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Parallelchannels

ENPH - a long energy trade LONGENPH is in the energy sector which has been strong in the past couple of weeks. On the 2H chart over the past two years visible, ENPH is just above its support. It is about 50% below its pivot highs of 9-12 months ago and in a parallel descending channel. I believe that ENPH is now set up for a 50% retracement of the Fibonacci type. Fundamentally, two or more good earnings reports is certainly reassuring as is the present sector trend. I have drawn in horizontal levels/lines for targets. I will take a stock trade long and investigate a 6 month duration options contract as well. Please comment if you are interested in those details.
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
XAGUSD Parallel Channel LONG biasXAGUSD on the 15 minute chart had price action with a flat top then a VWAP line pullback into some continuation then rising into a head and shoulders and a fall into a support / demand zone with some tests of VWAP while underway. At present price sits on the support zone in this horizontal parallel channel with about !% of range. The ZL MACD well reflects the price action and has upgoing parallel lines at its terminus. The dual time frame RS indicator shows both low and higher time frames in the mid-range near to the 50 level. i see this as a good long trade setup for scalping or day trading especially with a leveraged forex trade potentially yielding high returns relative to the risk on the trade. It goes with out saying the trade needs to be managed for breakdown, breakout for an add and fakeouts of those.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
AMRX Biotech earnings Today LONGAMRX is a penny biotechnology stock with earnings out on the Friday the 4th. As you can see on the 15 minute chart, it took off out of consolidation on Wednesday afternoon in a burst of price volume and volatility into an ascending parallel channel. I will buy the stock in the pre-market attempting to exploit the momentum going into earnings. If there is a miss, I will quickly liquidate and instead buy put options expiring on 8/18 striking $ 5 and get as many as 100 of them. This will be a highly risky trade albeit with a comparable reward. I will position to 0.05% of my account cash balance and no more.
ALong
by AwesomeAvani
EurUsd -> One Of Two Scenarios!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of EurUsd💪 EurUsd just perfectly retested and already rejected the 0.618 fibonacci level in confluence with a retest of previous support which was after the break turned strong resistance. EurUsd is also now approaching weekly support and also the bottom of the solid rising channel so after some bullish rejection it will be quite likely that EurUsd provides more bullish upside. With today's crazy volatile candle EurUsd is also now retesting previous daily market structure - however I am definitely waiting for some bullish rejection at this zone because there is no reason to try to catch a falling knife. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
Long
by basictradingtv
33
🔥 Bitcoin Indecision Ahead Of FOMC MeetingComing Wednesday there's another FOMC meeting by the FED. Here they will announce what the new interest rates are going to be. While the FED paused last meeting, the expectation is that they will announce another rate hike. My expectation is that BTC will continue to consolidate around the current area, while traders are patiently waiting for the FED's decision. Furthermore, BTC's volatility is extremely low, which indicates that it's preparing for a big move, either up or down. See below for the volatility analysis, currently 3 days in a row extreme low volatility: As seen on the chart, BTC is trading at a very strong area of resistance. The top resistance is an exact copy of the bottom support, creating a parallel channel. With the stock market severely overbought, the market risk is likely to the downside. As long as BTC stays above the yellow support line, the intermediate trend is bullish. A break below this trend line could signal that ~31.8k was the 2023 top. Are you bullish or bearish ahead of the FOMC? Share your thoughts 🙏
Short
by FieryTrading
24
S&P 500 Daily Technical Analysis (UPDATED)ES (SP 500) Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Gap, Fibonacci Retracement / Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by BahamasX
2
S&P 500 Weekly Technical Analysis (UPDATED)ES (SP 500) Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Fibonacci Retracement, Pitchfork - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by BahamasX
