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AUDCHF AUDCHF is preparing to break through support and fallWeak market structure. Gradually declining lows and no reaction to support at 0.5211. Buyers are trying to keep the price above 0.5211, but under market pressure their strength is weakening. Relative to 0.5211, we see the formation of consolidation, which is of a “pre-breakdown” nature. Accordingly, a break below the 0.5211 support level could trigger the activation of buyers' SL orders, leading to liquidation and a downward price distribution. Potential targets include 0.518 and 0.5164.
by AndeWave
17
XAU/USD: $3,350 is the key focus for bulls and bears.The gold price broke through the key level of $3,330 during the European session, which was what the bulls had been trying to break through last week. This level is both the 50-day moving average and the resistance point at the upper edge of the descending channel. Technical indicators show that buying power is accumulating. However, $3,350 is a key resistance level above. If the gold price can break through strongly, it will target $3,400; conversely, it will look to the first support level of $3,330. Recent news will dominate the trend of gold, and traders should trade cautiously. XAUUSD sell@3345-3350 tp:3330-3320 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
3
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
3
Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the chart shows a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. Here's the target breakdown: 📈 Silver Bullish Targets: Current Price: Around 36.42 1st Target (TP1): Approximately 36.95 – 37.00 2nd Target (TP2): Approximately 37.40 – 37.50 These targets are based on the breakout from the triangle and previous resistance zones marked on your chart. 🛑 Suggested Support Zone (Breakout Retest Area): Around 36.00 – 36.20 (acts as support now after the breakout) If price holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains valid. Let me know if you'd like stop loss suggestions or lower timeframe analysis.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Money_Magnet5
4
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3300 hit perfectly!!!! We will now look for ema5 cross and lock to confirm a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3300 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3324 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3354 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3383 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3239 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3213 3179 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
19
Statistical Tendencies in Market StructureMarket Disorder Involvement in financial markets occurs for a variety of reasons, including speculation, hedging, liquidation, automation, and rebalancing. These are executed by a broad range of participants, such as funds, banks, algorithms, and retail traders. These operate across different timeframes and objectives. The same information could lead to different interpretations and execution. This creates structural disorder. The market does not behave in a clean or deterministic manner. Behaviour is shaped by overlapping flows, unknown motivations, and shifting expectations. While each trade is executed with intent and structure, the collective result of these actions creates disorder. From the perspective of a technical trader, outcomes could appear no different from randomness. In practice, this is experienced as noise or inconsistent behavior. Randomness in Market Theory Traditional financial models like the Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH) suggest that price movements are random and not influenced by past behavior. In other words, markets exhibit no memory and each price change is statistically unrelated to the prior ones. In case this would be true, no historical data or technical method would provide a reliable basis for forecasting future prices. In such a market, price behavior would be indistinguishable from statistical noise. Apparent trends would arise by coincidence, and no persistent trading edge could be developed. A visual example of a chart based on a random walk. Price evolves through multiplicative steps without memory, reflecting the assumptions of the Random Walk Hypothesis. Multiple experiments have shown that when traders are presented with randomly generated charts, they tend to perceive them as genuine market data. This reflects a common cognitive bias: the tendency to perceive structure even where none exists. Much of what is interpreted as meaningful could be the result of psychological projection, pattern recognition, or hindsight bias applied to what is essentially noise. Randomness can resemble market data, which makes it difficult to differentiate between valid and coincidental patterns. Market Tendencies: Departures from Randomness Not all aspects of market behavior conform to the random walk model. In particular, certain patterns appear to be consistent and do not fit the definition of pure randomness. These patterns are not statistical anomalies in the dismissive sense, but measurable and repeatable features of price action. It is from these deviations that systematic trading methods can be developed. Volatility Clustering Volatility clustering refers to the tendency for large price changes to be followed by more large changes, and for small changes to be followed by more small changes. This effect does not imply direction, but indicates that the magnitude of price changes tends to show persistence. This helps explain why markets transition between calm periods and phases of high turbulence, rather than constant variance. The behavior violates the random walk assumption that each price change is independent from the last. A visual example of volatility clustering, with columns marking periods where rolling volatility exceeds a dynamic threshold. This pattern is central to many econometric and trading models. It forms the basis for regime-based strategies and conditional volatility systems such as ARCH (Engle, 1982) and GARCH (Bollerslev, 1986). Mandelbrot (1963) first described the phenomenon in the context of financial turbulence. Momentum Momentum refers to the observed tendency of markets to continue moving in the same direction over short- to intermediate-term timeframes. In statistics, this is shown as positive serial correlation in returns. In simple terms, recent winners tend to keep winning, and losers tend to keep losing. A visual example of momentum, showing the slope of a linear regression line over a rolling