USOIL, evening analysisTechnical analysis of USOIL (CL1!).
Bullish (green) and bearish (red) counts for USOIL.
Price likely to rise towards resistance at 94.99, with median line of pitchfork as target.
Bulls see EW count in a wave 3, with price to challenge 2022 highs and keep 94.99 as support once it breaks as resistance.
Bears see a wave c in progress, to complete a zigzag X in the 96.5-105 area, then roll back down with a Y below 63.61.
Pitchforks
Bitcoin Market Cap PitchForksCRYPTOCAP:BTC
Setup PitchForks for each cycle, starting at the low. Looks to be good high touchpoints and trendlines to follow. Interested to see this current PitchFork have more touchpoints and then move back into the 2021 PitchFork at high valuations, entering the 2021 PitchFork around 4 to 5 Trillion in Market Cap.
COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
NIFTY technical analysis, big pictureTechnical analysis for NIFTY 50 Index.
This count has price in price in wave c of Primary wave 4. The a and b wave of the zigzag may need to be adjusted, depending on how price moves down to target, which is the 15000-17000 area.
Price never tagged the median line of the bullish pitchfork, did its best to stay above its bullish Hagopian line. As price continues to stay below 24857.75 (which is now key resistance), gravity should pull price down rather quickly towards target.
ETHUSD morning analysisTechnical analysis of ETHUSD.
Bearish count sees large regular flat from ATH, pitchfork drawn from ATH, A, and B.
C wave would be in its wave 3, with target ~2000.
Wave 2 was a zigzag with Elliott Triangle wave b. Wave c of 2 tagged .618 fib drawn from B at 4104.56 to end of wave 1 of C.
Smaller pitchfork drawn from B, 1, and 2; convergence with larger pitchfork below A at 880.03, which is where this analysis suggests price is going.
NAS100/NDX morning updateAnother look at NAS100.
I added another pitchfork and Hagopian line, drawn off bearish pivots after 16 December 2024 ATH.
The Hagopian line held resistance at wave ii. As long as it continues to hold as resistance, the red median line is the bearish target. Failure of the bullish pitchforks to hit their median line targets suggests price reversal.
Two bearish counts after ATH. Count in green shows a zigzag, and count in red shows an impulse. The red count assumes that price completed a (b) wave of an expanded flat, (b) wave starting October 2022, (c) wave impulse targeting October 2022 low.
NAS100/NDX technical analysisTechnical analysis for NAS100 (NDX).
Price shown from 5 August 2024 low.
This count sees price as an ending diagonal from 5 August 2024 low, with a truncated fifth wave finishing at 22084.70.
Completed impulse wave from 22084.70 to 20710.70 (first green ellipse).
Regular flat completed at 21654.70, with impulsive price action afterwards (second green ellipse) which broke below support of 20710.7 today.
Two pitchforks shown, neither of which had their median (red) lines tagged, implying prices will return to pivots at 20309.1 and 18297.4.
Impulse waves (red ellipses) with regular flat corrective wave would either be a zigzag or the beginning of a larger impulse wave down. Given the lower targets involved, this count implies the latter.
Key resistance now 21654.7.
US10Y afternoon analysisTechnical analysis for US10Y.
Bearish on long-term bonds, this analysis has yields continuing to go up.
Displayed count has A wave beginning off 9 March 2020 low, completed 23 October 2023. B wave as completed zigzag to September 17 2024 low.
C wave count in wave 3 of 3, with targets of 5.337% and 5.592%. This count shows C wave completing at top of pitchfork (drawn off 9 March 2020 low), but with measured move I would expect the C wave to complete north of 6.496%.
Key supports: 4.507% and 4.126%
Key resistances: 4.739% and 5.021%
AGLDUSDT Long Setup - Spot BINANCE:AGLDUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area: 1 step now
Yellow zone: 2nd step = 2.61-2.32
⚡️TP:
3.13
3.55
4.13
🔴SL:
1.99
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
USD/JPY Short using a GANN Fixed Square & Andrews PitchforksWe have an interesting short setup on the Daily. The highest candle printed was on the 26th Dec 2024 (UTC+2). Although it wasn't a nice 'Signal' candle it has traded sideways ever since. From a technical/geometric lens we can see heavy resistance against the angles and arcs of this perfectly scaled Gann Fixed Square including 2 median line touches and a "sliding parallel" exhaustion gap. Note: The 26th Dec from an Astro perspective has very interesting planetary alignments including a Price and Time Square Out, however, the details of this is beyond the scope of this idea. Inevitably the market will decide.
Ethereum Bullish Outlook: Targeting $8,000 During Altcoin SeasonBINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 1x-2x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
After the alt-season scenario occurs, a very likely target for ETH/USDT is around $8,000. Currently, the price is stabilizing, and if it remains within this zone, a strong breakout could drive the price up to the $8,000 target.
In another scenario, if the price breaks below the red zone, a lower dynamic support line could provide protection for buyers around the $2,500 to $2,600 range.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
4K
5.2K
6K
6.8K (Risk-free level)(if the price reached this level, risk-free your positions.)
8K
🔴SL:
2850$
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
GOLD & SILVER Short ideaHi,
We have an interesting bearish idea with the metals GOLD & SILVER. Being highly correlated we are able to extract confirming bearish signals of a turn next week. Price action shows selling pressure is greatest in Silver ( The Divergence Circle ) creating a vacuum against the yellow dashed horizontal line where GOLD has closed the GAP against the same line. Apart from this the same can be observed on the horizontal plane with Silver failing to reach the yellow diagonal frequency line showing greater selling pressure as compared to GOLD. We also have multiple Timing confluences ( Including ASTRO ) which has squared with Price on the same "Signal" candle of GOLD & SILVER last Friday. This however is beyond the scope of this analysis. Also note we have news next week pointing to a possible bigger move than average.
