BTCJPY Bearish Channel Setup – OB Rejection to Weak Low Sweep🧠 Bitcoin vs Yen (BTCJPY) | 30M Smart Money Breakdown
BTCJPY is painting the same story we’ve seen before: liquidity builds → OB rejection → channel continuation → weak low sweep. This is how the markets bleed slow then drop fast. Let’s break it down.
🧱 1. Bearish Channel Structure
We’re inside a clear descending channel, where price:
Forms consistent lower highs (supply zones)
Prints lower lows (liquidity grabs)
Shows rejections at channel tops = perfect confluence
This structure supports a continuation downward move.
🧊 2. Order Block + Supply Rejection
Price recently tapped into a clean Bearish Order Block (OB) within the premium zone just under 15.5M.
OB was respected with a sharp reaction
Immediate sell pressure confirms Smart Money entry
Red zone = OB + supply + channel midline
No candle closes above OB = bias confirmed bearish.
🧲 3. Smart Money Flow vs Retail
Retail likely went long on the mini bounce.
Smart Money waited for:
Price to tap into the OB
Retail to stack longs
Opportunity to fill imbalance and dump
This gives us an ideal Sell-to-Buy-to-Sell structure forming.
🕯️ 4. Projected Move: Weak Low Sweep
🧨 Target = 14,831,148
Why?
That’s a marked Weak Low
It aligns with channel support
It’s a known liquidity magnet
Expect acceleration into this zone.
⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup)
📍 Entry Zone: 15.315M – 15.33M
🔐 Stop Loss: Above OB → ~15.50M
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 15.200M
TP2: 15.000M
TP3: 14.831M
⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ depending on execution precision
🧠 Summary:
This chart screams:
“Trap the liquidity, respect the OB, ride the channel.”
These setups repeat. Same pattern, different chart, every week.
📣 Engage Call:
💬 Comment “BTCJPY SHORT SNIPER” if you caught this one
👥 Tag your trading partner – don’t let them miss this play
🔄 Save this chart to study the OB entry mechanics
Parallel Channel
Total3 Crypto Market CapWe know very well that Trump, at the moment, is able to move markets overnight. We also know well that such a market is difficult to navigate.
Nevertheless, we do have chart indications, as in this case:
- volatility, money inflow and others are in the middle.
- on the weekly, Total3 has bounced from the underlying structure, which may signify strength.
- the candle resting on the weekly FVG will be closed later.
- the indicators look good but not too good. Based on some altcoins (weekly), I see hope there.
- gray and delicate situation.
- best strategy: scalp, small profits, buy the dip and hold. Little or no leverage. Don't get hurt.
I will update to keep you posted on developments.
KRDI Egypt is expected to target 0.750 after crossing 0.608Daily chart,
The stock EGX:KRDI is rebounding to enter the rising channel. Once above the rising trend line (around 0.607), the target will be 0.750 to 0.760 passing through resistance level at 0.658
Technical indicators:
RSI: positive
MACD: About to cross up the signal line
Entry (buy) can be made now at 0.590 - 0.597, and consider a stop loss below 0.580
Safer to enter above 0.608 after the breakout (crossing up) confirmation.
Nifty50 – Wave IV Unfolding Within the Grand SupercycleFrom the Grand Supercycle perspective on the monthly chart, we can observe a consistent pattern — every major a-b-c corrective phase has unfolded as a form of flat correction before the next rally. Based on this historical rhythm, and the current market structure, I believe we are still in the process of completing Wave V of the Grand Supercycle.
This long-term view is overlayed on the chart to help contextualize what’s happening now.
Zooming In – The Weekly Breakdown Within Wave IV and V:
Within this broader Grand Supercycle, the weekly chart captures a five-wave subdivision between Supercycle’s Wave IV and the yet-to-be-completed Wave V.
Wave III has completed after achieving a 100% projection of Wave I from Wave II , respecting classic Fibonacci symmetry.
