Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview:
The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward.
Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior:
🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure
A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation.
In our case:
The rally in March–April built the flagpole
The April–May consolidation formed the pennant
The recent breakout signals trend continuation
🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap!
One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here.
The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early.
Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction.
🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH).
This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary.
🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break
The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs.
This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode.
The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity.
🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area)
Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750.
This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect:
Partial pullback
Sideways action
Or even a deeper correction before continuation
📚 Key Technical Insights:
Component Observation
Pattern Bullish Pennant
First Move Bearish Fakeout
Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS
Trendline Break Yes, confirmed
Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750
Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing)
Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term)
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
“The first move is often the fake move.”
This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place.
We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts.
Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
Pennantpattern
Parallel Channel and other Technicals Explained on a Nifty ChartWe have tried to draw a parallel channel on Nifty hourly chart. The chart indicates that we are just below the mid channel line. The mid channel line will act as a resistance if the price is below the same and will act as a support if the price is above it. Right now it is acting as a resistance. Top of the channel always acts as a resistance and bottom of the channel always acts as a support. Additionally there are historic resistances and supports which indicate the other levels which may act as support or resistance. There are also Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 EMA)(EMA = Exponential Moving Average).
To understand in detail how parallel channel works or how supports and resistance are derived or what is Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I would recommend you my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. By reading this book you can understand all these concepts with ease. You can additionally understand what is fundamental and technical analysis and how to do it. You will also get to understand the dos and the don'ts of investment in equity by reading various chapters on Behavioural Finance. Overall it is a value for money book available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google play book and other E-book stores. You can also contact us for getting the copy of it. The Happy Candles way is one of the highest rated books in the category and you can go through the reviews of the book on Amazon before purchasing it.
Based on Parallel Channel, Supports and Resistances, Mother Father and Small child theory resistances and supports of Nifty remain at.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24815, 24909, 24977, 25045 and 25116. The channel top resistance for the current parallel channel is around 25372.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24780 (Mother Line Support), 24679 and 24537. The Channel Bottom support is currently around 24396. 24247 is the most important Father line support.
Shadow of the candles currently is neutral. Indicating Nifty can still go in any direction. A pennant like structure (Triangle is also formed). This indicates that Breakout or Breakdown of this triangle or pennant can take Nifty a long way on either side. Nifty is currently squeezing in the pennant with limited space. Usually when the space is limited a Breakout can happen in either direction.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe)
The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment.
Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish.
📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted:
Bullish Pennant Formation:
Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant).
Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum.
Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant.
Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups.
This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout.
Support & Resistance Zones:
SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support).
Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout.
These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control.
Projected Target:
Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest.
🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy
⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk.
Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support)
Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region)
Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes:
A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone.
The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers.
Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence.
📚 Educational Takeaway:
This setup serves as a great case study in:
Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants)
Breakout-retest behavior
Measured move target projections
Trend confirmation techniques
Market psychology and structure
If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
Balkrishna , 1W Looking very Good pattern , and it is at Support level now
so the Risk is Very low . So Prefer to take the Trade at Low Risk Place
Risk according to your capital and risk capacity
if you missed at Support level wait for Clear Breakout to happen
then Enter , if you Missed After Breakout Avoid it completely
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NEDA Egypt should target 3.65 then 4.25Daily chart,
the stock EGX:NEDA formed a pennant chart pattern and is forming another smaller pattern.
I am expecting some minor correction and consolidation around 3.10
Then, a bullish movement towards the resistance line R, at around 3.64 - 3.67
Stabilizing for 2 days above 3.70, will push the price to the next target 4.25
Note the resistance levels at 3.27, 3.44 , 3.56
(Closing below 3.10 for 2 days should be considered a near stop loss level)
EUR_CAD BULLISH PENNANT|LONG|
✅EUR_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair has
Formed a bullish pennant
Pattern so IF we see a
Bullish breakout on Monday
We will be able to go long
On the pair
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish Flag / Pennant Pattern Formation appearing.
Bullish Flag / Pennant Pattern Formation appearing.
87 - 88 is the Breakout Level; but Important Resistance
lies around 90 - 92
Closing above 100 - 101 would trigger more positivity.
Crossing & Sustaining this level may expose new Highs
around 130.
However, it should not Break 73.
Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
$NASDAQ:AAOI Bullish Pennant Setup - 77% upsideNASDAQ:AAOI is forming a bullish pennant.
Here are my thoughts on a setup.
Buy-in Target:
Conservative - $39.50 after confirmation that a breakout is happening - My signal is when the stock closes above $39.50 with relatively higher volume.
