AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/12/20AUDJPY Neutral Idea
This pair has been holding a strong 4hr bullish trend but volume has been significantly dropping off.
This week I expect to see a bit of a fall in price to the 67.600 level before we can accurately see where price action is headed.
From this level we want to either see a break or bounce.
If we see a break of 67.600 we will look for a retest followed by strong bearish setups before we start shorting again.
If we see a bounce, assume the continuation of the 4hr bullish trend and target next significant resistance levels.
Patternanalysis
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 4/12/20AUDUSD Short Opportunity
Overall we are very bearish on higher timeframes.
Currently we are maintaining a 4hr bullish trend but are approaching the 78.6% fib level with a huge drop in volume.
We can either see price action pick up bullish momentum again and see a push toward the 88.6% fib level
Or we could see a slow reversal from this current level, look to target toward lower support levels.
DXY 4hour Analysis 4/12/20DXY Neutral Idea
Ended last week with some low volume and are expecting moderate movement this week.
We still want to see DXY ranging between the 101.00 & 98.00 levels as that shows more stability for the USD. The goal is to see normal market movements return.
Look for either a push toward the 98.00 area or a bounce from the current level this week.
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 4/5/20Gold Long Idea
Gold is still holding this 4hour bullish trend and all significant timeframes are very bullish as well.
To get in a high probability trade we would like to see broken structure at 1596.00 tested as resistance followed by strong bullish setups
Once we have the confirmation with a great risk to reward we can target toward our 0% fib level and potentially higher toward 1675.00
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/5/20EURJPY Neutral Idea
This pair has been moving with a large amount of volume over the last few weeks.
At the current level it would be too risky to continue shorting although the overall trends on higher timeframes are very bearish
Price action is just too extended to make a good trade at the moment. For us to enter a trade we want to see a retracement to a key fib level and resistance zone.
Ideally a retracement to the 38.2% fib level around the 118.00 area or a retracement to the 61.8% fib level and our monthly resistance around 119.500 would be a good start.
A retracement followed by strong bearish setups is great confirmation to enter. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 115.500
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 4/5/20 EURUSD Short Idea
This pair played out exactly as expected from last week's analysis. We saw a clean transition to the downside followed by strong bearish pressure.
At the current level it would be too risky to enter so we will be monitoring this pair for retracements to key fib levels
If we see a retracement to the 38.2% or 61.8% 1hour fib level followed by strong bearish setups it could be a great opportunity to enter and target lower.
Look to target toward our monthly support around 1.07000 and potentially lower toward our 0% fib level
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/5/20AUDJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking bearish on all significant timeframes.
We saw a break to the upside out of this daily bearish trend but the push was not sustained and the bears took control once again.
From this level we are looking for short opportunities. This new daily fib has seen confirmed rejection from the 38.2% fib and is holding nicely.
Looking for lower timeframe retests as well as strong bearish setups
We will be targeting lower toward our monthly support and -27% fib around 64.000 followed by a second target at our -61% fib level around 63.000
DXY Daily Analysis 4/5/20DXY Long Idea
The USD remains very bullish and strong from last week. We saw a clean rejection of the 61.8% fib level and monthly support with strong bullish setups.
If momentum continues we’re looking to target back toward our 0% fib level but first we have to break through our key resistance/structure (our blue zone)
If DXY fails to push higher we could see price action start to range between our key resistance around 101.00 and our monthly support around 98.50
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 4/4/20AUDUSD Short Opportunity
Overall this pair is very bearish and all signs show that it will continue to be bearish on all significant timeframes.
To enter short we want to see a pullback or a break and retest.
Two potential entries would be:
Look for a minor pullback on a lower timeframe to 0.60500 area followed by strong bearish setups and confirmations
Look for a break of support around 0.59500 followed by a retest with strong bearish setups and confirmations
If we see one of these scenarios play out we are looking to target lower toward major support levels like our monthly level around 0.58000
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 3/29/20Gold Long Idea
Gold is bullish on all significant timeframes.
To enter on a high probability trade we want to see price action pullback to a key fib level (38.2%) and significant support around 1580.00
From this level we want to see strong bullish setups supporting our bullish trade idea
Look to target toward our monthly resistance around 1675.00 and the -27% fib level
EURJPY 4hour Analysis 3/29/20EURJPY Long Idea
This pair is making a break to the upside. Last week we saw 119.500 break and retested followed by some strong bullish setups.
We are now looking to enter long given the right confirmation and will target toward the -61.8% around the 122.500 level
Ideally a nice cross of the moving averages followed by a lower timeframe retest would be enough to enter on
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 3/29/20AUDJPY Neutral Idea
This pair has been mainly bearish on higher timeframes and has held a strong bearish channel until recently.
