GBPAUD May Continue Falling 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD nicely respected a resistance line of a horizontal
daily trading range.
The price formed a double top pattern on that and broke its
neckline, leaving a clear bearish clue.
The fall may continue at least to 1.93
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Parallel Channel
NZDJPY for new week bullish expectations
NZDJPY after BoJ is rise rates, we are have strong bearish trend in last periods from 12.7 till 5.8.
In last periods we are saw USD weakened and we are can see JPY is start stagnating. In the meantime ASCENDING CHANNEL is be created and on 28.8 price is make break of same.
And in next day 29.9 price is break and crucial zone (90.500), zone is fresh breaked, bullish trend is not make to much here and for new week still expecting here bullish push till next zone.
TP1: 93.000 (160)
TP2: 94.000 (260)
All best, here for comments, stay tuned!
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM
Attention Bitcoin Holders: This Could Be Your Last Chance!Dear Colleagues and Traders. 😉
In this post, I intend to share my analysis of the anticipated trajectory of Bitcoin, supported by both technical indicators and historical patterns.
To begin, I anticipate that Bitcoin may experience a near-term rebound, which could be followed by a subsequent decline.
Before we delve into the specific details of this analysis, I recommend reviewing my previous post, where I provided a comprehensive overview of Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. This context will allow for a deeper understanding of the current market conditions.
⬇️Previous Post (Long-Term Perspective)
If you have reviewed that analysis, we can now proceed to examine the three critical pieces of evidence that substantiate the forecast presented today.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H / Current / First Piece of Evidence
This chart illustrates Bitcoin’s movements from June 7, 2024, to August 5, 2024, within a clearly defined descending channel.
Bitcoin remains constrained within this channel, with no breakout having occurred thus far.
The reliability of this channel is noteworthy.
This reliability is particularly evident when we examine the midline, which has acted as both support and resistance on five occasions, thereby reinforcing the channel's structural integrity.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 1
This chart, covering the period from April 14, 2023, to May 23, 2023, similarly displays a descending channel.
During this time, the price consistently encountered support and resistance at the midline before ultimately breaking out to the upside.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 2
Another example can be observed from January 11, 2024, to January 21, 2024.
This channel, although formed over a shorter timeframe, also demonstrated a similar pattern, with the price finding support at the midline before eventually breaking out upward.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1H / Past Example 3
In this example, spanning from March 30, 2023, to April 5, 2023, we observe a comparable pattern.
The midline provided robust support, and the price consistently failed to close below it, further solidifying the channel’s credibility.
This setup also culminated in an upward breakout.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H / Current
Returning to the current chart, with the benefit of historical data, it becomes increasingly feasible to predict the future trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
If the current descending channel maintains its integrity, a rebound, supported by the midline, appears likely.
—
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Second Piece of Evidence
The second key piece of evidence involves the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart, where a "Hidden Bullish Divergence" is emerging.
In this scenario, the price is forming a higher low on the right side of the chart compared to the left, while the RSI is creating a lower low.
This formation, known as a "Hidden Bullish Divergence," often precedes an upward movement in price. Let us consider some historical examples.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 1
In this chart, dated around March 30, 2024, we observe a higher low in price on the right, accompanied by a lower RSI, indicative of a "Hidden Bullish Divergence."
This setup led to a price increase of approximately 13%.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 2
Another instance, from October 2, 2023, presents a similar pattern: a higher low in price with a lower low in RSI, signaling a "Hidden Bullish Divergence."
Following this formation, Bitcoin experienced a surge of approximately 114%, reaching a new all-time high.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Past Example 3
This example from June 25, 2024, also shows a higher low in price coupled with a lower low in RSI, confirming a "Hidden Bullish Divergence."
This setup resulted in a price increase of around 9%.
Now, let us return to the current chart.
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Current
With these past examples in mind, it is evident that a "Hidden Bullish Divergence" is also forming in the current chart.
Should this pattern hold, we can reasonably expect an upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
—
✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 4H / Third Piece of Evidence
The final piece of evidence derives from Elliott Wave Theory, a concept that may appear complex but can be simplified.
