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PE

Don't trust stock charts aloneValuation change my life. I was blind and now I see. not kidding. I love technical analysis. I love it more when combined with valuation. Stocks are actual businesses. Charts only track transactions. its like receipts in the trash outside the store :D Warren Buffett used to collect bottle caps as a kid. Then would sort them to find out what drinks were most popular. He sold Coca Colas from his grandfathers grocery store based on this info and also later in life became a Coke Stock investor. so what? Maybe not you, but definitely me, Ive made the mistake of JUST LOOKING AT CHARTS and forgetting whats behind the charts. Actual businesses, people, and world governments acting out their motivations, resulting in what we see in the charts. There is so much more information, that when combined with charts, makes for better decisions. Shout out to trading view. Trading view allows for make fundamental data easy to overlay onto charts. gamechanger! Macro/fed, accounting fundamentals, charts/trends, social sentiment/behavior, options pricing, all of this and more is out there for investors to consider. Any who. The video is about the market multiple on earnings which results in prices. Thats what prices are. Prices are a derivative on business earnings. Earning x multiple = price. When I was noob young monkey, I wish I knew all of these concepts. So here I am trying to share. Hope you dig it. Cheers!
SP:SPXEducation
by ValuePig
7
Short on Private Equity - BXA lot of people are thinking that this bear market is already in it's later innings. If anything, it's probably the opposite given that inflation has not yet broken, employment may only be starting to see it's cyclical decline, etc. Private equity has been heavily levered during this cycle, and in general has dumped gobs of $ into shit investments (see the amount of private equity $ flowing into crypto junk over the past 2 years for example) that will eventually need to be marked down. Private equity has long been very pro-cyclical, and as the bear shifts into a proper more traditional recession, the publicly traded PE giants should all fall in tandem. Some will get hurt worse than others - picking BX here simply since it's the largest. Other targets include firms like $KKR, $CG $APO, $OWL, or you can even just short the etf $PSP. AS of today (11/14/2022), a lot of these have retested top ends of bearish ranges and are getting smacked back down. With a big opex and things relatively pinned, I think there is still good opportunity through November to get good positions short of these, but I still think there will be chop for at least a little bit.
NYSE:BXShort
by GTStockmaster
3
$ZIM looking to open a long positionIt seems that the stock has reached an oversold level and its right above the support level at approximately 60$ I am thinking of opening a long position. Great value trade in my opinion and as the market is flashing red again it might be a good option. In terms of fundamentals the company has terrific PE and forward PE ratios, great ROI, ROE, ROA and great margins. In an environment where inflation runs super hot thats a company that I believe will capitalize on it and improve their margins. Let me know your thoughts on $ZIM they have a crazy dividend yield as well which I am not sure if its a good sign at they are close to 20% dividend yield which seems a bit to much.
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Louk_Min
6
Forecast | AMZNBias: Positive. Sentiment: Optimistic. Emoji (emotion): Dizzy 👩‍🚀 Null Hypothesis: Buy. Alternative Hypothesis: Sell. Signals: Late stochastic buy. Position: Short term day/swing trade. Notes: Anticipating an earnings surprise. "I'm working on my day at the beach theme, please feel free to let me how you feel about it. Personally I think my sunset needs a little work." Other: ( P/E RATIO Explained) "The price-to-earnings ratio ( P/E ratio ) is the ratio for valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its earnings per share ( EPS ). The price-to-earnings ratio is also sometimes known as the price multiple or the earnings multiple. P/E ratios are used by investors and analysts to determine the relative value of a company's shares in an apples-to-apples comparison. It can also be used to compare a company against its own historical record or to compare aggregate markets against one another or over time." About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. "Please remember to comment, like, share, and follow me!" About the Security: "Amazon, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services ( AWS ). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North American-focused websites such as... The International segment comprises the retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment consists of the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA."
