Patterns
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated.
Chart Analysis
1. Weekly Flag Trendline:
- The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up.
2. Price Action Inside the Flag:
- Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout.
3. Potential Breakout Zones:
- Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback.
4. Smaller Patterns:
- On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels.
5. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above.
6. Current Market Context:
- The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news.
Trading Strategy and Considerations
- Entry Points:
- If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend.
- For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias.
- Monitoring Price Action:
- Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown.
By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
GBPUSD: Sell any retracements towards 1.3145-65 for 1.3080-90GBPUSD is in a downtrend in the short term with Weekly, Daily and 4H charts technical picture favoring the continuation of the move lower.
Strategy:
SELL at current levels and at any advance towards 1.3145-60
STOP LOSS above 1.3205
TP: 1.3085 or 1.3055-60
MULTITIME FRAME TECHNICAL PICTURE AND ANALYSIS
Weekly: Reversal Weekly Bar at double channel top
Daily: Reversal Patterns and RSI Double top
4H: H&S pattern pointing lower
Bitcoin - A clear reversal is needed for bullish trendBitcoin is currently trading in the support zone around the $58,000 range. This support level has been tested multiple times and has held strong each time.
For the bullish trend to continue, we need to see a clear reversal from this $58,000 zone. However, a breakdown from this support could push the price further down to the $54,000 range.
At this moment, it’s uncertain which direction the price will move, but I’m optimistic that it will trend upward since the support has held strong multiple times.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. Like, share, and comment with your thoughts.
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Preparing For A Potential Double-Top HereTraders,
As you all know, the SPY has been moving EXACTLY as anticipated by me the last two years. And that worries me. Don't get me wrong, I have thoroughly enjoy the profits that have come with getting it right, but what we have to be careful about when doing so well is over-confidence. Because if we don't take a couple of steps back and say to ourselves, "I could get it wrong this time", then we could likely get it wrong. The market loves to humble cocky traders. And that is why I have sold half of my longs once again ...just in case I could be wrong.
So, you can all read my previous posts and calls on the SPY, but for new readers, let me just catch you up with a brief summary to give you some context.
About 2 years ago, after the market had dropped and many investors thought it would continue down, I came under the persuasion that it would soon reverse. Though, I am a rookie when it comes to Elliot Wave, I had noticed some other contrarian traders and chartists had begun to explain from a fundamental basis why it would move up soon. These same investors began plotting a likely blow-off top scenario based on fundamentals, market psychology, and Elliot Wave theory. It made sense to me but I was hesitant to go full in based on this information alone.
I began reading more about market fundamentals and psychology and learned that most of what I read actually supported the idea of a blow-off top. Then I spotted another pattern on the daily chart (an inverse head and shoulders pattern) which strengthened the theory even more. This pattern gave me my SPY target of 570. You can still see that Previous Target outlined here on my chart. We nearly reached that target. Missed it by a few dollars. It was there that I sold half. And right on time. The Japanese carry trade flash crashed the markets and down we went. As we were nearing the 200 DMA, I spotted a new bullish pattern on the weekly chart. This was a Cup and Handle. I bought back in near the bottom recognizing that this blow-off top was probably not at an end ...yet.
Fast forward to today.
We are once again nearing my Previous Target of SPY 570 and though we could move even higher (and I honestly believe we will), I want to prepare for a scenario where I could be wrong. You can see from the chart here that we may also be forming a bearish double-top or M-Pattern. If this is the case, it is wise for me to prepare for another drop soon. Thus, I have once again, sold half. Should the M-Pattern play out, I will likely buy back in around the 200 DMA (wherever this happens to be at the time) because I still believe that Cup and Handle pattern on the 2-week chart will play out and that the blow-off top will not end until we reach 650-700 on the SPY.
Obviously, this forcast could change based upon significant geo-political/global events. But for now, this is how I see it going.
Scenario 2: If we do not drop and that M-Pattern becomes invalidated. I will also buy back in should we exceed my previous target on the chart. In either case, updates will follow.
PEPE - MEMEs are on the rise again#PEPE/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ MEME has hit the support zone and recently formed a higher high.
+ A successful reversal is evident from the support zone.
+ The RSI is also indicating a reversal as it bounces from the <30 zone.
+ The next resistance may pose a challenge, but strong bullish momentum could potentially break through it.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.00000812
Stop Loss: 0.00000547
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Target 1: 0.00001047
Target 2: 0.00001284
Target 3: 0.00001737
Target 4: 0.00002566
------------------------------
Timeframe: 1D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
ENA - A reversal is inevitable #ENA/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ The price has formed a channel and is currently trading within it.
+ A clear breakout from the channel could trigger a bullish trend.
+ A minor correction is expected before the trend reverses.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.35
Stop Loss: 0.27
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Target 1: 0.39
Target 2: 0.44
Target 3: 0.51
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Timeframe: 4H
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/08/2024)Bank Nifty Opening Outlook:
Opening: Expected to be flat.
Upside Potential:
If Bank Nifty sustains above the 50,550 level, an upside rally up to 50,950 is anticipated.
Strong resistance is expected at the 51,000 level.
Downside Potential:
If Bank Nifty starts trading below the 50,450 level, a downside move of 400-500 points is possible.
The 50,000 level will act as a support for today’s session.
