CHFJPY: Potential top hereThe spread between $USDJPY and $USDCHF is quite huge, I would assume it can close soon.
Entering shorts in this pair becomes a reasonable trade now.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Pairtrading
USOIL/CADUSD: Oil/CAD spread is too wideI think we have an ideal spot to short both USDCAD and USOIL as a pair trade (or just short $USDCAD with a 3 average true range stop loss). I'd reccomend sizing each leg to risk 1% if price goes against you by 3 times the average true range in the daily chart and holding it for roughly one month, at least.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Oil/Cad: Gigantic spread spottedI think it might be a good time to trade this pair, short oil, long cad. You can size each leg based on volatility, to risk 1% per side, if price moves against you by 3 times the average true range value of each instrument. Once the spread closes or is close to closing you can get out of both trades.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
USDCAD Short IdeaI was checking out USD/CAD amongst the several pairs on my watch list, and it looks like a decent opportunity to short. Support from October is @ 1.30036
NOK/MXN: I'm longI'm long USDMXN and short USDNOK here, same size per trade.
You can take a position with 10k per side, per every 10k in your account.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
SPREAD BETWEEN DAX and RUSSELL 2000 (HISTORICALLY)As you can see this spread shows Risk Appetite.
If Russell goes parabollic like these weeks (Without Reason, just DXY effect, but remember this is bad for US Exports which are key for smallUS Caps)...Also the US 10yrs bond has driven a long AveMaria Pass till 2,30%, which means higher WACC in all Discounted Free Cash Flows Models...)
Yes US Equities, are quoting irrational quantitative ratios.. example KEYCORP a mid US Bank is quoting 6.4 x times Price to Sales Ratio - Highest Ever¡¡¡¡¡
Summary: Reverse Small Caps - and add Big Caps specially in Europe (Example: Germany)
Risks: Remember this is a pair trading strategy
USDJPY H1Im not sure if it can through the strong resistance as you can see in daily chart.here is my method with fibonacci.
Hope you guys enjoying
Gold/Silver ratio: Long term bearish declineThe Gold/Silver ratio shows an interesting setup here, and correlation to inverted SPX, which points to the nature of the ratio's movement tied to risk off/on phases. This has to do with the real world applications silver has as an industrial metal, compared to gold's function as a store of value and risk off protection.
I think we can see a long term decline, implying the price of silver will either appreciate or depreciate less than the price of gold, in comparison to it at least.
It's probably a good trade to take as a pair, which if you're using futures, implies you use a 2 to 3 ratio, selling 2 GC contracts and buying 3 SI contracts to enter the trade with reduced margin requirements. (I think there's a new contract for the ratio alone, but not familiar with it). You should size the trade based on risking 1% to 2% max if the price were to go against you coming back to 70.43.
In the case of CFD or FX traders, you could open trades in the XAUUSD and XAGUSD instruments, or using this XAUXAG or XAGXAU contracts if they exist in your platform. If you own physical gold, exchanging it for silver makes sense at this point (if you didn't already).
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
HYG/TLT: Short the ratioWe have an interesting pair trade here, you can take a short position in HYG, paired against a long in TLT to capture the profit from the spread closing. Right now, HYG moved too much, relative to TLT, so it's bound to correct back down, giving us a low risk trading opportunity. Position size should be enough to theoretically risk 0.5-1% of the account if price moves 3 times the daily ATR against you on each side (individually). You might have to hold a trade while it's in loss, but the combined profit/loss of the pair will result in a profit if the analysis is correct and this ratio starts to decline sharply.
We pointed this trade out at the Key Hidden Levels chatroom today. For more information contact Tim West, or me.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
AAPL/FB: Holding this pair trade for a long timeI like thow this setup looks here, we can hold FB shorts, whilst being long AAPL for a good while if this setup pans out.
Size on each leg should be based on 3 times the daily average true range value, to risk 0.5-1% per side if you were to be stopped out at that distance (but don't use any stops).
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
QQQ/EWG: Merkel gave us green light, short Germany and long QQQThis potentially a very rewarding pair trade. You can enter shorts in Dax (either via CFDs or using the EWG etf) and longs in Nasdaq composite (CFDs or via the QQQ etf), risking 1 time the monthly average true range (but using no stop - the idea is merely to size the trade based on volatility).
This is potentially a long term trade, and a good way of gaining short exposure based on fundamentals without being solely short Deutsche Bank or Germany.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
GLD/SLV: Sell your gold for Silver!We have a nice setup here, you can take an equal dollar weight, which if trading futures, is roughly 2:1 on silver vs gold allocation (long/short). With stocks it's simple, I reccomend a 7% capital allocation to this trade, per side and no stop loss.
This is quite easily a 4R trade once it pans out favorably.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
PS: Contact me if interested on trading signals, or private tuition.
