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Pin Bar

GOLD - Monthly - Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1GOLD has a correlation to the strength of USD, as a risk-off asset investors seek haven in the event of Dollar weakness (USD falls > GOLD rises). I'm sure there's more to it than that, be sure to check it out online for yourself. Comments The Monthly timeframe has a clear to identify trading zone from 1330 - 1180 region. Alone this isn't enough to form a thesis for the direction of GOLD in my opinion due to the level of acceleration into the resistance zone of 1330's. Looking left you can see a clean sell-off followed by a decisive buyers rally. This tells me there's interest in buying GOLD which could see prices near the highs before a fall back down to the bottom of the range. Looking at the candlestick formation at the top of the zone, we have a nice high test candle which stands out from the rest of the price action looking left. I would like to see more deceleration though before trading GOLD to the downside. The current month hasn't come to an end yet, so the most recent Monthly candle cannot be considered complete. Key Note During a ranging market, the EMA's will trade sideways and cannot be used with the same set of rules as during a trending market. If a range is formed on the Monthly timeframe however, a trend can exist on the lower timeframes. You need to be aware of your time horizons when considering confluences. Price always rules over indicators.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDEducation
by robdee4x
DXY - Weekly - Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1Continuing with another episode of Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1, I'd like to break down the DXY. The DXY being weighted as follows: EUR - 57.6% JPY - 13.6 % GBP - 11.9% CAD - 9.1% SEK - 4.2% CHF - 3.6% As you may imagine, there's a lot more interest in using the DXY for a correlation / confluence tool when trading the EURUSD. The EURO equates to over half of the overall weight of the index, meaning there's a majority interest in the EUR vs USD. We can use this to our advantage, alongside the USDOLLAR INDEX, to add positive or negative trade factors when considering positions across USD pairs and commodities. Comments Looking at the Weekly timeframe gives us a different picture to that on the Monthly. We a low-test candle printing into the 20/50 EMA wave, this indicates a possible continuation to the near-term levels of 97.40 region. If we did see this push to the upside, it's change the formation on the current Monthly candle (and potentially the overall outlook shared within the Monthly breakdown). Thinking in terms of the longer time horizon, if we see a break of 97.80 I think it's possible to reach the realms of 100. Key Note The Weekly and Monthly are conflicting, which can often be a sign of the overall bias changing from beneath the surface. The smaller timeframes turn quicker, and when they align, this can change the direction gradually on the higher timeframes.
TVC:DXYEducation
by robdee4x
1
USDPLN - (Bullish) Inside Bar / Pin Bar Fake-Out within TriangleIn USDPLN we have a nice bullish setup on the weekly charts with a bullish inside bar / pin bar fake-out that has formed off of the bottom of a rising triangle. There have been numerous attempts to break out of this rising triangle, with a number of the attempts producing bearish pin bars which saw price drop immediately lower. Even so, price has continued to produce higher lows. This latest pin bar that has formed may be the setup that finally gets this pair to break out of its rising triangle.
Long
by krugman87
EURUSD - (Bearish) Inside Bar / Pin Bar Fake-OutThe EURUSD has formed a bearish inside bar / pin bar fake-out. This has formed on the weekly charts. There are a number of things to really like about this setup: not only is the pattern itself large and well defined, it is also setting within a larger overall bearish trend, and has formed just beneath some key resistance levels. It really checks all of the boxes for things I look for in a good setup. One of the negatives of this trade is that price is sitting just above a local support level. Due to that fact, we may see price retrace a bit higher early next week before attempting to break lower.
Short
by krugman87
XLE - Bearish Inside Bar Pin Bar Fake OutAn inside bar / pin bar fake out pattern has formed on the XLE weekly chart. This pattern has formed just below a key resistance level as well as the 50% retracement of the last swing high/low, which is exactly the area we want to see this form. One negative with this setup is that price has formed a very sharp v-shaped reversal off it's lows. That doesn't mean that the pattern is untradable but it does mean any trades taken here need to be aggressively defended, and profit targets not be too aggressive.
AMEX:XLEShort
by krugman87
NZDUSD - Bearish Pin Bar Setup within PennantThe NZDUSD pair has formed a nice, large bearish pin bar. The pin bar has a lot of positives going for it such as a very large upper wick, narrow body, and also the fact that it has closed below the upper trend line of the pennant that is currently forming. The negatives with this setup that I think weakens it a bit is the fact that price is still contained within what I consider the support/resistance zone. Price closing below that zone would have really strengthened the setup. In addition, price leading into the pennant was quite bullish. Taking all of that into consideration, I think the setup is tradable, but I would not become too much of a hero with profit levels.
Short
by krugman87
SILVER / SI / SLV - Bearish Pin BarSilver has formed a bearish pin bar setup. There is a bit to be desired in this setup, but I think it does set up an opportunity for price to break lower and retest the 14.80 region. In regards to the pin bar, the real body is sitting a little bit high with a little too much bottom wick. I think it weakens the pattern a bit, but it is a fake out none the less and lines up well with the double top that had formed a few weeks earlier. I discussed the bullish setup in DXY, which if that setup plays out, could put a lot of downward pressure on gold and silver.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by krugman87
1
DXY / US DOLLAR - Bullish Setup - Inside Bar Pin Bar Fake OutIn DXY we have an inside bar / pin bar fake out pattern that has formed on the weekly charts. This pattern is considered a bullish pattern and has formed within a larger bullish pennant pattern. Last week we saw price break out of the pennant and then pull back in, setting up a short-term bearish scenario. That saw price drop all of the way to the bottom of the pennant. Price briefly tagged the bottom of the pennant and rocketed back up, pulling all of the way back into the previous weeks price range. This has set up the current bullish fake out pattern and could provide the fuel necessary to finally break out of the pennant and see price reach the 99-100 area (or higher). DXY is not directly tradable but it does have an impact on a lot of markets. There are a number of setups that have occurred that I will be discussing in other videos. I will link to those other videos here.
TVC:DXYLong
by krugman87
2