$DOT | In A Channel: Rinse & RepeatDOTUSD while not at extreme levels on RSI, is still touching upper Bollinger Bands in a tight channel signaling LESS volatility. Which means, it should follow a consistent path of UP & DOWN trend. Couple this with the fact of the previous candle rejected at resistant, I predict this price to come back down to below the 20 MA right before the short term support line.
Rinse and repeat type of trade here.
Phemex
$BTC | Small Pocket for a ShortBTCUSD has reached overbought levels in similar fashion with a confirmation closing below the upper bollinger band to signify the notion of a possible reversal with a possible break of the 200 EMA. There is a little pocket notated by the short position where a quick trade could be made but to be aware of key levels drawn by the blue lines. These levels were drawn off the daily and have touched and been respected at least 2-3 times.
Not going against the overall trend here which is still on the downside.
$DOGE 🐕 | Multiple Rejections For DOGEUSD here we may have possible reversal sentiment. The Elon Musk effect may have run its course for now as multiple rejects on the resistance line with no successful push through. We also have overbought levels on the RSI and the upper Bollinger Band. For this short, the Stop Loss is placed above the upper band and patience is key. Waiting for the confirmation candle to close below that upper band fully is key.
Trade is active and highlighted by the short position graphic. Profit set above the next support line as well as the 200 EMA for good measure is also noted.
$MATIC | Extreme over bought levels upcomingI recently took a long with MATICUSD and was a successful trade. It has also cleared previous resistance currently and looking toward the next short term (drawn from the Daily) resistance level, highlighted with the blue line. MATICUSD is also clear of the 200 EMA but if you look at past movements, the 200 EMA has not been respected by any means. We are also approaching extreme over bought levels at 70+ with the upper band of the Bollinger Band being broken. My eyes are on this and looking for a confirmation candle to SHORT from the most resistance line.
$XRPUSD | The Ride May Be Over.....For NowXRPUSD had a nice run up most recently, but with its break of the upper Bollinger Band along with over bought status at extreme levels, reminiscing February 2022, we may be looking to revert course. Currently under the 200 EMA as well and rejected off of the major resistance zone, I think a safe landing would be next major level of support for the time being. I waited until the confirmation candles following the Doji at the top to take this trade and am learning to be even more patient with my daily charts.
$XRPUSD | Downtrend To Previous Major SupportTook another short to catch this window with XRPUSD. I think a good opportunity here to capture this downtrend to the next major support zone as the previous closed UNDER the 20MA successfully. Also with RSI in the middle, you can look to September 18th timeframe but the difference there is XRPUSD had the 20MA, 50EMA and 200EMA to bounce off of. This time, this is not the case and has already broken one. A safe take profit is at the next short term support highlighted by the lower blue line.
$DOGE | Finally reaching over bought status again$DOGEUSD 🐕 has finally reached overbought levels, that haven't been seen since mid-August. To put it bluntly it's been particularly quiet on the $DOGE front. We may have a SHORT opportunity here upcoming and my eyes are peeled on this near term resistance level on the 4hr and breakout of the upper band. Waiting for a confirmation candle as well as RSI to point downward before a move is made. Also remembering that $BTCUSD moves opposite of $DOGEUSD TYPICALLY. So if $DOGE is pumping then $BTC is stagnant or on the decline.
This is where patience comes into play.
$BTC | Small window With a nice bounce of the support zone and successfully clearing it, there may be a case for $BTCUSD on the upside slightly for a quick gain here. If it clears the 13 EMA there is some separation between that and the 50 EMA to make around 25-30% and get out. I wouldn't want to hold a position with FOMC upcoming and strictly for short term upside. Long term, there is still a lot of room to go.
$BTC | We are going lowerThe dead cat bounce was retraced last week along with all other markets and hit the trend line nicely. If we break the support zone highlighted (which is a major leve) the next stop is around the $16,000 area (which isn't a strong level at all) and then $11,000. We haven't cleared any trend line and have respected the 50 EMA for over 5 months now.
For investors, this is fantastic news. For traders and who are shorting, this is fantastic news.
$MATIC | History Repeating ItselfMATICUSD has hit this support zone multiple times with a bounce to the upside but never making it above the 200EMA. And here we are again with the same story. We have oversold on the RSI levels and still significantly in a downstrend, BUT a good opportunity for a decent quick move and profit. I think it can clear 13 and 50 EMAs easily as those have not been respected in recent history. Not expecting anything monumental with all things considering around the crypto market but see a chance.
