BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
GBPAUD: Consolidation Trading 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is consolidating.
The price is stuck with a horizontal parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
We see a strong bullish reaction to its support.
The pair formed a cup & handle pattern.
With a high probability, the market will keep rising and reach the resistance of the range.
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Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull...
On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases:
Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range.
Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum.
Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move.
What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.
double zig zag abc wxy wave near $2720 resistance levelbefore last fomc meeting gold collapsed in big but since fomc rate cut last time
gold is constantly going up making higher highs with higher lows a clear up trend
wxy waves subdivided into small degree abc waves has reached big static horizontal resistance level $2720
a blue parallel channel with upper line tested near resistance on last friday
projection for wave Y near resistance level
TRUMP - High volatility, no highs to be seen - yetIt looks as though the TRUMP coin is trading within a range. Lots of chop, but no clear sign of a breakout to the up or downside. The recent red candle shows an 85% correction in one day. That's hugely impressive and will low liquididy this 'meme' coin could also fall off a cliff to the same degree. Sorry but there's too much at risk here, especially being connected to geo-political events and instability. Either way, it looks to be bouncing off the bumbers for now in a succinct WXYXZ fashion. Either trend line breach will signal a higher high or lower low. Follow and share for more.
Euro can fall to buyer zone and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to pennant and started to decline. In this pattern, the price fell to the 1.0355 level and broke it, after which continued to decline to the buyer zone. In the buyer zone, the price reached the support line of the pennant and started to grow near this line, and later reached the resistance line. Soon Euro exited from the pennant pattern and rebounded up, higher than the 1.0355 resistance level, after which it made a small correction and then started to decline inside the downward channel. Inside this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0355 level one more time and fell to the support line, after which tried to reach the resistance line, but when it almost touched it, the EUR dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 1.0250 support level. Next, the price fell to the support line, after which made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from the channel and breaking the 1.0250 level again. Euro some time traded near this level and then rose to the resistance level, after which started to decline. In my opinion, the Euro can fall to the buyer zone and then start to move up to the 1.0355 resistance level, where is locates my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Will We Test ATH Soon? Following a strong upward trend in Bitcoin this week, the price reached the resistance line of a rising parallel channel and began to retrace.
I see a classic support cluster forming within a horizontal range and the support line of the channel on a 4-hour timeframe.
Currently, the market is testing this zone.
I predict that there will be a bullish rebound leading to further upward movement, possibly reaching 106,000 and potentially even testing the all-time high.
Conversely, if the price managed to break and close below the confluence zone, that would be a strong bearish signal.
QQQ/SPY - Which way will it break?For the last 4 years (2020-2024), we have been in a narrow band where--generally speaking--SPY and QQQ have performed comparably. 2022 is the notable exception, where inflation increased rapidly and QQQ underperformed SPY.
For the prior 12 years before that (2008-2020), QQQ outperformed SPY handedly. Inflation was low. Interest rates were held at ~0%.
When you overlap the last 16 year channel with the last 4 years horizontal band it becomes clear that one (or both!) of these trends will break down.
Option 1: Inflation is under control, and the last 16 year channel is sustained. 4-year trend breaks.
Option 2: Inflation remains in limbo, and we stay in the new 2-year horizontal channel; 16-year trend breaks.
Option 3: Inflation is rampant, and QQQ underperforms SPY. Both trends broken.
What's it going to be?
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis 17 January 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke daily down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance level 21850.00
Nasdaq-100 index rising inside the intermediate impulse wave (5), which started earlier from the support zone located between the key support level 20820.00 (former low of wave A from December) and the support trendline of the daily down channel from December (which encloses earlier ABC wave (4)).
The index just broke the aforementioned down channel which should accelerate the active impulse wave (5).
Given the strong daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21850.00, top of the previous B-wave.
AUDCAD Wave Analysis 17 January 2025
- AUDCAD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9000
AUDCAD currency pair continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave 1, which started earlier from the support zone located between the key support level 0.8860 (former multi month low from April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The active impulse wave 1 belongs to the higher order impulse waves (1) and 1, which started from the same support area.
AUDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9000, former strong support from December coinciding with the daily down channel from September.
