NVDA: The Next Inflection Point! (D&W charts)Since our last study on NVDA, the price has successfully held above its critical support points, and we now see a good recovery.
The “Above the Stomach” pattern that we identified last month has been triggered, and NVDA is now looking for its next resistance levels.
The link to our previous analysis is below this post, as usual.
Daily Chart (Left):
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price is forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic bullish trend pattern. This suggests strong upward momentum, with buyers stepping in at each retracement.
Resistance Level at $131.26: The next key resistance level is $131.26. This price point coincides with a previous peak and also aligns with a broader resistance zone observed on both timeframes (D and W charts). If the bullish momentum continues, the price could retest $131.26, and even if it materializes a pullback to the 21-day EMA wouldn't ruin the bullish sentiment.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Above the Stomach Pattern: The weekly chart shows a recent bullish reversal pattern known as "Above the Stomach." This pattern, which we deascribed in our previous analysis, suggests a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Pivot Point at $131.26: The $131.26 area has been highlighted as a pivot point on the weekly timeframe, representing a key decision zone. A successful breakout and close above this level would likely trigger a more significant rally.
Ascending Channel: NVDA is trading within an ascending channel, maintaining its bullish trajectory. The lower boundary of the channel has acted as reliable support, suggesting that the long-term trend remains intact as long as the channel is respected.
Conclusion:
NVDA is showing strong bullish signs, supported by the formation of higher highs and lows on the daily chart and the validation of a bullish reversal pattern on the weekly chart. The main level to watch is $131.26, as a breakout above this point could accelerate the rally. For those seeking a longer-term perspective, maintaining the trend within the ascending channel is crucial. If $131.26 is broken, the next potential target could be the ATH.
Parallel Channel
10Y bonds seeking support from April-July channelFrom April to July the 10 year Treasury yield was in a downward channel. It broke below that, retested the resistance-now-support for bonds, and kept moving until it recently re-entered.
The fundamentals for long bonds still seem strong, with the cutting cycle starting with an abrupt 50bp cut, but bonds seem to be seeking support. If yields break above this channel, then we may be seeing something unexpected sniffed out by the bond market. If we retest and continue the downtrend in yields, then expect a nice downtrend back to the post-2008 norm.
$RIOT * WEEKLY TF EWP FIB TC ANALYSIS Let’s break down the potential Elliott Wave scenarios that may unfold, along with alternative possibilities. I’ll review the key details of the chart I provided:
Primary Scenario: Completion of Corrective Wave
Wave Count:
• It appears that RIOT has completed a large corrective (A)-(B)-(C) wave.
• The (A) wave bottomed around early 2020, and the (B) wave rallied to an extreme high around mid-2021.
• The ongoing (C) wave has been pushing lower and is now potentially near completion, suggesting that the bottom could be forming soon.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
• The price is close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which typically acts as a major reversal zone in corrective waves.
• There’s also a Fibonacci cluster indicating confluence between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracement zones around $6-$7. This increases the likelihood of a reversal if the price holds at this level.
Confirmation of Trend Reversal:
• For this scenario to play out, we would expect a five-wave impulsive structure upward to begin. This would be Wave 1 of a new bullish cycle. The key confirmation would come if RIOT breaks above the downward channel resistance with strong volume and follows through with higher highs and higher lows.
Alternative Scenario: Extended Correction (Complex Correction)
Possibility of an (X) Wave or Further Downside:
• In some cases, after an (A)-(B)-(C) correction, a complex structure could unfold, resulting in an (X) wave and then another corrective pattern (Y).
• This would imply that RIOT could consolidate further or possibly make another low before finally reversing. The chart does suggest this possibility due to the large downward channel still being intact.
Deeper Fibonacci Levels:
• If the price fails to hold around the current levels, the next key Fibonacci level around the 0.786 retracement (around $3.25-$4.00) could be targeted. This might be the level where the final capitulation occurs before a reversal.
Wave Count Indicators:
• Wave 1 Upward: If the bottom is in, we could see the start of a wave 1 upwards, which should follow an impulsive five-wave structure. This would be a strong indicator that the correction has ended.
• RSI: A bullish divergence on the RSI, where the price makes lower lows but the RSI makes higher lows, would be a strong confirmation of a reversal. Keep an eye on this divergence in shorter time frames (e.g., weekly or daily charts).
• Break of Downward Channel: Watch for a break of the upper boundary of the downward channel. This break should be accompanied by a surge in volume and a higher low formation, marking the shift in trend.
