BTC - Make or Break Zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After rejecting the $70,000 round number, BTC has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red.
Currently, BTC is hovering around the lower bound of the channel which is lining up perfectly with the $50,000 round number.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong rejecting area to expect the bulls to kick in from.
📉 However, if the $50,000 fails to hold, a bearish continuation towards the $40,000 demand zone would be expected.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Panic
Psychology: Trade Smart - Focus on Facts, Not wishes!See the Truth: Trading Without Bias
Discover the critical importance of objective analysis in trading.
Learn how to avoid emotional biases, stay neutral, and focus on what the market truly shows you. This guide will help you improve your trading strategies and achieve more consistent results.
Lessons of Trading by News - MMTC - "Let it" or "Delist it" ???Time and again the stock market gets some knee jerk reaction from Investors based on some Hot News. But most news are shortlived and forgotten in forthcoming days.
One such interesting counter is MMTC - A PSU Mineral Trading Company with 89% stake with Govt of India.
Technical Analysis:
Monthly - Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern indicating a Multi-bagger return
Our initial position was at 61.55 levels and booked profit around 87-88 in just 1 month
The primary reason to book profits was due to a Hot News in October from Govt that they are going to De-list the company. The counter eroded all gains within same month and fell below our entry point. For next 2 months - there is no News about de-listing - no progress - and all the Hype settled down and now when I look at the charts - its back to its beauty. You won't even remember that something happened in Oct looking at the chart now.
The Original Tech pattern (Inv H&S) is still perfectly intact
MMTC is once again on the verge of Breaking Out the Inv H&S pattern.
It has to settle above 68 WCB for neckline BO confirmation
Further it also has to close above 72 WCB for resistance BO and further upside
CAUTION: New Entrants / Safe Players - please AVOID this counter. There is still no clarity on delisting process from Govt. Existing players hold for further gains and make most out of this until you see a significant reversal
Disclaimer:
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Metals Setup Apex "V" (PANIC) Bottom - Rally Will ContinueGold and Silver are setting up a nearly perfect deep "V" bottom after a bout of PANIC selling over the past few weeks. This sets up a move for Gold to rally above $2250 and Silver to rally above $28.50.
Ultimately, I believe Gold will exit the Setup Phase and peak in the next phase, the Breakaway Phase, above $2450. Silver will follow with a rally to levels above $31 as it moves away from the Setup Phase and peaks in the Breakaway Phase.
These are big moves for Gold and Silver - 15% to 25% or more.
This also sends a clear message to the general/global markets that traders are hedging the uncertainties of the conflicts and the central bank/global economy credit issues. I see the next 14 months, before the US POTUS elections (Nov 2024) and possibly a few months beyond, as very concerning for the US/Global markets.
Where will the economic growth come from to drive expansion? China is contracting. Asia is contracting. Europe is contracting. The US is still operating reasonably well, considering much higher interest rates. Canada is still holding up okay, considering an extremely over-inflated asset bubble.
How long before something breaks if the US Fed decides enough is enough and moves to PAUSE rate hikes?
I guess we won't see a pause in the US Fed until possibly May/June 2024. And that will drive a fear/hedging/panic cycle where USD assets and precious metals become an effective hedge against risks.
Pay attention. This next move in metals should be very explosive.
Silver To skyrocketHey Guys,
Banks are realizing bonds arent the safety they thought and need to diversify has shown in a big way with the yields decline, metals bulling and DXY rising. I expect silver to possibly have another leg down with any major panic we might have but once we are past the panic gold and silver will bull just like 2009-2012 and the 80s. Above is the larger picture of silver targets to keep in mind.
can you feel it? can you smell the change in the air?Can you smell what the market is cooking?
mmmm
Reward based behavior is term I learned this year for a concept Ive been studying for many years.
Behavioral finance.
The markets are wild because people are wild.
we get too greedy, then reality shifts. then we panic. then it shifts. and that panic was a fire sale. rinse and repeat.
because math is hard and those who dont know how to explain it to those who need to know.
its hard.
its another language.
