EurUsd End of Month Trap MoveCheck out 4h, dojis and then 4h bear engulfing closed middle of London
Break and retest of pivot point NY pre open and ran away during NY Friday and last day of month
* Trap false move pre session beginning NY *
* Trap traders long & run away quick short *
More important than pivot point is the psychology behind the banks trap move
Higher TF keeps everything clear
Pin Bar
EURJPY - Biggest Yen short covering underwayCFTC data shows YEN bears were at extremes a few weeks back. They have started to unwind their positions and thus accelerating Yen's upside.
Nikkei225 which is in close inverse-correlation with YEN is tracking lower too.
We expect market participants to continue unwinding YEN shorts from over -$12bn short to -$7.5bn, which would transcend into a 2-3 handle move in EURJPY.
Euro bears are currently out in full force and have no reason of squaring positions.
IS A RELIEF RALLY IN THE CARDS FOR THE FTSE 100If you're anything like me, as a trader you likely have a traded instrument that is kind of favourite. For me it is the FOREXCOM:UKXGBP mainly on account of the fact that I cut my trading teeth on this index. So if indices are a part of your portfolio, this could be a profitable opportunity.
This index (like many others and the Equities they derive their value from) have been taken quite the beating of late. That said as we all know what goes down must invariably bounce... The million dollar question we all seek though is when and how high.
Looking at this index from the perspective of the Daily Charts, we have now come back to retest previous structure lows established prior to that massive rally that saw the index achieve all time highs.
As we have done so, six things have caught my attention:
1. The index has put in quite the pretty pinbar/hammer candle at structure support (look leeeeft, structure leaves some beautiful clues)
2. In the process of doing so, we can see some Bullish Divergence (Lower lows in price action, Higher Lows in Stochastic)
3. Depending on your rules for this pattern, we have just completed a weekly Bullish Bat Pattern
4. There is potential Bullish Divergence setting up on the Weekly Charts (though there is still room for confirmation)
5. We have a harmonic Equal Measured Move (E.M.M) to the Weekly Bat Pattern completion, though there is little in the way of confluence
6. Dropping down to the 4H Lower Time-frame, we have again, Bullish Divergence but this time coupled with a Double Bottom at the Daily Structure Support level, but more interestingly, holding above the Weekly Bull Bat Pattern completion level.
I would dare say that the stars may be aligning on this one for a short term relief rally for this index as we edge closer to the end of the year.
That all being said, I see the Daily Structure support level as a key decision point for this market so, I would be a tad conservative in my target estimates using the 38.2% and MAYBE the 61.8% retracements as potential profit taking levels, in anticipation of this market coming back to retest and possibly reassert bearish dominance at the lows.
Not withstanding, based off a Weekly pattern analysis, no matter how conservative the targets, this could still prove to be a nice earner if my prediction is correct and one can obtain a good entry reason with a decent reward to risk profile.
Good luck and stay disciplined and safe in your trades as we come to the end of the month and the years end if you are able to get involved in any decent trades.
Do you even...Pinbar?Can you figure out the differences in the three pinbars highlighted...bearing in mind that the shape, length, or colour of the pinbar does not matter in this case.
Pinbars occur in the market as a result of two scenarios:
1) When institutional traders place large positions in order to reverse what we call a "trend"
2) When institutional traders take profit off existing trades, this action reduces the "volume" within a candle...hence the wick.
Comment if you have questions about pin bars.
SPX500 daily 0.618 and hammer combination longA very very important set-up that I believe stock traders over the world are talking about how to deal with this daily hammer.
For me, quite simple that it's almost a perfect combination.
Whatever the result is, this set-up definitely worth some long trades!
Breakout, pullback, intraday momentum trades, and etc...
Also I'll take this perspective into individual stocks to look for buy-low opportunities!
Let's see how it goes!
Daily hammer off Fib supportFine bullish hammer (pinbar) off 38 Fibonacci support. There are bullish engulfing and bullish harami patterns at previous candles as well. I expect price to shoot to the next Fib extension. Trendlines after CLOSE. MFI (14) oscillator confirms long position( turned from oversold up).
AUD/CAD (Daily Chart) - One More Leg Down?This pair has fallen quite a bit, but it looks like it might still have one more leg of decline left.
After bouncing up from the strong support level, prices were unable to stay up long, and ultimately formed a bearish pin bar.
Since prices were rejected on the upside, there is a strong possibility that prices will head down to test the support again.