The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that global oil demand will reach a higher level this year, while noting that the increase in production will be lower than previously forecasted. Additionally, the EIA reduced its price forecast for Brent crude oil in 2024 by 2.4%, from $84.44 per barrel to $82.80 per barrel. As a result, Brent crude oil...
The weakening labor market has reduced risk appetite in the markets, triggering a drop in crude oil prices toward the 67.50 level. Additionally, OPEC+'s crude oil production in August decreased by 300,000 barrels due to declines in Libya and Kazakhstan. However, ongoing supply concerns continue to pressure the commodity. Technically, if the 67.50 support level...
Hi Traders! Crude oil prices declined on Tuesday due to demand concerns driven by weak economic growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer. Brent crude fell 1% to US$76.77 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude lost 0.1% to US$73.50/b at last look early Tuesday. Demand concerns offset impacts of the production and export halt at Libya due to a...
Macro Monday 56 Venezuela - Democracy Beacons Economic Reform As one of the core members of OPEC, Venezuela holds the distinction of having the largest oil reserves in the world with over 304 billion barrels beneath its surface. This is marginally more than the Saudi Arabia oil reserves. If you ever wondered where the largest oil reserves in the whole...
This idea beholds 6 of the largest Energy companies in the world. (Shell, Chevron, Exxon, BP, Duke, and OXY Petroleum.) These macro schematics have been crafted through meticulous Fibonacci techniques. I've laid every one on a 3 month timeframe starting at 1988. History buffs will understand the time reference to the rough "start" of Middle Eastern...
With BDRY (The Baltic Dry Index ETF), finally going up, we may start to see more shipper stocks go up. We've already started to see an uptick in SB, GASS, TK, and TNK, now we might start to see some action across the entire sector. I still would want to focus on those that are giving us at least a somewhat decent pattern, and IMPP in this case is both cheap and...
API Actual: 9.047M API Consensus: 1.467M EIA Crude Import Actual 0.259M EIA Crude Import Previous: -0.385M EIA Crude stock Actual: 8.701M EIA Crude stock consensus: 1.160M As Saudi Oil production had shrunk to nine million barrels per day in July since its last OPEC meeting with Russia to restrict supply amid signs of weakening global demand...
Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IMPP Imperial Petroleum prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 2usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $0.20. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking...
In the last few months we've seen two bullish formations. W Formation first and recently a Cup & handle. The price has broken above the neckline and brim level, and now the price seems to be retracing to a conservative level of entry. With the higher lows and clear signs of demand, it looks like this market is poised for growth. 7>21>200 RSI>50 - Higher...
Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SEPM Evolution Petroleum Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 12.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $0.12. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half...
Hello traders, in our previous posts about oil we highlighted how we expect cycle wave 2 to complete around the 57-63 area with the final C wave of the corrective structure. We then showed how we applied leading indicators to obtain confirmation of more downside: . We entered at the golden zone (61.8%fibo) strong volume rejection. We are short from @78.18...
The Chevron Corporation (CVX) has been pulling back since the November 15 rejection and is already below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) headed towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As you see the stock has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel since the October 29 2020 bottom and its last two Higher Lows (July 14, September 28) found Support on or around the 1W...
The Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has made new All Time Highs (ATH) this month, being on a massive +37% rally since the September 26 low and bounce on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on a similar 1D RSI occurrence, it would appears that the price is currently starting a pull-back similar to November 10 - December 20 2021, which hit the 1D MA200 and as it...
Oil has pivoted from lows and made another run for the $90's. We have broken through $88.74, and fallen just short of $90.06, the barrier to the $90 handle. A strong rally in risk-on assets has benefited oil. If we are able to continue the rally, we could hit $94 again. If we retrace, expect support at $87.21 or $85.55.
Oil has fallen from the $90's after the rejection from $94 has taken the $90 handle entirely. We fell back to the high $80's, with $87.21 providing support, exactly as we predicted in these reports. Our floor for oil for now, is $85.55. The Kovach OBV is still surprisingly strong, though it has arched over a bit with the selloff. If we can pivot off current...
Oil topped out around $94 after breaking through our target at $92.03. We made a concerted effort for our next target at $95.24, but fell short just below $94. This was a high from the last attempt in early October, and may constitute a double top. We are not seeing a serious retracement, and are still holding the $90's. In order to press higher, we must break...
As we have been predicting for a while, oil has broken out into the $90's. There are only so many reserves that Biden can deplete in a frenetic attempt to improve his tarnished image before midterms. We have smashed through $90.06, which provided strong resistance and was a barrier for some time. We are currently testing $92.03 which was the exact target we...
Oil has edged higher towards the $90's. We still haven't quite been able to break that threshold just yet, with a rejection just now at the time of this writing just below our level at $90.06. We are seeing red triangles on the KRI at this level. The Kovach OBV has picked up, so we will see if momentum can break us into the $90's, but so far $90.06 is a...