After the Wave III high, we’ve entered a correction phase , where sub-wave b is currently unfolding.
Flat Correction in Play?
For the current move to qualify as a Flat correction:
Wave b must retrace at least 90% of Wave a .
This requirement is crucial to maintain the “Flat” identity of the structure.
Depending on the nature of the flat:
If it’s a Regular Flat or Expanding Flat, Wave c must break below the bottom of the rising parallel channe l, and end below the low of Wave a .
If it’s a Running Flat , Wave c can stay above Wave a’s low, and price may remain within or near the channel’s lower boundary.
Also, as per EW guidelines, Wave c must unfold in 5 waves — which will be the next key structure to monitor.
Where Are We Now?
As long as Wave b is progressing toward 90% retracement , the near-term bias remains bullish.
But once Wave b completes, the market may enter Wave c, which could result in a deeper correction — either towards the lower end of the channel or even below, depending on which flat structure plays out.
What Next?
This unfolding Wave c will likely complete Wave IV within the Grand Supercycle, setting the stage for the final upward move — Wave V of both the internal 5-wave structure and the Grand Supercycle itself.
Disclaimer: This is not a buy or sell recommendation. The analysis shared is purely my personal view for educational purposes only.
BITCOIN - Price will continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price started to grow inside rising channel, where it declined to support line and then bounced up to $93100 level.
BTC broke this level at once and then some time traded near, after which bounced and continued to grow.
Soon BTC made a correction, but quickly turned around and later rose to $104900 level, after which started to decline.
After price fell a little, it made an upward impulse to resistance line of channel, breaking $104900 level.
But not long time ago, BTC bounced from this line and started to decline, so I think that price can continue to fall.
Also, I expect that price will fall to support area and then turn around and continue to grow in channel to $113700
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD completed a consolidation within a horizontal range.
A violation of its support and a daily candle close below that
is a strong bearish signal.
I believe that the price may drop lower next week
and reach at least 1.3655 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Intel Breakdown Alert! Bearish Setup with High R:R Opportunity !📉 Intel Corporation (INTC) – Bearish Setup Analysis
Timeframe: 4H | Ticker: NASDAQ:INTC | Exchange: NASDAQ
🔍 Technical Breakdown
We are currently observing a potential bearish reversal on Intel Corp. following a clear breakdown from a rising parallel channel on the 4H chart.
🟦 Pattern Observed
Price was previously moving within a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows – a typical short-term bullish structure.
Recently, price broke down below the lower boundary of this channel, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: Between $20.22 – $20.06
Price is currently trading in this zone, presenting a potential short entry opportunity following the channel breakdown.
Stop Loss: $21.77
Placed above the previous resistance zone and the broken channel. If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
Final Target: $17.70
This level represents a key support zone from previous price action and aligns with potential measured move from the channel breakdown.
✅ Why This Setup?
Channel Breakdown
A break below a well-defined channel often marks a change in trend. This gives a high-probability setup for trend reversal traders.
Bearish Momentum Confirmation
After the breakdown, price failed to reclaim the channel, and is now trading below the prior support, flipping it into resistance.
Risk/Reward Ratio
This setup offers an excellent R:R ratio, with downside potential toward $17.70 and a relatively tight stop just above the failed structure.
Market Structure Alignment
Lower highs and lower lows now appear to be forming post-breakdown, further confirming a potential bearish move ahead.
📉 Bias: Short
📈 Invalidation: Break and close above $21.77
🎯 Target: $17.70
🧠 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly. Trade safe!
Bitcoin: Bullish Flag Breakout Targeting $114K Zonehello guys!
Bitcoin has been riding nicely inside an ascending channel, and it just broke out of a clean bullish flag on the 4H chart (classic continuation setup).
The move looks strong, and the target for this flag breakout sits around the $114,000–$115,000 zone (gray area). There’s a chance BTC pushes straight into that target if momentum holds, but we should also be ready for a possible pullback to the channel’s lower trendline before the next leg up.
