GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high.
Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision.
Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction.
Resistance levels: 2790
Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750
Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction.
Regards R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
Gold: Potential Correction After Testing Key Resistance Levelshello guys!
Key Resistance Zone: The price has reacted strongly at this confluence of resistance, signaling the potential exhaustion of the recent bullish momentum.
Correction Scenario: A pullback to the breakout (BO) level, represented by the blue area, appears likely as the price consolidates below the resistance. This region could provide a strong support level, potentially around $2,710-$2,730.
Channel Dynamics: The price is still within an ascending channel, suggesting that a retracement would be corrective rather than a trend reversal. The lower bounds of the blue area or the midline of the channel could serve as dynamic support.
Confirmation Needed: If the price fails to hold above the BO level (blue area), the next support targets would lie near $2,678 (Fibonacci retracement zone), which aligns with the prior market structure.
__________________________
Strategy for Traders:
For Shorts: Short-term traders can look for rejection signals at the current resistance, targeting the BO level for potential profit-taking.
EURO - Price can exit from triangle and rise to $1.0520 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to decline in falling channel, where it declined from $1.0420 level to support line.
Then EUR rose a little and then fell lower than $1.0260 level to support line of channel, but soon bounced up.
After this, Euro broke $1.0260 level again and exited from channel, after which started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price some time traded and later made an upward impulse to $1.0420 level, exiting from flat and entering to triangle.
In triangle pattern, Euro made a correction to support line, but soon backed up and now trades near support area.
So, in my opinion, Euro can decline to support area, exit from triangle, and then start to move up to $1.0520
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GOLD - Price can make move up and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $2640 level and then declined a little, after which turned around and started to grow inside channel.
In channel, price reached support area and then bounced to support line of channel, and then rose higher than $2640 level, breaking it.
Next, Gold corrected and then continued to grow to resistance line of channel, after which made a small correction again.
Price rose to $2720 level, broke it, and madea retest, after which it soon exited from rising channel as well.
After this movement, Gold rose a little higher and then started to decline, so, now I think it can rise a little.
Then Gold can continue to decline to $2710, which is located in support area.
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GBPJPY → The CBJ has raised rates. What's in store for the pair?FX:GBPJPY experienced an attempt to break through resistance and rise, but failed to realize the intention as traders do not believe in bullish movement due to the actions of the Central Bank of Japan
The Central Bank of Japan raised the rate by 0.25% to the highest since 2008. The bank sees accelerating inflation, a slowing economy and is likely to raise the rate further if inflation continues to rise.
Fundamentally, the situation may trigger a fall in the currency pair, but it may be restrained due to the Pound's strength against the Dollar. Nevertheless, I assess the situation regarding a false break of resistance from the technical part, and from the fundamental part from the Japanese action, as they are targeting the medium term.
Resistance levels: 193.00
Support levels: 192.00, 190.55
Another attempt to retest resistance before a further drop is possible. Traders are starting to build up longs on the Yen, which may lead to a bearish correction of the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD Roadmap==>>Short-term!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and inside the Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 above the ascending channel and is currently completing the main wave 4 .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Resistance zone($1.052-$1.044) again soon, and the main wave 5 could end in this zone.
What do you think? Will EURUSD break the support zone or bounce back to test the resistance zone?
Note: If EURUSD can break the Support zone($1.039-$1.033), the lower line of the ascending channel, and 100_SMA(4-hour) , we should expect a further decline of this pair.
Note: Donald Trump's speech and the announcement of the Unemployment Claims index can affect the EURUSD trend(Tomorrow).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun.
Levels to watch: $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
APE. Bullish or Bearish?What about ApeChain, sirs? A downward channel can't last forever, right? Especially the phenomenon of the last bull market. Yes, there is some cooling NFT adoption but chain is functioning and in my opinion more up than down, although... A similar network effect as in May 2021 is needed.
Solana ($SOL) - ATH Break-Out - A Bull To RememberTRADENATION:SOLANA and I are good friends.
I called the ultimate #Support and went #Bullish on $SOL.
Went #Long on COINBASE:SOLUSD ever since 10, then 15, then ramping the the #Bull on 145.
* see related idea for details.
Cashed in at 250, was the #ATH and had doubts, seen the #Correction coming.
What's next for BINANCE:SOLUSDT ?
A Massive #Pump, that's what!
TRADENATION:SOLANA will become Number 3 on #TotalMarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ), mark my words.
Why? Why will TRADENATION:SOLANA pump?
It's quite simple actually.
It's all about the MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN pushing #MarketSentiment up.
But even BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will need to provide some #Correction, and that is seen on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart.
There will be some wild #Swings on #BTC.
I believe that with the #AltSeason and #AltCoins Cycle starting, CRYPTOCAP:SOL will bloom.