Following a low of $48,888, Bitcoin completed an upward wave, peaking at $65,737.2. We are currently in the corrective phase of this wave.
This correction appears to be unfolding in the form of a "Flat" pattern, comprising three waves.
The final wave in this "Flat" pattern should ideally manifest as an impulsive wave.
At present, the chart suggests that an "Ending Diagonal" pattern is the most probable scenario, which could indicate a forthcoming rebound.
It is imperative to note that if the price breaches the current low, the "Flat" pattern will be invalidated. However, until such a breach occurs, a strategy of buying on dips remains rational.
—
In summary, here is a recap of the evidence supporting today’s analysis:
⬇️ First Piece of Evidence: Descending Channel
The price is currently finding support at the midline of the descending channel.
Should this support hold, a significant rebound could ensue.
⬇️ Second Piece of Evidence: Hidden Bullish Divergence
The price is forming a higher low, while the RSI is forming a lower low.
Historically, such "Hidden Bullish Divergences" have often preceded upward price movements.
⬇️ Third Piece of Evidence: Elliott Wave Theory
We are currently in the corrective phase of an upward wave, likely forming a "Flat" pattern, with an "Ending Diagonal" scenario suggesting a potential rebound.
—
In conclusion, based on today’s analysis, here is my trading strategy:
I have set a stop-loss at the $55,969 level and plan to accumulate Bitcoin on dips from this point forward.
The risk-reward ratio is highly favorable, and the stop-loss level is clearly defined, making this a prudent and strategic approach.
This concludes today’s analysis. I appreciate your time and attention in reviewing this detailed post.
Should you find it insightful, your support through a boost and a follow would be greatly appreciated.
-
✔️ This analysis does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
✔️ It reflects a personal perspective and is provided for informational purposes only.
✔️ Any investment decisions should be made at your own discretion, and you assume full responsibility for any actions taken based on this information.
EURO - Price can exit from pennant and then start to move upHi guys, this is my update on a different timeframe for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to falling channel, where it at once made a gap and then reached resistance line.
Next, price fell to support line, breaking $1.0880 level, but soon EUR made upward impulse from this line.
Price broke $1.0880 level and exited from falling channel, and continued to move up inside pennant.
In pennant, price later reached $1.1075 level, broke it, and even rose a little higher than resistance area.
But a not long time ago EUR fell to support line, breaking $1.10750 level again, and now continues trades close.
In my mind, Euro can exit from pennant and then bounce up to $1.1150, breaking resistance level.
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AUDNZD potential increase following the channelAUDNZD has recently pulled back to a support area following a strong bullish impulse. Despite the price breaking and closing below the previous range, a bullish divergence is beginning to appear as it approaches the support level. This price action suggests a complex pullback, hinting that the bearish momentum may be losing steam. The market might consolidate around this area before potentially bouncing off the support, as it hovers near a key psychological level. The expectation is for a move toward the resistance zone around 1.1000
GOLD → two QML are fighting against!!hello guys.
Breakout of the Main Channel:
The price has recently broken out of a main ascending channel, suggesting the start of a new bullish phase. This breakout indicates strength and potential continuation to the upside.
Key Levels and QML (Quasimodo Levels):
Two significant Quasimodo Levels (QML and QML 2) are marked on the chart. These levels are typically reversal zones, and they have been tested, with the price showing reactions near these areas, indicating their importance as support and resistance.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently trading around the $2,517 level, within a consolidation phase just below a resistance zone near $2,530.
A small pullback is expected before making another attempt to breach the resistance zone and reach the first target.
First Target:
The first upside target is set around $2,535, which aligns with the next significant resistance area. This level serves as a potential profit-taking zone for traders going long.
Trendline Support:
The ascending trendline acts as a dynamic support. As long as the price stays above this trendline, the bullish momentum remains intact. A bounce from this trendline would confirm the strength of the uptrend.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the resistance near $2,530, it will likely hit the first target at $2,535. A successful breakout could lead to further upside, continuing the bullish trend.