That lower boundary would be a spot to watch for bullish reactions if the market cools off short term.
What I see:
Pattern: Bullish Flag within Ascending Channel
Breakout Confirmed: Strong momentum after flag breakout
Target Zone: $114,000–$115,000
Scenarios:
Direct move to target
Retest of channel support (~$106,000–$107,000) before continuation
Invalidation: A Break below the channel support would invalidate the bullish setup
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price has been steadily moving within a well-defined upward channel, respecting its trend structure with clean rebounds from the lower boundary. The price has shown signs of a minor pullback after reaching the upper part of the consolidation range. However, it remains well-supported above the 102700 - 104700 zone, which aligns closely with both the trend line and a previous accumulation area. This confluence strengthens the case for a bullish continuation. Given the consistently higher lows, strong reaction from buyers near the channel support, and the overall bullish momentum, I believe this correction will be short-lived. The market appears to be gathering liquidity before attempting another leg upward. If the current structure holds, BTCUSDT is likely to continue climbing along the lower edge of the channel, gradually pushing toward the next significant target. My current goal remains at 117000 points, a level that aligns with the channel’s upper resistance and reflects the natural extension of the ongoing bullish movement. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
CME Gap Aligns with 4h 200 EMAThe CME Gap around 5710-5730 is beginning to align with the 4h 200 EMA.
4h RSI has been diverging bearish 3 times with each leg up within the channel above.
Also, a breakdown of that channel has measured moves down that align with both the 4h 50 and 200 EMA:
- 50 EMA an 0.5x measured move down
- 200 EMA a 2.5x measured move down
Pre-req on targeting the gap is a breakdown of the parallel channel shown above, and then loss of the 4h 50 EMA.
Good luck!
Gold will continue to rise after a false breakdown The price is trying to consolidate above the key support zone 3290 - 3300. As part of the correction, gold makes a false breakdown and the market starts to show a bullish reaction.
The only confusing thing is the coming news. If the buyers are able to keep the price above 3300, the gold will surely continue its upward trend
Scenario: price consolidation above 3300 after a false breakdown of support will be a good signal for a swing impulse towards the intermediate high of 3345.
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is trading in consolidation. As expected, the retest of the 3290 support level will end with a strengthening. The price is heading towards the resistance of the range.
The dollar is falling, which is supporting gold. The local trend is set by the fundamental background. The price of gold is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the trading range, with the zone of interest being the liquidity located above 3346. The fundamental background is on the buyers' side, but since today is Friday, there is no strong news and the market is unlikely to seek a breakout from consolidation due to the lack of a driver. Thus, we can expect a correction from resistance before growth resumes, which may form next week.
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360
Support levels: 3308, 3290, 3282
Consolidation after the break of the local downtrend amid a falling dollar means that bulls are building up potential before a possible continuation of growth. But at the moment, an intraday trading strategy can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance at 3346 and forming a correction, leaving liquidity above the level as the current target. The correction was influenced by the dollar. What can we expect next?
Gold is rising for the fourth day in a row and is approaching $3350, awaiting US PMI data. The dollar remains weak amid geopolitical risks, US-China disputes, and concerns about the US budget. The passage of Trump's tax bill could increase the deficit and pressure on the dollar. Weak PMI data could support gold by heightening expectations of a Fed rate cut
Technically, with the dollar falling, gold has every chance of continuing its rise. But now we are seeing a correction forming. I would say that the relevant areas of interest are 3288 and 0.5 Fibo
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3275, 3265
As part of the correction, gold may enter a consolidation phase, during which the price will gather liquidity relative to key areas of interest before continuing its growth. A retest and false breakout of 3288 - 3275 is possible before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XLMUSDT → Consolidation above 0.300 will provide an opportunityBINANCE:XLMUSDT.P is returning to the buying zone relative to strong resistance as part of a local uptrend. The market backdrop is favorable, but Bitcoin poses risks...
