US30 - Possible scenarioAs we can see we are in a clearly downtrend .. recently price was trending to the upside but the trendline got broken that means market structure is broken and will probably to continue to the downside.. still keep on eye for the next week on that us30
Patterns
MP1 (Daily chart) LongHistory doesn't repeat but it rhymes
On that note, it appears that there's one more leg up before a correction
Strategy: Ride this leg up (Long), then with a rejection confirmation (short) down to the 61.8 fib retracement level.
1. The current triangle needs to be confirmed with another touch on the top line.
2. if (1.) is true, look to accumulate on the bottom line
3. Sell at the target price for a 28% gain
4. Wait for confirmation that there is a strong rejection at the target price
5. Wait for a bearish indicator showing reversal
6. When (4. and 5.) is true, go short
7. close short at the 61.8% fib retracement level
IMO/DYOR
NZDJPY: Catching Bullish Wave
NZDJPY is trading on key daily structure support.
the price formed a dodji candle last Thursday, confirming the strength of that structure.
chances are high that the price will bounce.
to catch a bullish wave, I would suggest being focused on a falling wedge pattern on 1H.
1H candle close above that will be a good signal to buy aggressively or on retest.
target levels:
0.6932
0.6955
Candlestick Reversal Patterns, Indicators, or Both?This chart demonstrates beautifully how better results might be obtained by using candlestick reversal patterns instead of just blindly following a lagging indicator.
DISCLAIMER: This is not a trading strategy or plan that anyone should use out of the box. This is not investment advice, but please establish your own entry and exit rules for the securities you want to trade. And, ideally, back test, and forward test them.
EXPERIMENT: Here, I am using a triangular moving average (TMA) with standard deviation bands. I thought I was very original with my TMA. But it turned out to be very similar to the popular, Chris Moody's CM Ultimate . But the TMA has been around a long time, so that figures. Not to be outdone so easily, I thought I'd try and see what it looked like by adding bands. But setting up the parameters is very subjective. I chose a length that I think lines up best with the trends that I want to capture. Then I set the bands such that they encompass most of the price action. It's not like Bollinger Bands that pretty much work with default settings every time. If there is enough interest though, I will consider releasing the indicator.
Notice that even with optimum settings, identifying candlestick reversals could identify a change in direction prior to the indicator. Yet using an indicator like this does help me to identify where to look for reversal patterns. I want to see candles with long tails, or candles that reverse the high or low. I also want to look back for areas of previous Support and Resistance, volume, shorter candles, and trend lines to anticipate where a reversal pattern may occur. Consolidations inside the wide bands or near the moving average are other places to look. Multiple points of confirmation could assist in identifying where to look for good trades and stops that best fit the overall position sizing and trading plan.
Note: I am neutral on DOG because the pattern looks incomplete to me. At my level of experience, I like to see a bit more confirmation.
What do you use? Candlestick patterns, indicators, or some other combination? I am just getting started with this. But I hope this helps you in your endeavors. Keep looking through charts in addition to studying patterns to become a master at identifying these reversals. If you have any other ideas to improve, please let me know in the comments.
Here's to your success!
Daily Wisdom 32 - What a loser.It's not that you don't know how to profit. You simply don't know how to lose.
In Depth Look at Continuation & Reversal Structures/Patterns
Hi everyone:
In this educational video, I will explain how I determine reversal and continuation structures/patterns in the market.
Many have asked me to break this topic down more in depth and in live, so I hope I can address all the questions I get on this.
So, in my opinion there is only 2 main type of structures/patterns:
Continuation Structures
Reversal Structures
The key to find consistency in price action trading is to identify what kind of correction the structure is forming. Is it a reversal, or is it a continuation?
Since after a correction is finished, we are likely to see an impulse move from that structure, and it's good to understand when and how likely that structure will either continue or reverse the current price.
Below I will list out some of the most commonly identified reversal and continuation corrections.
To me, it's not too important what people call these structures/patterns, but what you need to determine is, is it a reversal or continuation structure?
Because, the market is ever evolving, and price action structures/patterns are also evolving.
Sure we can learn a lot from the typical “Textbook” structure and patterns, but they often or not won't be picture perfect,
and we need to utilize what else the market is telling us to determine the structures.
Continuation Structure
-flag
-channel
-triangle
-pennant
Reversal Structure
-wedge
-ascending/descending channel
-Double Tops/Bottoms (M and W pattern)
-Head and Shoulder
Understanding how the price has been moving thus far, will give you a more clear understanding of what the structure is going to form.
For example:
-When we see price at the top of a HTF structure, slowing down and correcting itself up, you will be looking for reversal structure from the top, and looking for the sell.
-When we see prices broken out of the HTF structure, you will be looking for a continuation structure to form and continue the buy.
As always ,feel free to ask me questions or comments.
Thank you
How to trade S/R zones & How to manage positions🙋♂️ Hello Community!
This idea is about "How to trade S/R levels" and "How to manage positions"
📲 Why should you follow me on Tradingview?
-Over 11 years experience with the markets
-Price Action & Market Profile education
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-Every day updated and commented ideas
By S/R levels I mean every S/R level you need. They can be Price Action levels, Market Profile S/R levels, Bollinger, MACD, RSI etc. S/R levels work only if you manage your positions properly. If S/R level works meaning the market reacts you should let your positions run. If the market doesn’t react to the S/R level as expected, you should exit the position at a logical zone or break even. The support levels sometimes change from support to resistance or vice versa. In this case you should enter the opposite position when the price touches the level from the other side.
Hope it helps! Like and comment below!