GBPAUD Short - Don't dismiss a trade idea too quicklyGlossary:
VA – Value Area
Liq.P – Liquidity Point
PiPo – Pivot Point
BO – Break-Out
H1 – Hourly Time-frame
M15 – 15min Time-frame
LTF – Lower Time-frame
HTF – Higher Time-frame
Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest
Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance
***********
GBPAUD Don't dismiss a trade idea too quickly
After retracing to the previous swing high and experiencing a strong impulsive move to the downside, the price formed two smaller consolidations before beginning to form a larger bear flag.
The positioning and size of the consolidation, coupled with the fact that the price is trading above the previous low, make this trade higher risk. However, if the price forms a smaller consolidation below the wick and preferably trades at or below the low to the left, we could suddenly have a high-quality entry.
Don't dismiss a trade idea too quickly. I covered GBPAUD last week already, and the same idea is still valid, albeit with slightly different PA.
However, if the price aggressively BO above the Liq.P and/or begins to form a consolidation above it, the short trade idea becomes obsolete
Patience
GBPAUD back in play for the short to fill the HTF gap.Glossary:
VA – Value Area
Liq.P – Liquidity Point
PiPo – Pivot Point
BO – Break-Out
H1 – Hourly Time-frame
M15 – 15min Time-frame
LTF – Lower Time-frame
HTF – Higher Time-frame
Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest
Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance
***********
After tapping into the previous swing high and a strong impulsive move to the downside, price formed
two smaller consolidations before starting to form a larger bear-flag.
Waiting for a retest of the small Liq.P, finishing the bear-flag and a push down to the VA to fill the HTF Gap.
EURUSD-Daily Chart Trade Ideas and Analysis Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Chart Analysis
Current Possible Trade:
Long: If Price stay around the doji candle and makes more market structure than I would take for confirmation entry long before I enter the trade.
A. This would increase the probability of the trade
Short Trades :
I would wait for price to move down to the c.1 demand zone and look to entry on the lower timeframes
Daily Chart Analysis:
1. Price is currently in between the weekly high strong (protected) swing range. Near the equilibrium of the Daily swing range.
2. During NFP on Friday Jan 5 price swept the strong lows and is currently giving us a long legged doji candle.
A. From my backtest experience price will likely range a bit after this candle formation.
What Traders and Detectives Have in Common 📊🕵️♀️In this article, I want to talk about the interesting similarities between trading and detective work. Like detectives solve mysteries to find the truth, traders explore the market to understand patterns and make smart decisions.
1️⃣ Gathering Clues:
Both trading and detective work rely on the acquisition of timely and relevant information.
Traders stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and patterns, just as detectives gather clues from witnesses, documents, and other sources. In both cases, the quality of information directly impacts decision-making.
2️⃣ Risk Assessment:
Detectives must carefully assess risks and probabilities to navigate the unknown.
Similarly, traders must evaluate market risks, weighing potential rewards against potential losses. Just as a detective gauges the likelihood of various scenarios, a trader assesses market conditions to make calculated decisions that align with their risk tolerance.
3️⃣ Patience and Persistence:
Success in both trading and detective work demands patience and persistence.
Detectives may spend long hours sifting through evidence, and traders may patiently wait for the right market conditions. Like a detective unraveling a case, a trader must persistently analyze data and adapt strategies to changing market dynamics.
🔎 In essence, trading is a financial investigation, where observation, critical analysis, and connecting the dots play a crucial role.
As we navigate the market's complexities, let's embrace the spirit of a detective, ever vigilant and ready to uncover hidden truths that guide our decisions.
Wishing you successful trades and discoveries in your financial journey.
Did I forget any similarities? What are your thoughts?
