XAGUSD Weekly Technical Analysis Breakdown (MMC Style) + Target📈 Chart Summary:
The chart shows the price action of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, capturing a significant shift in market sentiment. This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) concept and a combination of Smart Money Concepts, Pennant Structure, and Volume Contraction patterns.
Over the past weeks, XAGUSD has transitioned from accumulation and markup to distribution and markdown, suggesting that smart money has exited long positions and is now pushing price toward discount zones for future reaccumulation.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
🔹 1. Major Resistance Area – The Selling Origin
At the top of the chart, we see a major resistance zone near $35–$36, which acted as a structural ceiling for months. Each time price approached this area, sellers stepped in aggressively, rejecting price and creating long wicks.
This level represents institutional supply—where big players offload positions, often leaving a liquidity trail behind for later use.
🔹 2. Pennant Formation + Volume Contraction – Classic Distribution
From late April to mid-May, Silver formed a pennant structure, a well-known consolidation pattern. What's special here is the volume contraction—a subtle clue that buyers are drying up while sellers prepare for a large move.
This is a classic Wyckoff distribution behavior:
Buyers are lured in as price moves in a tight range.
Breakout traders enter early expecting a bullish continuation.
Institutions trap liquidity before dumping price into inefficiency.
The mini Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside acted as a false breakout, perfectly engineered to trap liquidity above the pennant.
🔹 3. Structural Breakdown – Momentum Shifts Bearish
Once the trap was complete, price reversed with strong momentum, breaking past key supports and violating internal structure. The label "Structural Analysis" marks the beginning of this break in market structure, confirming the change in character.
This shift aligns with Smart Money’s "Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion" logic.
We also note how price broke below the SR-interchange zone, where support became resistance—a powerful reversal confirmation.
🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone – The Magnet
Currently, Silver is headed toward the $29–$28 zone, highlighted in red as the "Target + Next Reversal" area.
This level has high confluence:
Acts as a previous QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level).
Has unmitigated demand.
Matches with earlier lows where smart money likely accumulated positions.
Here, we can expect either a strong bounce or short-term consolidation before the next directional move.
📌 Confluence Zones:
Key Zone Significance
$35–$36 Major Resistance (Supply / Exit zone)
$33.5 Mini BOS & Liquidity Trap Area
$31.8 – $32.5 Structural Break Zone (Old Demand Broken)
$29 – $28 Target + Reversal (High Confluence Zone)
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
This entire sequence is not random—it’s engineered.
Institutions:
Collected orders at the bottom.
Pushed price up to resistance.
Consolidated in a pennant to build liquidity.
Triggered a false breakout to trap late buyers.
Dumped aggressively, targeting previous lows for re-entry.
This is the Market Maker Cycle in action — and we’re in the Distribution to Markdown phase right now.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish until $29–$28 is reached.
Swing Traders: Look for signs of reversal in the $28–$29 zone (bullish engulfing, FVG fill, or demand reactivation).
Day Traders: Watch for pullbacks to the $32.5–$33 resistance zone to enter continuation shorts.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook example of how Smart Money manipulates structure, traps liquidity, and moves price in phases. Patterns like pennants, BOS, and SR flips, when combined with volume and context, give us clear directional bias.
If you're still chasing the breakout without understanding the setup behind it, you're trading against those who engineered the move. Understand the structure — or get trapped by it.
Pennantbreakdown
Solusdt bullish or bearish scenarios Solusdt forming a pennant pattern which is considered as bullish pattern as well as bearish pattern it's depends upon which side the pattern breaks upside or downside. Now we can see sol is sitting at good buying price (trend line support)in short timeframe with proper stoploss. Because there are 30-50% chances of breakdown. (Tight stoploss necessary) .
not a financial advice.
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.DYOR!!!!!
IOTAUSDT needs more Liquidity?IOTAUSDThad a false breakout from its daily resistance level and is currently consolidating below it.
The market is creating a pennant, which is a common technical chart pattern that can indicate a potential continuation or reversal of the current trend.
Traders who follow technical analysis may be watching for a breakout from the pennant pattern to signal the direction of the next price move. However, it is important to note that false breakouts can occur and may lead to significant losses if traders are not careful.
In addition, traders should also be aware of the potential for a false breakout on the previous support level. If the price breaks below the support level but quickly rebounds back above it, this could be a false breakout and may lead to further consolidation or a potential reversal of the current trend.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
GRTUSDT is inside a PennantGRTUSDT is creating a pennant below the 4-hour resistance level, following a previous bull run.
A pennant is a technical chart pattern that is formed when the price moves within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle shape. The pattern is characterized by a sharp price move in either direction, followed by a consolidation phase where the price forms lower highs and higher lows. The pennant pattern typically indicates a continuation of the previous trend, which in this case was a bullish trend.
In this scenario, the market is consolidating after a strong bullish run, which could indicate that the market is gathering new liquidity. The previous support level at the 0.15$ area could act as a source of liquidity, as traders who missed the previous bull run may be looking to buy at a lower price.
To apply Plancton's Rules in this scenario, traders should wait for the breakout from the current resistance level to be confirmed before opening a new long position. This means waiting for the price to break through the upper trendline of the pennant and establish new support.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
ETHUSDT wants the breakout?As per the previous idea, ETHUSDT had a nice impulse, indicating a potential uptrend in the market. Currently, the price is creating a pennant on a weekly key level, which is a significant level for traders to watch out for.
