$PLG - ANOTHER ONE READY TO BLOWPLG is another name in a long list of stocks that look ready to run lately for geopolitical reasons.
Platinum Group Metals Ltd. engages in the exploration and development of platinum and palladium properties. It explores for palladium, platinum, gold, copper, nickel, and rhodium deposits. The company holds 50.02% interest in the Waterberg project located on the Northern Limb of the Western Bushveld complex, South Africa. It also develops next-generation battery technology using platinum and palladium. Platinum Group Metals Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Palladium
THREAD #2 : Commodities Update ‼️How it works ?
Ask me in comment my chart analysis of the asset you want if it didn't have already done under. If I find something intersting to say and show, I will update the idea with it. A comment of each asset expose will be post under, come react about it or debate.
Before to start I want to remind that we are in a period of conflict and news can emerge at any moment with strong effect and reaction on market. So invest carefully on this hard times and reduce your loss exposition on market when you can. Don't forget to take profit too.
"Making money in trading is math and respect of strategy, so never let your emotions guide you in uncomfortable positions"
As I've already done ideas on copper last months, let's start with it.
COPPER ✅
First of all, if you follow my ideas you can see it's the same chart than the 29th of December when I posted it and the 20th of January for the trade. It is attached under and I invit you to see it because it will be the continuation of these analysis.
So we are always in the Wyckoff Accumulation which have been developped, pullback on creek is done, and SOS too. Unfortunetly SOS failed so for me it's an end of the pattern. By consequence major part of my position have been closed and I will explain next why I keep a little which I not do usually. Why SOS is a fail ? Simply because we have selling volume, on the resistance area, on a primary resistance (yellow line) and because we have also selling pressure in it. The work have been done for the pattern, we took profit but can't project anymore in a term of "Wyckoff accumulation" of a bull continuation. So what to expect now from it ? The standard expectation after a failed SOS is to go back on the support area, usely rapidly and strongly, and invert the pattern in a way that we will now test the buying strenght on support. So we can expect a retest of support with an SOS to see, if it succeed, a bear continuation. That my scenario (a), and technically the most probable for me. BUT we have to live with our time and with the macroeconomic dynamic that we deal with. I will not hide that if the conflict between Russia-Ukraine continu and maybe gets worse, this will be a boost for every metals assets. That why I closed only 80% of my position, I can't advise to take long position anymore but it's could be wise to take profit and keep a part of your position if you are already in it. We can handle the technics evolutions but we can't handle the macroeconomic evolutions. If it this scenario (b) happen, we will see the construction of an LPS around $4.60 before to break up to the target around $5.70 in a first time. Take care of volatility, it will swing.
GOLD ✅
Like for the copper, the chart don't have change since the commodities update of the 20th of January. We are coming to the end of the bull scenario. I invit to take profits on the conjoncture of the resistance area and the (2c) resistance. There is no interest to sell a refuge asset like gold, even more in this time of conflict. So if there is selling signals take it like an opportunity to buy it lower. Especially here, we will wait for buying signals on the (1b) or (1a) support and the best case would be the support area of $1,700 - $1,675 but far from now. For peoples already exposed on it, if it continu is bull movement and breakout the resistance area, we will be in price discovery so it's always hard to find targets in it because of volatility, but I don't expect it to go higher than $2,500 - $2,600 where we will probably find a big selling pressure.
SILVER ✅
Like targeted in the last commodities update we are now on resistances of the downward channel. I don't expect a breakout of (1b) and the resistance area, so for me we will see the construction of a range between them around $27 and $29. The biggest probability for me is a bull outcome of the range to target the (1c) resistance (scenario A) and probably more after. If we reject the resistance strongly after lateralization I expect price to go deeply retest the (1a) support around $20 (scenario B). And finally if we see a reject of (2a) / (1b) soon, we could expect a short consolidation to (2b) before to go back again to the resistance area (scenario C). Like every metals, It would be dumb to expose yourself on the bear side in a period of conflict. More wise to wait consolidation and signals around the orange circles areas.
