BTC (4H): Range BoundBTC is moving within a consolidation box
Price is ranging between:
61,800 (Resistance, top of channel)
57,700 (Support, bottom of channel)
Bulls need strength to break the resistance of 61,800.00
AB=CD pattern target calls for 68,000 (Daily Descending channel top)
However, a resistance of 63,500 will require Bullish move.
Parallelchanel
Simple Strategies for NZDUSDA complicated trading strategy doesn't guarantee profits. Sometimes, a simple trading strategy works best. Here are two straightforward approaches I have for the NZDUSD trade.
Strategy:
1. Retest of Resistance at 0.6096:
- Setup: Watch for a retest of the resistance level at 0.6096.
- Entry: Enter a short position on confirmation of resistance holding.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the resistance level.
- Target: Aim for key support levels below for potential profit.
2. Retest of the Tip of the Bearish Channel:
- Setup: Look for a retest at the tip of the bearish channel.
- Entry: Enter a short position if the price respects the channel boundary.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the bearish channel.
- Target: Aim for the lower boundary of the channel or key support levels below.
Key Points:
- Simplicity: Simple strategies can be effective and easier to manage.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation of the levels holding before entering trades.
Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective trading. What’s your take on NZDUSD?
Do you have any other straightforward strategies that work for you?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Long Term Analysis of Nifty my observations and a conclusion.The chart above is the chart of Nifty 50 since 1991. This chart here tells a few stories. I will tell you my version of these stories or observations you can derive your own conclusions from them:
1) India is a continuous bull market. There are blips due to Micro and Macro reasons but the chart keeps moving forward in the parallel channel. We are in the upper half of the channel since 2005 indicative of an economy that is moving forward and GDP that is continuously growing. There are couple of times when the market went into the lower half of the channel once was during the 2008 Sub-prime crisis and once during the COVID19 global crisis. Lot of countries of the world have still not come out of the trauma but we bounce back each time. This tells us about strength of our nation and our economy.
2) There is lot more room to grow before we hit the channel top resistance. Even in case of some major political event or market correction. We can get the mid channel support and the support of Mother line 50 Months EMA.
3) Relative Strength index is a lagging indicator used by a lot of analyst to check if the market is overbought or oversold. As per my observation over the years. We start to enter the overbought territory once the index is above 70. RSI above 80 is indicative of a market that is overbought. Similarly when the RSI levels are below 30 we enter the oversold territory and When RSI is below 20 we are in the highly oversold territory. Now if you look at the chart carefully each time monthly RSI of Nifty has gone near / above / substantially above 80 levels there has been a correction in the market. Some corrections have been large some not so substantial but inevitably market has corrected. Right now RSI of Nifty is 78.94. The levels to watch out for reversal / Consolidation / correction in my opinion can be anywhere between 79.88 and 91.35. I am not trying to scare you or predict a doomsday scenario, I am just presenting historic data in front of you.
4) Market can remain irrational for period of time beyond human comprehension. Market can remain irrational more than an investor can remain rational. So while we ride the upwave changing sectors and changing our stories and choices shuffling between small and mid and large caps do not forget to put in your stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses are our friends that protect our capital and trailing stop losses are our friends that protect our profits. While we use them it can happen that a stock takes your trailing stop loss and again bounces back to huge upside but it is fine, either we learn or we win. If you have the capital you can invest again. If you will not have the capital it is an irreversible loss.
Conclusion: Stay Positive but be cautious. Use stop losses with discipline and trailing stop losses generously. The chart shows that history repeats. The chart shows that India is a continuous bull market. The chart shows that long term investor will always win if he has discipline and follows a process in stock selection, profit booking and staying vigilant.
Technicals Made Easy: Technical Dissection of Nifty Hourly ChartIn The above chart you can see how Nifty follows various Technical aspects of the chart. First of all we can see a Parallel channel in which Nifty is travelling. The channel has 3 parts.
1) Channel Top.
2) Channel Bottom.
3) Mid Channel.
Channel top will always work as a resistance and Channel bottom will always will work as support. Channel Mid or Mid channel will act as support or resistance depending on where the candles are. If the candles are below the mid-line, the line will act as resistance. If the candles are above the mid-line, the line will act as support.
Similarly the 50 and 200 EMA (Mother and Father lines) have similar characteristics. If the candles are below respective Mother and father line, the lines will act as resistance. If the candles are above the EMAs the EMAs will act as supports.
In the chart we also see negative MACD crossover at one particular point and candles behaving bearishly after the same. Similarly after a positive MACD crossover the candles might behave bullishly.
Technical analysis is simple process by which you try to study the combined psychology of overall investors and how they behave at particular levels. Technical analysis in other words is graphical representation of behavioural patterns of investors, keeping historical data at the core of decision making. It is also science and not some wizardry or magic. In case you want to learn more about Technical or Techno-Funda analysis you can leave a comment below.
CSPRUSDT | MT Long H4 | Casper NetworkPair: HTX:CSPRUSDT
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to bottom of a Parallel Channel
- Price is entering a Demand Zone (Yellow area @ Current rice)
- Aiming for the next two Supply Zones (TP 1 @ Blue Horizontal Line & TP 2 just before Supply Zone)
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much to talk about Crpyto fundamentals, too many tokens to look at and just look at it as a trading pair with liquidity
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.02700 - 0.03230
SL @ 0.0246
TP 1 @ 0.0389 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.0453
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.51 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
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BANKNIFTY - BullishviewAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation.
