2X $PLTR 1D Tech. Analysis! BANKED for +20%!!WE BANKED on this move down more than -20%! I gave you this analysis in late July (the analysis below).
$PLTR stock has been getting KILLED!!! Now sitting on -75% Discount, reached all-time lows in May (-85% Discount). We are looking to join the fun & capitalize! We are looking for PUTs only on Palantir tech, we are currently in the golden zone of the FIB. The stock will retrace due to bullish momentum the past 3 days last week but soon as we see a Doji or bearish confirmation, WE POUNCE & EAT GOOD off of this bearish move forming!
Palantir
2X $PLTR 1D Tech. Analysis!$PLTR stock has been getting KILLED!!! Now sitting on -75% Discount, reached all-time lows in May (-85% Discount). We are looking to join the fun & capitalize! We are looking for PUTs only on Palantir tech, we are currently in the golden zone of the FIB. The stock will retrace due to bullish momentum the past 3 days last week but soon as we see a Doji or bearish confirmation, WE POUNCE & EAT GOOD off of this bearish move forming!
Palantir - The King of Cyberspace Security is on SalePalantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) is one of the most contentious business. More than 10 times TTM revenues, the company's market valuation is now floating at over $20 billion. The business is also notorious for diluting its stock and has never produced a net profit in a single quarter. Palantir has been among the worst-hit equities since the growth catastrophe started last year, which should come as no surprise. The company's share price has started to rebound despite an enormous decline of 70% from peak to trough.
Palantir Financials
Palantir was once the talk of the market when the stock was trading at $20 or $30, but not anymore. After the IPO, the equity was significantly diluted, and stock-based compensation is still under fire today. The market is voting "No" on Palantir because growth and high multiple stocks are less popular now than they were for the most of 2021 and because a potential recession is on the horizon. Palantir is not an exception to the general IPO phenomena of dilution and SBC compensation. Instead of focusing on previous sales, let's consider the company's revenue expansion and earning potential. Let's also think about Palantir's distinct, leading, and dominant market position and how it can affect possible future growth and profitability. Additionally, Palantir has a huge growth runway and a sizable profit margin potential, making the company one of the greatest investments in the long term.
Palantir's dominating position as a government contractor is one of its most distinctive features. Through its Gotham programme, the firm offers software solutions to several governmental organisations. The American military, intelligence community, and police are just a few of Palantir's government customers. More precisely, Palantir's connected databases, data mining tools, analytical software, and much more are used by the FBI, DOD, CIA, NSA, and many other organisations. Palantir also provides services to the FDA, the NHS, and other organisations. Despite actively expanding its corporate division, Palantir nevertheless received 51% of its income from federal contracts in the most recent quarter. Palantir benefits from the government providing a sizable chunk of its earnings because of the government's well-known propensity for extravagant spending.
The growth numbers for Palantir are outstanding. Revenue increased by 30% YoY, commercial revenue increased by 51% YoY, U.S. commercial revenue increased by 131% YoY, and client base increased by 87% YoY. While Palantir's governmental business continues to be its core, we now witness strong commercial business growth. Furthermore, as the business develops, we expect continue to notice strong growth from the company's corporate and government clients. The business forecasts an adjusted operating margin of about 28 percent for the whole 2022 fiscal year and 30 percent yearly growth or more until 2024.
Palantir is a business with rapid growth. Therefore, it is not necessary for it to be profitable at this time. The business must put its efforts on expanding business, gaining market share, and establishing prospects for future success. Palantir should, nevertheless, be incredibly profitable when the time comes. The company's gross profit rose by 31% year over year during the most recent quarter. Palantir's operational costs rose only 2.5 percent YoY at the same period. As a result, the operational loss for the third quarter was substantially smaller than the same period last year—just $38.9 million as opposed to $114 million. Additionally, Palantir's gross margin for the preceding quarter was a staggering 78.7 percent, surpassing the 78.2 percent from a year before. As a result, Palantir is becoming more successful. Operating income, net profit, and EPS will considerably grow if the company's gross profit keeps rising and begins to greatly surpass operating expenditures.
