US500 evening analysisTechnical analysis of US500.
This analysis has price in wave 4 of (5).
Wave 4 would appear to be an Elliott Triangle Wave.
If accurate, wave 5 of (5) would provide one more all-time-high to complete top (unless truncated).
Price is very unlikely to tag median line of pitchfork (red line), a bearish side which suggests price should fall back to 5835.6 at a minimum.
Count valid for price below 6197.
Pitchforks
TON's Decisive Moment: Pitchfork Analysis Shows Key Zone ConfronHey traders! Let's break down this interesting TradingView chart of TON/USDT that's caught my attention. I've been trading with Andrews' Pitchfork for years, and this setup is particularly fascinating.
First, let's look at what we're seeing. The chart shows several parallel pitchfork channels (those green diagonal lines), and two key zones have been identified: a "Strong Supply Zone" around the 6.4-6.8 USDT range and a "Weak Demand Zone" in the lower areas.
What's really grabbing my attention are those two red circles on the chart. These aren't just random markings - they show crucial price interactions with our pitchfork lines. The upper circle shows where price recently rejected from the supply zone, while the lower circle marks a significant bounce from the demand area. This is exactly what we want to see when trading with pitchforks - price respecting these technical levels.
Looking at the shorter term, we've just seen a pretty sharp pullback from the supply zone, which suggests bears are still in control at these higher levels. The current price sitting at 6.337 USDT (shown in the top left) tells us we're in a bit of a no-man's land between our key zones.
For the medium term, what's really interesting is how price broke out of that orange descending channel back in November. This was a major structural change and led to that strong rally we've seen. The fact that price is now consolidating in this higher range suggests buyers haven't completely lost control despite the recent pullback.
Long term outlook? Those parallel pitchfork channels are trending upward, which gives us a bullish bias overall. However, smart traders should watch those zone interactions carefully. A clear break above the supply zone could signal another leg up, while a fall below the demand zone might mean we need to reassess our bullish stance.
One last thing - see that purple marker near the bottom right? That looks like a potential future support level we should keep an eye on.
Remember folks, no trade is guaranteed, but these technical setups can give us good odds if we play them right. Always manage your risk and don't bet the farm on any single trade!
What's your take on this setup? Are you seeing any other interesting patterns I might have missed?
GBPUSD BreakdownPitchfork tells all.
GU has broken out of the Pitchfork, retested the lower boundary ... and failed.
The market structure at 1.2680-1.2660 has already been tested and cleared.
It looks like the next structures are around 1.2613-1.2597 and another at 1.2567 - 1.2556
I'm looking for a TP around 1.2570.
$RXRX - Believe we are at the start of Wave 5I've been trying to wrap my head around the movement with the $9.50 spike recently from an Elliot Wave Theory and fibs perspective. The closest I've gotten to making it all make sense is that we just had a crazy wave 4 correction and this low of $7.24 works out fib wise with wave 1. We also have 4 divergences in our favor.
Let's see how this theory holds!
NAS100 afternoon updateTechnical analysis of NAS100.
Update on proposed ending diagonal. Price doesn't seem likely to tag either of the median (red) lines of pitchforks drawn, a bearish sign implying price will return to 20309.1 and eventually to 18297.4.
Count is valid with price below 22100.4. If count is correct, would expect impulsive price action back towards 5 August low.
ADAUSDT Long Setup Setting / Futures TradeBINANCE:ADAUSDT
COINBASE:ADAUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
1.1726
1.2265
🔴SL:
1.0301
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Dow Jones Transportation Average Index morning technical analysiTechnical analysis of DJT (Dow Jones Transportation Average Index).
Watching this ticker as a leading indicator of a market downturn.
As SPX and NDX have made new ATHs this week, DJT is down 3.65%.
Blow-off top happened in November 2021.
It is hard to see price action since September 2022 as impulsive. Perhaps it will turn out impulsive after everything is all said and done; this count assumes it will not.
Bears looking for this to play out as a regular flat, with the C wave as a violent sell-off below 10k. Implies some black swan event, but such an event is not necessary.
IHS breakout 2nd attemptI dont know if it can be considered as a IHS. It seems to me. Price broke out once, retested the line and breaking out again.
TP1 at 0.618 around 17-18c
Expecting some consolidation at the c-fork line than pump towrds TP2.
TP2 around 27 cents
Invalidation at 0.114 with a 4h candle close.
ETH re-long from action lineThe slope of up-sloping action-reaction set has changed. We are retrying to enter long after previously being washed, now the slope has more confirmations. RR is 1:3.25, but entry limit order should be continuously moving up while time goes by and up-slopping line is taking price higher