Bitcoin is updating its historical high and continuing its bullish trend, which is a favorable backdrop for altcoin growth. However, risks are posed by the fact that BTC may form a false breakout of resistance, which would trigger a correction across the entire market.
XLMUSDT is returning to the buying zone relative to strong resistance as part of a local uptrend.
If the bulls hold their ground above 0.3000, growth may continue in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.318, 0.324
Support levels: 0.300, 0.2975, 0.2799
The focus is on 0.3000, which is a fairly important and key (psychological) level. If the bulls manage to hold their ground above this point, the price will continue to rise, but it is necessary to monitor the behavior of the bitcoin.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Readiness for a declineFX:NZDJPY is under pressure from a global downtrend. Locally, a flat (range) and pre-breakdown consolidation relative to support are forming on the chart...
After a false breakdown of support on May 16, the price failed to reverse and grow. Instead, the currency pair entered a consolidation phase, during which it continues to test support. Each subsequent retest of 85.25-85.30 only increases the chances of a breakout with the aim of continuing the decline. Another important nuance is the elimination (short squeeze) of local resistance at 85.95.
Pressure on the price is also being exerted by the falling dollar index, which is strengthening the Japanese yen, which is generally reflected in the price of NZDJPY...
Support levels: 85.300, 85.25, 84.195
Resistance levels: 85.7, 85.95
The continuation of the current consolidation and the compression of the price towards support only increases the chances of a breakdown of the 85.30 support level. A break and consolidation of the price below 85.25 could trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY will continue to fall after false breakout NZDJPY is correcting after the support breakout. The purpose of such correction is to provoke bullish liquidity before the fall. There is a magnet on the market - liquidity in the zone 85.08 - 85.27. False breakout will return the market to the downward phase
Scenario: growth to local resistance, retest of the zone 85.08 - 85.27, false breakout, consolidation below 85.08 and continuation of the fall. Target - support and order-block 84.2
Altcoin Season Brewing?Hi,
The OTHERS/BTC pair represents the collective market capitalization of altcoins relative to Bitcoin. This ratio is a critical indicator of altcoin strength or weakness against Bitcoin. The weekly chart reveals a prolonged bearish phase for altcoins, with Bitcoin dominance persisting. However, recent data suggests potential inflection points worth monitoring.
Key Technical Elements:
- Ascending Channel: The pair is moving within a well-defined macro upward channel. It is currently sitting at the bottom boundary, suggesting a potential reversal point.
- Support Zone: The lower boundary of the channel (purple line) aligns with previous bounce points (2019, 2020, mid-2023), reinforcing its validity.
- RSI Indicator: The RSI has shown bullish divergence with price making lower lows while RSI forms higher lows.
My Opinion:
This chart suggests we are near the bottom for altcoins vs BTC, and the risk/reward is heavily tilted in favor of a bounce, especially going into a potential Q3-Q4 altseason. It’s a classic accumulation zone where smart money tends to position.
And what to do?
- scale into altcoin positions cautiously.
- Use the channel low as a stop-loss zone.
- Look for confirmation over the next 1–2 weeks with bullish candles or increased volume.
Happy Trading,
EURUSD – Testing 1H Supply Zone, Awaiting Confirmation | ProfitaAfter a strong bullish rally breaking previous highs, EURUSD is now reacting to the 1H supply zone (OB 1H) marked in red.
We’re seeing an initial bearish rejection from this zone. If sellers maintain control, price may retrace toward the lower demand areas:
Blue OB 1H zone (1.12200 – 1.12450)
Green FVG 1H further below
However, if buyers manage to push price above the red OB and close a candle above it, continuation to the upside remains a valid scenario.
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Support Zones:
1.12200 – 1.12450
1.11780 – 1.12000
🔴 Resistance:
1.13500 – 1.13800
⚠️ Note:
Watch for lower-timeframe (M5/M3) confirmations for entry. Only act on clear setups inside the zones.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX