Valero Pipeline // BTFD Thesis:
This is a trade made by Senator Thomas Carper last month. Upon reviewing and doing my research, it seems the volume of one of the pipelines in the gulf of Mexico controlled by Valero Energy has has a significant increase in volume. Looks like a bullish year ahead for Valero!
Here are the levels I will be interested in.
Please note that this is a preliminary research and you should continue to do your own research (DYOR). Information about assets can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay updated with the most recent developments.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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Pipeline
ET to make a Move to the Upside SoonThe midstream "stocks" typically move predictably with their payouts. Energy Transfer is no different and is moving to a strong upside as a payment is expected in October. There's also the considerable catalyst of its acquisition of Enable Midstream Partners which will expand $ET's already extensive pipeline coverage (~90,000 miles). Buying into $ET at its present valuation is nearly theft.
Trading Idea - #GAZPROMIn the short term a SELL, in the long term a BUY!
SELL/SHORT
ENTRY: 5.08 EUR
TARGET: 4.35 EUR (+14%)
STOP: 5.55 EUR
1.) Medium-term resistance level at 5.20 EUR seems to be too strong for the actual company situation!
2.) This stock could be of great interest to investors looking for returns.
3.) Now it's getting political!!!! The German government's coordinator for transatlantic cooperation, Peter Beyer (CDU), has described the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline as an obstacle to restarting relations with the USA. He has shown willingness to freeze construction in order to be able to resolve difficulties with the USA.
4.) Nord Stream 2 is now around 95 percent complete, according to the information. The pipeline is expected to transport 55 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia to Germany per year.
5.) The upward sales expectations show a return of the positive expectations of the analysts at this company.
6.) The analysts' average target price is relatively far removed from the current price, which suggests a potentially significant long-term increase in value.
Enbridge_(TSX: ENB)_May_10_2018Enbridge is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America. It operates in five segments: Liquids Pipelines, Gas Transmission and Midstream, Gas Distribution, Green Power and Transmission, and Energy Services. It's primary area of operations include Canada and the United States.
The stock has treaded downwards since it announced the acquisition of Spectra Energy in 2016 resulting in a debt of close to $60 billion dollars. However, the company has started to sell several non-core assets for which the has received considerable interest from potential buyers. In the long run as oil and gas prices increase, Enbridge is surely going to benefit from the increase in prices.
In the short to medium term, the price has cross the upper bound of the channel. Buyers interested in buying should wait till the stock pull back to the upper support of the channel and confirm that the support holds. However, I strongly believe that at these prices the stock is a steal compared to the assets and potential income from those assets.
Pipeline Access, beyond game theory models Now that the pipeline access will be handled with different people involved this is great news for all those involved.
As with all aboriginal treaties and disputes, this one will go down for the books.
Step 1) Diffuse the situation - mishandled from the start.
Step 2) PR - again awful handling.
Pipeline should be built and will be built. Now that changeover is handled different PR, GT, PSY will/are involved. A satisfactory outcome to both sides involved in this dispute will complete the short stretch of the pipeline.
The art of manipulation and prediction is just an art to a human being... In my prediction models, I remove the erroneous human component from it. This situation is fixable. From the very start of the first negotiation, things were mishandled. In my models a chance for this pipeline access to be built under Obama administration is great. Which would make it, a more preferable choice for both sides. However, depending on how this will proceed and which models will be utilized...
With Sun in the picture, a professional firm will handle this adequately, as step 1 was so badly messed up....
The graph doesn't depict the 100% path, long term, great.