Pinterest Shares Plunges Nearly 14% Despite Upbeat Q2 ResultsShares of Pinterest Inc. ( NYSE:PINS ) took a steep dive in early trading on Wednesday, plummeting nearly 14%. This sharp decline occurred despite the company reporting second-quarter results that surpassed expectations. The market’s reaction underscores investor concerns about the sustainability of Pinterest's growth trajectory, particularly in light of tougher comparisons expected in the latter half of 2024 and into 2025.
Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations
Pinterest's Q2 revenue came in at $854 million, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of $850 million. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $180 million, also surpassing the forecast of $179 million. This performance was buoyed by solid revenue growth and a steady margin trajectory, as noted by several analysts.
However, the positive sentiment was overshadowed by Pinterest's guidance for the third quarter. The company projected Q3 revenue between $885 million and $900 million, falling short of the expected $912 million. This guidance has led to a recalibration of growth expectations, particularly given the challenging comparisons and ongoing softness in key advertising sectors.
Eric Sheridan noted Pinterest's solid results and steady revenue trajectory but highlighted that the third-quarter guidance was stable compared to pre-earnings models, indicating potential multi-year margin expansion despite quarterly fluctuations.
Justin Patterson noted that while Pinterest's revenue and EBITDA beat expectations, the lower-than-expected Q3 guidance reflects a broader trend where investor expectations had become elevated. Doug Anmuth emphasized the 300 to 500 basis points deceleration in Pinterest's third-quarter revenue growth guidance, partly due to FX headwinds and a significant year-over-year comparison. He noted that ad trends remained stable, except in the Food & Beverage sector, which has been under pressure.
Market Concerns and Broader Implications
The digital advertising market is recovering from a downturn seen in 2022 and early 2023, but persistent weakness in specific sectors, such as consumer goods, particularly food and beverage, is affecting growth. This has raised concerns about broader implications for smaller ad players like Snap and ad tech firms such as Trade Desk, given their exposure to these sectors.
Analysts noted that the lighter third-quarter guidance might exacerbate fears around growing ad pressures and potential spillover into other verticals. Pinterest's outlook could signal trouble for competitors who rely heavily on ad revenue from consumer goods companies.
Conclusion
Despite posting strong Q2 results, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) faces a challenging path ahead. The company's cautious third-quarter guidance has prompted a reassessment of its growth prospects, leading to a significant drop in share value. While analysts remain optimistic about Pinterest's long-term potential, the immediate future appears uncertain as the company navigates a complex advertising landscape and strives to maintain its growth momentum.
PINS Price Action
At the time of publication, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) shares were down 13.5% to $32.30. The digital advertising market's rebound remains uneven, with pockets of weakness impacting growth across the sector.
In conclusion, Pinterest’s solid Q2 performance and the subsequent market reaction highlight the delicate balance between meeting investor expectations and navigating sector-specific challenges. As the company continues to adapt to evolving market dynamics, its ability to sustain growth and capitalize on emerging opportunities will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike.
Pinterestshort
Pinterest's gains to be capped.Pinterest - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 26.74 (stop at 28.01)
The primary trend remains bearish.
The trend of higher highs is located at 26.80.
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the market broke to the upside in early trade, bespoke resistance at 26.80 capped the gains.
Our profit targets will be 23.61 and 23.11
Resistance: 25.50 / 26.80 / 27.50
Support: 22.80 / 22.00 / 20.80
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Pinterest rallies continue to attract sellers.Pinterest - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 25.49 (stop at 26.71)
Posted a Treble Top formation.
The primary trend remains bearish.
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
26.14 has been pivotal.
26 continues to hold back the bulls.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown.
Our profit targets will be 22.33 and 21.33
Resistance: 24.00 / 25.00 / 26.00
Support: 22.60 / 22.00 / 20.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Pinterest rallies to be capped.Pinterest - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 25.49 (stop at 26.71)
Posted a Treble Top formation.
The primary trend remains bearish.
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
26.14 has been pivotal.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Our profit targets will be 22.33 and 21.33
Resistance: 24.00 / 25.00 / 26.00
Support: 22.60 / 22.00 / 20.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Looking for a replacement for trading Twitter shares?Now that Elon Musk’s buyout of Twitter has been completed, and the company has been taken off the trading market, what comparable stocks can traders look to trade now?
Of course, there are other social media compatriots that traders could turn to, or even other companies of a similar market capitalisation that are in takeover talks and abiding by a similar volatility. A stock that might just fit the bill could be the social media outlier; Pinterest.