Also, what would you like me to compare traders to next?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USOil - Testing New HH - 79.22
USOIL is at a strong support level and this is ready for a good Bullish move. After a big jump with the news earlier today - looking for more moves in the NY session. Definitely be patient and wait for that right entry. Entry I will possibly be taking is around, 78.66 - Looking for the candle to close above that area. Also we are in consolidation right now, and we also have could go further down as well if it closes low at 77.67 but candles will have to close below and wait for that full confirmation of it pushing down. That is why we are being patient and allowing the market to do what it needs to do for the right setup. TVC:USOIL
EUR USD IdeaGood morning, fellow traders! It appears that our attempts to breach the weekly and daily highs have been met with resistance, and we are currently retreating within the broader monthly market structure. Our daily selling strategy has faltered twice in the face of this resilient bullish momentum.
While there may be untapped liquidity at lower levels, it's imperative that we adapt to the market's current behavior. As it stands, we are in a holding pattern, patiently awaiting reactions around the monthly order blocks. Yesterday, we managed to secure a scalp higher, which helped offset the losses incurred from our unsuccessful daily selling endeavors. Such is the nature of trading.
The ability to stand strong and regain composure after facing setbacks is the cornerstone of success. We've swiftly moved past any emotional hurdles and are back on track. It's crucial that we remain attuned to the signals the charts are giving us, rather than attempting to force trades against the prevailing market conditions.
🔥 FOMC meeting... Should I be careful? Should I trade?📢 Insight on FOMC meeting:
No need to trade during this meeting. Protect your capital.
Keeping it short this time. Stands for, "Federal Open Market Committee".
Meetings are held 8 times a year. 6 wks apart.
September meeting is crucial. Right after summer ends.
FED gives economic forecasts (GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, etc)
Budget/ debt ceiling discussions/ decisions
Interest rates (mortgage, savings, etc)
Forward guidance (very important, probably what matters the most here).
These decisions will affect the US Dollar, which affects the global economy one way or another.
Volatility for markets, especially if there's new/ unexpected guidance.
Pay attention to the forward guidance today. Everything else may already be "priced in". AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! will react the most.
Good luck & trade safe. No need to jump on any trades during the meeting YOU MAY GET burned (unless you do a straddle I guess). 💯
Is EURUSD Ready to Change the Direction?Here is my latest structure analysis for FX:EURUSD .
I'll let the market for the next move, if the market become successful breaking the support @1.07809 it may change its pattern and continue to flow bearish.
Alternative Scenarios: the market tests the support and continue to move bullish, and if this happens the market may continue to move @1.10585 and further @1.13397.
My advice: Don't trade now, wait for market to choose the direction and go with trend.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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The Power of PatienceThe Power of Patience: Long-Term Investing
Introduction
In the fast-paced world of investing, where market volatility and hype can easily sway decisions, there's one timeless lesson that stands the test of time: the power of patience in long-term investing. In this blog post, we will explore the significance of adopting a long-term investment approach and the benefits it offers to investors who embrace patience as their ally in wealth-building.
Understanding Long-Term Investing
Long-term investing is an investment strategy focused on holding assets for an extended period, typically years or even decades, to capitalize on the power of compounding and ride the wave of the market's long-term growth. Unlike short-term trading, which aims for quick gains, long-term investing takes a patient and steady approach, emphasizing fundamental analysis and faith in the underlying value of assets.
The Benefits of Patience in Long-Term Investing
Harnessing the Power of Compounding: Patience allows investors to benefit from the magic of compounding, where investment returns generate additional returns over time. Compounding can significantly amplify wealth accumulation, especially when reinvesting dividends and capital gains.
Weathering Market Volatility: Financial markets are inherently volatile, with short-term fluctuations driven by various factors, including economic news and geopolitical events. By staying patient and maintaining a long-term perspective, investors can ride out market fluctuations without being swayed by short-term noise.
Reducing Transaction Costs: Frequent trading incurs transaction costs, such as brokerage fees and taxes, which can eat into returns. Long-term investors minimize these costs by holding assets for more extended periods, leading to better overall returns.
Opportunity to Invest in Growth: Long-term investors have the luxury of being less concerned about short-term market movements. This freedom allows them to invest in growth-oriented assets and industries with the potential for substantial long-term gains.
Benefiting from Dividends: Patience pays off when it comes to dividend investing. Many established companies offer regular dividends to shareholders. By holding on to these stocks for the long term, investors can enjoy a consistent income stream.
