (Solana) with you.
Looking at the Solana chart, I expect a potential price decline with a first target of $99.34. If the weekly candle manages to close above $99.34, we might see a bullish continuation from that level. However, if Solana closes below $99.34 on the weekly timeframe, I anticipate further downside, possibly reaching $68.20.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: Weekly close below $99.34 → potential move toward $68.20.
Bullish Scenario: Hold above $99.34 → possible bullish reversal.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $99.34 and $68.20
Resistance: $99.34 zone (as a key flip level)
💬 What’s your take on Solana? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Trade safe
4.7 Gold Trend4.7 Gold Trend
The K-line continues to fall back and breaks through the short-term moving average, and the moving average begins to diverge downward, indicating that the daily level has turned from strong to weak.
Key support: 2950. If it falls below 2950, it may accelerate the decline; otherwise, it may usher in a technical rebound.
Short:
Entry area: 30015-3025
Stop loss: above 3035
Target: 2990-2950
Long:
Entry area: 2960-2970
Stop loss: below 2950
Target: 2990-3010
I hope that today's article can bring you gains and smooth sailing in the next investment. The team has focused on the spot gold market for more than ten years, with rich market experience and stable operations, allowing you to reasonably control funds and achieve profits. All gold investors are welcome to come and communicate.
ETHUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of ETH-USD with you.
Looking at the ETH-USD chart, I expect the price to decrease to 1,658.33. After reaching this level, I anticipate a period of consolidation and range-bound price action. Once the range is broken in a lower timeframe, I expect a bullish trend to begin, with a target of 2,920.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: Drop to 1,658.33, followed by consolidation and range breaks in a lower timeframe.
Bullish Scenario: Once the range breaks, the price will start moving up toward 2,920.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1,658.33
Resistance: 2,920
💬 What’s your outlook on ETH this week? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Trade safe
Bitcoin at support between 78600 and 76600. Key levels to watch.Key levels to watch on BTC BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
If S-1 Doesn't hold I expect BTC to test the 400 EMA and possibly reclaim the vector candle zone/Support 2 at 73800 where we faced resistance back in Mar. 2024 and Oct. 2024.
There's a couple other vector candle zones above S-3 that principal says would get reclaimed as well. I don't see price making its way to S-3 unless the macro environment really starts to deteriorate and the economy moves into a recession. Worst case scenario in my opinion for BTC is between 49k and 54k. All of these levels depends on the tariff situation and the overall market dynamics in the United States. Its also possible that the tariff situation plays out and we don't see levels under S-2. I will be buying at S-2 and adding heavier if we start to reclaim vector candles under S-2. If we see price get to S-3 over the next few weeks to months I will be buying heavily and probably will deploy 90% of whatever cash position is remaining. For clarification I don't put much stock into diagonal trend lines and wedge patterns but they can sometimes act as support and resistance even though they are very speculative. As far as upside moves, there is a resistance zone between 85200 and 88600 and the 200 EMA is also in that zone currently. I do expect the low at 76500 to be broken and rallies are for selling. For more clarification, I'm not short when I say rallies are for selling, I just mean I don't see any sustained upside until the tariff situation plays out and the market has some certainty.
S&P500 Searching for a BottomExecutive Summary
The S&P 500’s Elliott Wave structure suggests the current downtrend is incomplete, with a high-probability target near the 4,300 level based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Global stock markets remain under pressure amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, and Elliott Wave patterns across various indices continue to point to more downside.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis
Today’s upward volatility is likely a small-degree wave four, with another leg down expected to retest today’s lows in the coming sessions.
There is an impulse wave that began in October 2022 and topped in 2025. We are now seeing the after effects of that completed rally. A standard 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of that move places a high-probability support zone around 4,300—a logical target for a ‘normal’ correction of the 2022–2025 rally.
Currently, price has paused near the January 2022 high at 4,662, and also sits near the 38.2% retracement level of the 2022 rally, which lies around 4,950. While a move to new highs cannot be fully ruled out, the probability of such a rally is currently low. Given the brief nature of the current decline in both price and duration, a more meaningful correction is still likely.
Bottom Line
The S&P 500 appears to be in wave ((iii)) or ((c)) of a downward move, with the structure still incomplete. A decline toward 4,300 remains the higher-probability scenario in the near term.
We will reconsider the medium-term outlook if the index rallies above 5,488, which would overlap the March 31 low and suggest a possible low is in place.
Gold highlights the trend of pressure!On Monday (April 7) in the Asian market, gold prices fell below $2,990, but then rebounded to narrow the decline. The sell-off triggered by US President Trump's trade war intensified. Fearing that Trump's trade war would trigger a global recession, shocked investors have flocked to the US Treasury market, at least for now ignoring the risk that the same punitive tariffs could trigger another round of inflation. After the rise in US government bonds caused the two-year Treasury yield to hit its lowest level since 2022, traders are preparing for further gains and believe that the Federal Reserve is more likely to take the most aggressive interest rate cuts to prevent economic stagnation.
In terms of gold, the overall price of gold fell sharply last Friday. The price rose to 3136.36 on the day, fell to 3015.64 at the lowest, and closed at 3036.81. During the early trading session last Friday, the price was under short-term pressure at the four-hour resistance position, and then it fluctuated and fell. Then it hit a high and fell near the US market. The price fell very weakly all the way and broke the daily support position as expected. Both the weekly and daily lines ended with a big negative. The focus will be on the gains and losses of the weekly watershed.