Gold Traders Alert: Crucial Levels to Watch for the Next Trade!Key Components:
Chart Type and Pair:
The chart is a 1-hour (1H) timeframe for the Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) pair.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Horizontal Resistance Line at $2,446.18: This is labeled as "1HR LQZ" (1-hour liquidity zone), indicating a significant resistance level where price might face selling pressure.
Horizontal Support Line at $2,347.82: Also labeled as "1HR LQZ," indicating a significant support level where the price might find buying interest.
Trend Lines:
There are descending yellow trend lines drawn, indicating a downtrend. The lower yellow trend line has a label suggesting a "Potential 3rd Touch," which typically indicates a possible point for a bounce or reversal.
Price Action:
The recent price action shows a lower high (LH) formation near $2,446.18, suggesting a downtrend continuation.
Two potential scenarios are sketched on the right side of the chart with different colored lines (orange and green) depicting possible future price movements.
Analysis:
Current Trend:
The overall trend appears to be bearish due to the formation of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
Support and Resistance:
The price is currently trading between two significant levels ($2,446.18 and $2,347.82). Breaking either level with strong momentum could indicate the next directional move.
The price nearing the lower yellow trend line for a potential third touch suggests a possible bounce. If the price respects this trend line, it could indicate a temporary support.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
If the price finds support at the lower yellow trend line and the horizontal support at $2,347.82, it might bounce back towards $2,446.18. Breaking above this level could lead to a further rise.
Bearish Scenario (Orange Path):
If the price fails to hold the support at the yellow trend line and $2,347.82, it might continue to fall. A break below this support level could lead to further declines, targeting lower support levels not shown in the chart.
API3 - Will it retrace ?#API3/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Price had significant retracement from 4.8 to 1.08 with -76% crash from recent high
+ it is trading around the local support zone and we are seeing significant retrace from the crash.
+ If this support holds then we can expect a sharp bounce back from the support zone.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 1.415620298
Stop Loss: 1.009165284
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Target 1: 1.7841
Target 2: 2.3682
Target 3: 3.3682
Target 4: 4.9078
Target 5: 9.1698
------------------------------
Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Bitcoin's Candle Close Today Is Significant - Here's Why.Traders,
Just want to take a minute to focus on two items from my chart.
First, you will notice that yesterday we dropped from our bull flag and nearly re-tested my 48,415 neckline from that inverse head and shoulders pattern we have been tracking. I had stated in yesterday's video that I assumed we would re-test the neckline much sooner and that since we didn't re-test earlier that maybe the bull channel would hold price up and inside of it until the bulls gained enough momentum to break to the upside.
So far, the bull channel has held. The wicks poking down and through the bottom side of the channel aren't as significant as a body close below the channel. But yesterday's wick down can pass as a re-test of the neckline, though a body touch and close would be most positive.
At any rate, you can see that the market is conflicted at the moment. The body of yesterday's candle closed slightly below the bottom of our channel, indicating that the market was ready to sell down further on any whisper of FUD. And today's body thus far is just slightly above the bottom of our channel though the candle formation itself is bearish.
All this indicates at the moment that further selling remains a priority for the market pending news. Unless there is positive news and a strong close on today's candle back inside of our channel, we can expect that there will be more selling to come. On the other hand, a strong bullish move to the upside today and close inside of our channel may indicate that buyers are ready. However, make no mistake, the move must be strong and the candle close must give us another percent or two.
Watch closely.
Cup & Handle Forming!! - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the 1 Hr chart!
Price dipped down into the Support Zone that was recently used in the beginning of July making its Low @ 1.2707!
Afterwards, price came right back up to make an Equal High @ 1.28404 forming quite a popular Reversal Pattern, the Cup & Handle!!
Now this PA formed the "Bowl" and after the Equal High, using the Fib Retracement Tool, we can see Price made a 61.8% Retracement beginning the formation of the "Handle"!
This Higher Low tells us that if this Fib Retracement holds, we could be seeing the end of this Downtrend and the beginning of an Uptrend to the Potential Range Target of 1.29992 - 1.30502!
- Bullish Divergence @ Support
- Violation of Structure from LL to HL
- RSI ABOVE 50
Gold at a Crossroad: Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1-hour chart
Exchange: OANDA
Current Price: 2444.100
Key Levels and Zones
4HR LQZ: 2474.524
1HR LQZ: 2370.122
Support Level: 2348.660
Key Low: 2287.754
Patterns and Channels
Descending Channel:
The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out.
Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel.
Ascending Channel:
The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel.
Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend.
Current Price Action
Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel.
Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ.
Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly.
Inset Chart: DXY
The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD.
Market Sentiment
Bullish Signs:
The breakout from the descending channel.
Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Signs:
Rejection at the 4HR LQZ.
Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend.
Summary
The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will the Bull Run Continue?Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1-hour chart
Exchange: OANDA
Current Price: 2444.100
Key Levels and Zones
4HR LQZ: 2474.524
1HR LQZ: 2370.122
Support Level: 2348.660
Key Low: 2287.754
Patterns and Channels
Descending Channel:
The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out.
Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel.
Ascending Channel:
The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel.
Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend.
Current Price Action
Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel.
Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ.
Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly.
Inset Chart: DXY
The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD.
Market Sentiment
Bullish Signs:
The breakout from the descending channel.
Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Signs:
Rejection at the 4HR LQZ.
Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend.
Summary
The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.