Keys to Successful Long-Term Investing
Invest in Strong Fundamentals: Focus on companies with solid financials, strong management teams, and a competitive advantage in their industries. Fundamental analysis provides insights into the long-term viability of potential investments.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Diversification is a critical risk management tool. Spread your investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographies to reduce the impact of individual asset volatility on your portfolio.
Avoid Emotional Decision-Making: Emotions can lead to impulsive decisions in the face of market fluctuations. Stay committed to your long-term investment plan and avoid making knee-jerk reactions to short-term market movements.
Regular Portfolio Review: While long-term investing involves holding assets for years, it's essential to periodically review your portfolio's performance and reassess your investment thesis.
Conclusion
Long-term investing with patience as its cornerstone is a time-tested strategy that has proven successful for countless investors over the years. By embracing the power of compounding, weathering market volatility, and staying committed to sound investment principles, patient investors have the potential to build substantial wealth and achieve their financial goals.
So, take a deep breath, adopt a long-term perspective, and let the power of patience work its magic on your investment journey. Happy investing!
Trading is Patience #ABNBOnce you have selected a stock with decent fundamentals (review every month if the stock still fundamentally sound), then you just need the chart to tell you when to buy it.
Trading is all about waiting/patience.
When price is below the 20/50/200, you stay in cash. You wait.
When price is above 20/50/200, you wait for a base/pullback and a trigger.
In this example, there was a decent gap up breakout but got stopped out. So what? A good system just need a 30-40% winning rate.
Look for a base and you WAIT.
Trading should be made simple. #GOOGLYou don't need a super complicated trading strategy to make money. You need a sound risk/money management, realistic expectations and abuncance of patience.
When price is below 20/50/200, you just simply stay in cash. When price is above 20/50/200.. wait until it has form a base and/or made a decent pullback. Wait.
Forex Trading Key FactorsImportant factors that if well approached, will ensure your long term success.
Forex trading is a popular form of investing that involves buying and selling currencies in the foreign exchange market. As with any form of trading, success in forex trading requires a deep understanding of the market and the key factors that impact profitability. In this blog post, we'll discuss some of the most important factors that traders need to keep in mind when trading forex.
Liquidity: The Lifeblood of Forex Trading
Liquidity refers to the ease with which a trader can buy or sell an asset without affecting its price. In forex trading, liquidity is crucial because it ensures that traders can enter and exit positions quickly and at a fair price. Traders should look for currency pairs that have high trading volumes and low bid-ask spreads to ensure they have access to liquid markets.
Void Gaps: Managing Risk and Protecting Profits
Void gaps occur when there is a sudden and significant change in the price of a currency pair due to unexpected news or events. These gaps can be dangerous for traders because they can cause losses or missed opportunities. To avoid void gaps, traders should use stop-loss orders and other risk management strategies to protect their positions and profits.
Mindset: Discipline and Focus are Key
Forex trading requires a disciplined and focused mindset. Traders must be able to control their emotions, avoid impulsive decisions, and stick to their trading plan. Common psychological traps that traders should be aware of include fear, greed, and overconfidence. By developing a disciplined and focused approach to trading, traders can improve their chances of success.
Selecting the Right Trading Sessions: Timing is Everything
Forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week. However, not all trading sessions are created equal. Traders should select the sessions that align with their trading style and goals. For example, traders who prefer short-term trading strategies may find the London and New York sessions to be the most active and volatile, while those who prefer longer-term strategies may focus on the Asian session.
Patience: The Virtue of Successful Traders
Patience is a virtue in forex trading. Traders should avoid the temptation to jump into trades too quickly or exit them too soon. Impatience can lead to costly mistakes, such as entering trades that don't meet the trader's criteria or closing profitable positions too early. By exercising patience and waiting for the right opportunities, traders can improve their chances of success.