Overall, the analysis points to a bullish continuation for Gold, with the key resistance level at $2,530 being the immediate hurdle. Watching how the price interacts with this resistance and the trendline will be crucial for gauging the strength of the bullish move.
___________________________
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GOLD → Retests of 2531 continue. Bulls want to go to 2550FX:XAUUSD continues to strive upward to overcome 2531. The price does not react to the dollar growth and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle.
US GDP data slightly cooled market expectations of a significant rate cut in September, the US dollar rebounded strongly. However, this failed to deter gold buyers, who continue to consolidate and move closer and closer to key resistance. Interest in gold is being instilled by geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe as well as the Middle East.
Ahead is the PCE inflation data in the US. Traders are waiting for hot data, if expectations are confirmed by actual data, the market will continue sideways movement on the background of dollar correction.
Technically, the consolidation has the character of a breakdown formation with the aim of breaking through 2531 and further growth to the psychological data.
Resistance levels: 2531
Support levels: 2517, MA-50, trend
We continue to watch 2531, another retest and slow price approach to the level may break this zone, which may form an upward impulse. But, unpredictable news may break the structure and finally close the price in flat until next week.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURO - Price can leave wedge and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose higher than $1.1000 level but soon declined back, after which turned around and started to grow in channel.
Inside channel, price broke $1.1000 level and reached later $1.1105 level, which broke soon too.
After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then corrected $1.1105 level, exiting from rising channel.
Next Euro bounced up to $1.12015 points and started to decline inside wedge, where it in a short time fell.
Also, price broke $1.1105 level one more time and a not long time ago it EUR started to grow near support line.
So, I think that Euro can reach resistance level and then bounce down to $1.1000 level, exiting from wedge.
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GOLD → Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑FX:XAUUSD is once again testing the resistance of the 2531 range, but is not able to overcome it yet. At the same time the dollar is forming a flat in anticipation of important news....
“Dovish” expectations of the Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will continue to support the price of gold. The Israeli army mobilized thousands of soldiers from special units in preparation for a major operation in the northern West Bank.
Despite the bullish sentiment around the gold price, the upcoming Fedspeak could have an impact on the markets.
Technically, the market is in a strong bullish trend, another range is forming and price is confirming its boundaries. Focus on trend support and SMA-200 on H1. If trend support fails to hold the price, gold may reach the lower end of the range, after which it will continue to rise.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: MA-200, trend, 2501, 2493
As long as the gold is within the ascending channel, we should consider long positions against the support. But if MM decides to lower the price, we should wait for correction to liquidity zones and count on growth from 2486, 2477.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURCAD → A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdownFX:EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY.
On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493.
BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085
Support levels: 1.498, 1.49
The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → WHALES accumulate, BULLS aim for 70K ↑ BINANCE:BTCUSD has been consolidating since March, for half a year. Sooner or later the asset will move into the distribution phase. After the shakeout, the price returns to the channel and enters the consolidation phase, holding above 0.5 fibo.
The shakeout spurred by panic over bad data in the US market a few weeks ago is redeemed. False breakout leads to a rise to 62K, which defines the local range, forming a strong resistance and the beginning of a local correction. Within the correction, the price is testing 0.5 Fibo and the bulls are actively holding the price above this area, indicating that they are not ready to let the price go beyond this area yet.
So, the focus is on the consolidation of 62K - 56K.
How long will the price trade in this range? As long as it wants, until MM gathers the necessary potential
But, after support retest, false breakdown and liquidity capture, MM has another target - liquidity above 68K - 69K, therefore, we have a high probability to catch strengthening to the channel resistance (69K - 70K)
Support levels: 0.5 Fibo (56K), 53500
Resistance levels: 59700, 62500, 70K
A break of the local resistance may give an impulse to 62350. Next, we need to watch the price reaction at 62500. If the price will not pullback, but will start consolidating and squeezing, then we should wait for the breakout and growth to 70K
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!