US30 FORECAST 4.29.21Good evening. This is my markup for us30.
Fun fact: Currently learning candle stick patterns. tonight homework assignment is to identify 3 of the candle stick patterns we went over today. We are having, what we call a 3 pair challenge. Where we markup 3 pairs. adding in the candle stick patterns was a added bonus. Let me know how the charts looks and give me some feedback. Send 3 pair winning vibes only my way. Thank you !!
Markup was done on the 1hr to get support and resistance zones.
fib. was placed on the 15min and the 1hr. they both matched up beautifully.
When price breaks out and closes below my .236 and gives me selling vibes. I will do just that.
Pips
Can we get a 4th bullish day in a row on GBP/USD...Sterling is still straddling round numbers vs the Buck and Euro at 1.3900 and 0.8700 in the absence of anything Pound specific to trade off, bar less deflationary BRC UK shop prices, while the single currency remains rangebound against the Greenback between broad 1.2100-1.2050 parameters with key declining trendline resistance above the big figure coming in circa 1.2109 today and almost aligning DMA/21 - WMA supports providing a cushion during small amounts of selling (currently at 1.2055 and 1.2053).
The dollar remains on brief frim footing. The fiscal, inflationary and funding/issuance implications are all overshadowing what was a decent 7 year note auction and dovish-leaning expectations for the upcoming FOMC.
Hence, the DXY has reset after another dip below 91.000 to eclipse yesterday’s best within a 90.897-91.127 range.
GBPNZD....(H4) trade idea.gbpnzd will be in 2 scinarioes . it is in compeletion of its uptrend dt bouncing off daily uptrend with formation of double bottom and if it fails to go up and the last bottom will be broken it will go up to the next support level at 1.9000. so wait and see and take your decision after confirmation
EURAUD H4 - Short SetupEURAUD H4
Similar structure here on EURAUD as we have just shown on EURJPY just using an additional trading zone.
Resistance, interims S/R and also support. We trade from one zone to the other, if we break a zone, we anticipate the following zone as a new target.
Good to see these zones are being carried forward from last week, just looking for double tops, additional entries etc.
EURJPY H4 - Short SetupEURJPY H4
This range here on EURJPY is crazy, and has been running for circa 3 weeks with the exception of 1 or 2 fake-outs.
Monitoring this closely this week, we can trade the range from support to resistance and also resistance to support, but as soon as we break, we can trade the retest.
Don't fix it if it's not broken.
XAUUSD 4H BUY Wait for the price fall to the important support XAUUSD 4H BUY trending uptrend .The price is above ema .sto rsi indicator is going up.Wait for the price to fall to the important support line. It is an opportunity to open BUY orders.
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USDCHF H4 - Short SetupUSDCHF H4
Topped out on the intraday support/resistance price we have identified, two short entries presented, one dipped 1:1.5 and the second top test currently offering 1:1.3, we could start to see new lows being set if DXY breaks 91.00 to set new lows.
Remember, we want to try and tie in as much as we can, but also wait for sensible confirmations. Pair comparison, key trading zones/levels, whole numbers, price actions, structure breaks. All this important stuff to give yourself confidence that your trade is thought out and well measured.
EURNZD H4 - Long SetupEURNZD H4
This is exactly what we wanted to see when we marked this up yesterday, a bit of a correction from resistance to then break on the second attempt.
This just means we shouldn't expect such a big correction after we (hopefully if) break resistance price of 1.68.
Looking to break 1.68 resistance, retest as support and trade long up to 1.69700 ish. Massive 1:7 on that basis.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SetupGBPUSD H4
We obviously like to trade between our zones, right? That's how we know where we are looking to enter, where we are looking to place our stops and take profits, we can easily monitor and measure our trades on this basis, hence our strategy 'trading between the zones'.
We broke our 1.39 support zone and sold off circa 75 pips before correcting, bearing in mind, from 1.39 to 1.38 is only 100 pips, so 75% of that move was filled without a pullback.
Now seeing somewhat of a pullback, DXY is in a key range (91.00 support), we could either see a bounce or break, so effectively sat on a possible pivot point almost. Eyes peeled, could see some bit moves for the week close.
NZDCAD H4 - LONG SETUPNZDCAD H4
Little bit dangerous here as it looks like we have marginally cracked beneath support and we are trading sub 0.90.
However, we are still evidently up-trending, fib pullbacks tie in nicely with our 618 support zone. And no doubt looking to the left we still have an element of support. Currently jumped in this with a small 0.3% risk, 1:5R.
Should be able to jump out if I get in trouble.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SetupGBPUSD H4
Sold off perfectly from our 1.40 handle, real sticking point resistance price. Sold off with ease down to 1.39, 100 pips without a H4 pullback. Now starting to see a bit of a correction.
Need to break 1.39 support and then we could set our eyes on potential moves down to 1.38.
EURUSD H4 - Long SetupEURUSD H4
A strong H4 break here on EU, waiting for a correction back down towards our hopefully newly found support zone, we can simply look to scout out long entries from here up to breakout high initially and then towards our 1.21 region, area of resistance and weekly key level.
EURNZD H4 - Long SetupEURNZD H4
We don't really have too much in terms of confluences here, simply just an intact H4 support zone, like we mentioned NZD and AUD are on fire at the moment.
We really need to see some solid H4 reversal signals or a lower timeframe structure break and retest.
If we can't see anything for a buy opportunity, happy to sit on the side to see if support breaks, we can then simply wait for a possible short entry.
EURJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupEURJPY H4
Based on last weeks resistance we saw a downside gap here on EJ followed by bearish continuations pulling us all the way down to our 129.800 support price.
Since, we have seen some sizeable wicks, interested to see where this H4 closes in 10 minutes. Possible second opportunity from support back up to resistance.
DXY H4 - Long SetupDXY H4
Effectively looking for an upside break of the area we have marked.
With regards to fibs and market corrections, this would be a good price, or at least our maximum correction potential before seeing bullish intervention again.
We will have to see what unfolds, but so far USD zones seem to be okay for the moment, which is positive.
GBPNZD H4 - Long SetupGBPNZD H4
GBP pairs have stormed since the EUR and LON open, GBPJPY starting to bounce from 150.000 too. GBP zones so far seem to be holding well in general too.
Looking for a second support entry before getting involved, the rallies were too fast for our liking so early on in the week.
Gold Approaching Demand ZoneAs we analyse gold, we see price is making its way back to the demand zone / level.
at 1733.5 the key level for a reversal of this demand zone pushing us into the first target high of 1755, then target 2 of 1765 if we break 1755.
Will be monitoring for rejections and reversal candles and volume during london and NY session today!
Pound is also ending the week on a firmer footing...Pound is also ending the week on a firmer footing, though this masks the whole truth as Cable remains much closer to worst levels between 1.3671-1.3918 parameters and only just held around March 25 lows when yielding to the partial Buck recovery and slipping beneath the 100 DMA (1.3687).
In many ways it feels like the markets have been waiting for something to get their teeth stuck into after missing out on Good Friday’s NFP bonanza and with many centres also absent when the US services ISM hit record-breaking levels at the start of this week. Meanwhile, the Dollar index declined from a 93.113 peak to 91.995 low yesterday in relatively steady fashion from Wednesday following dovish FOMC minutes and comments from Fed chair Powell the next day echoing the message that while economic recovery prospects have brightened with additional fiscal stimulus alongside a speedy rollout of COVID-19 vaccinations, accommodative policy will not be removed until there is substantial progress on FAIT and full employment goals.