Palantir's share count increased by around 11% YoY, as can be seen. Palantir is still diluting as a result, although far less so than it was when the business first went public. Palantir only issued 476 million shares when it went public. The corporation now has more than 2 billion outstanding shares, nevertheless. However, a large portion of the devaluation took place early, practically directly after the business became public. The corporation had almost 1.8 billion shares after becoming public, which was around six months ago. Since then, SBC expenses have decreased dramatically and are probably going to keep decreasing as the business grows. Furthermore, rising SBC is not a Palantir-exclusive issue but a typical IPO phenomenon.
SBC is down roughly 22% YoY, despite much increasing revenues and profits. This scenario suggests that the downward trend in SBC costs will persist. In addition, if the costs associated with SBC are taken into account, Palantir should become astonishingly lucrative. With SBC excluded, the company's cost of revenue was just roughly $82.7 million, which suggests that Palantir had a gross margin of over 81 percent. Palantir's operational income last quarter would have been around $111 million without SBC, showing an operating margin of about 25.1%.
When SBC charges are factored out, the corporation would have had a little net profit of around $10 million. The firm posted an adjusted EPS of $0.02, demonstrating that it can be profitable right now despite expanding revenues by more than 30% year on year. As a result, we may conclude that Palantir has the potential to grow increasingly lucrative. As the company's revenues and gross profit climb, so should its operational expenditures, yet the SBC continues to fall dramatically in relation to the company's revenues. As a result, Palantir's profitability indicators should increase considerably over the next few years.
There is widespread fear about the impending recession. However, Palantir is in a unique situation because the majority of their revenue comes from government contracts. Palantir's corporate clients are unlikely to diminish their reliance on the business's services, as the company provides important solutions in data analytics, cybersecurity, and other critical areas. As a result, even in a downturn, Palantir's growth should continue, making it one of the strongest long-term investments in the market right now.
Palantir is expected to generate $2.7 billion in revenue next year, putting its forward P/S multiple at around 7. Palantir, on the other hand, is a dominant and high-growth business with exceptional profitability potential. When the stock dropped to $6, it was voted down to a 5x forward sales multiple. Palantir is now selling at roughly 7 times projected sales at $10, but it might trade at a substantially higher sales multiple in the future. Many firms with substantially less potential for growth trade at far greater revenue multiples.
The 6-7 times forward sales multiple predictions are reasonable given Palantir's strong growth and huge profitability potential. Microsoft (MSFT), a software corporation with far slower growth, trades at approximately eight times projected revenues. Nvidia (NVDA), a growth business with substantially slower growth, trades at about 12 times forward sales expectations. Furthermore, many other growing firms are selling at far greater multiples than 10 times revenues. In the future years, Palantir might fetch a P/S multiple of 6-7 or much higher, potentially making the company one of the finest buys for the next decade. As a result, the market will most likely begin assessing the company's shares rather than voting for it in the next years, and Palantir's share price will certainly skyrocket.
They are one of the few publicly listed companies capable of withstanding Geopolitical shocks and will most certainly gain from higher military expenditure by the United Nations and its European allies, as the recent NATO Summit in Madrid demonstrated member states' readiness to significantly expand their defence budgets. Palantir's space and geospatial intelligence capabilities are also likely to gain new clients as a result of its performance on the Ukrainian battlefield.