Is MSFT's bullish momentum depleted? The uptrend channel A 100% parallel extension of the uptrend channel indicates the strength of this bullish trend. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C, the target price would be point D at $303.3. Given that the anticipated symmetric pullback to point E did not occur, my expectation is for a further 100% extension from point D. As a result, the target price has been revised upwards to point F at $360.8. Other key levels Resistance The historical highest high at $349.6 is a very strong resistance level, coinciding with the upper band of the channel's 100% extension. The more resistances encountered, the harder it is to break through. Support The 1.5 extension level at $ 332 is a support level that has been tested. Clear price reactions to key Fibonacci levels can enhance the overall significance and value of the analysis. The prior low level, which is at $322.5, can always act as a significant support level. Moreover, it’s a resistance turned support level, making it more important. Possible scenarios If the uptrend continues… When facing the key resistance at $349.6, the market should exhibit a clear movement, like a gap-up opening or a significant bullish candle, to demonstrate its determination. If the bullish momentum is depleted… The market is likely to pull back the price to below the prior low level, which is at $322.5. Compared to the 1.5 extension support level, the level of the prior low holds greater importance. If the 1.5 extension support level is breached, it serves as a mere warning. However, If the level of the prior low is breached, it disrupts the rhythm of a healthy bullish trend and makes price movements difficult to anticipate. Conclusion If the key support at $322.5 is breached, it’s better to step out of the market. Allow the market to stabilize on its own, and wait for a clearer signal before reentering. If not, the uptrend will continue, and the target price remains at $360.8. Hindsight bias part While our target price is $360.8, the prior historical high level at $349.6 represents the optimal target price. Considering the formidable resistance at the prior historical high, I prefer to sacrifice a small portion of potential returns in favor of a higher probability of success. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by stock_adelie
Parallel channels provide great visualsI've really started to like parallel channels a lot as part of very simple TA. On the daily or weekly charts in particular. It works pretty well for Bitcoin, it works especially well for stock indices, particularly SPX/SPY for longer term trends. It's just an excellent visual of waning buying pressure as upwards price movement starts to fall out of an ascending channel, or waning selling pressure as price action starts to go sideways and up plus out of a descending channel. With that being said, the most recent trend shift that may well be developing is Bitcoin showing weakness in the ascending channel as it just hit its high for 2023 as seen above. This is in combination with this market cycle indicator potentially indicating we're at or near the top for the crypto space. It's also taking a bit of history into account, with Bitcoin halving cycles. Post a miner payout halving, Bitcoin tends to enjoy it's strongest bull runs for anywhere between 12-18 months after. Then that's followed by exactly 12 months of selling off. That 12 months of selling off can be followed by a smaller rally/mini bull cycle, but that eventually starts to come back down as the next halving approaches. This is why I've been likening 2023 to what happened in 2019. Obviously, history won't repeat exactly, but it often does rhyme. Now, channels are usually only able to be put up with some retrospective, but the idea is that the channel can at least give you advance warning when a shift is about to occur, then some time later you can put up the next channel as support and resistance of the current trend become established, project it out a ways so you can see when it does start to diverge out of the channel. Above is the late 2021 all of 2022 Bitcoin bear market. That parallel set would have been able to have been put up months before it started the bottoming process, and did great at showing the selling pressure slowing, and the price action exiting out above of the channel before it did its final drop in December. Go back some more. The giant parabolic move it started in 2H 2020 and carried into 1H 2021: It stays within that channel, but that last rally in April, it's a pretty weak looking all time high at that point as it's fallen to the bottom of the channel. Let's try with SPX. This is coming out of the COVID crash, which had a pretty radical upwards trajectory compared to many years prior. I lined up according to the top line mostly, trying to hit two of the early peaks, it also happened to go through a gap-down during the sell off in March 2020. I also was aiming to get it close to parallel with the 4 months where price action kind of normalized 2H 2020 into 1H 2021, where there was a pretty consistent trajectory the highs had. After a small amount of turmoil, Feb-March 2021, it resumed another 4 month period of consistent upwards movement, but this time, at a slightly less aggressive trajectory than before, which was not so easy to see unless you drew a line parallel to the previous 4 month period that had a consistent upwards march. Then more turmoil September into October 2021, eventually followed by all time highs in December, but by that point, the highs were now mid channel instead of near the top, clearly showing waning buying pressure. And it indeed was followed by a near year-long sell-off. Let's go there next: The top trend line was well-established pretty early on in 2022, often got referred to as the MOAT (Mother Of All Trend Lines). If we put the bottom of the channel at the June 2022 lows, that then makes the subsequent October lows show that maybe sell pressure is waning some, as it didn't come back down to challenge that lower line. By January '23, it was becoming more obvious that we were setting our first higher low. We did get close to re-challenging that low very briefly in March, and it's been more up than anything ever since. Time to start drawing ascending channels again. I've tried a couple spots, and it just looks like we're in one of our most bullish moments right now. There of course will be small corrections, but until a larger falling out of these channels becomes pretty obvious, I wouldn't try fighting the bulls... This is the main one I'm looking at for the moment, I've also tried drawing a smaller channel for the more recent, aggressive upwards move from May through now, but removed it for this larger trend channel for clarity. You start drawing multiple channels, the chart gets very busy, very quickly. For the larger market cycle top, I'll be keeping my eyes on this channel as well as www.tradingview.com . If I see both a falling out of the ascending channel plus an upwards divergence of the lows in VIX/VVIX, it's time to go full bear, sell sell sell! Until then, run with the bulls. More often than not, it's ill-advised to go against them. For the record, from this point I'm starting to turn bear on Bitcoin for the remainder of the year, but equities still likely have at least several more months of going up pretty rapidly, very similar to 2019. Equities bulls are the ones I won't be fighting here. I actually won't be fighting Bitcoin bulls either, but I am definitely not a buyer here, where I will continue to be long equities. But, if I'm right and Bitcoin finds another nice supported low near the end of this year, that will likely be the point to buy back in/add for the post-halving mania that will ensue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dieseldub
Clean impulse on $CRCT - Wave 3 to follow It had a clean impulse on the daily chart. Now with 61% retracement done, it would be a good idea to consider Wave 3. Momentum Indicators are bullish on the weekly chart and it has taken a support from 40-week EMA. The candlestick is a hammer pattern as well. Classic example of resistance turned into a support or in other words, breakout and a retest. Morning Star Candlestick pattern on the daily chart which is a Bullish Reversal Pattern. The setup has a Risk-Reward Ratio of more than 8 with the SL being recent low and profit level being the equality level by Elliot Wave method. With parallel channeling, the approximate time for the trade can be expected around one month.
NASDAQ:CRCTLong
by Shivam_Gaba
SOXL pullback is ready to buy longSOXL the 3X leveraged ETF of semiconductor stocks has gained 145% for the first half of the year. As shown on a 2H chart, the price has pulled back but the overall trend of HH and HL is intact within an ascending parallel channel. Price previously touched the lower trendline on May 24th while it touched the upper trendline May 30th and then again June 15th. Between May 31st and June 7th it did a Fibonacci retracement. Price is presently reversing at the lower trendline and is above the Ichimoku cloud a sign of bullish predominance. Price is above the mean VWAP anchored to the low of May 24th another bullish sign. The RSI indicator showing Ichimoku features has an RSI above 50 and above the cloud affirming a bullish bias. I believe that this is setup for a long trade with about 12-15% upside in two weeks or less for a much smaller risk. A call option trade could also be entertained if a setup with a good delta low spread and high volume / liquidity can be found.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Watch These Bitcoin Levels Locally!When taking a look at Bitcoin on the hourly timeframe, we can see that on a local level (Low Timeframe) Bitcoin has been very choppy. This price action is currently for the professionals or the ones that like to get REKT. I marked a few areas on the high of the range and the low of the range that I would be interested in trading as long as we get the right price action. Until then, I remain patient on the sideline waiting to execute with my alerts set. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Calculate Your Risk/Reward! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Navitility
UDOW a triple leveraged ETF of the DOW indexUDOW is shown here on the 30-minute chart rising over the past month in an ascending parallel channel. The chart shows the price currently situated near to the bottom of the channel which is the support trendline drawn onto the chart with the resistance trendline as well. My trading plan is I will take a long trade of 50 shares with a stop loss immediately below the support trendline. I see a targets as $ 62 and $ 65 making for a very favorable reward for the risk taken. For the entry, I will use the 5- minute chart and enter when the HA candles are green and the RSI is above 50. I realize that the DOW has less volatility than the S & P or NASDAQ but with that is less overall risk of reversals and pullbacks. I tend to take higher-risk trades but see this as having a balancing effect in my overall portfolio.
AMEX:UDOW
by AwesomeAvani