Last week we saw a break to the upside out of the daily bearish channel followed by some consolidation
Now we are waiting for some conviction so we can better determine where price action is headed.
We have two potential scenarios for this to play out
This 4hour bullish trend continues to push price action higher after a break of minor resistance around 66.50, target toward 68.00
We see this 4hr bullish trend is not strong enough and price action resumes the overall higher timeframe bearish trend. Look for a break of 65.300 followed by a retest with strong bearish setups, target lower toward the monthly support around 64.000
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 3/29/20AUDUSD Short Opportunity
For the last few weeks we have seen this pair turn very bearish and now we are seeing what looks like a key retracement.
We are currently at the daily 61.8% fib level and key resistance around 0.62000.
From this level I am looking for a lower timeframe transition and break of support followed by a retest with strong bearish confirmations.
In that scenario it would be plenty of confirmation to then short and target lower.
Look to short toward lower support levels around 0.59500 and the monthly support around 0.58000
DXY Daily Analysis 3/29/20DXY Long Idea
The current trend on the 4hour is very bearish and is looking like a retest of the 61.8% fib level and monthly support. The overall higher timeframe trends are bullish.
From the current area we are looking for one of two situation to play out
Momentum continues to push price action lower into a deeper fib level and significant support around 96.50. Target toward that level
We see a bounce around the monthly support and 61.8% fib level, look to target toward the 100.00 area and potentially higher.
XAUUSD (GOLD) Daily Analysis 3/22/20Gold Neutral Idea
All timeframes except the 4hour are bullish
Currently we are waiting to see how price action reacts in this range between 1515.00 and 1450.00
We can see one of two scenarios play out here:
A break and retest of 1515.00 and price action pushes higher, target toward the monthly resistance around 1675.00
A break and retest of 1450.00 and price action pushes lower, target toward the monthly support around 1355.00
NZDCAD 4hour Analysis 3/22/20NZDCAD Short Idea
This pair is looking very bearish on the weekly, daily and 4 hour timeframes
Currently we are in what seems like the next bearish leg of this trend. We are looking to target toward the -27% fib level around 0.78500
Potential to enter on a retest of 0.82550 followed by strong bearish setups
EURUSD Daily Analysis 3/22/20 EURUSD Short Idea
We’re looking very bearish on this pair on all significant timeframes
Ideally we would like to see a retracement to a key fib level before taking a potential short.
We will either see a pullback to a key fib level or we will see momentum from current events continue to push price action lower
EURJPY 4hour Analysis 3/22/20EURJPY Neutral Idea
This pair is looking bearish on the weekly, daily and 4 hour time frames.
Currently price is consolidating between 119.500 and 117.500 but is still looking favorably bearish
You can trade this range as an aggressive option or play it conservatively and wait for a break of a key support or resistance.
Ideally a push toward 117.500 followed by a break and retest would be enough to enter. Look to target toward the monthly support around 115.500
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 3/22/20AUDJPY Short Idea
This pair is primarily looking bearish on all significant time frames so our first trade idea will favor a bearish outlook.
Currently we are seeing price action retrace to the prior LH around 65.500. We are looking for one of two scenarios to play out:
1. Price action pushes lower breaking support around 63.500 followed by a retest with strong bearish setups, target lower toward the -27% fib
2. Price action breaks resistance at 65.500 followed by a retest with strong bullish setups, target toward the weekly resistance around 70.000
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 3/22/20AUDUSD Short Idea
AU is looking very bearish on mostly all timeframes and is looking to set up for another bearish push.
This last retracement was good market movement, we saw the 38.2% fib level hit as well as a lower timeframe level of structure.
To enter short we ideally want to see 0.57250 broken and retested followed by strong bearish setups.
Look to target lower toward our 0% fib level and -27% fib level
XAUUSD (GOLD) Daily Analysis 3/15/20Gold Neutral Idea
We have seen that gold has been very bullish overall on the higher timeframes. Last week we saw Gold depreciate against the quick rise of the usd.
From the current level of support around 1515.00 we are looking for one of two potential scenarios.
Price action bounces and sends gold back into the overall bullish trend, target higher resistance and key levels
Price action breaks support and pushes lower. Look for the broken level to be retested with plenty confirmation and target lower
As usd news remains uncertain we will see erratic market movements, when things start to settle so will the market. Normal market conditions will always resume with time.
NZDCAD Daily Analysis 3/15/20NZDCAD Short Idea
Last week we saw this pair turn extremely bearish with huge momentum all the way to our major support level around 0.83750
From this level we’re looking for one of two situations to play out
1. A significant bounce keeping price action within this range, look to target significant resistance levels
2. Bearish momentum does not slow down and pushes price action through the current support level, look to target significant support levels
A perfect setup for a short position would be a break and retest of support at 0.83750 followed by strong bearish confirmations on multiple timeframes