Parallel Channel
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURO - Price can bounce up from support line to $1.0825 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price started to decline inside falling channel, where it some time traded near $1.0955 level and then broke it.
Next, price fell to support line of channel, after which bounced up to resistance line and then continued to decline.
Some time later price declined to $1.0825 level and then bounced up to resistance line of channel.
But after this, price turned around and then bounced down, thereby breaking $1.0825 level and entering to resistance area.
EUR tried to rise, but failed and continued to decline inside falling channel, and recently reached support line.
Now, I think that price can correct a little and then bounce up to $1.0825 resistance level.
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Today we received first signals of bottom formation. Today Nifty gave first indication of bottom formation after a long time. Will the bottom hold is a question which only time can answer. Nifty staged good recovery of 107 points from the day's low that was a positive sign. MMI (Market mood index) for Nifty on Ticker tape shows that Nifty is currently in the Extreme Fear zone of 26.5. Usually good money is made when you buy in extreme fear zone and sell in extreme greed zone. The supports for Nifty for the next week remain at 24102, 24703, 23366 and 22821. Resistances for Nifty for the next week remain at 24408, 24547, 24714, 24996 and 25338. Above 25338 Bulls can come back into full action mode and can take Nifty towards 25656 in the best case scenario.
The Critical Mother and Father resistance for the hourly chart are at 24547 and 24966. Critical Mid channel resistance is near 25338. Channel Bottom support is in the zone of 24102 to 24072.
To know more about Parallel channel and my Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Kindle and Paper back version. You will learn a lot about Fundamental analysis, Candle Sticks analytics, Profit booking and behavioural finance from the book. The book is currently one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the financial analysis and strategy category. I assure you it will be worth every money spent.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
AMOC Egypt has a good trading opportunity to 8.9AMOC Egypt has a good trDaily chart
The stock EGX:AMOC is trading in a channel between lines R and S, so the opportunity to buy near support S and sell near resistance line R (at around 8.9)
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are supporting the bullish view.
Closing above 9.0 for 3 days, the target will be 10.5
Closing above 10.9 for 2 weeks, the target will be 12
Below line S is considered a stop loss level, as the next down target will be 6.0
Note : Always keep a profit protection level, and raise it as the price goes up.ading opportunity to 8.9
BTCUSDT wait for more pump channel breakout retest complete As we said before in bullish market sometimes we have a descending channel which price gets some range and short-term fall in these channels and gets ready for next bullish run and now we had channel breakout and price is ready for next possible pump like green arrows and also new ATH is ahead.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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EURUSD: Oversold Conditions and Potential Bullish ReversalI anticipate an increase in the value of EURUSD. The price has reached a significant support level and shows signs of being oversold on the 4-hour chart.
Furthermore, there have been two bullish breakouts on this timeframe, including a breakout from a descending channel and a horizontal resistance level.
I expect the price to rise to approximately 1.0870.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Trend Continues
WTI Crude Oil may continue falling after a test of a key daily resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a bearish flag gives us a strong bearish confirmation.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 68.9 level.
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EURUSD: Oversold Market & Bullish ReversalI believe there could be an increase in the value of EURUSD. The price has hit a significant Support level and appears to be oversold on the 4-hour chart.
Additionally, there have been two bullish breakouts on a 4H timeframe, including breaking a resistance line of a descending channel and a horizontal resistance level.
I anticipate the price to extend to around the 1.0860 level.
Nasdaq - This Is Just The Beginning!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting the next parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the Nasdaq is about to create a new all time high, this is just the beginning of the next major higher timeframe bullrun. The Nasdaq just broke above the channel resistance and is now heading for a +30% move. It feels absolutely counterintuitive - welcome to the stock market.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $26.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NZDCAD: Intraday Bearish Movement 🇳🇿🇨🇦
Similarly to NZDUSD, NZDCAD looks bearish after
a test of a key horizontal resistance.
The price formed a tiny horizontal range on that
and violated its support after a release of US fundamentals.