Palantir struggling? Palantir Technology
Short Term
We look to Sell at 10.57 (stop at 11.75)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 10.65 from 14.86 to 6.44. The daily chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Our profit targets will be 6.43 and 6.01
Resistance: 10.40 / 14.40 / 20.00
Support: 7.60 / 6.43 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
PLTR/USD Daily TA Cautiously BullishPLTR/USD Daily cautiously bullish. *It's become rather apparent that even after an 85% drop from its ATH, investors still aren't done selling . Taking a closer look at their financials and it's clear that they are a tech growth company that intends to be here for a while but face the reality that they may be operating in a high interest rate environment for a year or more. Financials summary: negative income since going public due to arguably egregious spending on Selling/General/Admin Expenses (that exceed Gross Profit which is $1.20b); Shareholder Equity is at $3.32b as of Q1 2022 and they have maintained minimal debt since IPO; lastly, they started producing Free Cash Flow last year in their fourth year being publicly traded and continued to do so in Q1 2022. So even though they have a healthy balance sheet and are generating positive cash flow, growth companies are often faded in favor of value companies in rising/higher interest rate environments, which helps to explain a lot of the negative sentiment.* Recommended ratio: 65% PLTR, 35% cash. Price is currently retesting $8.52 minor resistance after bouncing from the lower trendline of the descending channel from November 2020. Volume remains moderate (low) and fairly balanced between buyers and sellers as of late but is currently favoring buyers for two consecutive sessions. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $7.13, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 42.48 but is still technically testing the uptrend line from 01/27/22 as resistance at ~40; if it can continue surging, the next resistance is at 46.81. Stochastic crossed over bullish in today's session and is currently trending up slightly at 93 as it tests 89.92 resistance; the next resistance is max top. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at -0.90 as it quickly approaches -0.81 resistance. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 39 as Price is attempting to establish a short term bottom, this is mildly bullish. If Price is able to break out above $8.52 minor resistance, the next likely target is a test of $10.44 minor resistance. However, if it gets rejected here then it will likely retest the lower trendline of the descending channel from November 2020 as support at ~$7.31 before potentially heading lower. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes below) $7.39.
PLTR - The case of Tiny Gold Nuggets
NYSE:PLTR
Did you see that May 12-May 13th price action?
Did you catch the bottom?
News:
I'm sure Russia or the war and the need for intelligence had nothing to do with the most recent bullish price action. As a matter of fact, PLTR failed earnings again!
Charts:
EMA ( Exponential Moving Average ): Well, like most stock, the EMAs are inverted. But, the most recent price action popped above the 200 EMA.
TTM Squeeze: Hmm... Was May 12trh the bottom we've been looking for? TTM is squeezing upwards.
Fib Levels: The price is right between 1 and .786. This is not an entry indicator for a swing trader but for longterm trader it's enough for a discount purchase. It's best to mostly wait for the cross and hold above .618 fib.
Candle Stick: Piercing or bullish engulfing pattern.The opposite pattern of three black crows is three white soldiers, which indicates a reversal of a downtrend. hmm... I don't like the use of black/white. haha
RSI: Went as low as 15.98 and currently at 31. Hmmm, this is looks like a great opportunity.
Pattern: We didn't get the double bottom pattern we initial wanted but this rising wedge is very tempting.
History: See related ideas below.
PLTR/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishPLTR/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% PLTR, 55% cash. Price established a new ATL at $6.48 and is technically still testing the lower trendline of the descending channel from November 2020 ($7.88) as support. Volume remains high and favored buyers in today's session, ending a five day streak of seller dominance. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $8.84, this is mildly bullish. RSI remains oversold and is currently trending up at 28.60 (after bouncing from 22.30) as it approaches a test of 33.59 resistance. Stochastic crossed over bullish in today's session (after bouncing from max bottom) and is currently trending up at 10; the next resistance is at 33.59. MACD remains bearish after breaking down below -0.81 support and is currently trending down at -1.34 as it approaches the ATL at -1.85. ADX is trending up at 37.50 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to defend the lower trendline of the descending channel from November 2020 at $7.88 as support, the next likely target is a test of $8.52 minor resistance. However, if Price continues to fall here, then the next psychological support level is at $5. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $7.88.
Market Punishing Palantir Palantir $PLTR earnings came in significantly below expectations, missing by >44.5% while revenue was slightly above projection, beating estimates by nearly $3 mil (+0.66%).
The market immediately reacted with PLTR losing > -27%.
Risk-off environment. Unprofitable, risk-on tech-oriented speculative equities are being punished in a tightening fiscal environment.
Current trend, down 84% from ATH in Jan 2021. Next fib below current price & ATH is 0.118, giving a PT of $2.87 at next earnings.
Palantir ( PLTR 1D) - Bearish short term scenario Hi Fellows,
This is my Idea of BEARish scenario for Palantir.
From the view of TA its almost clear. But we have to wait for Earnings report to be release this tuesday 9/11/21.
BTW: Im big Bull on Palantir for long term but want buy with best entry price ;)
On the chart you can see strange overlaping what I think could be abc corrective wave and one more impulsive wave down (made of 5 subwaves) will come.