PALLADIUM ✅
Palladium is another successfull prediction we had in the last commodities update. In term of evolution now it is very close from the copper analysis because we made an SOS which has also failed. So technically, the biggest probability is to see it go down on the (2b) line in a first time (scenario A) maybe more with (1a) before to retest the resistance (1b). If the macroeconomic dynamic bring it higher we could see an interesting area to enter on a buying signal on the pullback on (1b) (scenario B). Else we could go straight to (1c) around $4,500 - $4,600 before to see a strong selling pressure on price discovery.
PLATINUM ✅
Platinum is also targeting the prediction of the last update. In term of perspective now it's more blurry for it. The most interesting pattern that we could see is for me a reject of (2a) to go down to (2b) which could be a nice entry on signal around $950. Else, probabilities to see it continu on the bull side are strong but I'm not confident on any areas, except the support of $860, to target entries once we will reach the resistance area of $1,340 - $1,270.
CRUDE OIL ✅
I said in last update : "If I had an advice to give : stay away or be on short timeframe on this asset. Too much risk to see price manipulated by news on this public interest asset." and so after +30% in a week we have to look back on montly timeframe to search resistances. I believe in the fact that it will fall as rapidly as it surged and I also believe in the fact that we will not stay a long time at this level. Oh .... wait ! Just don't take care of what I just said, like the last commodities update it's just a manipulated asset and price will go where OPEP want to see it. So stay away of it.
For those who really want my technical analysis it is : I think we can do an ATH just to say : "It's all time high !" but we will find a strong selling pressure because of (1b) and fall down rapidly.
WHEAT ✅
Similar to oil technically, boosted by the macroeconomic context we did a new ATH and seen a strong selling pressure. However I don't think it's wise to sell it. We totally outbreak the range we was looking to in the last update, now if we break the resistance it could go really high but you will be attached to macroeconomic news so I advise to also stay away of it in both side.Take profits if you are exposed on it.
SUGAR ✅
Rectification from the last update : we are always in the Wyckoff reaccumulation. I thought it failed because of the candle of the 10th of January but it seems to be an anomaly of market and the structure around the 28th of February confort me in the fact that it is a spring. Now we have jumped over the creek so the best area to target entry is, like for the copper pattern, the pullback on the creek. It's exactly the same pattern that we had on copper now, so just wait signals. If it go straight without pullback just let it go and don't buy in the resistance area before a breakout, there is a lot of resistances which will bring many pressure I think for the SOS.
🛑 Like, follow or comment if you like, it give me some strength to continue! 🛑
One of the best spot of 2022 already here AND commodities updateFirst this idea is attached to another idea I've posted last year, you can find it attached to this one and it explain all the pattern we are working here: the Wyckoff Reaccumulation on Copper (HG1!). So you will find here, my entry, my plan for this trade and the update about the related idea. I will also do an update about the materials market, expectations and targets in form of a thread in comment so don't forget to follow the idea to see it.
So first the update of the related idea. I said for the end of the Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern that I didn't expect a spring, and my poisition about it is always the same. It will be interesting to see if buying volumes continues to grow, but if it's the case it will be the confirmation of that statement. For the moment, I think we are targeting the resistance area and an SOS to see if we could expect the confirmation of the global pattern and so a bullish continuation. I also said that I will aim for an entry on the retest of the creek. Retest happened exactly on the January 6th for the bottom and I didn't find interesting setup to entry on it, so that why I waited a little to find a setup that could satisfied my interest:
We can see on chart two channel, which have already both gave their target (a is the base support, b is the resistance, c is the target). What interest me here is the reaction on the pullback of (b) resistances of each one. Pullback on (2b) is a perfect V-Turn and pullback on (1b) is an accumulation (I would have preferred if it was an U-Turn but we have an akward double bottom in it).