window. Positive values indicate upward movement, negative values indicate downward movement. Momentum contradicts the idea that price changes are independent and identically distributed. The effect has been extensively documented across markets and asset classes. Foundational research includes Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), Carhart (1997), and the cross-asset studies by Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013). It is a key principle behind trend-following strategies. Mean Reversion Mean reversion describes the tendency of prices to return to a long-term average after deviating significantly. This behavior implies negative feedback: the further price moves from its mean, the greater the probability of a reversal. A visual example of mean reversion, showing the deviation of price from its moving average. Baseline is centered at zero, with positives above the mean and negatives below. This effect challenges the assumption that markets move without anchor. It is most evident in valuation-driven models, short-term overreaction trades, and statistical arbitrage. Empirical support includes long-term reversals (DeBondt and Thaler, 1985), medium-term autocorrelation (Poterba and Summers, 1988), and short-term corrections (Jegadeesh, 1990; Lehmann, 1990). Conceptual Differentiation These deviations from randomness have different statistical profiles. Volatility clustering reflects persistence in the magnitude of price changes. Momentum is defined by positive autocorrelation in returns, meaning recent trends tend to continue. Mean reversion is characterized by negative autocorrelation, where extreme moves are more likely to reverse. Together, these effects define some of the limited but viable edges that exist within an otherwise random market. Strategic Implications for Trading Comprehending these deviations from randomness helps clarify two broad categories of trading strategies, each shaped to exploit different forms of market behavior. Momentum forms the foundation of trend-following strategies. These approaches are built on the premise that price movements often persist over time. Traders applying this logic aim to buy strength and sell weakness, anticipating that trends will continue. The core idea is that price is more likely to extend its current direction than to reverse. Common techniques include: Breakout-Based Entries Trend Pullback Trades Continuation Patterns Mean reversion, by contrast, serves as the basis for contrarian strategies. These methods are shaped around the observation that extreme price movements tend to reverse. Traders using this approach aim to sell strength and buy weakness when price diverges sharply from a perceived equilibrium. The underlying principle is that price tends to return toward its average following an overextension. Techniques include: Fading Overextension Range-Based Trades Statistical Divergence Setups Momentum and mean reversion coexist in markets, but their relative influence has variance. In some periods, one could dominate; in others, both have comparable effects. This balance shapes market structure. Recognizing this concept helps contextualize price action and adapt to the current environment. Interpretation and Standardization Many individuals enter the market with the misconception that technical analysis is a tool for predicting future price movements. However, its true value lies in interpretation. Technical charts provide information about structure and sentiment, which helps us take a reasonable bet. In a sense, there is a prediction based on the past, but with uncertainty. This interpretative approach, combined with a well-tested method, creates a solid foundation. Markets are not a math problem with a fixed solution. If they were predictable, all variables could be quantified and outcomes automated with precision. In reality, even systematic approaches require discretion and adaptation. Markets are complex environments shaped by uncertainty and disorder. Even the most robust methods encounter both wins and losses. It is also important to understand the role of perception. As humans, we are wired to find patterns, even in random data. We may focus on evidence that supports our expectations, see structure where none exists, or assume past events were obvious in hindsight. These tendencies often lead to overconfidence and unreliable interpretation. A related issue is overfitting, where methods that appear effective on historical data fail to translate. These may seem precise in hindsight but often lack the ability to generalize, usually due to selective parameter tuning or retrospective reasoning. The solution is not added complexity, but standardization. To separate random movement from meaningful structure, chart interpretation must rely on consistent and objective criteria. A pattern is not meaningful in isolation but gains relevance when it departs from statistical norms. This must be combined with a probabilistic mindset, where each trade is treated as uncertain and evaluated as part of a broader process. The content in this post is extracted from the book The Art of Technical Trading by StockLeave for educational purposes.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by StockLeave
XAUUSD – Correction or Reversal? 1. What happened yesterday As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340. ________________________________________ 2. The key question today Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal? ________________________________________ 3. Why I remain bearish • On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish • On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive • No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias • A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling • If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it. ________________________________________ 4. Trading plan My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360. However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift. ________________________________________ 5. Final thoughts 🚀 This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet. Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold price recovers above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3,292 after rebounding from an intraday low of $3,246 and looks set to close out June with a modest gain of over 0.18%. However, its upward momentum has been restrained by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing optimism over forthcoming trade agreements. Meanwhile, analysts at Citi expect Gold to consolidate within the $3,100 to $3,500 range throughout the third quarter. In Washington, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence that the “One Big Beautiful Bill” will make progress in the coming hours. The sweeping tax reform legislation, which narrowly passed the Senate over the weekend, includes major tax deductions funded by reductions in Medicaid spending and green energy incentives. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovers above 3300 , ahead of NF reports this week . Accumulates above 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3353- 3355 SL 3360 TP1: $3340 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3320 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3272-$3270 SL $3265 TP1: $3283 TP2: $3295 TP3: $3310 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