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
Tesla Buy setupESP released this week with forecast at 0.44$ for the last quarter up from previous 0.02$. Analysts at Goldman Sachs suggest they'll settle at 28%, up from 20% currently. Another question is whether the tax will be applied retroactively or not. The last time capital-gains taxes were hiked, in 2013, the wealthiest households sold 1% of their equity assets, the Goldman analysts found. According to the Federal Reserve's distributional financial account data (link), the top 1% held $17.79 trillion of equities and mutual funds in the fourth quarter of 2020 -- so a 1% selling of stocks this time would be $178 billion. Technically the market has been in a corrective state following the sell off. I will be looking for longs at the right point where the market presents clear indications. The above setup is what I see for now unless another view presents itself. Like and comment. Namaste
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Nasdaq_Diaries
FB Long Thesis and Plan (Journal Entry)$FB The long-term bullish pennant for Facebook is still intact here. Upside potential is 17% from the $270ish level that I expect us to be around near the end of April around earnings. 17% is my thesis because of the range of the pennant being 17% approximately. If breakout were to occur, then total breakout to the upside should be similar in totality. Fundamentals for consideration: Of the mega-cap tech companies Facebook is considerably cheaper with a P/E of 25.6 compared to the rest of FANG at the current time. AAPL for example has a P/E of 33 currently. Also of note: FB has been the one to keep your eye one when attempting to identify where the overall group (QQQ) is headed. It has been leading us down first, as well as up first. Opinion only, not advice. Goodluck.
NASDAQ:METALong
by StockPickingEnthusiast
1
Blackrock ShortI have highlighted the XLF representing the broader financial sector in purple and the S&P 500 index in gray. As you can see it has outperformed the financial sector by a longshot and outperformed the S&P 500 index. Since Blackrock’s bread and butter is asset management with nearly 8 trillion AUM, the overall concern with overvaluations in the markets combined with BLK’s significant outperformance to its peers and to the broader market in which it invests; I’d say it is time for a pullback. I would expect it to correct to its previous highs as seen with the green line. I do not expect it to head down towards the XLF, but it is possible it could correct all the way to where the S&P is. It is trading at about 21x earnings.
NYSE:BLKShort
by EBITDAtiger
2
Dynamic Range NVT Signal for Long-term Bitcoin ValuationABOUT DYNAMIC RANGE NVT SIGNAL NVT Signal (Credit: woobull.com) is akin to a "PE" ratio for Bitcoin, and can be used to identify when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold based on the relative value of transactions sent across the network. This indicator includes a 2 year moving average and standard deviation to identify outlier values, instead of declaring a static high-low range for relative valuation. THEORY A dynamic "high-low" range was chosen for the following reasons: - Bitcoin is only 10 years old, it is likely that relatively "high" and relatively "low" NVT values will change with time, as have PE ratios over the last century. - Some transactions are now made off-chain (eg. Liquid Network's private side-chain which is used by many major exchanges). If this trend continues, we can expect "normal" NVT ranges to increase with time (as the relative portion of public on-chain transaction values decreases). CALCULATION - NVT = Circulating Market Cap / 90 average On-chain Transaction Value* - Overbought (default): NVT > 2-year mean + 2*standard deviations. I.e. NVT Signal is in the top 2.5% of values for the prior 2 years. - Oversold (default) NVT < 2-year mean.** *Data source: Blockchain.info, estimated transaction value does not include returned to sender as change. **Oversold under 2-year mean was chosen due to the skewness of NVT Signal, it is not quite normally distributed. For example: NVT Signal has never been less than the 2-year mean - 2* standard deviations. This may change in the future. NOTES ON USAGE - Use with care. Bitcoin can remain "overbought" or "oversold" for extended periods (eg. 2015-2016). - As Bitcoin ages, the validity of NVT Signal will need to be monitored. Particularly with respect to potentially increasing use of side-chains, private transactions and potentially the lightning network. - It is likely that a 2-year “look back period” for calculating mean and standard deviation will not be sufficient in the decades to come. As Bitcoin matures and stabilizes (some time in the future), a longer "look back period" should probably be used. To allow for this, the defaults for this indicator can be easily adjusted.
BNC:BLXLong
by capriole_charles
20