Nasdaq - This Can Still Be A Fakeout!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to slow down:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of months ago, the Nasdaq perfectly broke above the channel resistance trendline again, attempting the creation of another parabolic rally. However bulls are not flexing their muscles properly so this breakout attempt could still turn into a devastating fakeout.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $17.000, $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
M to $15.50My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price below bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked positive negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $14.17
Target is $15.50 or channel top
Stop loss is $13.99
HBAR/USDT: A Potential Super Long-Term Impulse Wave Take a look at this super long-term potential impulse wave for HBAR. This chart captures a massive Elliott Wave structure that could define the next big move in the crypto market.
We’re seeing the foundation of Wave 3, with the potential for a trend-defining breakout as HBAR progresses through its impulsive phases. The critical zone? A breach of the upper trend line would validate this structure and could signal higher highs on the horizon.
This isn’t just a week-to-week setup—it’s a multi-year roadmap. If the Hurst cycles align, we’re looking at one of the most promising long-term plays.
What’s your take? Do we see confirmation, or does this remain a dream scenario? Share your thoughts and follow for more long-term crypto insights! 🚀
XAUUSD ON A BULLISH TREND PARALLELFX:XAUUSD Good Afternoon trader, my idea for DOGEUSDT. 2H on 17/01/2025.
I think this pair is strong bullish, but i have 2 opinion about this pair ;
1. XAUUSD will bounce up and break the parallel trend to chase the price at 2,743.75 and create support at the price of 2,702
2. XAUUSD will continue to fall after passing Fibonacci 0.618 at the price of 2,699.07 and looking for new support in the 2,691-2,699 price area before continuing the bullish trend.
Lets discuss about this, comment on below
Gold will little correct and then to continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The chart shows how the price entered to seller zone, where it reached the mirror line and then dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. After this, the price bounced up from the buyer zone but soon corrected back. Then Gold made a strong upward impulse to the seller zone, breaking the mirror line again. In the seller zone, the price started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it broke the 2710 level one more time and fell to the support line of this pattern, breaking the support level too. Gold some time traded below the support level and later it exited from the pennant pattern, reached this level, and broke it, after which continued to grow. When the price reached 2662 points, the price corrected the buyer zone and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, Gold rose to the resistance line and then corrected to the support line, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. Recently price reached this level and even try to break it, but failed. For this moment, I think that Gold can correct to support line of the channel and then rise to the resistance level back. After this, XAU can break this level and continue to move up inside the channel. For this case, I set my TP at 2740 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can break support level and fall to $2660 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to wedge, where it at once made an upward impulse to resistance line, breaking $2695 level.
Next, price in a short time declined to support line, breaking $2695 level again and then exiting from a wedge.
After this, price fell below $2625 level and started to grow in a rising channel, where it traded between $2625 level.
Later, Gold broke this level and rose a little, after which made correction and then continued to grow.
Price reached $2695 level, but at once made a small correction, after which backed up and broke this level.
At the moment, I think that Gold can start to decline from resistance line of a channel to $2660, breaking support level.
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NZDUSD → The bearish trend may get its continuationFX:NZDUSD failed to realize the chance when the dollar went into correction. Buyers do not believe in the realization of the bullish scenario at the moment. The price continues to succumb to pressure
On the weekly timeframe the price approached the strong support level 0.5545 - 0.55. Accordingly, a reaction in the form of a small correction is possible. Small, because the dollar continues its bull run, and Trump's policy allows to keep this scenario in the medium term.
On H4, the price continues to test the support at 0.5588 and a local descending triangle is forming amid pressure from the bears. Possible retest of the channel resistance before further decline.
Resistance levels: 0.563, 0.567
Support levels: 0.5588, 0.5511
Technically, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.5588 will provoke further sales against the background of the current local and global downtrend.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDCAD: Consolidation Continues 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is currently consolidating with a horizontal parallel channel.
We see a nice bearish reaction to its resistance:
the price formed a tiny double top pattern and started to fall.
Chances are high that the price will reach 0.804 level soon.
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CADJPY: Bearish Continuation Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
It looks like CADJPY is returning to a bearish trend.
The price completed a consolidation within a bearish flag
and violated its support with a high momentum bearish candle yesterday.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling soon.
Next support - 107.15
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