$BTC | Cleared for takeoff 🚀Playing off the momentum train here with BTCUSD. Saw some consolidation around $21450 and short term support, decided to go long here also reaffirming from the daily chart and looks like nice space in between major levels. Arrows represent the present levels of rejection BUT something to note and the main reason I took a BUY for this on the hourly, all of those previous levels were below 200 EMA considerable and also RESPECTED it. Different story here with massive separation between. I honestly think the 23K area is within reach but dont want to be greedy here.
Stop loss set below the 13EMA which has been respected in this run so far. Giddy up! 🐎
Entry: $21450
Profit: $22165
Stop Loss: $21021
$ETH | Crucial Point Before the MergeIf ETHUSD can clear this resistance zone, it will be smooth sailing potentially to the 2K area. Took this trade earlier in the afternoon and capitalized on the short term on the uptrend here. I saw an opportunity to catch this and expected a bounce off the 13 EMA as its uptrend trail has done this multiple times. on the hourly and didn't see any signs of slowing down. Great separation between the 50 EMA as well. Placed my take profit nearing top of my zone and stop below the 50 EMA area for good measure. I did ADJUST my take profit when I saw the initial rejection at the long wick moved closer to the body of the swing high.
Simple 1:1 and I am continuously bullish on ETHUSD
$LINK | Short Ride UpLINKUSD has broken the down trend on the DAILY and looks to repeat similar patterns in June and August, with a major difference being that it has also cleared the 50EMA as well as the beginning of a 13/48 EMA cross happening. I think a good ride to the next resistance area will take and a possibility of break through. I placed a LONG BUY for LINKUSD and placed the stop loss below the 50EMA as it has respected this since the 13/48 cross.
Here's my numbers:
Entry: $8.13
Take Profit: $8.55
Stop Loss: $7.72
BNBUSDT One last flush possible before recovering*** ***
For this particular analysis on the BINANCE COIN we are using the BNBUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 4H time-frame where BNB is consolidating following the strong selling of the past 3 days. We are below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H RSI recovering from a deep collapse below the 20.00 highly oversold levels. The last time we saw the exact same sequence on these indicators was during the early May sell-off. If the market is following that pattern, then we are at the short consolidation before the final collapse to the -0.5 Fibonacci extension level. That is currently around 151.75. Traders may sell this with a tight SL on today's High or wait for a buy on the -0.5 Fib, unless the 4H MA50 breaks first.
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ATOMUSD Divergence on RSI but trade on confirmation*** ***
For this particular analysis on COSMOS we are using the ATOMUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Cosmos has been trading under a Lower Highs trend-line since April 03 2022 and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since April 06. The trend remains bearish towards the next Fibonacci levels (2.5 at 6.163 and 3.0 at 4.146) unless the price breaks above the 1D MA50.
With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows while the price has been on Lower Lows, i.e. on a Bullish Divergence, it might be the time for that bullish break-out above the 1D MA50, being a similar structure as Nov 20 - Dec 20 2021. In the event of a 1D candle close above the 1D MA50, ATOM should target on the medium-term the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which right now sits exactly on the Lower Highs trend-line (dashed line) of the January 17 2022 High. A closing above the 1D MA200 would set the price on long-term bullish territory again.
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XLMUSDT Failing to break the 1D MA50.*** ***
For this particular analysis on STELLAR we are using the XLMUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Stellar Lumen has been consolidating since its May 31 short-term High, which is still a Lower High within the Channel Down pattern that started in November 2021 and more importantly having failed to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is technically the short-term Resistance.
This is familiar ground for Stellar inside this pattern as every time the RSI entered the 55.00 - 60.00 Zone, the price got rejected on the 1D MA50. As a result, until proven otherwise and a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, the price remains bearish within the Channel Down towards the the 0.10400 Low and in extension (upon 1D candle closing below) the -0.382 Fibonacci extension level.
On the other hand, if Stellar does close a candle above the 1D MA50, we can take a short-term break-out buy trade targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). A buying extension on the long-term can only be sustainable if the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level breaks (0.2017 currently), which within the Channel Down has never been broken during a Lower Highs rebound. If that happens this time, then it would mean a price break-out above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) too, which is unbroken for the whole 2022.
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MANAUSDT Bearish unless this level breaks*** ***
For this particular analysis on DECENTRALAND we are using the MANAUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 4H time-frame where Mana has been trading within a Channel Down since the May 14 High. That is still a Lower High within the general bearish trend and the Channel Down keeps it that way. There is a level, which if broken, we'll most likely get a long-term bullish reversal and that is the 1.13900 Resistance. This is because the current Channel Down, both on price and 4H RSI terms, resembles the pattern of February.