The price may continue falling now at least to 0.8309
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NZDUSD: Bearish Rally Continues 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD may keep falling after a release of US fundamentals.
As a confirmation, I see a breakout of a support line of a bearish
flag pattern after a test of a key resistance level.
The price will most likely reach 0.6 level soon.
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Euro can reach resistance zone and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago tried to grow, but failed, turned around, and started to decline inside the downward channel. Inside the channel, the price firstly declined to the seller zone, after which tried to grow to the resistance line of the channel, and when it reached this line, the price continued to fall. Soon, EUR broke the 1.0910 level, made a retest, and later continued to fall. Some time later, the price fell to 1.0815 current resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area and at once bounced up, but soon turned around and continued to decline in the channel. Price fell to the resistance area, some time traded inside, and then broke the 1.0815 level. After this movement, the Euro dropped to the support line of the channel, but a few moments ago, it turned around and started to move up. At the moment, I think that the price can reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline inside the downward channel. For this reason, I set my TP at 1.0735 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced up from support line and rose to $2625 level.
Soon, price broke this level, and quickly reached resistance line of pennant, but then made correction back.
After this, price rose to resistance line and some time traded near, after which bounced down, exiting from pennant.
Also, Gold broke $2625 level, but soon started to grow inside rising channel and later broke this level one more time.
Inside channel, price made a gap and some time later reached resistance line, breaking $2720 level and recently making correction.
Now, I think that Gold can firstlty fall to support level and then continue to grow to $2785
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SUI: Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave Align for Potential UpsideSUI is following the Hurst cycles quite closely, with the price movement rising and falling in line with these time-based signals. These cycles give us a useful indication of when certain price actions may occur. Given that the peaks have aligned well with the midpoint of previous Hurst cycles, we could see more upside for SUI in the short term.
Additionally, the Elliott Wave pattern (1,2,3,4,5) further supports the idea of potential continued upside. This signals a possible hold for now, as we wait for either a break of the upper trendline, which could lead to higher highs, or a reversal, keeping SUI within its current channel.
Follow for more.
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Mastering Range Trading for Higher ProfitsRange trading is a strategy focused on capturing price movements within a defined range, marked by consistent oscillation between two levels—support and resistance. In this approach, support is the level where buyers prevent further declines, while resistance is the level where sellers cap price increases. Range traders aim to profit from buying at support and selling at resistance, capitalizing on predictable price swings.
While range trading is effective during periods of sideways movement, it has its limitations, particularly when the market becomes volatile or when a trend emerges. By integrating range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies, traders can better adapt to changing market conditions. This blended approach allows traders to capture profits in both consolidating and trending markets, maximizing trading opportunities.
Understanding Range Trading
Range trading focuses on identifying a price range where an asset consistently fluctuates between established support and resistance levels. Traders use this predictable pattern to generate profits by entering long positions at support and selling at resistance. Technical indicators, such as oscillators and volume analysis, help confirm entry and exit points within the range. The primary goal is to capitalize on repetitive price movements, with no expectation of a breakout or major trend shift.
Example of Range pattern in S&P500
Key Advantages of Range Trading
-Consistent Trading Opportunities: Ideal for non-trending markets, offering regular chances to profit from predictable price movements.
-Lower Risk: Relies on established support and resistance levels, minimizing the risk of sudden price swings.
-Simplicity: Easy to understand and implement, making it suitable for traders of all levels.
Limitations of Range Trading
-Vulnerability to Breakouts: Prone to significant losses if a breakout occurs and the price moves beyond the defined range.
-Smaller Profit Margins: Focuses on short-term price moves, resulting in lower profits compared to trend-following strategies.
-Market Dependency: Effective only in non-trending conditions; becomes less reliable during strong trends.
Combining Range Trading with Trend-Following
Trend-following strategies focus on riding sustained price movements in one direction. By entering positions in the direction of the trend, traders aim to capture larger gains as the trend progresses. The integration of range trading and trend-following can create a more adaptive trading plan, allowing traders to capitalize on both sideways and trending markets.