GBPCAD: Nice long setupSpread between GBPUSD and CADUSD is too wide, it'll be closed soon. We can see that this is a clear long. Let's use a safe and more conservative stop loss for now.
Cheers!
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
AUDCAD: Uptrend continuation tradeWe have a nice potential trade setting up in AUDCAD. The uptrend has been quite strong, and retesting this key level gives us good reason to reenter longs.
This week I'll post some of the trades I send to my signals clients, stay tuned for more.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.25% on such information.
NOK: Norwegian krone is a long against the yenWe have a nice pair opportunity (and perhaps a great *USD trade) in the NOK crosses. NOK shows excellent relative strength, and has a lot of catching up to do with the Yen, which makes it ideal to long NOKJPY or long NOKUSD and short JPYUSD, risking 1 weekly/monthly ATR per side.
The NOKUSD trade is to long at market or on dips, and risk a drop under today's open, if you're interested in taking it, targets on chart (upper Brexit Key level). See comments for the NOKJPY chart (my signals group clients arealready long for one day).
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.25% on such information.
SPX500/USOIL: Spread is reaching critical massThis has happened right before the last two crashes, and when the spread closed, a bottom (and a great long opportunity) formed. Watch this closely, the writing is on the wall. I'm holding SPY shorts, as well as oil, for the time being, expecting considerable downside in the short term. I think the catalyst will be on Friday, after NFP solidifies the rate hike fears.
See related ideas for more information. Please leave your comments or inquiries below.
I'll be making a live presentation this Friday, before NFP. Be sure to attend, I'll publish the link in this publication's updates.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
JACK/CMG: Great pair trade setupJACK offers a terrific short setup against a low volume resistance level, and two historical key earning levels.
The spread with CMG makes it a great candidate for a pair trade, aiming to capture the profit from both the JACK short, and the CMG long. CMG has to rally to catch up to JACK, and JACK is overextended and will revert back to the mean.
You can size each leg with 3 times the daily ATR as risk, or use a more technical stop loss derived from price action (I won't detail that in this publication though). We are in this trade, it's one of the trades I shared with my clients this week, among others.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GLD/GOLD. Interesting pair tradeWe can enter longs in GLD and shorts in GOLD as a pair trade here, risking 1 monthly ATR on each leg.
For GOLD that's 11.17% upside risk, and for GLD 6.43%. Risk 1% on each side and off you go.
I'd reccomend holding this one for an extended period of time until it approaches the 1.06 zone.
A drop in the ratio below 1.04 would make me doubt this setup.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
ETH/BTS: Long ETH with BTSWe have a nice setup here, the idea is to short or sell BTS, to buy ETH here, risking a 31% drop, to potentially achieve 121%+ returns in a short time. There is a very clear uptrend here, supported by fundamentals, considering how ETH resulted in a larger success, offering a similar thing to BTS, making it a good candidate for a pair trade.
To take this trade, you'd long ETHBTC with enough size to risk 1% if price moves against you by 33.5% in ETHBTC and 29.79% in BTSBTC respectively.
Check out my updated track record here:
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom:
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
AUDCAD: Interesting spread between copper and oilWe have a very interesting setup derived from the spread between oil and copper, also present in CADUSD and AUDUSD, due to the correlations with these instruments.
You can enter longs in AUDCAD and FCX, and short oil (be it CFDs, futures, ETFs, take your pick). You could replace by copper CFDs or futures as well, but FCX just happens to have a nicer looking chart.
We discussed this setup in the KHL chatroom earlier today.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.57% on such information.
TD/CUBI: TD offering an interesting shortTim West has shared this setup in the KHL chatroom this week. I'm posting it so everyone sees it, in case you missed it.
We can enter shorts in TD, and additionally longs in CUBI to create a pair trade (or simply take the short).
Position size if trading the pair involves risking going long with 7% size in CUBI, and short TD (with the same size), simultaneously. This gives us a 1% risk if the ratio chart falls to 0.58, which will happen if TD moves up 7%, or if CUBI moves down 7%.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
XAG/XAU: Long silver and short gold long termWe can take this trade Tim West pinpointed today, since gold retrace slightly and silver hasn't yet, this is an ideal entry for both trades. You should size them using 3 times the daily ATR, to risk a full position on each side. This keeps positions volatility adjusted on each leg of the pair.
Hold it, long term, possibly past December 2016.
Gold looks like an intermediate term top here, so it's a fairly safe trade.
A good alternative is short NEM/long SLV, which looks to be more overextended even, but the main indicator is this chart right here. Don't set any stops in this trade, just calculate your position size for each leg, based on ATR.
Tim West suggested this trade today in the KHL chatroom, and now seems like the perfect time to take it.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
WFM: Potential double bottom ahead of earningsWe have an interesting setup here. We can try a pair trade where we'd short WMT and long the same amount of WFM, or we can simply go long WFM, either buying stock or trading bullish option strategies ahead of earnings.
If trading stock, you can use my suggested stop loss location.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