Im not saying I know, but I am trying to let the knowledge seep in my dense monkey brain.
any who, panic is on the weather forecast.
have a good day.
kthanxbye.
Bitcoin Shorts With Targets based on riskThis is the case for shorters. Targets based on actual risk at the time.
Bitcoin has gone up to almost liquidate 3x positions that have sold the current bottom. There was not been a 5% drop until price has topped out. Shorters are in panic and praying for price to reach 17.5k to 18k again so they can exit their short.
Emotion-Free Trading After a Loss✅1. Don't panic:
Losing a trade can be frustrating, but it's important to remain calm and not make any hasty decisions. Remember that investing in stocks and cryptocurrency carries inherent risks, and losing a trade is a normal part of the process.
2. Don't hold onto a losing position:
If a trade is not going in your favor, it's generally a good idea to cut your losses and sell the position. Holding onto a losing position in the hope that it will turn around can lead to even greater losses.
3. Don't chase losses:
Trying to recover losses by making risky trades or investing more money is a common mistake made by investors. This approach is often referred to as "revenge trading," and it can lead to even greater losses.
4. Don't give up:
Losing a trade can be a setback, but it's important to stay the course and continue to invest in a disciplined and strategic way. Don't let a losing trade discourage you from reaching your long-term investment goals.
5. Don't ignore risk management strategies:
It's important to have a plan in place to manage risk, especially when losing a trade. This could include setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, or using other risk management techniques. Ignoring risk management strategies can lead to even greater losses.
🚀For updates on the latest developments in psychology, market trends, and important news, follow our page. Stay informed and stay ahead of the game with our regular updates.
QQQ weekly bullish hammer at the end of wave 5 wave 5 downtrendOrder BUY QQQ NASDAQ.NMS Stop 274.21 LMT 274.21 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST
QQQ weekly bullish hammer at the end of wave 5 wave 5 downtrend. Either ABC correction to MA 100 or beginning of uptrend. My only concern we didn't panic and capitulate yet, so probably ABC correction.
DIS weekly bullish hammer at a monthly buying zoneOrder BUY DIS NYSE Stop 99.30 LMT 99.30 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST
DIS bullish hammer at a monthly support buying zone maybe that's it for the downtrend except for we didn't have exhaustion volume / capitulation / panic event.
Quick countertrend 1.2R
OXY AND HURRICANESIt is time to put Oil on your radar for two reasons. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action.
I am linking my home repair and oil charts below for simplicity purposes.
My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
What is the lowest possible price for bitcoin?Ask yourself what is the lowest possible price for bitcoin?
20000? 15000? Theoretically, the price will be - 0.
I'm not saying that there will be such a price, but if there is a panic in the market, keep this in mind.
By the way, how much is Terra Luna now?
Keep in mind that bitcoin was worth exactly zero at first.
And the correction will probably drag closer to that number as well.
You may start to panic.
In May 2010, 10 thousand bitcoins were equal to $40-$50 (an American bought two pizzas for 10 thousand bitcoins).
That is, a person sold 10 thousand bitcoins and he actually just gave them away. It is clear that not all of his bitcoins.
Perhaps he had 100 thousand bitcoins and he did not feel sorry for selling them. That is, there are people who have a bunch of these bitcoins.
Many years have passed, but in fact nothing has changed globally, everything except the value of bitcoin.
I can't take and buy anything with bitcoin, there are just a bunch of people who want to sell it for more.
I took 2009 as a starting point and drew trend lines from zero.
At first, we don't have prices until we sold two pizzas for 10,000 bitcoins. Then the price started to rise sharply.
As you can see, each subsequent wave of the trend has less strength.
In fact, if you look at the real from afar, bitcoin has not yet hit the real bear market, where the next wave will cover the bottom of the previous one.
But as the trend fades, it can happen and the next wave could rewrite the 3000 low.
Perhaps this will not happen and bitcoin will hold the 3000 level or be higher than it, but look at the trend.
Looks like waves 1, 2, 3 are fixing now.