Pinterest sometimes likes to position itself as the antithesis of Twitter and Instagram, where users find inspiration rather than encountering toxicity and developing body-image disorders. While I can't speak to the truthfulness of this claim, Pinterest is still categorised as a social media platform and its stock price can be affected by some of the same micro and macroeconomic events that affect this sub-sector. As such, and as illustrated on the chart, Pinterest and Twitter have followed a very similar stock price trajectory. This parallel in stock prices would have been a lot closer if not for Musk’s bid for Twitter at an inflated price in April 2022, and the subsequent court battles that led to him eventually completing the buyout.
Pinterest, like Twitter, may also start fielding takeover bids, hopefully at a chunky premium.
In October 2021, PayPal offered $45 billion for Pinterest, which would have been the costliest acquisition of social media company since Microsoft bough LinkedIn for $26 billion in 2016. The bid would have represented a premium of 24.5% over PINS share price the day before the announcement. However, PayPal reneged its bid shortly after offering it when investor sentiment proved to be against the deal, and PayPal tanked ~12.0% in the three days after revealing an offer had been made.
As of November 2022, the value of Pinterest has slipped to $16.5 billion and may be a more attractive prices for other suitors to come calling, especially if the value that PayPal’s board saw in Pinterest (and that Paypal’s investors overlooked) has been retained. Perhaps suggesting this is true was Pinterest's third-quarter earnings report in the final week of October 2022. Pinterest reported that its third-quarter revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $685 million. Pinterest shares have surged ~11% in the last five trading days.
What make this remarkable is when you compare it to other social media and tech stocks, particularly Facebook which is down ~29%, and Alphabet (which owns YouTube) which is down ~8% since they reported their respective earnings around the same time last week. The latter has even been rumoured to be exploring an acquisition of Pinterest after Alphabet's CEO Sundar Pichai gave a coy response to a question put to him in September about targets the company was considering for takeover.
Don't pin your hopes on this Pinterest
Short Term - We look to Sell at 22.42 (stop at 24.30)
Our outlook is bearish. The medium term bias remains bearish. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. 20 1day EMA is at 22.00. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 15.71 and 13.70
Resistance: 22.00 / 28.00 / 40.00
Support: 18.50 / 15.00 / 10.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
PINS Pinterest Price TargetAfter Meta Platforms issued a first-quarter revenue outlook below expectations, investors in Pinterest, which will report earnings Thursday, expect the same outcome.
My price target is the $17.50 strong support level.
So if you missed the $19 per share IPO price, and you consider it fair valued, this quarter you might have the chance to buy PINS at the same price.
PINS at Pivot PointCan play PINS both sides here depending on its reaction to the currently tested trendline (ascending dashed green line)
Price predictions are based off of supply and demand zones as well as Fib extensions.
Price movement (Blue and Red lines with arrows) isn't a a firm prediction but more of an indication of what important levels may be tested on both down and up-side.
Pintrest - Blowing up ! but what goes up must come downNYSE:PINS Rule of nature - what goes up must come down. combine that with rule of velocity - faster you go the harder the crash!
Pinterest has exploded in less than 3 MONTHS (157 days) to an above 60$ price.
if we set the chart on a weekly time frame all we see is one big green candle, but correction is a must.
so let’s start with FUNDAMENTAL:
- with earnings of about 450 mil in Q4 and main emphasis on number of followers that grew to 442 million the stock skyrocketed to almost 70$, just before it fell back to the 60 line.
the earnings from advertisement in social media sector with these number of followers is expected to be higher, but because Pinterest is not Facebook and haven’t played in the big leagues long enough, these numbers caught investors eyes.
TECHNICAL SIDE:
stock is on a 25% angle from the moment it crossed the 20$ mark with consist supporting volume .
the convergence in the 50 line shows stability and i would be ok with saying that 50$ is the stock price.
Stochastic is overbought even after the correction from 70 to 59, and as it seems at the moment the stock is due to stay in the 50$ range.
Bottom line - I wouldn’t put a lot of hope in this stock crossing 70 so fast but I do see a great future to this company so in the long term it’s a definite buy, on the short i would say hold.
We analyze the market according to the MCBA method (market cycle based analysis) that we developed on combination between Elliot wave theory along with Volume cycle reading
the above is our personal opinion and never a trading advice or recommendation
Trade safe!