The structure in volume in this accumulation range is good, we have nice exhaust volume before, buying volumes are bigger than selling volumes (that what we want in a range and also when volumes are impacted by sessions to read them, typically on hourly timeframe) and to finish we have a nice breakout with buying volumes so the setup is completed.
Now in term of plan, in a question of regularity in profitability, I'm looking for a ratio of 2:1 which bring us in the resistance area (which is good with our plan of Wyckoff pattern which expect an SOS around here). Exception here, because of the Wyckoff Reaccumulation pattern I don't expect a full target, but only around 40%, then 20% on the first SOS and to finish (if the SOS setup is convincing of course, else it will be out before) last 40% on the 1st objective of the Wyckoff pattern around $5.688 .
It's really important to take multiple profit when you are on long term timeframe. The more you are on market the more there is risk to see change in patterns, in dynamic macroeconomic ... And so, less your probability of success is high. So take profit, fix targets/price and don't be afraid to take profit at the top, don't wait market to fall back.
Else, secure your earnings, you can't lose money on winning trade! That why for my trades, I'm mostly breakeven at 1:1 ratio.
Another time, I invite you to check the first idea I posted, attached to this one.
Now I think we made the turn for copper, if you have questions be free to ask me in comments.
I will now update the idea with other commodities perspectives. I will comment only those where I have identify patterns in my strategy with area to target for entry.
I think metals assets will be one of the key of 2022, most of charts are well oriented to see bullish progression, macro-economically it is also oriented in that way.
Palladium is crazy!!!Palladium gained 40 percent this week! A high amount of Palladium comes from russia, that means the amount that can be sold is falling dramatically, good for the price!
Palladium formed a crazy parabolic curve and even broke above main resistance! Palladium needs a healthy correcture! I think a retest of 3k will happen in the next few days, the volatility is very high, but falling in the short term. Also 3.4k is a very strong resistance!
buy: around 3k
take profit 3.4k
stopp loss 2.950k
A always this is no financial advise! Do your own research!
Have a nice and profitable Monday!
Palladium - Short!Alternate View to the Previous Chart -->
Palladium - Weekly Chart - Correction wave C is expected to drag the price up to the $1370.00 range. TVC:PALLADIUM CURRENCYCOM:PALLADIUM CAPITALCOM:PALLADIUM OANDA:XPDUSD NYMEX:PA1! FX_IDC:XPDUSD PEPPERSTONE:XPDUSD EASYMARKETS:XPDUSD FX_IDC:XPDUSDG
given chart invalid if price exceeds 2698.61 in the short term.
Educational Purpose Only! Do Analys before taking a position!!!
PALLADIUM MNT: 300% GAINS TP 10 000 USD (NEW)(SL/TP)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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PALLADIUM MNT: 300% GAINS TP 10 000 USD (NEW)(SL/TP)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: PALLADIUM MNT chart review
::: chart is LOG SCALE
::: commodity super cycle in progress
::: 5 waves bullish sequence in progress
::: Price target in 2022 is 8 000 - 10 000 USD
::: global inflation driving prices
::: supply shortages / critical levels
::: supply chain disruptions driving prices
::: geopolitics triggering vertical market
::: recommend to BUY/HOLD BUY DIPS
::: 12/24 months as global economy
::: this is a long-term bullish market
::: BULLISH CYCLE is ON BUY DIPS
::: BUY/HOLD get paid / swing trade setup
::: BUY ANY DIPS / final TP BULLS is 10000 USD
::: 300% upside from current market price
::: WAIT for dips and reload (BULLS)
::: recommend to BUY/HOLD
::: recommended strategy: BUY/HOLD
::: bullish super cycle in coffee market
::: SWING trade setup do not expect
::: fast/miracle overnights gains here
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: 2500USD fresh demand zone
::: 10000USD fresh supply zone
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS / MORE GAINS
::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BULLS / SUPER CYCLE
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
DXY on Breakout Watch at the 618 - DXY Breakout = BTC BreakdownDXY on Breakout Watch at the 618 -
DXY Breakout = BTC Breakdown
Gold on breakout watch as well at the 618. Moving some crypto to PAXG
S&P Possible bull trap - VXX and selling VXX Weekly covered calls has paid well since covid
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This content is for informational, educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not in any way, shape or form financial or trading advice.