Conclusion:
The primary wave count suggests the potential for a bottom forming, particularly around the current support zones near $6-$7. However, in the alternative scenario, a more complex correction could push the price lower to retest the next Fibonacci level, possibly in the $3.25-$4.00 range. Confirmation of a new bullish wave will require a strong impulsive move upward, breaking the channel and solidifying the new trend.
$BTC Ascending Channel - ATH Push Soon?Happy Sunday All,
On a few different time frames we can see that a bullish ascending channel has been forming for BTC-- I suspect that if this weekend closes strong, we can see a retest of $64,000 USD for BTC sometime early next week! $66-68k is the real test, I've marked the top line of the now-6-month consolidation period with the 'bulls on parade' note. If we can get above *and sustain momentum above* that line, you are going to need to buckle in!
The unemployment numbers came in shockingly low, as the US Jobs expectation was 108k higher than projected. This just might be enough wind in the sails to carry all markets higher. Higher Lows have been formed and currently the RSI levels are healthy, I'm getting bullish folks!
What do you think? Bull trap? $250k next? Drop a comment
Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to range, where at once fell to the current resistance level and then rebounded up. EUR rose to the top part of the range and then turned around and dropped to the resistance area, thereby exiting from the range. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Inside the channel, the price rose to the 1.1175 level, after which rebounded and fell to the support line of the channel, and then it backed up. EUR even rose higher than the seller zone, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then made a correction movement, breaking the 1.1175 level again. After this, the price in a short time rose to the seller zone and then made an impulse down, thereby breaking the 1.1175 level, and exited from the upward channel. Also soon, Euro broke the 1.1030 level and now it is trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can grow to the resistance area and then continue to decline more. That's why I set my TP at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago entered to upward channel, where it soon reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, but at once bounced and made a correction to the support line of the channel. Next, the price continued to move up and finally broke the 64900 level, and later reached the channel's resistance line again. But then BTC turned around and started to decline, so, soon, the price broke the resistance level one more time and exited from the upward channel. After this, the price continued to fall inside the downward pennant, where it first fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. When BTC fell to this level, it at once broke it, some time traded near the buyer zone, and then declined to support line of the pennant. Next, it turned around and rose higher than the 61200 level in a short time, breaking it again, and soon reaching the resistance line of the pennant. A not long time ago, BTC exited from pennant and now it continues to grow. For this case, I think that the price can make a small movement down and then continue to grow to the resistance level. That's why I set my TP at the 64900 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold in search of the prestigious areaBy examining gold in the 4-hour chart, I realized that gold does not have the potential to grow with the previous strength, although the news of tensions in Asia caused its emotional movements, now we have a strong ceiling of 2666 above and a floor of 2632 below, probably gold likes the number 2710 It is touching, but it has to compensate for the liquidity gap of 2606. I predict an upward trend for the first day of the week and a downward trend for this week. Be profitable. #NDS #XAUUSDT #gold
Ethereum's Path to $4,200: Rising Channel Signals Big MovesHello, fellow traders! I'm excited to share my latest insights on Ethereum. Let's dive into the long-term trends and what they might mean for us in the upcoming months.
Current Market Structure
Ethereum's price is developing within a long-term rising channel, showcasing a series of higher lows and higher highs since 2022. This pattern indicates a sustained bullish momentum.
Key Support Level: $2,000
This level is crucial. Holding above $2,000 suggests Ethereum may continue to rise within the channel.
A breakdown below could signal a potential shift in the trend.
Potential Price Movements
Upside Potential:
If Ethereum remains in the rising channel, there's a strong chance we could see a move up to the previous all-time high (ATH) around $4,200.
Breaking above $4,200 might pave the way for new ATHs.
Resistance and Reversal Risks:
The previous ATH at $4,200 could act as a significant resistance point.
There's a possibility of a pullback from this level, potentially leading to a "stop-loss hunt" scenario that might drag prices down to the $3,400–$3,200 area.
My Outlook
I'm anticipating movement within the rising channel towards $4,200 in the coming months. At this key level, caution is essential. Considering taking profits or adjusting positions could be a wise strategy.
What do you think about Ethereum's current setup? Are you observing similar patterns or have a different perspective? I'd love to hear your thoughts!
If you found this analysis helpful, please give it a like and follow for more crypto insights. Best of luck to all the hodlers and traders out there!