That's because of TRADENATION:SOLANA connection with the #Solana #Meme Coins Ecosystem.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 are about to shoot.
Billions printed, coded #MemeCoins.
COINBASE:SOLUSD - #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave: Wave 4 Complete
- #RunningFlat at #ATH
- #Break-Out
- Wave 5 Confirmation
My CRYPTOCAP:SOL Buy Levels
- Entry @ 240
- SL @ 140
- TP @ 500
XLMUSDT → Attempt to change the local trendBINANCE:XLMUSDT is entering the correction phase after attempting to forge an uptrend. Price is breaking support due to the change in market nastreonium and bitcoin correction.
Bitcoin is moving into a correction, which is generally creating pressure for the already weak altcoin market. The reason is disappointment from the cryptocurrency community due to the lack of hints about cryptocurrencies in the new President Trump's speech. The market is trying to digest this fact as part of a correction.
XLM is technically breaking the ascending support inside the global descending channel, meaning that the pressure on the market from the bears is still present.
Support levels: 0.4177, 0.3896
Resistance levels: 0.460, 0.4955
The focus is on the previously broken channel boundary and the support level at 0.4177. The price may still test the previously broken channel boundary before falling further. But, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.4177 may provoke sales.
Regards R. Linda!
EUR/GBP Collapses Bearish Breakout SetupThis chart shows a short trade setup based on the price action and trendline analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on the 2-hour timeframe. The price was moving within an ascending channel, defined by two parallel white trendlines. The ascending channel suggests a temporary bullish trend where the price consistently made higher highs and higher lows.
At the top of the channel, the price experienced resistance, which led to a breakdown below the lower trendline. This breakdown signals a potential reversal of the bullish trend and marks the start of bearish momentum. The break of the lower trendline is the key signal for the short entry.
The breakdown also aligns with a shift in market sentiment, as the price failed to maintain its position within the channel. The sell-off that followed confirmed the validity of the breakout. The price is now trending downward toward a lower level, which could act as a support area.
The key levels to watch include the recent breakout point, which could act as resistance if the price attempts a pullback, and the lower support level near 0.82856. This support level aligns with a previous price range and serves as the potential target for the short position.
The descending movement following the channel break suggests strong selling pressure. To confirm the continuation of the bearish trend, the price should not re-enter the ascending channel. A retest of the lower trendline could provide further confirmation of the breakdown, while a failure to hold below it could invalidate the bearish bias. This setup reflects a clear trend reversal strategy focusing on trading the breakout of an ascending pattern.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Method. And how it can make you money.Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a trailblazer in the early 20th century, known for his innovative technical methods in stock market analysis. He ranks among the five great figures of technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At just 15 years old, he began his career as a stock runner for a brokerage in New York. By his twenties, he had already risen to the position of head of his firm.
Wyckoff was a passionate learner of the markets, deeply engaged in tape reading and trading. He closely monitored the market manoeuvres and strategies of the iconic stock traders of his era, such as JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his keen observations and discussions with these prominent figures, Wyckoff distilled the most effective practices of Livermore and others into a set of laws, principles, and techniques that shaped his trading methodology, money management strategies, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff noticed that many retail investors were consistently being taken advantage of. In response, he committed himself to educating the public on “the true rules of the game” as dictated by major players, often referred to as “smart money.” In the 1930s, he established a school that eventually evolved into the Stock Market Institute. The primary focus of the school was a course that combined Wyckoff's insights on recognising the accumulation and distribution strategies of large operators with techniques for aligning one’s investments with these influential entities. His enduring principles remain just as relevant today as they were when he first shared them.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. He claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.”
Wyckoff, drawing from his extensive observations of the market activities of major players, imparted several key insights:
The Composite Man meticulously strategises, implements, and wraps up his market campaigns.
He entices the public to invest in a stock where he has built a significant position by engaging in numerous transactions, effectively promoting his stock and creating the illusion of a “broad market.”
To truly grasp the dynamics at play, one must analyse individual stock charts to discern the behaviour of the stock and the intentions of the large operators who influence it.
With dedicated study and practice, individuals can develop the skill to decode the underlying motives reflected in a chart's movements. Wyckoff and his colleagues believed that by understanding the market behaviour of the Composite Man, traders could spot numerous trading and investment opportunities early enough to capitalise on them.
One goal of the Wyckoff method is to enhance market timing when entering a position by predicting an upcoming movement that offers a favourable reward-to-risk ratio. Trading ranges (TRs) represent areas where the previous trend, whether upward or downward, has paused, creating a relative balance between supply and demand. During these TRs, institutions and large professional players gear up for their next bullish or bearish strategies by either accumulating or distributing shares. In both accumulation and distribution phases within TRs, the Composite Man is actively engaged in buying and selling. The key difference lies in the fact that during accumulation, the volume of shares bought exceeds those sold, whereas in distribution, the opposite occurs. The degree of accumulation or distribution ultimately influences the nature of the subsequent movement out of the TR.