Example Range Trading on EUR/USD Following the trend - SMA 50
How to Blend Range Trading and Trend-Following
-Transition Points: During consolidation phases, range trading can be used to capture smaller price movements. When a breakout occurs, traders can shift to trend-following to capture larger price swings.
Indicators for Blending Strategies:
Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold conditions within a range.
Practical Implementation:
For example, when a currency pair is range-bound, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance using range trading. If a breakout follows, they can switch to a trend-following strategy by placing trades in the direction of the breakout.
Integrating Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Breakout trading aims to capture significant price movements when the market breaks beyond support or resistance levels. When combined with range trading, it can maximize trading opportunities, especially during high volatility periods.
Breakout example Range Trading EUR/USD
How to Integrate Breakout Trading with Range Trading
Spotting Breakout Setups:
Use range analysis to identify potential breakout points, as repeated tests of support or resistance often signal an impending breakout.
Managing Risk:
Set Stop Loss orders just below/above the breakout level to protect against false breakouts.
Use position sizing to manage risk according to your risk tolerance.
Maximizing Profits:
Use trailing stops to lock in profits as the market continues to move in the breakout direction.
Key Technical Indicators for Blending Strategies
Moving Averages (MA):
Identify trends and confirm breakouts.
-Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Help identify momentum and reversals, suitable for both range trading and trend-following.
Example of RSI Use on Range Trading
Choosing the Right Trading Platform
To effectively blend range trading, trend-following, and breakout strategies, it’s essential to use the right trading platform.
TradingView: Known for its intuitive interface and wide range of indicators, ideal for technical analysis.
Backtesting Tools: Use backtesting features ( from Tradingview ) to evaluate the performance of your integrated strategy against historical data.
In Conclusion combining range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies can significantly enhance your trading performance. This comprehensive approach allows you to capitalize on consolidation phases, trend shifts, and breakout opportunities. By adapting to different market environments, traders can achieve more consistent and profitable results.
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XAUUSD Strong Bullish Momentum1. Trend
Uptrend: The price is trending upwards within the ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market sentiment.
2. Support and Resistance
Support: The lower boundary of the channel acts as dynamic support, where price has bounced multiple times. If the price continues to move within this channel, it may find support around the 2,680-2,700 USD range.
Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel acts as resistance. If the price reaches this level, it could face resistance near 2,750-2,760 USD in the near term.
3. Price Action
Bearish Candle: The recent candle shows a significant drop (-1.11%), indicating bearish pressure. The price is testing the lower channel boundary, which could be a critical support zone.
Potential Reversal: There seems to be a projection for a bullish bounce off the lower boundary, suggesting a possible upward move back towards the mid-to-upper range of the channel, as shown by the zigzag projection on the chart.
4. Projections
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds at the lower boundary and rebounds, it could aim for a move back towards the upper channel line, targeting around 2,760-2,780 USD.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, it could signal a shift in the trend, potentially targeting support levels below 2,680 USD.
5. Key Levels
Immediate Support: 2,700 USD (channel support)
Immediate Resistance: 2,750 USD (upper channel resistance)
Potential Targets: A bounce could aim for 2,760-2,780 USD, while a breakdown may push the price down to 2,660 USD or lower.
In summary, the XAU/USD pair is in an overall uptrend but is currently facing a pullback near channel support. The next few sessions are critical to see if the price respects the channel or breaks downwards. If the support holds, a bullish continuation is possible.
Gold Analysis==>>Correction Time!!!Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post . ( The Long position is closed. )
Gold is moving near the Upper lines of Ascending Channels .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of main wave 5 . So we have to wait for the CORRECTION .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the lower line of the ascending channel(Big) and the Support zone($2,686-$2,666) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(Small) .
⚠️Note: If Gold can form a 4-hour candle above $2,800, we should expect gold to increase and pump again.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Roadmap==>>When will Gold Correction Start Begin!?Today, I want to show you the Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) roadmap before the US presidential election .