SPX500 ES S&P Bull Trap - Daily 20/200ema Bear CrossoverSPX500 ES S&P Bull Trap - Daily 2-/200ema Xover
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This content is for informational, educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not in any way, shape or form financial or trading advice.
PALLADIUM THE WHITE KINGAMEX:SPPP 80% of Palladium comes from two main countries like South Africa and Russia. Since Dec 16th, 2021 Palladium has grown 68% in 72 days, less than 3 months. Palladium prices will potentially increase due to the supply pressures of palladium not moving from Russia due to the tougher sanctions stemming from the Ukrainian invasion. Roughly 50% of the worlds Palladium is produced in Russia. Banks, businesses and other countries will not be able to buy or do business with Russia, therefor causing palladium to potentially surge and breakout in my opinion due to the high demand of 8 million ounces the world needs every year.
Palladium is currently at $2,364 per ounce--In any given general year approximately 10 million ounces of supply are provided a year for palladium. 7 million come from mines from two main countries like South Africa and Russia. The other 3 million come from recyclable palladium.
"In 2000, both Russian and South Africa failed in suppling palladium which resulted in palladium increasing from around $200/oz to over $1,000/oz within a few
months." So I can imagine based on the current economic situation how Palladium will perform in the future considering higher and multiple interest rate hikes, covid, inflation over 7%, War in Ukraine and World Wide market corrections, crashes and meltdowns as just a few examples of the abundant variables that could make palladium the contrarian investment to watch for 2022.
2020 was just the beginning in my opinion for palladium prices to start breaking out. In 2020 alone, platinum prices have climbed more than 90% (for the period 3/20/2020 to 3/26/2021) according to Sprott special reports and charts which I have personally observed.
I have taken a position in the closed ended ETF by Sprott ticker symbol SPPP and will be increasing my position as I see fit as a long term investment and not as a trading asset.
Thank You,
CryptobuzzAnalyst-Contrarian Investor and Trader
PS. This information should not be construed as trading or investment advice. This is only for entertainment and educational purposes. You should perform your own diligent research and be responsible for your own actions.
Palladium: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Palladium.
The chart is self-explanatory. Palladium Price has been moving up a Rising Channel recently but the overall trend looks like a Bearish Divergence. Since the RSI was recently supported by a support line, the price has the chance to keep moving higher, however if the price breaks down from the Rising channel, it may come down to the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level where the measured move is as well as that area being a strong Support and Resistance zone. If price moves up from the rising channel, expect it to be met with resistance at the multi-year resistance line.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Gold Verging On A Breakout!Gold has made good progress this month, forming a strong bullish candle despite
being in an area of consolidation.
Price ultimately needs to break above the August 2020 all-time high at $2075,
but there is another resistance level in the way at $1920 from the September 2011 high.
This month’s candle pushed above this level, but the sellers have pushed price back below.
If February closes below $1920, then this will be a confirmed fake breakout, and as we
have one trading day to go for February, this seems likely.
Gold is an asset that requires plenty of patience, and those holding Gold long-term would
not have seen any progress in their investment since September 2011.
The main thing is that when Gold trends, it usually lasts several years and produces good
profit over time. This increases if you are compounding along the way, something which
we ensure our members are doing to maximise profit.
We will watch Gold closely and take advantage of any trends should price break above
the all-time high.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Palladium - Incoming Wave 2 Correction - Short!Palladium completed its wave 1... Short-term Correction wave 2 is expected to drag the price up to the 1965.00 range.
given chart invalid if price exceeds 2698.61 in the short term. TVC:PALLADIUM CURRENCYCOM:PALLADIUM CAPITALCOM:PALLADIUM OANDA:XPDUSD NYMEX:PA1!