Execution: Putting Theory into Practice
Executing trades properly is essential for success in forex trading. Traders should use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and risk management strategies to protect their capital and maximize their profits. They should also be aware of the potential impact of slippage, which occurs when the price at which a trade is executed differs from
NASDAQ OHLC SELL SETUP🔻🔻🔻 2023NASDAQ
OHLC SELL SETUP🚨 🔻🔻2023
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NASDAQ's yearly structure for the year 2023 demonstrates an OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) Sell Setup. Upon analyzing the monthly timeframe, it is evident that the price is currently facing rejection at the resistance level of 15282.70 . To capitalize on the selling opportunity, it would be ideal to wait for a close below the level of 14693.30 , as this would indicate a favorable zone for entering sell positions, with sellers expected to dominate the price action.
Before initiating any sell trades, it is advisable to confirm the setup with a TDI (Traders' Dynamic Index) cross, which can provide further insight into market momentum and potential entry signals.
Once the sell trades are initiated, the first target to consider would be at 14473.66 . This particular level is significant when switching to the weekly or daily timeframe, presenting an opportune zone for potential price reversals or profit-taking. Should the price continue its downward movement, the second target would be at 13309.50 . Finally, the third target aligns with the monthly open at 12094.65 , which also holds importance due to price retesting key zones.
It is worth noting that the price rejection aligns with the previous year's (2022) open, indicating a consistent pattern. Furthermore, both the first and second targets align with the opening levels of 2021, adding further excitement to the trade setup as price retests these crucial zones.
Taking into consideration the weekly timeframe, it is noteworthy that a bearish divergence has been forming since January 2022 and continues up until the current market price. This divergence further supports the sell bias and suggests potential downside movement in the market.
Please be aware that financial markets are subject to various factors, and it is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. It is recommended to consult with a professional financial advisor or conduct your own research to validate and confirm the provided information.
It is crucial to exercise patience and await the TDI cross before taking any action.
Trade with Caution. Wait for valid entries.
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P A T I E N C E + D I S C I P L I N E
The Art of PatienceAmong the dozens of qualities and attributes, experts say traders need, patience is one of the most important qualities a trader can possess. It is a virtue often overlooked in the fast-paced world of trading, where new traders are lured into the trap of the get-rich-quick ideology. The ability to wait for the right trades can be the difference between success and failure, but how can we grow our patience?
In this article, we will dive into the art of patience. We will discuss why patience is important and methods to cultivate patience.
Why Patience is Important in Trading
In this day and age, patience is a difficult thing to master. As a society, we almost want things before we know we want them. That makes waiting for nearly anything a monumental burden for most. We are so impatient that we are willing to pay money to remove things that require patience. Ads on video or music streaming apps or expedited package delivery are great examples. However, this does not mean we cannot learn and become disciplined in the art of patience.
Patience allows traders to take a long-term view of the market. That market can be a volatile and unpredictable environment, and the temptation to blindly leap into a trade can be immense if we cannot maintain discipline and patience. Emotional or impulsive trades often lead to losses.
Patience allows traders to wait for ideal opportunities that are thoroughly analyzed, utilizing a robust yet simple trading system. If we as traders take the time to be patient and genuinely analyze potential opportunities we can often avoid trades that are likely to be unprofitable.
How to Cultivate Patience
Patience is not a natural trait for everyone, but it can be cultivated through practice. Here are some tips for building your patience:
Set realistic goals: Patience really requires a long-term perspective. Traders should set realistic goals for their trading strategy and focus on achieving them over time, rather than trying to get rich quick. The old adage of “Rome wasn’t built in a day” couldn’t be more pertinent. Great things take time to develop, but they are often worthwhile.
If you miss, you miss: Something that is difficult for any trader is missing an opportunity. Maybe you were pulled away or just generally distracted, and an opportunity passed by you. It is unwise to hop on the FOMO train in the hope that there is still room up or down for a trade to be profitable. It is far better to take a step back and analyze the market and find new entries or opportunities that can be verified by your system. Missed opportunities are also a great learning experience to build yourself up rather than tear yourself down.
Avoid distractions: Ohhhh look a squirrel! Anyways, the markets can be overwhelming, and it can be easy to get distracted. Examples of distractions would include nonconsequential/irrelevant news, misleading social media posts or groups, and personal environmental factors. Avoid distractions and focus on your trading plan; your future self will be thankful.
Practice mindfulness: Many mistakenly think mindfulness is to make your mind a blank canvas, devoid of thought, and disregarding everything external. Mindfulness is the practice of being present in the current moment, recognizing when your mind wanders, and letting it go as you bring your focus back. View your mind as a muscle that needs to be trained, not entirely dissimilar to an athlete training their body. Mindfulness can help you stay focused and avoid impulsive decisions as you bring yourself to the present moment.
Conclusion
The funny thing about patience is that it takes time to develop. Patience is a foundational pillar for a trader's market psychology, but it is one of the hardest to build up. It allows traders to wait for the right opportunities, avoid emotional decision-making, and take a long-term view of the markets. By cultivating patience and applying it to your trading strategy, you can increase your chances of success.
XAUUSD 2023 YEARLY STRUCTURE OHLC [SELL SETUP🚨🚨 🚨]Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
XAUUSD
2023 YEARLY STRUCTURE
OHLC
Bearish divergence starting from 01 July, 2020 to current market Price in the monthly time frame.
Structure for this year is marked in red vertical line (January). Price opened high with April breaking above the open.
Currently have price consolidating below the sell zone 2017.870. A strong resistance is also in place 2080.140. Waiting for a TDI cross to confirm the presence of sellers in market .
Kindly target the yearly open 1931.722 as first Target after TDI crosses in the monthly time frame. Also find more entries in the lower time frame after this cross. Second take profit will be half of the “railroad tracks” at the open 1871.650
Trade with Caution.
Wait for valid entries.
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P A T I E N C E + D I S C I P L I N E
GBPUSD The Pullback Here it is, after a long couple of weeks, GBPUSD has finally gone bearish. This is a long shot, but this particular area could serve as the next potential reversal point. Along the way there could be some setups that can support price using this area to rally up, at least to the LQP. The 38.2 take profit is near the LQP so there's some level of interest in case price doesn't have the momentum to continue rallying up. However, this D point could also be the orchestra to start a new trend, resume the bullish trend. On the daily, we have a Wyckoff Distribution lingering, maybe this could fuel the 4th hit to be higher?
The Journey of a Trader 🎓From Day 1 Until Profitable
On Day 1, a trader is just a passenger in a car that is controlled by others...
This journey is so common that when people realize others are doing the same thing, they don’t feel so alone. I have talked with thousands of traders through the years and the vast majority of them experience this journey just as I have.
Most start out so pissed off with life that something has to change. Most do not have college degrees. The ones that do have college degrees think they have an edge in trading… THEY DON’T but they can’t realize that yet.
Some people are smarter than others so they think trading will come easier to them. IT WONT. For some reason, trading comes easier to basic factory workers with no education and no one knows why.
Maybe it is just pure gut instinct. Maybe it is because they are used to following the rules. Whatever the case, trading is not, nor ever will be, easy.
Most traders give up before the journey ends. It has been said that 80-90% will give up in their first year but there are actually zero statistical studies to back this up.
One thing we do know, by looking at trading statistics from brokers is that only a small percentage are successful. By analyzing data from 3 of the largest forex brokers, we know that only 25-35% are successful in their trades and the others are losing.
This is a totally different number than all the "95% of trader lose" we see blasted all over the place. No one knows the REAL number.
Out of the small percentage that stick with it, success is born after a long and intense process. Successful traders go through a series of steps and it is kind of funny but we all go through the same steps, over and over.
Most traders I know have gone down this same path and I am going to lay it out for you here. While you are reading, this I want you to ask yourself where you are along this journey.
Ignorance Comes First
Then comes the «WOW» moment!
A WOW moment is when you find something that makes you take a double take, lose your breathe and say wow.
The second wow moment! 💥
A new spark of excitement and hope sets in…
Pure determination
At this point, you become unstoppable.
Others think you are crazy!
Everyone, at this point, thinks you have lost your damn mind!
Finally you can say, ” Heck Yeah, I made it!”
Freedom!
When you reach this point, you have given more effort than the overwhelming majority of so called traders out there. You have spent sleepless nights, sweaty day, cried, made yourself sick, mentally abused your mind, and just gave every dang ounce of energy you have to this profession. You have persevered and prevailed.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Patience in Trading Hello traders,
Patience in trading is ability to wait to take the right action, if you have not enough patience you will have bad trades bad decisions and cause you to take action too soon.
3 things you should avoid if you want to become a better trader and improve your patience in trading.
1) Don't Rush :
Market is there not going anywhere so don't need to rush in bad trades stick to your best trade setups and always looking for an opportunity don't rush into normal trades.
So don't need to rush just relax and take things step by step, enjoy the journey of your trading.
''If you need to hurry, you are already too late''
2) Over Confident :
Over confident is a very worse thing especially in trading when someone overestimates their own skill and knowledge which can lead to them making mistakes.
There are some types of over confident like wishful thinking, over ranking, and illusion of control etc...
These all of types over confident can lead to big losses in trading.
Some of things that you can do to overcome your over confidence in trading is :
> Don't believe too much in your skills
> Always use stop loss
> Don't thinking just only for today
> Create your trading rules and don't break stick to it
> Always stay in the middle line don't go to the extreme which cause you over confident and don't go to the slight which cause you depression.
''We can never reach a stage where we can say, i know everything and i have nothing more left to learn''
3) Believe :
Believe in yourself if you don't have enough believe in your trading system or any kind of decisions you take in trading you can lead to big losses like comes in fear and try to close running trades and don't have enough believe in your taken trades.
Try to believe in yourself, try to believe in your decisions, try to believe in your trading system and be patient with your taken steps and wait for the outcome either it will bad or good doesn't matter just continue the process and learn from your previous mistakes and be better next time.
''Trust yourself, you know more than you think you do''
These are 3 things that you should need to do for patience in trading.
If you have any advice to be patient in trading please let me know in the comments.
I wish you good luck and good trading.
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Patience is key. XAU PREDICTIONS.What we have here is a potential for a large reversal or continuation towards the upside depending on the market behavior upon open.
The prospect of a continuation of the current trend and a mitigation of buyers could allow for a gradual ascent towards a break of all-time highs. However, if the market opens with a continuation of the current trend, the limited strength to mitigate sell-side liquidity may lead to a sharp reversal from key level to key level, specifically at 1600.
Be ready to hold, not for minutes, hours, or days. We hold for months. Times are sharp right now and now may not be the best opportunity to enter the market, so come in with risk in mind.
Be Patient with US30It's Earnings Season so we'll likely see a lot of volatility. We are also in a significant area of interest in the market, recession concerns are looming but I'm not convinced that the market is fully committed to this downward trend. Not yet.
We've had multiple tests at the top of the range (Target 3), and the market seems to be moving lower. Targets 1 & 2 were previously areas of support we've broken out of that still need to be retested as resistance levels. These levels also have the potential to act as confluence with the 200 & 50 MAs if time and price sync up.
Again, If we are truly going to see an extended downturn here then I believe these areas will be tested first. I'm taking a little bit of risk, buying toward the bottom of the most recent swing low. I imagine we may get some wicks in this area if the market continues to sell off.
If the market moves up and tests targets 1 & 2 before giving us an entry then I am canceling this buy position. In that scenario, I imagine the market will continue lower to more significant areas of support.
Levels of Development LLC is providing this material for this site and any other related sources (including newsletters, blog post, videos, social media and other communications) for educational purposes only. We are not providing legal, accounting, or financial advisory services, and this is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any stocks, options, or other financial instruments or investments. Examples that address specific assets, stocks, options or other financial instrument transactions are for illustrative purposes only and may not represent specific trades or transactions that we have conducted. In fact, we may use examples that are different or the opposite of transactions we have conducted or positions we hold.
All investing and trading in the securities market involves risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stock or options or other financial instruments, is a personal decision that should only be made after thorough research, including a personal risk and financial assessment, and the engagement of professional assistance to the extend you believe necessary.