Higher Risk/Reward - Purchase now (~$34) and set a stop loss at a point where it looks like the pennant is breaking down (~$32). This can be tricky because I've seen pennant patterns mutate into flag patterns (go from triangular to rectangular). If that happens they you'd want your stop set at ~$28.
Price Target: $69.34 - I'd probably start a trailing stop quote (%) around $66 with a 5% threshold. Doing this allows the stock to continue to climb, but gives you a stop if momentum starts to collapse.
Will Gold Hit New Heights?Current Price: 2653.84
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• 4H Chart: Symmetrical Triangle (Bullish Continuation)
• 1D Chart: Pennant (Bullish Continuation)
• 1D Chart: Long-Legged Doji (Indecision)
Given the bullish signals from both the symmetrical triangle and the pennant patterns, along with the long-legged doji indicating indecision, the market is likely to be bullish. Watch for a breakout above the upper trendlines in both patterns, confirmed by strong volume, to capitalize on potential upward momentum.
Price Target Break Out:
2685 | 2728 | 2750
Price Target Break Down:
2627 | 2575
Happy Trading!
Will the Price Bounce or Break?1H Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 0.67940
Bearish Outlook:
1. 1W Chart: Bearish Engulfing (Reversal)
2. 1D Chart: Shooting Star (Reversal)
3. 4H Chart: Rising Wedge (Reversal)
4. 1H Chart: Pennant (Continuation)
The price is currently at the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge. With the Pennant pattern in play, we expect a drop to 0.67755. If strong support is found here, the price may bounce back to the major resistance at 0.68350. Due to this resistance, a reversal could push the price down to 0.67444, with potential bounces at support levels before aiming for ultimate support.
Bullish Target:
0.68350
Bearish Targets:
0.67755
0.67444
0.67139
Good luck, traders!
KPIGREEN : PENNANT FORMATIONNSE:KPIGREEN has recently experienced a significant bullish run, pushing its stock prices to new highs. Following this surge, the stock appears to be forming a classic pennant pattern, which is a continuation pattern often indicating that the prior trend will resume after a period of consolidation.
Breakout Potential: If NSE:KPIGREEN breaks above the upper trendline of the pennant with increased volume, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. Traders might look for a breakout above the resistance level as a buy signal.
Target Price: The height of the initial flagpole (the previous uptrend before consolidation) can be projected from the breakout point to estimate the potential upside target.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, consider placing a stop-loss order just below the lower trendline of the pennant. This helps protect against downside risk if the pattern fails and the price breaks below support. As always, proper risk management and due diligence are essential when trading pattern formations.
Sell GBPAUD UK Interest Ratethe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.9000 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.8871: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
1.8807: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 1.9042. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Nothing!!!Bitcoin broke the pennant and now to complete the corrective wave, the price can move to the PRZ zone.
Stay awesome my friends.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC's Situation: What Shall we ExpectHi.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Today, I want to analyze BITCOIN for you in a 1D time frame so that we can have a MID-term view of BITCOIN regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
➡️ BITCOIN is in a Bullish Flag Pattern.The Price is gonna Increase soon,The break out needed for increasing further has not happened but it should happen pretty soon.
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 BITCOIN has been Bullish Recently!
🟢BITCOIN is in a Bullish Flag
🟢(AB=CD)
🟢Price is gonna Reach GETTEX:92K
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Buy EURGBP Bullish PennantThe EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This pattern often suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a brief consolidation phase.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 0.8576, positioned near the support line of the pennant. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the uptrend.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels:
0.8616: This represents the height of the pennant, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected upwards from the breakout point.
0.8640: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the previous price movement before the pennant formation.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the pennant, ideally around 0.8560. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the pennant pattern.
Thank you
NASDAQ Trend Analysis Week of Mar. 25thWeekly=Bullish.
Daily=Bullish.
4H=Bullish.
4H broke out of triangle/pennant pattern for a bullish breakout. Expecting price to pullback to 50% or 61.8% fib level and continue up. If not price will continue from 38.2% where its currently at. Looking for swing level of 18750 & 19000 before major pullback.
Breakout buy is above 18477 on 4H.
GBPJPY Trend Continuation Week of March 18thW=Bullish.
D=Bearish.
4H=Bullish.
Daily broke the higher low to become bearish but 4h shift structure to bullish creating an inverse head & shoulders. 4H recently broke the neckline of the pattern. 1H has a pennant formed. Weekly is also bullish rejecting the 50% fib level. Expecting price to break the pennant and S&D zone and continue to upside for long term gains. Daily will shift back to bullish structure.