Gold has started an upward rally for over 2 months and is moving in an Ascending Channel .
Educational tip : Try to draw the channels you draw in the chart with a tolerance.
The question that arises for us is how long this bullish Gold rally can continue and when the correction of Gold will begin.
In addition to the fundamental discussion , we can use technical analysis tools to answer the above questions . One of the best methods is the Elliott Wave Theory .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 in the Ascending Channel(small) .
I expect the main wave of 5 Gold to finish in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and then we have to wait for the starting correction .
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Let's see what the history of gold has been like in the last month before the US presidential election .
Throughout history, gold prices have often fluctuated in the months leading up to U.S. presidential elections. These changes have been influenced by various factors specific to each period. Here's a brief summary of gold's performance before some key U.S. elections :
1- 2016 Election (Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton) : Prior to the 2016 election, gold experienced significant volatility. Uncertainty about the outcome, especially with Trump's unpredictable economic policies, increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Gold prices rose in the months leading up to the election, reaching new highs after Trump's victory.
2- 2012 Election (Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney) : Leading up to the 2012 election, gold showed less volatility compared to other years. The Federal Reserve’s expansionary monetary policies and low interest rates kept gold attractive as a safe investment. Gold prices remained relatively stable before the election but surged after due to concerns over the "fiscal cliff."
3- 2008 Election (Barack Obama vs. John McCain) : The 2008 global financial crisis had a massive impact on gold prices. In the months leading up to the election, gold saw increased demand as a safe haven. Economic uncertainty and large bailout packages led to a significant rise in gold prices during this period.
4- 2000 Election (George W. Bush vs. Al Gore) : The 2000 election was marked by the "hanging chad" controversy, causing significant political uncertainty. This drove demand for gold. In the months before the election, gold prices rose, and after the election, due to ongoing political unrest and doubt over the result, gold saw further increases.
5- 1980 Election (Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter) : During this period, severe inflation and political uncertainty, both domestic and international, increased the demand for gold. In the months leading up to the 1980 election, gold prices were on an upward trend and reached new highs.
Conclusion : History shows that gold often rises in the lead-up to U.S. elections due to political and economic uncertainty. Elections coinciding with financial crises or heightened uncertainty (such as in 2008 and 2016) have had a greater impact on gold price surges.
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Now, let's see how gold has performed in November .
Here’s a summary of the percentage changes in gold prices during November over the last 10 years :
1- November 2023 : Data not yet available, but gold has been volatile due to economic and inflation concerns.
2- November 2022 : Approximately +8% increase due to lowered interest rate expectations and recession concerns.
3- November 2021 : Approximately -1% decrease due to rising interest rates and stronger financial markets.
4- November 2020 : Approximately -5% decrease post-U.S. election, but demand remained high due to COVID-19 and stimulus packages.
5- November 2019 : Approximately +3% increase due to the U.S.-China trade war.
6- November 2018 : Approximately +1% increase after a few months of decline.
7- November 2017 : Approximately -2% decrease due to stock market growth and higher interest rates.
8- November 2016 : Approximately -7% decrease following Trump’s victory and market optimism.
9- November 2015 : Approximately -6% decrease due to anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates.
10- November 2014 : Approximately -5% decrease due to a stronger U.S. dollar and improving U.S. economy.
11- November 2013 : Approximately -4% decrease due to global economic recovery and the Fed's exit from its quantitative easing policies.
Gold in November tends to be influenced by changes in monetary policy and economic conditions. Years with inflation or uncertainty saw increases, while years with economic recovery and rising interest rates experienced declines. But in general, there has been a downward trend, especially in the years when the US presidential elections were held.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frame==>>Filling CME GapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Important Resistance lines ( Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time ) in the Resistance zone($70,080- $68,250) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the small ascending channel .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to fail again after breaking the lower lines of the ascending channels (small and big) and then fill the first CME Gap($67,250- $67,050) .
⚠️Note: The formation of the Bull Trap is probably high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.