7
Why Gold Trading is Not Easy for Beginners - Trading PsychologyGold Doesn’t Just Teach Trading. It Teaches You Discipline. 1. Why Gold? Why Not Everything Else? Gold is the most honest manipulator in the market. It respects structure down to key intraday levels—but builds traps around it like a pro. It fakes direction, sweeps liquidity, teases early entries, then moves beautifully for anyone patient enough to wait. And it’s daily: one premium buy and one killer sell almost every day—hundreds of pips on the table for eyes that can see. Other assets feel slow once you lock into Gold’s rhythm. So what to expect: 2. The Phases Before Profit • Lucky Dumb Money Early wins boost your confidence. You increase your risk. It all feels easy—until the market proves otherwise. • The Slap Suddenly, things don’t work anymore. Indicators stop making sense. Emotions interfere. Results shift, and frustration creeps in. This is the breaking point for most traders. 6 months to 1 year on XAUUSD and they are out. • The Awakening This is when clarity begins. Indicators are dropped. Structure, liquidity, and timing take center stage. What once looked random now starts to make sense. Progress begins the moment YOUR EGO gets quiet. Consistency only follows those who choose patience over panic. 3. Gold Is a Mirror Gold doesn’t just reflect your trades — it reflects YOU. Every personal flaw shows up on the chart: impatience, doubt, greed, fear, ego. It mirrors your decisions, your reactions, your emotional patterns — all of it. Blaming the market delays growth. But the moment you turn inward, you begin to see the truth: your results reflect your level of discipline, clarity, and self-awareness. Gold forces you to evolve. Not just as a trader, but as a thinker, a decision-maker, a human. That’s why it’s not for everyone. Some people are not ready to recognize who they truly are yet. 4. What Leads to Profitability What actually leads to profitability in Gold? It’s fast. It’s full of adrenaline. But you have to get a routine - consistent, structured, and effective — when applied with discipline. → One pair only. Mastery on XAUUSD → Structure first. Liquidity, imbalance, session timing → Fewer trades, cleaner entries → Smaller lots, more control = emotions are in check → Relentless observation. Learn from each execution and adjust with intention This is what leads to results. Not noise. Not hope. Just precision and presence — again and again. 5. You Won’t Win Until You Commit You don’t need to destroy your schedule or stay up all night. But you do need to make time for growth. Signals won’t help if you’re not willing to understand the asset you’re trading. Gold filters out shortcuts, distractions, and surface-level effort. But those who take it seriously earn every pip — and they earn it with clarity, not luck. So stop asking, “How long until I’m profitable?” Start asking, “Am I ready to do what Gold actually demands?” CONCLUSION: Most traders don’t fail because Gold is too complicated— they fail because they try to figure it out alone. They chase signals, skip the process, and ignore the real path to consistency: invest in education, proper mentorship, and trading psychology coaching. The ones who grow fastest are those who seek guidance early— from people who live and breathe this market, and understand structure, mindset, and pressure. If you choose to go at it alone, that’s also a good choice. Just know: it will take longer. It will test your patience and your clarity. But when the structure clicks… when you stop chasing setups and start executing with confidence… When you secure 3–4 solid trades a week and avoid unnecessary losses— everything changes. Trading becomes calm. Focused. Even enjoyable. Whichever path you take, the outcome depends on the same thing: Gold won’t just test your trades. It will develop your discipline. If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
3
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT GC! is currently at its max around 3,500. On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart. On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet). Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200 Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500 Plan for swing trade: Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450 Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280 ***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by haytinnhau123
1
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3370 Volume Poc + Value ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
ETHUSD: Parabolic rally similar to 2017 targets $7,300Ethereum is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.960, MACD = -24.810, ADX = 18.527), attempting to break over the 1D MA50, while still being inside a 6 week consolidation. This is no different than the 2016 consolidation on the 1W chart, that turned out to be just an accumulation pattern before a massive 2017 bullish breakout to the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. Time to go heavily long on ETH with TP = 7,300. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by InvestingScope
5
BTCUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨 Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation. Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred. Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events. Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss. Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading. Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses. This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading. Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region. thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal. About me : "I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
Short
by ydnldn
2
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
24