First subwave of that impulsive wave is probably there.
I will make and post also a chart of possible BULLish scenario. ;)
Trade safe and enoy the ride.
PLTR/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishPLTR/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% PLTR, 55% cash. Price is currently at $10.74 and still technically testing the uptrend line from 02/24/22 ($11.71); the largest value zone in its short history (company listed on NYSE 09/30/20) is between $10.84-$13.15. Volume remains relatively moderate and fairly balanced between buyers and sellers, indicating Price is in a period of consolidation. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $11.78, this is mildly bullish in the short term. RSI is currently trending up at 38.25 after bouncing off of the uptrend line from 01/27/22; the next resistance is at 46.81. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 19.84 after bouncing from 8 support, the next resistance is at 30.65; this is bullish. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at -0.56 with premature signs of forming a trough; the next support is at -0.81. ADX is currently trending up at 24 as Price is trending down after a rejection at the 50 MA (which happens to coincide with the Point of Control of the VP at $11.84). If Price is able to recapture the uptrend line from 02/24/22 at $11.71 and flip $12.25 minor resistance to support, then it will likely retest $14.59 minor resistance before retesting the upper trendline of the channel from January 2021 at $17-$18. However, if Price breaks down below the descending trendline from 01/24/22 at $10.10, then it will likely test the ATL at $8.97 and potentially lower to retest the descending trendline from November 2020 at $8. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $11.84.
Palantir: Potential inverse Head and Shoulders forming?Palantir Technology - Short Term - We look to Buy at 12.46 (stop at 11.59)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. A break of 14.87 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum. The medium term bias remains bullish. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 19.99 and 23.15
Resistance: 14.86 / 17.46 / 19.99
Support: 12.42 / 10.27 / 9.74
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
$PLTR STILL IN A FALLING WEDGE !NYSE:PLTR
Sad to announce that we have not hit gold. Prior prediction/analysis were "on point"
Chart - Daily
EMA ( Exponential Moving Average): 20 EMA failed to cross the 50 EMA ... This is baaaad. Hoping this trend doesn't lead to a "Double Top" as it will spell BAD NEWS in the near term.
TTM Squeeze: Squeezed! But momentum dropped at the 1.618 fib . Definitely accomplished the journey to fill the gap down from Feb. 16th.
Fib Levels: Smooth sailing from 0 fib to 1 fib ($10.27 to $13.02). Having trouble holding above the 1 fib and eventually went for the 1.618 (a major resistance) As previously predicted, it got a butt whooping around ($14.85) and got sent trending downwards.
Candle Stick: Summary of last 5 candles equate to a bearish movement.
Pattern: The double bottom bullish pattern is over and I'm afraid that we are back to our falling wedge pattern.
News: Sigh, nothing has changed; no matter the news, good or bad, this stock just seems to want to trend down.
History: The last 2 earnings have resulted in a downward trend even with great numbers.
For a company worth Trillions, the "gold" (prize) still seems to be far fetched. Just gotta keep on digging and investing in the dip.
Palantir pullbackPalantir NYSE:PLTR has performed a pullback from the recent rally. This came to my attention from a spike alert and it is happening at a 50% Retracement. This is a followup to my initial entry on March 15, 2022 when no one was talking about Palantir stock anymore (see below). This time in addition to the options position is purchased shares to hold for the long run.
Palantir $PLTR Sub $10 Before Earnings?PLTR missed forecast by nearly 45%, the CEO (Karp) has been critical of short-term event horizons.
Couple the previous miss with:
- Economic: Macro headwinds due to sharply rising prices w/ rampant inflation that's looking to be persistent
- Technical: Support on the 20/50 EMA will be tested again seemingly, bigger focus is being rejected without gaining momentum to test the 100 EMA is a surprise
Next few days' price action will be interesting.
Palantir Changing the Trend? Palantir Technology
Short Term - We look to Buy at 14.24 (stop at 13.28)
Previous resistance, now becomes support at 14.00. Short term oscillators are moving higher. Price action has broken from the previous formation. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 17.80 and 19.50
Resistance: 18.00 / 20.00 / 27.00
Support: 14.00 / 10.00 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.