Parallel Channel
Nifty has hit a channel top with geopolitical events unravellingNifty was swiftly recovering after the Tariff war induced fall. On technical front Nifty has hit a channel top In the hourly line chart. Chanel tops are not easy to conquer and we saw Nifty retrieving today from there. Adding pressure to the rally is the Geo-Political situation after the Dastardly Pahalgam Terrorist Attack. If there is any action by India like Balakot (Swift and fast) any way it will be denied by Pakistan so nothing much will happen to Index. If there is only Political/Geopolitical long term steps taken again it will have less effect on the market. Market may decline drastically only if there is a full blown war between the 2 countries or more than 2 countries. (Possibility of that happening is less but we never know). Not much is in our hand if such a scenario arises. FIIs were seen buying big today so that is something to watchout in the coming days.
Technical Supports for Nifty remain at: 24096, 23882 (Mother Line Support), 23800 and 23316 (Father Line Support). (Mid channel support is also around 23300) so this zone presents a strong support zone.
Technical Resistances Remain at: 24335 (Major Channel Top Resistance), 24504, 24656 and 24785.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Us30 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts
POL (MATIC) Falling Channel BreakoutBINANCE:POLUSDT is attempting a breakout from a nearly 6-months long falling channel. A daily close above the resistance would offer confirmation.
Watch for a potential retest of the resistance as support, as the overbought Daily RSI could signal an imminent pullback.
Key Levels
Aside from the support, these are all good candidates for partial TPs.
• $0.15-$0.17: Bull order block and current support
• $0.30: Previous S/R, 0.236 fib of the move down, and HVN. Will likely offer resistance.
• $0.53: Previous S/R, and 0.618 fib of the move down.
• $0.66-$0.77: Main supply zone, and December 2024 high.
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits.
Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today .
I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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CADCHF: Bullish Continuation After Consolidation 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF was accumulating for more than a week within a horizontal
range on a daily time frame.
With a strong bullish movement, its resistance was violated yesterday.
The price may grow much more now.
The closest resistance - 0.608
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APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend?
Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction
Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline...
Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458
Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17
A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China....
After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”.
The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market.
Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366
Support levels: 3317, 3288
Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying.
Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370.
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone
The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance
Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall....
Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987
Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695
If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance....
Regards R. Linda!
SCI NSE Bearish channel BO WTF NEW Stock Analysis
Trade Plan: SCI
Entry: 50% of the total quantity at 243 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 274 DTF Close Price.
Stop Loss: 203
Target 1: 345
Target 2: NA
Hold for a period of 11 months to 1 year or until the target 1 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock experienced a Pullback period of 5Months after touching an all-time high (ATH) of 383 .
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 20-day EMA below the 50EMA. The EMAs are in Transitional sequence of alignment. The Stock is at good price point where the 50EMA and 200EMA are very close and the 20EMA has curved upwards.A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a surge up of volumes on the buy side for a Month now. Take entry as recommended in Trade Plan.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull...
On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases:
Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range.
Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum.
Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move.
What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance
Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market.
SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152.
Resistance levels: 147,152
Support levels: 129, 123, 111
In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → A false breakout can trigger a correction FX:GBPUSD is strengthening as part of the rally associated with the fall in the dollar index, but there is a technically strong resistance zone ahead that could trigger a correction...
The dollar index, due to US politics, desire for lower interest rates, tariff war, continues its decline, giving an advantage to the currency pairs of the main basket.
Against this background, the pound sterling is strengthening and is ready to test the key resistance at the moment: 1.343. The huge pool of liquidity, accumulated behind this area may not let the price up at the first time. The last test and confirmation of this level was half a year ago.
Resistance levels: 1.343
Support levels: 1.3292, 1.3207
A sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout without the possibility of growth continuation and consolidation below the resistance 1.3430 may provoke a correction in the imbalance zone or liquidity 1.3292.
Regards R. Linda!
PI UPDATEHello friends
According to the triangle pattern that the price has formed, you can see that we had a decline and after that the price has managed to create a small ascending channel that indicates the inflow of money and we can expect the price to grow to the ceiling of the channel within the channel itself and in case of failure in the lower ranges, other buying steps have been identified.