Educational Purpose Only! Do Analys before taking a position!!!
PALLADIUM - Short PositionPalladium slipped 4.6% to $2,252.68 per ounce, after fears of supply disruption due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict drove it to a two-week high on Monday.
SPPP boom on the horizon? Here's a potential catalyst...Thesis: Russia/Ukraine tensions threaten to disrupt the global supply of Palladium- a precious metal used to produce semiconductor chips. Small chip producers, particularly in smaller countries like Taiwan, companies may not be able to get their hands on enough supply. Palladium prices may increase if that happens....Plus, from a TA perspective...check out the perfect inverse head-and-shoulders. This looks like a strong buy, and I'm hunting for a few more diversified bets to (hopefully) seize this opportunity.
May the profits be with us all.
Bullish on PalladiumWhy am I long on Palladium?
- The majority of palladium supply comes from Russia and Ukraine, and with current economic conditions, a supply shortage (aka price increase) is likely.
-Inflation is out of control in. When almost every other country's currency bleeds against the US dollar, this is not a good sign. Precious metals to the moon!
- A bounce off the long term upward trend line is pretty bullish and shows that although the current price seems high, there could be a lot more upside ahead.
Palladium - a small short before the move higherPalladium has just provided three reasons why I will look for a retracement before looking for the long.
1. Market has reached a trend line connecting tops - 9 month span
2. Market has hit the 1.272 from high 18th Nov (double top) - low 31th Dec - the 1.272 is the pink line. Note: We need to take in to account the larger swing from Dec15 - present.
3. Market has hit the 618 of the last big swing from high May 21 - 31 Jan - the black line is the 618
From here we look for a pullback to the 382 that happens to be a strong support zone - light blue line
After the pull back we go LONG with an ABCD pattern and the top of our range box to reach our target.
Palladium - Still not too late exit Buy- Reversal in progress Palladium - Still not too late exit Buy- Reversal in progress. Keep tune up for the next update.. watch out for the reversal.
PALLADIUM DAILY BUY SET UPHi TRADERS this is my trade set up for PALLADIUM for the new week ahead
PALLADIUM I am expecting a break above the 22066.50 level , so I am only looking for a buy trade after this break out
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
clean crisp charts I hope it helps if you have any questions please private message me
good luck for this weeks trading
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PALLADIUM (XPDUSD) Breakout !!PALLADIUM (XPDUSD) has given a breakout from falling trendline and is sustaining above it.
We are expecting bulls to continue their attack and break all minor resistance. A buy on dip stance should be adopted with calculated risk one can ride the uptrend.
Trade your levels accordingly.
PALLADIUM- Updated chart (Price at resistance)XPD/USD bears aim for 50-DMA during four-day downtrend
NEWS | 1/3/2022 5:34:27 AM GMT | By Anil Panchal
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Palladium stays pressured around intraday low, keeps pullback from five-month-old resistance line.
50-DMA, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level limits immediate downside.
11-week-old horizontal line adds to the upside filters.
RSI retreat, failures to cross immediate hurdle signal for the downside.
Palladium (XPD/USD) fades bounce off intraday low, down 0.12% on a day around $1,919 during early Monday.
The precious metal rose to the highest since November 22 before stepping back from a five-month-long descending resistance line during the last week.
The pullback moves do gain support from the RSI retreat, which in turn directs the sellers towards a convergence of 50-DMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of May-December south-run, near $1,885.
It’s worth noting that September’s low surrounding $1,849 may offer an intermediate halt during the quote’s downside past $1,885 before the bears can aim for the $1,800 threshold.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the stated resistance line, around $1,965 at the latest, to recall the buyers.
Even so, the $2,000 psychological magnet and tops marked during October-November, near $2,180, will be tough resistances to cross for the XPD/USD bulls before retaking the controls.
Our chart worked really well again. Take a look:
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR