Reversal and into consolidation until SEGWIT2x / UASF ConfirmedIt seems my previous wave count here:
has been invalidated on the Intermediate period, with panic and indecision increasing within the market, thanks mostly to amateur traders, which amongst other things, have manipulated the market price of BTC with panic, to drop lower and begin a consolidation (sideways movement) until the 1st August when the SEGWIT2x / UASF upgrades have been completed, tested and confirmed working, without a fork/split in BTC.
In my opinion, we should see continued sell off of bitcoin until reaching at least the yellow trendline where price action will most likely consolidate sideways until the 1st August. Once the upgrade has been completed, we should see an incredibly strong push upwards as more and more global support behind Bitcoin. Additionally, in trading, especially when market makers/movers are manipulating the price, we can see a type of 'Safety Trade' where many amateur traders will either be stopped out or sell all coins, only to miss out on a massive move upwards.
All the doom and gloom that has been noted by many in the market, has only fueled speculative selling off of bitcoin and many are about to lose opportunities due to inexperience and emotional trading, rather than being patient whilst the market corrects.
Here is a great piece of news regarding bitcoin and one of the reasons why I believe bitcoin is a solid bet for the future, as you don't get organisations such as Wall Street or Merrill Lynch getting behind a dud, that is for certain: cointelegraph.com
I'm holding my coins long-term as I know, even if the price action goes below my analysis, it will eventually come back up and surpass, only giving me more opportunities to buy more on the lows for even greater profit.
Here is more information about BTC upgrade:
Here: 99bitcoins.com
and
Here: 99bitcoins.com
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DISCLAIMER: This chart is for sharing and educational purposes only and is not intended to be a signal service or similar.
This chart analysis is only provided as my own opinion, based on my own analysis and comes with absolutely no warranty that this analysis is correct, whatsoever. Do not trade this chart if you do not have your own strategy. Trade only with your own strategy at your own risk. Plan your trade and trade your plan... and IF in doubt, stay out.
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Panic
BTC WEEKLY CHART: "The Panic Zone" It's F'UglyThis has to be the ugliest chart I've seen in a very very long time. Where to begin...
The top was put in when the US SEC ruled against allowing the Winklevoss twins to create a BTC backed ETF. They had spent the last 2 months accumulating asset to back the ETF and then dumped it all at once when it was obvious they should put their money somewhere else. That broke the steep solid red trend line I am calling the W.Voss trend.
Price has dropped down to support at the second red dot trend I am calling the Chinese Insider trend. Price bounced off the trend and now all the helium has come out of the balloon and price has dropped back down creating a giant $120 sized "Dead Cat Candle". A DCC is a harbinger of doom to the Chinese Insider rally. The fundamental here is that the PBoC , China's SEC, has shackled mainland based BTC exchanges creating all sorts of problems for the Chinese investor to divest. On top of that, OKcoin is teetering on extinction. I would bet my valuable wooden nickle collection that the dotted red trend is kaputski.
That leaves the 2 year rally as the only real long term support on the chart down around $850. So here's the real warning to y'all. The counter trend indicators are screaming SELL SELL SELL. The volume has been dropping for nearly 2 years. MACD is about to crossover to the dark side at its highest crossover point since the blow off top in early 2014. The Stochastic oscillator is showing that the current decline still has room to drop. It loosely predicts a decline to the feared PANIC ZONE. That implies a 2 year trend break and then a precipitous drop.
Fundamentals: Bitfinex issued an announcement about a grand fork in the BTC hash chain. They and about 12 other exchanges differ with the major miners about how to proceed. Bitfinex leads the market in hedging their bets allowing speculation on the future of each fork. In the mean time investors are bailing into other cryptos. Etherium has taken off, up 300% or more along with several other winners. Not all the cryptos are winners. Litecoin continues to lose value. All of this indecision along with the government thugs have cast a huge dark cloud over all of us.
Does this deter me? Not one bit. I'm looking to snatch up some cheap coin. I'm gonna wave my cowboy hat and ride this hydrogen bomb all the way to ground zero. YeeeeeHaaaaahhh.
RUN for your lives and do not buy!!Bitcoin price have been traded within a symmetrical triangle for the past 3 days and it seems that it is finally on the verge of a break to the downside after an unsuccessful strugglish rally hours ago met with an unusually high amount of sellers..
If successful, it will open up access to $356 USD/2207 CNY or even lower.
Stop loss/short area: 2427 CNY/ 391 USD (Bitstamp's last hour low was 390 USD)