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD UPDATEHello friends
As you can see in the picture, everything is clearly defined.
After a strong rise, we see a double top pattern at the top of the channel, which indicates that we should gradually wait for a correction.
Now, how far will the correction continue? In the picture, we have identified the support levels that the price can reach.
*Trade safely with us*
Euro can drop from top part of range and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, price continued to grow inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining a steady structure of higher highs and higher lows. The move started after a clear breakout from the buyer zone, which marked a strong bullish impulse and confirmed support near the 1.0735 level. After this breakout, the price gradually climbed, eventually entering a horizontal range, where it started to consolidate between local support and resistance. The current support level has held firm and now aligns with the lower boundary of the range as well as the support area. At the moment, the Euro is approaching the upper boundary of the range. Given the repeated reactions from this resistance zone, I expect the price to make one more push upward, retesting the top of the range, and then reverse downward toward the lower boundary, with TP1 set at 1.1270, where demand and structure are likely to react again. This short-term setup aligns with the current channel structure, the strength of the support area, and the repeated rejection from the range highs. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BNB Ascending Channel (1W)BINANCE:BNBUSDT remains within an ascending channel dating back to January 2024, with multiple strong reactions at both boundaries.
After testing the upper boundary and hitting a new ATH last December, it entered a clear downtrend (orange trendline) that led to multiple attempts at the channel's support.
Price action is now getting compressed, and we could see a breakout soon.
Key Levels
• To the upside, the main resistance remains ~$700 area.
• Above that, CRYPTOCAP:BNB could have a shot at a new ATH and potentially the channel's upper boundary in the ~$900 area.
• To the downside, in case of a channel breakdown, $400 seems the first logical support (important S/R for previous swings).
Still very uncertain and in a No-Trade Zone until a breakout is confirmed.
BTC Intraday Cycle ClustersThese are mathematically calculated cycle clusters based on hourly price and time data.
Cycle clusters can signal potential shifts in price action, including:
Changes in direction
Momentum shifts (acceleration or deceleration)
Breakouts
Gaps
Bold vertical lines indicate periods where more cycles are clustered. Dashed lines reflect clusters with fewer overlapping cycles.
I've also added some charting work—mainly channels—to help visualize and potentially trade the price movement between clusters and between channel lines.
Questions are welcome!
GOLD → Correction after reaching 3500. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to $3,500 amid Trump's attacks on the Fed, we are still in the aggressive trend phase. North train makes a small stop which may give us a chance to trade...
Investors are fleeing to safe-haven assets amid an escalating US-China trade war and Trump's verbal attacks on Fed chief Powell.
Trump is blaming the Fed for the slowing economy and demanding immediate rate cuts, which is undermining confidence in the dollar and boosting demand for gold.
3500 is a psychologically important target and once it is reached, traders have moved to profit-taking, which could lead to a small correction...
Resistance levels: 3475, 3500
Support levels: 3441, 3408, 3385
As part of the correction, the price may test 3440, or 3410. The trend is aggressively bullish and sales should not be considered. The ideal scenario would be liquidity capture relative to 3410 and rebound or continuation of growth, as the fundamental background is on the side of gold....
Regards R. Linda!
POLUSDT → Rally for liquidity accumulation before the fall?BINANCE:POLUSDT.P is currently inside the trading range forming a counter-trend rally within the global downtrend. There is a rather strong liquidity zone ahead....
The distribution is formed after consolidation inside 0.1929 - 0.175. The realization phase can be stopped in the zone 0.228 - 0.2438. This will be confirmed by a stop and a false breakout.
The market is still weak, despite the local growth of bitcoin, as the flagship on the daily timeframe is still trading in the selling zone and based on the current situation we can conclude that the market is forming a collection of liquidity before the continuation of the fall.
Technically, the current rally in POL may end with a false breakout of 0.2284 or 0.2438 followed by a correction or reversal.
Resistance levels: 0.2284, 0.24388, 0.2465
Support levels: 0.2061, 0.1929.
If the price continues to approach this resistance with such speed, at some point the potential and energy may be exhausted and it will not be enough to continue the movement. In this case, we can catch a correction or even a reversal to continue the global trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!