DXY afternon analysisLong-term analysis of DXY.
Bullish count sees double-combo of March 2008 low, W is a regular flat, X is a zigzag, Y would be a zigzag with target of ~128 and median line of pitchfork to complete wave C of Y.
This move would likely see US10Y targeting 8% in a long-term bond long-squeeze.
2025 Stock Buyback CrashI think there's going to be a major stock market crash now. I drew a Schiff Pitchfork connecting the peak and bottom of the 2008 subprime mortgage crash to the peak of Covid-19. Why? I'm looking at the geometry of how the stock market reacts to large systemic human problems. Notice that SPX is now overbought in exactly the same region as the 2000 dot com bubble crash.
What is this thing I'm calling the "Stock Buyback Crash"? Well without getting too political, the name of the game in Capitalism in exploitation and grift. You can only pay your employees shit, fire huge percentages of your employees, and buy back your own stock to inflate your stock prices for so long before the game of chicken is up. Corporations haven't been reinvesting their surplus capital into improving their businesses. No, they've been artificially inflating their stock prices to get those sweet executive bonuses. Well, the bubble's about to burst. This whole system is a grift. I can highly recommend reading the book called 'Understanding Capitalism' by Richard Wolff.
Bitcoin 1D Pitchfork & Correlating Tops Where To Next For $BTC Basic little draw up from now just checking market sentiment with the MACD providing great analytical insight into where we are NOW and were we were MID bull run from $75k ATH to $109k. See the bearish MACD over the ATH of 75k and the same over the 109k ATH. We are back to zero on MACD we should see small dips or sideways movement but more volatile as price is higher. It will always seem more volatile as %s of BTC price are larger. So 10% drop or gain now on $93k is $9.3k where when 1 CRYPTOCAP:BTC was 9.3k 10% drop or gain was only $930! Yes same % loss or gain but more capital required to make or loose hat 10%. Still you can always order less but this is just a sentiment driver when you look at the % math of now and back in the day even 4 years ago or pre covid.
Currently we sit at $93,250 USD at time of writing. Up from the down turn to $91k. IF we keep the market moving up growing and more $ flow in to longs and or buying bitcoin the better.
I think also as its in a DIP phase people WONT be selling who brought in at or between 50k-80k. At least I wouldn't be. Even if it goes to any price pre Covid so under 25k~ This will take a while to occur with many chances to exit before or you will see much increase from where we are now.
The market sentiment is good. Its down but its still dominant and will be for another 10 - 100 years plus. It's almost perfect and the coins doing other things BTC can mostly achieve but in directly. However it is no1 and will stay that way for some time.
Love you Holders let us know you thoughts on this projection to upward of $200k within a few 6 months ?
Not finical advice I trade on my own and use my own methods the post here isn't method to trade its just an assumption of what could happen with little degree of success. Thanks for reading!
SOL/USDT Analysis: Descending Channel Meets Critical Supply ZoneHey fellow traders! Let's dive into this fascinating SOL/USDT hourly chart that's showing some really interesting technical patterns.
First, what immediately catches my eye is the descending channel (those yellow parallel lines) that's been guiding price action. The text on the chart points out "Multiple Touches Confirming the trend" - and they're absolutely right. We've seen several clean touches on both the upper and lower boundaries, which gives this channel formation strong credibility.
The current price is sitting at 228.17 USDT, and we're seeing a -1.40% decline. What's particularly interesting is how we're interacting with what the chart labels as a "Strong Supply Zone From Daily Timeframe." This isn't just any supply zone - it's coming from a higher timeframe, which typically carries more weight in technical analysis.
Looking at the moving averages, we've got both a blue MA (likely the 200-period) and a red MA creating a bearish cross. This adds another layer of confirmation to the current downward pressure.
For the short term, we're at a crucial decision point. The price has just bounced off the supply zone (marked by that last circle), showing sellers are still active in this region. That green arrow suggesting potential movement? It's pointing to possible upcoming price action, but remember - these are projections, not guarantees.
Medium-term outlook shows we're still firmly within that descending channel, and until we see a convincing break above it, the path of least resistance remains downward. Those multiple touches mentioned in the chart have validated this bearish structure.
Long term? See that purple marker near the bottom? That could be our next major support level if the current structure continues to play out. However, smart traders should watch for any signs of channel breakout, as these patterns don't last forever.
What makes this setup particularly tricky is the confluence of multiple technical factors - the descending channel, the daily supply zone, and the MA crossover. This is exactly the kind of situation where proper risk management becomes crucial.
Remember folks - while the technical setup looks bearish, Solana is known for its volatility. Keep your stops tight and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Anyone else seeing other interesting patterns here? I'd love to hear your thoughts!
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
US30 morning analysisTechnical analysis of US30.
Cleaned Elliott Wave count off chart.
Pitchfork drawn from major pivots over the last 5 years (March 2020 low to January 2022 high to October 2022 low.
If price cannot tag the median line (red line) of the pitchfork, there is a high probability that price will return to the last pivot (green ellipse).
At present, tagging the median line would require ~20% gains from current price. Anything is possible, but odds would seem to favor <20% gains in 2025.
Price again broke pitchfork support (lower blue line) yesterday, on impulsive price action.
If top is in, price likely to topple towards October 2022 low (28586.8) on continued impulsive price action.