Nifty Analysis and the levels where the buck might stop. In this video we have discussed the short to medium term outlook for Indian markets. We have also tried to analyse the micro and macro factors affecting the recent downturn. Also in the video we have explained how to use the tool called 'Parallel channel' to guesstimate levels of indices or stocks.
SEI / Trading idea within an Ascending ChannelWe've reached a potential reversal zone, where the ascending channel trend intersects, along with a limit level at 0.7545 and Fibonacci level at 0.618. This scenario is reinforced by the appearance of a bullish reversal formation known as an inverted hammer. The target will be the upper boundary of the channel.
HALLIBURTON Weekly Technical AnalysisHAL Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Confluence, Clusters, Trend Lines , Parallel Chanel, Fibonacci, Gap, Triangle - Hope it Helps, Good Luck
DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
AUDNZD-2H-TREND ANALYSIS AUDNZD is looking bullish as more heavy confluences are with the bulls, but we should not enter here instantly if it breaks the structure and closes the candle above 1.07162 then we could take entry on the closing of 2h or 4h candle. it could also be a sign of trend reversal
bearish signs are weak but we can also take entry blow 1.06849 on the closing of 4h or 2h candle which will show the sign of trend continuation
Profit booking ahead of FOMC meet was expected. Profit booking in the market ahead of FOMC meet of US Fed was expected. There is a widespread noise of US Fed raising the rates by 25bps in the worst case 50bps. Market has today factored in 25 bps rate hike. However if there is a surprise tomorrow market can tank further. A positive surprise no no rate hike can again reignite the rally. All eyes on US Fed now. Supports for Nifty from this level are at 20867, 20796 to 20708 (will be strong support zone), 20605 and finally 20506. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026(Strong Resistance), 21125 and finally 21254 will be the top of current hourly parallel channel.
Possible Channel Break Re-testsA quick look at how Bitcoin could drop as low as 25-26k or even 22-23 and remain bullish.
Bitcoin first broke above an inverted HS, which ultimately led to a parallel channel breakout on the weekly chart.
We haven't yet re-tested the top of that channel.
A re-test doesn't always occur, but if it does a re-test at 25-26k is easily still bullish and remains above both pattern breaks.
There's also the possibility of a pullback below the inverted HS that still remains above the channel if a re-test occurs but gets dragged out for weeks. A prolonged re-test could pullback below the inverted HS, yet remain above the parallel channel, going as low as 22-23k or even lower (below 20k) if it is prolonged further.
Great Come back by Nifty in the background of Middle-East CrisisNifty made an immense come back to post the knee-jerk reaction to the crisis brewing in the Middle East. A follow up candle tomorrow to confirm the grip of bulls will be required however for the bull run to continue. The resistances on the upper side for spot Nifty will be at 19721, 19817 and 19894. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 19474 (Strong Mid-channel support) and 19333.
DWARIKESH SUGAR - SWING TRADING FOR 10-15 DAYS" PARALLEL CHANNEL BREAK OUT "
High Volume Based
Entry level - 98-100
SL - 90 (with previous candle below level)
Targets - 107,113,118+
Market Capitalization of Dwarikesh Sugar stock is Rs 1,923.50 Cr.
#DWARIKESHSUGAR
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A Bearish View of ETH Indicates a Deep CorrectionIf we look at INDEX:ETHUSD from a bearish perspective, it shows potential for significantly more losses.
There is a rising wedge that has 1x and 1.5x targets around -720 and ~520 on the logarithmic chart. The linear chart's rising wedge targets ~350 or near to the log chart's wedge target's 2x measured move down, which lies just above around ~375.
The lowest targets sub 400 also line up with the lower trend, or the dashed orange line at the bottom, which could be seen as a channel that hasn't yet re-visited channel bottom since making highs.
Should we see a bearish exit of the rising wedge, I expect we'll visit that sub-400 area, possibly even wick below 300.
All that said, there's also a case to be made for a bullish expanded flat here, but that's not what this post is about.
I would expect this bearish scenario to be more likely to occur should TVC:DXY continue up beyond 105-106 -> 112, without an extended move back down to support areas around 98-101 or lower.
BITCOIN more range 📖💡Hello 🐋
based on the chart, the price is in the parallel channel and range cycle ✔️📚
and
it needs some rest and more range trend and candles 📚💡
beside
for future analysis and ideas toward exact short and long, I need more confirmation hard and firm evidence and candles 📖💡📚
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
50EMA (Mumma Support again pulls back the child like a magnet.) 50 EMA (Mumma Support again pulls back the child like a magnet.) Nifty which tried to break the shackles of 50 EMA is again under the same and now the full zone between 19566 to 19684 is full of resistances. Nifty will be bullish only after it closes above 19684. Till then there will be stock specific action based on results. Supports on the lower side are at 19528 and 19471. Other major support of 19471 is broken will be 19423. Below 19423 Nifty becomes very weak and Bears will be calling the shots totally.
USDPLN: Hidden Bullish Divergence at Channel Demand LineUSDPLN on the Higher timeframes has generated some PPO arrows and Hidden Bullish Divergence at the Demand line of an Upwards Slopping Channel, which also happens to align with the 200 SMA. If it can hang on from here, I think it will make a run back up towards the top of the channel.
Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty.Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty. As expected the resistance zone between 19437 and 19523 again got activated. Nifty made a high of 19515.1 and returned closing the day at 19439.4. End was just above 19437 which should act as a support no.1 for tomorrow. Further supports will be at 19419, 19399, 19337, 19296 and 19232. Again 19500 to 19523 will act as resistance zone. Crossing and closing above 19525 will open the doors for 19600 or even 19700. All eyes on the Speech of FOMC member Bullard tonight.