USDCOP COLOMBIAN PESO ON THE ZONETHE COLOMBIAN PESO HAS BEEN IN THE 2600S ZONE 3 TIMES IN THE LAST 12 YEARS, AND IT HAS NEVER CLOSED ABOVE 2700. WE NEED TO SEE A BOUNCE IN THE PRICE OF OIL, OR AT LEAST SEE IT HANDLE THE 57-60 LEVEL AND EXPECT THE PESO GO TOWARDS ZONES OF 2200 FOR NOW. MAYBE THE POLICY MAKER OF THE COLOMBIA FINDS OUT WHAT IS OBVIUS AND LET THE PESO GET STRONGER AGAINST THE DOLAR. THE TECHNICALS SHOW THAT IT IS CLEARLY OVERBOUGHT, BUT THE PAIR DEPENDS A LOT OF THE CIRCUMSTANCES OF THE COUNTRY AND THE ACTUAL GOVERNMENT IS REALLY KICKING DOLLARS OF THE COUNTRY AND THAT MAKES HARD THAT THE PESO DEVALUATES A LITTLE.
EVEN THOUGH IS AN INTERESTING THING THAT THE PESO HAS NEVER BEEN ABOVE 2650 LEVEL ALMOS IN THIS MILLENIUM.
Peso
USDMXN (Mexican Peso) and a bearish Elliott Wave PatternThe strong sell-off in the USDMXN over the past few days provides clues that bounces higher have been large corrective moves.
First of all, the pattern from May 2013 to Jan 2014 (maroon block labels) suggests it is a large 3 wave bounce higher.
The sell off since Jan 2014 could count as an impulsive 5 wave decline.
Secondly, the bounce higher starting in June 2014 is a clear 3 wave affair with current pricing overlapping the June 2014 high of 13.14.
As a result, two different 3 wave moves higher suggest the much bigger picture is positioned to the downside. Now, the question becomes where we find resistance to sell a bounce.
There is some resistance near 13.14. A bounce into that level could be a first look. Risk can be placed near 13.21
First target would be 12.90 with lower potential if this is a red wave (3).