A pennant is a technical chart pattern that is formed when there is a sharp price movement, followed by a consolidation phase and then a continuation of the initial price trend. The pennant looks like a triangle, where the price moves in a narrowing range, forming the shape of a flag or a pennant.
In this case, we can see that the price of ETHUSDT is forming a pennant on a weekly key level, which indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend. Traders often look for pennants as a potential buying opportunity, as it may lead to a sharp price movement in the direction of the initial trend.
As we can see from the chart, the price of ETHUSDT has grabbed liquidity from the 1500$ area, indicating a strong buying interest in the market. Now, we are waiting for the next distribution, which may lead to a potential breakout of the pennant pattern.
If the price breaks out of the pennant pattern with a significant volume and then retests the same level, it may indicate a potential buying opportunity, according to Plancton's rules.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
DGSTACC: QQQ MICRO ANALYSIS / CHANNEL CONFIRMATION / SUPPORTIn the chart above I have provided an analysis for the pennant formation seen in the four hour time frame for QQQ along with channel confirmation.
1. 270 is crucial point for QQQ to hold in order to avoid being pulled into a demand zone on the fibonacci.
2. Spike on the 13th of December confirmed rally top.
3. BREAK OF 270 BEYOND AT THIS POINT WOULD CONFIRM A BREAK OF THE PENNANT FORMATION.
4. BREAK OF 260 WOULD CONFIRM A MELT DOWN FROM CURRENT CHANNEL.
$CRWD H&S Bear Pennant BreakdownHi! $CRWD displays a fantastic symmetrical H&S top formation. This is accompanied by a bear pennant formation forming at the neck line breakdown area of $169. The entire formation is bearish. Nothing about this stock appears friendly. PE is 167 and trading at 43X price to book, (which is very expensive).
THETAUSDT ready for the breakout?The price is in the accumulation phase between two daily structures, 1$ and 1.4$.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating a pennant and had the market had a false breakout from the channel on 1.5$, it got the liquidity in order to retest the support.
How to approach it?
The price needs to create a new breakout from the daily resistance and 4h resistance.
it needs to retest the 4h resistance as new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
TOMOUSDT is inside a pennant 👀The price is creating a pennant above the Weekly support of 0.51$, in that area, the market created a demand zone (0.48$) so the price could grab new liquidity from it.
How to approach?
IF the price is going to lose the 4h support on 0.54$, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
UNIUSDT is going to retest the daily support?The price is creating a pennant on the key level after a clear rejection from the 8.8$ area. and retested the 0.618 Fibonacci level as new resistance
How to approach?
IF the price is going to have a breakout from the pennant and retest the key level as new resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
AXSUSDT is creating a pennantThe price is creating a pennant on the 4h timeframe. The market is creating higher low higher high, it means that the we are in consolidation phase.
Usually Pennant is a continuation pattern.
How to approach it?
We are monitoring the 19.5 support where the price created a equal lows. so if the price is going to have a breakout and retest this support as new resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
GALAUSDT is going to retest the dynamic supportThe market got a rejection exactly from the weekly resistance of 0.29$ and the price is going to create a pennant on the daily timeframe.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is going to retest the 0.25$ resistance on the M's neckline. As you can see on the 4h timeframe (the lower one) the price created a double top of 0.29$.
How to approach?
We could see a pullback on the previous support now resistance and a new bearish impulse until the dynamic support on 0.24$
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
BTCUSDT is creating a pennantThe price is creating a pennant on weekly support of 44200$ after a rejection from 47k, where the market has a supply zone.
on the daily timeframe, the price is testing the previous resistance as new support.
How to approach?
The price is creating a pennant and retesting the lower trendline. The price needs a new breakout from it and flip the 47k resistance into support and satisfy our rules.
The scenario is invalidated if the price is going to lose the 44200$
According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
FILUSDT is creating a pennantThe market created a triple top on the monthly support ton 17$.
As I said in my previous analysis, () After the breakout of 19$ resistance the price got liquidity and created aa big bullish impulse
On the 4h timeframe the price is creating a pennant below the monthly resistance on 26.5.
How to approach?
The price could have a false breakout and retest the 23.6$ support and get the new liquidity. If the price is going to have a breakout from the monthly and daily resistance (27.4$) we could see a bullish continuation. The next valid resistance is 27.38$
DOTUSDT is trying to have a breakoutThe price had a breakout from the daily descending channel after a retest of the Monthly support on 14$.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating a pennant and now it's trying to have a breakout from it.
The price got a first rejection from the 4h resistance on 19$
How to approach?
We are monitoring the price and we are waiting for our rules. the market could get more liquidity from the previous resistance now new support. The market needs to have a breakout from the 19$, be careful about the daily resistance on 20$. IF the price is going to satisfy all our rules, we could open a new long position with a very nice risk reward.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
CTKUSDt is creating a pennantthe market created an inverse head and shoulders on 4h timeframe and had a breakout from its neckline.
Now the market is creating a pennant on the daily resistance around 1.5$ .
How to approach?
IF the price is going to have a breakout from the pennant and from the daily resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