As you see that Channel Down failed to break the Resistance level formed by the Lower High, and that discouraged buyers from accumulating, hence forcing the coin to a new round of selling. So unless that Resistance breaks, Decentraland will most likely make new Lower Lows and Lower Highs.
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LTCUSDT Bullish and bearish levels to watch*** ***
For this particular analysis on LITECOIN we are using the LTCUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Litecoin (LTCUSD) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the May 10 2021 High. On May 12 2022, the price hit the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of this Channel Down for the first time since June 22 2021, and rebounded. Let's see under what conditions this rebound can be sustainable or not.
First of all, as long as the price trades below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is bearish short-term and below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) bearish long-term. However on May 23 2021, when the price rebounded above the 0.236 Fib, it reached as High as the 0.5 Fib where it failed. On the other hand when it broke above the 0.5 Fib on August 12 2021, the rise extended as high as the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. As a result, we can claim that only a break above the 0.5 Fib can give a longer-term rise.
On the more short-term, if the price breaks above the 0.236 Fib, it is more likely to post a 0.618 Fib rally, as this happened two times (Jan 22 2022 and Feb 24 2022 where 0.236 was the Support), against the one failed break-out on June 29 2021.
The bearish levels to watch is of course the bottom of the Channel Down. A 1D candle close below it, will most likely open the way to the lower Fibs of -0.236 and -0.382 within a 2 month time-frame.
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SOLUSDT Sideways at best, bearish if this level breaks.*** ***
For this particular analysis on SOLANA we are using the SOLUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where the 1D RSI broke into the heavy oversold zone, which last revisited back in late January 2022. The price then entered a long-term consolidation, trading sideways until the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) broke but still got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). It was that rejection that brought us to where we are today. It is therefore possible to see a similar monthly sideways trade.
However, if yesterday's low breaks, the long-term Channel Up that has been in effect since Solana's All Time High, will break and should push the price towards the lower Fibonacci extensions. In that case, the targets will be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension around 24.720 and the 2.236 extension around 18.725.
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LUNAUSDT Hit the bottom of its 6 month Channel Up*** ***
For this particular analysis on TERRA we are using the LUNAUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D chart with the blue trend-line being the 1D MA50 and the orange trend-line the 1D MA200. As shown, LUNAUSD has been trading within a Channel Up ever since its December 2021 High. Two Higher Lows and another Higher High have followed, forming the bullish trend on this Channel.
Today the price hit the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of this long-term Channel Up on the liner scale. On the log scale, there is still some room for a complete pull-back, which happens to be on this diverging Higher Lows trend-line as illustrated on the chart. The RSI (1D) is exactly on the level (oversold 30.000) where the last Higher Low was priced on January 30 2022. If those Support levels hold, we expect LUNA to gradually start the new rally to a Higher High within the Channel Up.
Attention is needed, as this time besides the 1D MA50, it also has the 1D MA200 as a Resistance on the short-term. Potential confirmation comes if the price breaks above it. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($97.000) can be used as a medium-term target with the 1.236 ($135.000) being the long-term (which priced the previous Higher High).
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ETHUSDT Channel patterns with clear Resistance levels.*** ***
For this unique analysis on ETHEREUM we are using the ETHUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame, with the RSI being on the 1W for reasons we'll explain later. As you see, the dominant pattern since the January 24 market bottom, has been a Channel Up. Since the April 03 Higher High, the corrective wave towards the Channel's bottom, has turned into a Channel Down (yellow pattern). Right now this pattern has come to its closest to the Channel Up Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line since February 24.
The price has to overcome the Resistance levels of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but the current trading level appears to be the best buy opportunity since March 13. Technically, the next Higher High could be on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone since Ethereum's All Time High (ATH). Interestingly enough, the previous two Higher Highs have been just above the 0.382 an 0.5 Fib retracement levels, so 0.618 as the next Higher High comes as a natural progression. Notice how the application of the Fibonacci Channel extension levels, charts perfectly a path to the ATH, which can be on the 1.5 Channel Fib extension.
Another interesting aspect, is how similar the current sequence on the RSI (1W time-frame as mentioned) is with the pattern of September 2021. That fractal was also a Channel Down corrective wave and when the 1W RSI bounced on its MA (yellow trend-line on the bottom pane), the price started an aggressive rally. We are expecting a similar development, unless the Channel Up breaks below its Higher Lows. In that case, we could see a test of the 2166 Support level.
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ZECUSD Target Price 160.36ZECUSD Support Resistance Level. Wait for a close above 152.71 level. After the close, watch for a price action signal.