Now look at the volume in 2015 and 2020-2022. Someone is now quietly fixing and distributing bitcoins,
At the same time, there are no serous purchases and panic sales. Everything is still ahead!
Is it over for crypto??The market does look bad. BTC has lost weekly and monthly supports that turned into resistance. Is bitcoin about to print 10th(!!!) weekly red candle? I have never seen such bearish sentiment in 5 years. Are bears gonna get away with it so easy? Easiest long trade would be if BTC could reclaim weekly support ant 31.5k. My personal view is that we should have a relief bounce sooner than later. Probably BTC will continue to range forming bullish divergence and initiate the squeeze into 38-40k area as shown in green scenario. From there we could continue crawling down again. Worst cast scenario, which is very unlikely IMO, we just continue to dump with no bounces into the next weekly support. If you are looking for shorts, you are too late IMO.
BTC fear and panicSo this is it.. As I posted before, the plan I was waiting for is now reached. BTC reached the 25-26k level, and now we hope it closes weekly above 31.5k to confirm that it is still in the range. This would give clear signal to build a position into 40ks. Otherwise, wait until we comeback into the range or buy btc at the next weekly support (20k) or best bet is monthly support (14k). I don't think we will reach these targets though and if stock market doesn't puke I believe the bottom has been reached or is very near.
have no fear, the professional idiot is here!to save the day.
CV is a hoax.
but on some real stuff they've poisoned our water supply.
i would know, i'm nuttier than a peanut allergy.
this schnitzlefrats is so overly simple, it's actually hilarious. KINDA. well, actually, kindareally hilarious.
papa trump is workin the economy to make people money. not just him. not his cronies. not your grandpa.
you. and everyone you care about. yet, panic? papa trump rewards you for being a good citizen of this
dear country and you turn around and S E L L due to people who C O U G H?
Know how I know that? Because I'm a professional amateur, and even I can see this incredibly easy pattern.
Know how hard it is to figure out that pattern, as a complete idiot/noob/amateur/banana, etc?
ezpzlmnsqz.
go to google.
type in elliott wave correction stuff
search around
look at patterns
see if patterns match current pa
???profit
Here, let me Google that for you:
www.elliottwave.net
scroll down a bit.
look at traingles
just so happens the "Corrective Wave (Horizontal) traignles " section shows EXACTLY what we are doing, at the BOTTOM of the 8 examples.
the 4th one down. the bottom one. hmm.
ANYONE can do this. stop being lazy. stop panicking. you have a stupidly easy once-a-decade-if-that opportunity here. utilize it.
www.investors.com
won't you take me to
keksitown
won't you take me to
keksitown
won't you take me to
DON'T PANIC!!! The market is crashing but...DON'T PANIC!!!
The market is crashing but the M'M's have convinced you it isn't
This is not a correction
It's a crash
But a slow motion one
Only if the red lines hold can this be averted
Otherwise SPX is going to 3600 and QQQ to 260
Probably within 6-8 weeks
DON'T PANIC!!!
GRI 2022
Chart- taking 3 pivots- pre-corona crash, post corona drop and the A.T.H
Andrews and Modified Schiff forks off those pivots
Geometry Matters!!!
NOT TRADING ADVICE
BTC: DONT PANICWe can say that 2022 will be the year of BTC in real terms.A good operation was required for a good rise.maybe a return with a bart formation.
Perhaps a faster response is possible. It would be unrealistic to expect a bear season like 2018 for btc. because a crisis similar to the 2008 crisis is approaching.
and this may be bad for america but bitcoin has been waiting for this day since 2008.Back to our topic: no panic
Best Scenario for $100k Bitcoin?BTC is approaching the end of a triangle, and this is usually a continuous pattern
But is this the best case scenario for Bitcoin?
In my opinion, green scenario is best way to touch $100k in the long run.
Because there are reasons that Bitcoin's rise from this price is dangerous and will lead us to another Panic! 👇
2 of most important ones are in the 1w timeframe:
1- RSI is close to the Overbought range.
2- 21 Week EMA is a long way from BTC price.
Good Day 😊