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 5 correction - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 5 correction - 1H
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post , in the weekly time frame, the first target has been the neckline, which was the supply area.
- Currently, in the 1H time frame, after breaking the zone, a correction pattern is being formed.
- Wave 4 correction in the range of the green box has formed a continuing downward pattern.
- This corrective wave is in the form of wave 4 in an ascending channel, which by breaking it to the specified areas, this corrective cycle can be extended.
Therefore, this wave can meet the demand after touching the specified areas and form an upward corrective cycle, which should be reviewed and updated.
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BINANCE:FTMUSDT
WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet.
The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down.
BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly.
Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2
Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95
A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:WIFUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Microsoft (MSFT): Decision Point – Will It Hold or Drop?Since our last analysis on Microsoft, not much has changed in terms of price action, as it rose to $469 before getting stuck again at $416. However, there is one major development – Microsoft has formed a new trend channel. We have marked this crucial channel in red and labeled it "Must hold for more upside," emphasizing its importance. A major decision is approaching for $MSFT.
Either Microsoft holds this channel, leading to a surge higher, or it loses this level, which would confirm the bearish head and shoulder pattern. We've maintained a bearish outlook on Microsoft since January 2024, and recent developments seem to support our analysis. For now, we're patiently waiting and letting the market decide.
If Microsoft loses the channel, we could find initial support for wave (A) around $316-306. However, a better buying opportunity for wave II may present itself closer to $220 – though reaching this level will take some time. 🫡
Is INJ Coin Heading for a Deeper Correction?After the significant hype surrounding BINANCE:INJUSDT during the winter and spring, the coin's price began to decline, losing over 50% from its peak in the initial drop. However, by mid-September, the price made a recovery, climbing back above the important $20 mark and breaking through the descending trend line of a falling channel.
While this upward movement appeared to be a bullish signal, the momentum failed to push the price towards the $30 resistance level. Instead, it retreated back to the $20 support level.
Looking ahead, I anticipate that the $20 support level may soon be broken on the downside. If this happens, we could see an accelerated price drop, possibly bringing the price down to $10. The current price action suggests weakening support, raising the likelihood of a deeper decline in the near future.
How to analyse a chart? (Educational Post).In this post we will try to analyze what happened to Nifty and what can be the future course. We will also try to understand how to analyze Nifty using a parallel channel, EMA, Support and resistance and RSI. Through this exercise we will try to deduce possible turnaround supports, probable resistances it may face in future. On the onset let me tell you that the exercise is to increase the understanding of Technical analysis. The data should not be used for taking positions in the unpredictable market. Now have a look at the chart.
With the help of basic knowledge, you will be able to understand that every time the Nifty or for that matter any stock hits the top of the channel it reverts. Every time a stock or an index hits the channel bottom it tries to bounce back. When RSI shows the stock is over sold it corrects positively through short covering and when the stock is overbought zone it will try to cool down the RSI by price correcting on the negative side. The mid of the channel acts as support when the price is above it and acts as a resistance when price is below it.
Similarly 50 days and 200 days EMA which we call Mother and father line act as resistance when the price is below it and act as support when the price is above the lines. (This movement of stock price or index, when above and below 50 or 200 EMA whether it is hourly, daily, weekly or monthly and my Mother, Father and Small child theory I have explained it in depth in by book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation). The other green and red lines are supports and resistances respectively. These lines drawn based on peaks and valleys, tops and bottoms of important candles in case of a candle chart. In case of a line chart they are tops and bottoms of peaks and valleys again and important curves.
Like we have supports and resistances on line chart of a stock and index, RSI also has support and resistnace zones which can also indicate us the turnaround zones. There in one more Purple line which indicates the current trend. Looking at these various factors you can analyses and draw your own charts.
To know more about these indicators and how to use them and to understand Techno-Funda investment, read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback or Kindle version.
My deduction from the above chart is the following. 24966 will be an important support for Nifty. Below which it can fall to 24698 or 24384 levels. Channel bottom support is around 23874. Father line and 200 days EMA is at 23241. Any of these can be potential turnaround zones. RSI of Nifty tends to bounce from 39.82 or 26.45 zone. Current RSI is 40.63. When there is a turnaround the resistances for Nifty will be 25065 which currently is Mother line resistance which is coinciding with mid channel resistance. Above this zone resistances will be 25439, 25665 and 25836 before Nifty regains 26K+ levels.
The information regarding Nifty in this article is for the purpose of education and to show how various indicators often give same or similar result.