Springs and shakeouts typically happen towards the end of a trading range (TR), providing key players in the stock market an opportunity to thoroughly assess the available supply before initiating a markup phase. A "spring" occurs when the price dips below the lowest point of the TR, only to rebound and close back within the range. This maneuver can create confusion among the public regarding the future direction of the stock, allowing major investors to acquire more shares at lower prices. A terminal shakeout, which takes place at the conclusion of an accumulation TR, is essentially an amplified version of a spring. Additionally, shakeouts can happen even after a price increase has begun, characterized by a swift drop designed to prompt retail traders and long-position investors to sell their shares to larger market players.
To sum up, while there is much more to explore on this topic, Richard D. Wyckoff's
groundbreaking contributions in the early 1900s highlighted that stock price movements are largely influenced by institutional players and significant market operators who often sway prices to their advantage. Although many professional traders incorporate Wyckoff's techniques, his comprehensive approach remains underutilised among retail investors, despite his aim to educate the public on the "true rules of the game." His methods for stock selection and investment have proven resilient over time, thanks to their detailed, systematic, and logical framework for pinpointing high-probability, lucrative trades. This disciplined strategy empowers investors to make rational trading choices, free from emotional bias. By applying Wyckoff's principles, investors can align themselves with the strategies of influential "smart money" players, avoiding the pitfalls of being on the wrong side of market movements. Mastering Wyckoff analysis demands significant practice, but the rewards are undoubtedly worthwhile.
Reversal for Gold?Price is printing a high timeframe trendline touch today ( 22.1.25 )
Price on the lower timefram have been trading in a rising channel since december 30th.
Price have broken out from the lower timefram channel now into a 3rd touch of a higher timeframe trendline.
If price now falls into the lower timeframe channel i will use that as validation for this thesis.
Reasoning for using the lower timeframe upper channel TL is becuase it has 4 datapoints and looks to be in play.
Entry: I will wait for price to fall into the channel then go short with my SL placed above a recent high.
EURAUD complex structure, high chance for bearish push and break
OANDA:EURAUD analysis, complex structure which i love to see, price is break trend lines, its in ASCENDING CHANNEL, bouncing and on line of BEARISH FLAG pattern, currently moving in zone, AUD with many having strong bullish expectations for next periods.
Here having strong bearish expectations after long time of bullish push.
SUP zone: 1.67200
RES zone: 1.64900, 1.64200, 1.63200
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded from this line to support 1, which coincided with the support zone, breaking support 2. Then the price made a correction, after which reached the trend line and then rebounded and rose back to the support zone (2725 - 2715) and then dropped to the trend line. When the price fell to this line, it broke it and declined to the support zone, which coincided with support 2 and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price reached the support line and some time rose near this line and then bounced and in a short time rose to support 1. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up next and now it almost reaches the trend line. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will reach this line and then turn around and start to decline to support level inside an upward channel. That's why I set my goal at the 2715 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NZD/JPY Breaking Barriers and Soaring HigherNZD/JPY shows a strong bullish breakout on the 1-hour chart. A descending trendline was invalidated, indicating a shift in market sentiment. This move highlights growing buying pressure and a potential continuation of the upward trend.
The breakout occurred near 88.140, which aligns with a resistance level turned into support. Buyers are stepping in aggressively, creating a high-probability long opportunity.
The stop loss is placed at 87.073, below the recent consolidation area, ensuring protection against invalidation. The take profit is set at 89.433, derived from the measured move projection of the breakout.
This trade presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, backed by momentum and a clean breakout structure. With market sentiment leaning bullish, this setup aligns with trend-following principles.
HSY to $160My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near bottom topof channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and below Bollinger Band
Entry at $151.60
Target is $160 or channel top
Gold - This Resistance Decides Everything!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is retesting massive resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All bullruns will eventually end with a consolidation or a correction but on Gold it is clearly not certain whether this bullrun is actually over or not. We are seeing a lot of indecision price action lately but in order to turn bullish, Gold has to break this resistance.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 24 January 2025
- GBPUSD broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2555
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 1.2365, resistance trendline of the daily down channel from October and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active C-wave of the ABC correction (2) from the start of January.
GBPUSD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.2555 (target price for the completion of the active ABC correction (2)).
Last chance for DNORD at this lvl - 4hI have nothing below, so if this doesn't hold I'd suggest it'll continue to at least 175 DKK. I don't trade harmonic patterns any more and haven't got a clue on their win rate these days, but it is a nice bat pattern too ;)
Haven't got too much trust in this lvl, but I thought I'd share it since there's a decent drop to the next area of interest.
LVS to $48My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and under Bollinger Band
Entry at $45.25
Target is $48 or channel top