The gold daily chart shows that the relative strength index (RSI) has fallen from nearly 80 touched on Thursday to 50, suggesting that the recent decline in gold prices is not just a technical correction. Since gold opened low and fell directly today, it continued the decline trend on Friday. Then we have to consider a question now, that is, whether the daily line will form a continuous decline. In the daily rhythm, we can see that the high point has been declining, which means that after the top resistance of the three-point line is blocked, it is easy to form a second turning point of the trend downward!
In the current situation, don’t expect gold to rise sharply in a short period of time to form a reverse package. The gold content of following the trend is still rising. Waiting for a rebound, we will short sell! The upper pressure level is 3036, the closing price of last week. The further pressure level is 3054, the top and bottom conversion level! You can ambush and short near 3036! The falling market is going down all the way, don't guess the bottom blindly!
Investment strategy:
Short gold at 3036, target 3000
RSI 101: Scalping Strategy with RSI DivergenceFX:XAUUSD
I'm an intraday trader, so I use the H1 timeframe to identify the main trend and the M5 timeframe for entry confirmation.
How to Determine the Trend
To determine the trend on a specific timeframe, I rely on one or more of the following factors:
1. Market Structure
We can determine the trend by analyzing price structure:
Uptrend: Identified when the market consistently forms higher highs and higher lows. This means price reaches new highs in successive cycles.
Downtrend: Identified when the market consistently forms lower highs and lower lows. Price gradually declines over time.
2. Moving Average
I typically use the EMA200 as the moving average to determine the trend. If price stays above the EMA200 and the EMA200 is sloping upwards, it's considered an uptrend. Conversely, if price is below the EMA200 and it’s sloping downwards, it signals a downtrend.
3. RSI
I'm almost use RSI in my trading system. RSI can also indicate the phase of the market:
If RSI in the 40–80 range, it's considered an uptrend.
If RSI in 20 -60 range, it's considered a downtrend.
In addition, the WMA45 of the RSI gives us additional trend confirmation:
Uptrend: WMA45 slopes upward or remains above the 50 level.
Downtrend: WMA45 slopes downward or stays below the 50 level.
Trading Strategy
With this RSI divergence trading strategy, we first identify the trend on the H1 timeframe:
Here, we can see that the H1 timeframe shows clear signs of a new uptrend:
Price is above the EMA200.
RSI is above 50.
WMA45 of RSI is sloping upward.
To confirm entries, move to the M5 timeframe and look for bullish RSI divergence, which aligns with the higher timeframe (H1) trend.
RSI Divergence, in case you're unfamiliar, happens when:
Price forms a higher high while RSI forms a lower high, or
Price forms a lower low while RSI forms a higher low.
RSI divergence is more reliable when the higher timeframe trend remains intact (as per the methods above), indicating that it’s only a pullback in the bigger trend, and we’re expecting the smaller timeframe to reverse back in line with the main trend.
Stop-loss:
Set your stop-loss 20–30 pips beyond the M5 swing high/low.
Or if H1 ends its uptrend and reverses.
Take-profit:
At a minimum 1R (risk:reward).
Or when M5 ends its trend.
You can take partial profits to optimize your gains:
Take partial profit at 1R.
Another part when M5 ends its trend.
The final part when H1 ends its trend.
My trading system is entirely based on RSI, feel free to follow me for technical analysis and discussions using RSI.
S&P 500 - Analysis and Rebound levels! 4/7/2025S&P 500 just pulled off a slick rebound at 4835.04 - Let's hope it's legit. A close above the 50-week SMA keeps momentum alive. If not, eyes on the next landing zones at 4754.17 and 4699.43. No panic! Don’t let the noise rattle your game plan! 😎
#SP500 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX
ODOS/USDT 2H Chart – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone witAsset: ODOS/USDT
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: 0.005070
EMAs:
200 EMA (blue): 0.006703
30 EMA (red): 0.005546
🟩 Trade Setup (Long Position)
Entry Zone: Around 0.004778
Stop Loss: Below support at 0.004229
Target 1 (TP1): 0.006082
Target 2 (TP2): 0.007054
📈 Risk-to-Reward & Potential
TP1 Gain: ~27.3%
TP2 Gain: ~47.36%
This is a high R:R trade from a key demand zone after a strong downtrend, suggesting a possible reversal.
🔧 Key Observations
Price is bouncing off a demand zone (highlighted in purple).
If buyers maintain control and break above the 30 EMA, a move toward the first resistance zone is likely.
Watch for:
Bullish candlestick patterns at the entry level
Break and retest of the 0.0055–0.0060 zone for confirmation
✅ Strategy Summary
This setup suggests a reversal long trade from strong support with good upside potential. The targets are layered, allowing partial take-profits or scaling based on momentum.
BUY Z DIP ON BTCWe're seeing a clear divergence on Bitcoin's chart, signaling a potential reversal at a strong support level. As the famous quote goes, "Buy when there's blood on the streets." Now is the time to take advantage of this dip, as these are the moments where the best opportunities arise. Don't miss out—this could be the entry you've been waiting for! 📉📈
#Bitcoin #BuyTheDip #CryptoOpportunity #Divergence #BTC
AVAX - Side-Ways TradingI believe AVAX has seen the worst, the price won't drop any lower, as its quite below the 50MA on a weekly time frame (VAN ECK ETF filing will draw investment opportunities). I further believe the price will climb back up to 30USD and create a sideways channel, fluctuating in the 30-15USD range, for the coming weeks/months. Holistically viewing, we are in an overall sentiment of market uncertainty (With the Trump-Pump out the window and all mixed signals from the USA with import tariff increases), so I don't see the price breaking bullish anytime soon (above the 30USD range). Lets wait and see what the Crypto Market does as a whole, with all eyes on Bitcoin & its ETF which stole the Altcoin-Season spotlight. We are not yet overall bearish yet 2025.
USDCAD Technical and COT AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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