To know more about various Techno-Funda indicators and how to use them, when to use them, when to buy, when to book profit, Where to place a stop loss or what is trailing stop loss etc. you are recommended to read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation which is available on Amazon in paperback or kindle version. You can also read my Smart School column in Smart investment financial Weekly for gaining techno-Funda knowledge.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
DC. Again and Again.RSI is in the oversold zone on a local uptrend + the price is narrowing the range, forming an equilateral triangle since July. Risk/reward looks good for forming a spot position or trading with a small leverage. Potentially, the price is able to move within triangle for several more months, which also curiously coincides with the beginning of the final growth impulse of both Bitcoin and entire market.
BITCOIN - Price can continue to move down to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCSDUT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to falling channel, where it declined to support line, breaking $63900 level.
BTC rose to resistance line and bounced down, breaking $57200 level, but then price started to grow in another channel.
In rising channel, BTC broke $57200 level and later rose to resistance line, which coincided with $63900 level.
Price made a little gap, and even later rose higher than $63900 level, but soon turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from rising channel, broke $63900 level, and continued to move down close resistance line.
I think that price can make small movement up and then continue to decline, between resistance line, to $57200 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
How to Adam & Eve PatternEver wondered about Adam and Eve in trading? It's a straightforward and powerful pattern.
Hello dear traders! If you like my graphics, please use Like button 💙💛
Picture Adam as the first market peak or dip, and Eve as the second, forming a U-shape. This pattern highlights a robust price level, suggesting a potential market shift.
How to Utilize It?
In a downtrend, spot Adam and Eve as double bottoms. When Eve follows Adam, indicating a strong support level, consider entering trades. Trade when the price breaks above resistance line, with a stop loss set at the neckline level.
Pay attention to trading volumes. They confirm buying or selling strength, offering a clear signal for a trend reversal.
Finding Your Target:
Identify the pattern's height from the neckline to the peak of Eve. Project this distance downward from the breakout point for a bullish pattern or upward for a bearish one. This gives you a potential target for your trade.
Here is an example of Adam & Eve pattern play on Bitcoin chart:
Master the Adam and Eve pattern to make confident trading decisions. It's an intuitive way to identify market change in trend and make strategic moves. 📈✨
Bitcoin Potential Bull Flag w/ $35K (91%) Gain on Valid Break!Here I have BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the Daily Chart!
2024 has been an Exceptional Year for Bitcoin after its nearly 2 Year Monumental Recovery from the Nov. 2022 Low @ $15,512 to pushing price up past the 3 Year High of $69,000 on Nov. 10th 2021 to the now New 8 Month High @ $73,835 on Mar. 14th 2024!
Fall '21/Summer '22 - Bitcoin is in a Declining Stage
Fall '22/Summer '23 - Bitcoin is in an Accumulation Stage
Fall '23/Spring '24 - Bitcoin is in a Advancing Stage
Spring '24/Fall '24 - ( Distribution or Accumulation) ???
Fall '24/Summer '25 - ???
Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of a Potential Bull Flag with a Flagpole suggesting a potential 91.78% or $35,334.57 Gain with a Valid Bullish Break!!
We can see Bitcoin has been in a Descending Channel since the Spring of 2024 came but Price Action has made a few key movements that I'd like to point out:
- After traveling the Descending Channel from the Higher High @ $73,835.57, Price makes a False Break of the Channel that touches the Previous Level of Structures Higher High and makes a 38.2% Retracement of the Current Higher High and is immediately brought back up into the Channel.
- Price continues to stay magnetized to the 200 EMA since its entered the Channel but Price seems to be trading Above it with ease in this Consolidation Zone.
Now this current Channel or Consolidation Price has been in from this Summer '24 going into this Fall '24 can either be an Accumulation OR Distribution Stage, all based on if we get a Bullish or Bearish Break to this Channel and something tells me we are looking at a Potential Bull Flag in the Making with the potential to reach
-Bullish Bias on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Fundamentals:
- BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been gaining not only Domestic but Global traction with stories like El Salvador this year making Bitcoin its Official Currency!
-Economics now accepting more transactions Crypto-wise showing honest Expansion and Integration into society
-A lot of statistics show that people believe the USD may be looking at a downfall in the coming years and Crypto, specially BITSTAMP:BTCUSD potentially being a savior! People are not only fleeing to Commodities and Bonds when devaluation peers its head, but Crypto seems to start being another sector to look towards!